Trevelyan
Trevelyan
No personal profile
13Follow
26Followers
0Topic
0Badge
$Intel(INTC)$ The smart shorts are long gone after making some good money. Classy of them to move on instead of hanging around to say I told you so. The trick is to sell short before the drop or buy before the run up. The few shorts that have stayed around are likely $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ employees I imagine who are overly eager for Intel to do poorly. For the past several years Intel has been behind, both in products and manufacturing. Surely smart money sees that current stock price and product reviews are very different today than they were even six months ago. I understand the “wait and see” attitude, but selling short today seems foolish. [Sweats][OMG][Cry]
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ To everyone who thought SOFI would squeeze, you’re going to learn the lesson we’ve all learned the hard way.SOFI always sells off as soon as it starts to run. There is no different.Today they will cut rates .25 and the market will sell the news.Not only that, but they will sell harder because they are expecting .50 and are only getting .25SOFI will be $7 by the end of the week if not lower. It will take YEARS of profitability before this stock ever takes off. [Great][Great][Great]

PDD: The Game Player

$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ Dollar General and Dollar Tree, US discount retailers lost 43 and 53% of their value this yearMost of this is attributed to Temu riseIn only 2 years Temu has reached estimated $40bn sales (parent co $PDD does not disclose)Temu fortune was built on shipping directly from China to consumer. Eventually law maker will step in to try to slow them (but how do you check 1 million packages a day remains to be seen)In the meantime Temu is adding more local shops to deliver from US (or EU)This could also pose a threat to $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ . Not existential but could further reduce ecommerce margins. And Amazon will push more on cloud and advertisement to find growth
PDD: The Game Player
$Intel(INTC)$ Even though the semiconductor market is booming due to artificial intelligence (AI), revenue was down to $55 billion over the last 12 months; it was close to $80 billion a few years ago.Free cash flow looks even worse. It was a negative $12 billion over the trailing 12-month period and has been negative for close to two years now. For the 25 years prior, Intel had always generated positive free cash flow.[Sly][Sly][Sly]
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ This is the part when everyone calls GOOG a bad stock or says it has slow growth because the stock is down 22% 🔴 so far.It's a great company, and I would love to see a cheaper price, but in the long term, you can make a lot of money.[Happy][Happy][Happy]
$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ Pretty funny commercial this morning featuring Obama roasting Trump for whining all of the time and obsessing on crowd size. Spot on. The Kamala commercial where she says “ Bidenomics” is pretty funny as well. They must have comedians on retainer. Although, Trump could easily do stand up comedy if he ever needed a job.[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]

If VKTX-2735 can grab just a slice of that market share the stock price gonna be 200

100? 200!!!!!!!!The weight loss pill war is heating up with a new player entering the arena! VKTX-2735 is rocking it with its amazing safety profile and clear dose response. This means there's room to up the dosage for even better weight loss results! Can't wait for that! $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ Sales of Semaglutide have already hit a whopping $21.01 billion! $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ Tirzepatide sales reached $5.163 billion in 2023. If VKTX-2735 can grab just a slice of that market share with its dose response, easily taking $15 billion, its current market cap of less than $10 billion is a total steal! It's like $Viking Therapeutics(VKTX)$ hitting
If VKTX-2735 can grab just a slice of that market share the stock price gonna be 200

Without chips, where does SaaS come from?

CHIP STOCKS for SURE!!! By 2026, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$'s GPU orders will peak at 750 units and then growth will begin to plateau or slow down. Many argue that Nvidia's gross profit comes from the CUDA moat, but in reality, it largely stems from the $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ CoWoS production bottleneck. When CoWoS is no longer a bottleneck and other companies can access production capacity, many things could change. In the era of large models, the CUDA moat may not be as deep as imagined. Without chips, where does SaaS come from?
Without chips, where does SaaS come from?

MSTR gonna meet 5000

Not sure it will hit $2K or not this week, but in the long term, $MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ gonna meet 5000.According to Standard Chartered Bank, Bitcoin is expected to reach $100,000 by the end of this year. Research firm Fundstrat has set a target range of $116,000 to $137,000. Hedge fund SkyBridge predicts that Bitcoin will reach $170,000 by April 2025. Crypto asset management company 3iQ has set a base target of $110,000 for Bitcoin in 2024, rising to $140,000 the following year. Additionally, the company has a more aggressive forecast, with Bitcoin reaching $180,000 this year and $450,000 by 2025.MicroStrategy currently holds 200,000 Bitcoins, with a market value of around $90 billion, corresponding to a sto
MSTR gonna meet 5000
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Trend reversal alert! Small platforms breaking through, HangSengTech's bull is on fire! Staying firm on the long side. 📈🔥
avatarTrevelyan
2022-07-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I am sure to take a ton of crap from the TSLA bulls for this one… thinking about the economic environment we are headed, and seeing how$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and$Netflix(NFLX)$ got ravaged by earnings misses and guidance cuts,I’m fearful $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ may soon revisit its late 2020 trading range. Given these dramatic ranges and downside asymmetric risk, I will most certainly open a couple long straddles centered at the current trading range. I believe in TSLA, but not with this current daily pattern and with the prospect of a major earnings miss on the horizon.
avatarTrevelyan
2022-07-04
hmm.. $Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$ wish that guy Andrew was here a year ago flooding this board with pretty much the truth as to why we are at this price. Would have kept me out. Keep blaming the exchange/shorts/MM/HF and totally ignore the 4th ATM for the year after a 1:3 split 18 months... Forget about how only 3% of common is held by insiders now. Has nothing to do with the massive increase from 50m shares to somewhere between 450m and who knows. Yep just buy your shares from the exchange and all will be fixed. $Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$
avatarTrevelyan
2022-07-01

Multiple views of MSFT

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ The Bullish: Quality matters and matters a lot.The Bearish: Valuation matters and matters a lot.The Future view: Growth matters and matters a lot.The operational quality of  $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is really impressive. The considerable premium valueation is currently being reduced. The stock has a current blended P/FCF ratio of 29.55. An average 10 year P/FCF ratio of 23.43.An average 5 year P/FCF ratio even of 31.89.Phew, take a deep breath. After that it was even undervalued at 7.34%. Kind of crazy.Analysts expect Microsoft to grow at a rate of 19.8% in unleveraged FCF over the next 5 years and between 15% and 16% operationally. Unbelievable.Then a 5y P/FCF/G ra
Multiple views of MSFT
avatarTrevelyan
2022-07-01
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Nasdaq 100 Trust(QQQ)$ $Intel(INTC)$ OH please, let this one go to 29 so you can renew your enthusiasm .$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Needs to go to 10500 before any real growth can occur.Just keeeep it up, bull, every dollar higher on SPY means inflation will be HIGHER soon & linger with us MONTHS longer. Already at 5 years.Do you want to go 7?
avatarTrevelyan
2022-06-30

Weekly retail car sales in China surge 28%

Retail car sales in China continued to trend upward amid a post-lockdown recovery, according to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).The agency reported that sales leapt 28% in the week of June 20 to June26 from the same period in the prior year, with passenger vehicle sales rising to 487K units, up 33% from the prior year and increasing 17% from the prior month. For the month of June observed thus far, passenger car sales in the region reached 1.42M units, a year-on-year increase of 27%.Despite the rise in sales, many of the major automakers that are either based in China or maintain strong market share in the country fell on Wednesday.Companies impacted include Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI), BYD Company (OTCPK:BYDDY), NIO Inc. (NIO), XPeng Inc. (XPEV), General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor Corpo
Weekly retail car sales in China surge 28%
avatarTrevelyan
2022-06-29

Endo Inks Deal for Osteoarthritis Knee Pain Drug

$Endo International PLC(ENDP)$ recently announced that its subsidiary Endo Ventures Limited has entered into an agreement with clinical-stage specialty pharmaceutical company Taiwan Liposome Company, Ltd. ("TLC"). Both the companies will commercialize TLC599. The candidate is an extended and controlled release liposomal formulated dexamethasone for chronic knee osteoarthritis (OA) pain. It is currently in phase III development for the treatment of osteoarthritis knee pain.Per the terms of the agreement, TLC will primarily be responsible for the development of the product. On the other hand, Endo will primarily be responsible for obtaining regulatory approval and commercializing the product in the United States.Endo will have exclusive rights to
Endo Inks Deal for Osteoarthritis Knee Pain Drug
avatarTrevelyan
2022-06-28
it's hard to catch stocks at the dead bottom. U is stabilizing and setting up for regaining some of the loss. $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ It's probably smarter to buy in when you feel the bottom has been reached, rather than trying to catch a falling knife.
avatarTrevelyan
2022-06-28

Macro idea on BABA

$Alibaba(BABA)$  "Macro price target analysis here with cycles, patterns, and fibs. The box is the profit taking zone in my opinion, I do not expect the next two year cycle to make new highs , but I do expect the one after to. This is because this cycle made a lower low. Usually the cycle after has to make a higher high or at least range from end to end in a gradual progression.Price target is between 170 and 190 by approx. late 2023.The cycle ends in 2024 which matches the US chart, where I do expect to see a global recession - meaning most of 2023 might actually be decent after we find a near term bottom in the US market, with the final decline not happening until a prolonged bull trap, or if it doesn't go lower than a retest o
Macro idea on BABA
avatarTrevelyan
2022-06-22
$JD.com(JD)$ I still want an explanation on JD price. It cant be due to JDs 618 sales. Only difference between their performance and PDD/BABA is they POSTED their numbers?! What am I missing? $Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$
avatarTrevelyan
2022-06-20
Since everyone has abandoned J. Dorsey, let me tell you, he is the genius you thought he was. For instance, regarding the name change, he can now spinoff Square AU Pty Ltd and unlock value, whereby only share holders in Block will eventually own both companies. I'm sure this is in the works.$Block(SQ)$ BullishDon't be Homer Simpson when Block Inc. spins off Square AU Pty Ltd. 

Go to Tiger App to see more news