CAD2306 (Canadian Dollar - Jun 2023)
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avatarblashblash
2023-02-18
How to be wrong and still make a profit and a new thesis forMarch In my last post (1/6), i had a thesis to short the USD. $USD/CAD(USDCAD.FOREX)$  $Canadian Dollar - Jun 2023(CAD2306)$    Dollar currency index was at 103.879 and today at 103.88. Basically, 6 weeks and USD has remained the same. There was tremendous volatility. Lucky i was right for about 4 weeks and took 3k off the table. (See photos) The markets have now priced in higher interest rates. I personally find that shocking but i have always lost money when i am overly optimistic. So i was lucky this time around.  There is also an off chance that interest rates may have to go even higher than wall street has pr
avatarblashblash
2023-01-06

Trading commodities and currencies

We find ourselves in a dismal equity market. Bond prices are falling.  Even REITs leverage limits are shaky.  I have reviewed some S-Reit current  leverage. I am concerned. If valuation falls and interest rate rise, what then? The regulatory limit may be triggered. We are finally close to the edge. Perhaps a recovery is near. What should an intreprid investor do? What is the best way if one wish to bet on recovery? My thesis: short the USD and long commodities currencies. More directly, long commodities. Please note that while i am invested, these bets are risky. Currency and commodities future have ruin many. Consider the thesis at your own risk. $Canadian Dollar - Dec 2023(CAD2312)$  
Trading commodities and currencies