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Macro Weekly: Yields Near a Peak? Key Setups in Gold and Long Bonds

Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The
Macro Weekly: Yields Near a Peak? Key Setups in Gold and Long Bonds
avatar程俊Dream
10-12 15:03

Oil May Retest $80: Watch the Brent-WTI Spread Before Buying the Dip📉💰

News over the weekend of an attack on an airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, that caused casualties prompted concern and discussion about what might happen next in the Middle East. Yet oil did not rise at the start of this week as many had expected. After opening slightly higher, it has now fallen by more than 1%. That does not mean oil’s upward path has ended. On the contrary, if the pullback lasts long enough and goes far enough, oil could still retest its highs, especially if accompanied by new U.S. actions. After a substantial rebound and recovery, WTI crude oil repeatedly produced “9” signals on the daily chart and eventually began to pull back around mid-September. Bears are now testing trendline support dating back to July, and a break below it is quite possible. With no new geopolitic
Oil May Retest $80: Watch the Brent-WTI Spread Before Buying the Dip📉💰