Earnings Outlook for Chinese Stocks

Hello tigers! [Happy]  Amidst the dynamic global market landscape, my attention is focused on the performance of key Chinese stocks, particularly $Alibaba(BABA)$ and $Li Auto(LI)$. As the financial results of these companies are unveiled, their ability to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities becomes crucial. I will go over the overview of the recent earnings announcements from BABA and LI Auto, shedding light on their performance and outlook.

Alibaba (BABA)

BABA recently reported impressive financial results for the June quarter, surpassing revenue and adjusted EBITA expectations. The company's revenue outperformed Refinitiv's consensus estimate by 4%, while adjusted EBITA exceeded expectations by an impressive 21%. This solid performance reflects a notable recovery in key business segments, including China commerce retail, local services, cloud and digital media, and entertainment divisions.

Alibaba's financial rebound is underscored by the strong performance across various business sectors. Notably, this recovery is partly attributed to the lower base of comparison from the previous year's COVID-19 lockdown period. The significant year-on-year growth rates of 14% in revenue and 32% in adjusted EBITA in the June quarter demonstrate the company's agility in adapting to changing market conditions.

Despite the positive momentum, there are concerns regarding Alibaba's short-term outlook. The China commerce business could experience a somewhat uneven recovery due to recent weak macroeconomic indicators, including year-on-year deflation, a decline in imports during July, and the absence of substantial consumption stimulus initiatives. Monitoring these factors will be essential in gauging Alibaba's resilience moving forward.

Li Auto (LI)

Li Auto, a leading Chinese EV manufacturer, presented better-than-expected earnings for Q2, driven by robust demand for its electric vehicles. Despite intense competition and pricing pressures in the EV market, the company achieved impressive triple-digit top-line growth and improved vehicle margins compared to the previous quarter.

Li Auto's positive Q3 delivery outlook bolsters its investment case, signaling sustained growth potential. However, investors should remain vigilant about potential risks, such as escalating competition within the EV sector and the evolving pricing environment. These factors will play a crucial role in shaping Li Auto's future performance.

Nio Inc (NIO)

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$, a significant player in the Chinese EV market, has experienced a mix of highs and lows in recent years. After a remarkable surge in 2020, the company faced challenges in 2021 and 2022. However, NIO has been actively working to regain its momentum by enhancing its product offerings. Analysts predict that NIO's earnings will reflect its recovery trajectory and growth potential. With an improving macroeconomic environment in China and a dedicated focus on electric vehicles, NIO's earnings are anticipated to strengthen over the upcoming quarters.

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Xpeng Motors (XPEV)

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$, a notable contender in the Chinese EV landscape, has demonstrated impressive growth and technological advancements. With a portfolio of intelligent electric vehicles and a robust autonomous driving strategy, XPEV is well-poised for future success. Analysts project that XPEV's earnings will reflect its strategic investments and ongoing expansion efforts. As the company continues to innovate and establish a stronger foothold in the EV market, its earnings outlook for the remainder of 2023 is optimistic.

PDD Holdings (PDD)

$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$, an innovative e-commerce platform renowned for its group buying model, has significantly transformed the online shopping experience. However, recent economic concerns and credit growth challenges in China have impacted the company's earnings. As PDD navigates these issues, its earnings outlook remains uncertain. The company's ability to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and macroeconomic conditions will play a pivotal role in shaping its earnings trajectory for the rest of 2023.

Conclusion

The recent earnings announcements from Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) and Li Auto (LI) have captured the attention of investors and analysts alike. Alibaba's remarkable recovery across diverse business segments highlights its resilience amid challenging macroeconomic conditions. Meanwhile, Li Auto's ability to outperform expectations in the competitive EV market showcases its innovation and adaptability. As these companies navigate the complex landscape, assessing their strategies and responses to emerging challenges will be key in gauging their future performance. While some companies face challenges from regulatory changes and economic concerns, others are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles and technology solutions. As these companies continue to navigate a dynamic landscape, investors should closely monitor their earnings reports and strategic developments to make informed investment decisions.

Modify on 2023-08-18 15:39

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • JONESTea
    ·2023-08-19

    The only way Li auto would keep going down is because if the state if Chinas Economy. I believe this stock should and will be going up soon but for short term i see it going down. Especially as Chinese Indexes keep dropping.

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  • Jim1995
    ·2023-08-19

    Hong Kong-listed LI saw its stock price rise by over 3% yesterday. The entire electric car industry in China also experienced gains yesterday, indicating that the country's economy has started to improve with the recent interest rate cuts. It might be a good time buy in.

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  • ZOE011
    ·2023-08-19

    Bad trading days for Alibaba, but the company is fundamentally improving. Last quarter was really great with 14% revenue growth and 40% profit growth. Buybacks will continue (probably increase in these turbulent times). EPS projections went up quite significantly after the earnings release. The stock will follow when uncertainty settles. And it will settle, just use this opportunity to buy more. If you have no spare cash, just hold and the stock will recover. However, don’t buy to many calls, I have seen loads of people losing money with it the last 2 years with Alibaba. Good luck!

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  • CharlesBaker
    ·2023-08-19

    all day and now all week long. I don’t get what the bears get out of bashing $BABA. If they are truly shorting it then they should be happy to be making money, just as I am happy to be buying more. I can’t tell if they are really just sitting on the side lines because they already lost a ton of money.

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  • SiongZ
    ·2023-08-19

    Patience!!! I’m not investing in BABA to make quick gains. I’m investing to make BIG gains.

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