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Owen_trading room
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16:45

Two Must-Watch Strategies Now: the Enticing Crack Spread and a Stock-Index Options Straddle

Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. $标普500(.SPX)$
Two Must-Watch Strategies Now: the Enticing Crack Spread and a Stock-Index Options Straddle
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My_Market_Diary
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43 minutes ago

SK hynix Jumps 28% Overnight: Can the Rally Continue?

Hi Tigers! 👋 One stock that really caught my eye recently was $SK hynix(SKHY)$. It surged nearly 28% overnight in the U.S. market, and naturally, that got a lot of people asking the same question: Is this the start of another leg higher, or was it just a short-term squeeze? As someone still learning the market, I wanted to break this move down in a simple way and share what I’ve learned with fellow beginners here. What happened? SK hynix’s U.S.-listed ADR jumped almost 28% overnight, while its Korean-listed shares also moved sharply higher the next day. From what I learned, the rally was mainly driven by three big factors: AI stocks rebounded Expectations for a prolonged memory-chip shortage increased Strong demand for SK hynix’s n
SK hynix Jumps 28% Overnight: Can the Rally Continue?
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Tiger_comments
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17:10

IBM Plunges 25%: Is Corporate IT Spending Moving From Software to AI Hardware?

$IBM(IBM)$ IBM delivered one of the clearest signals yet that the AI boom is reshaping corporate technology budgets. The company’s shares plunged about 25% after it released preliminary second-quarter results below Wall Street expectations. IBM expects quarterly revenue of roughly $17.2 billion, up only 1% year over year and below the $17.86 billion analysts expected. Adjusted earnings are projected at $2.93 per share, versus the $3.02 consensus estimate. (Reuters) The headline numbers were disappointing, but the explanation was even more important. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said that during the final weeks of June, corporate clients redirected part of their quarterly capital spending toward servers, storage and memory. Customers wante
IBM Plunges 25%: Is Corporate IT Spending Moving From Software to AI Hardware?
TOPShyon: I think this is a temporary budget rotation rather than a permanent software bear market. Companies need GPUs, servers, networking, and memory before deploying AI at scale, so hardware is naturally getting priority. For now, I would lean toward C (Memory & Storage), especially Micron, SanDisk, Western Digital, and Seagate, as IBM highlighted strong demand for these areas. I don't believe software demand has disappeared. Once AI infrastructure is in place, companies will still need cybersecurity, workflow automation, and AI applications to generate returns. The software winners will be those that can show AI drives higher customer spending and stronger recurring revenue. I remain overweight AI infrastructure while monitoring earnings from ServiceNow, Salesforce, and Adobe. If they can prove AI is boosting revenue, I'd gradually rotate back into quality software names. I see this as a sequential AI cycle—hardware first, software next. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub
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JC888
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07-14 17:41
Replying to @AnnaMaria:Hi, thanks for reading my post and sharing your views.  I am still trying to find a best entry point given (a) MSFT's death cross still in play and more importantly (b) the Middle East unrest, that proved to be the most "unstablizing" factor.   Worse case scenario, it could usher in a new game plan where costs remains high forever (with the Hormuz Straits control by either Iran/Oman or US), depressing everything else in the process.  This is my current concern.//@AnnaMaria:Been in Microsoft 5+ years, still bullish. Q4 likely beats if Azure and AI attach stay strong

MSFT: Light at the End of the Tunnel, yet ?

@JC888
Intro. My last post on $Microsoft(MSFT)$ was back in 29 Apr 2026, just before it released its Q3 2026 earnings. click here ! to re-read the post. Since then, much have happened that caused it stock price of $424.64 per share to consolidate further. I think it is a timely revisit to see what have transpired between my last post until 08 Jul 2026. Agree ? The Verdict. Microsoft did not really break down after 29 Apr 2026; it just kept moving sideways because the market had already priced in a lot of the AI and cloud strength. Investors then focused on slower parts of the business, higher capex, and the question of how quickly AI spending will turn into even bigger profits. The
MSFT: Light at the End of the Tunnel, yet ?
Replying to @AnnaMaria:Hi, thanks for reading my post and sharing your views. I am still trying to find a best entry point given (a) MSFT's death c...
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Shyon
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07-14 17:56
I'm encouraged by today's V-shaped reversal, but I don't think the correction is fully over. The rebound suggests the worst forced selling may be easing and buyers are returning, yet one strong session isn't enough to confirm a durable bottom while leverage and volatility remain high. I'm still focused on the long-term AI memory story. I believe $SK hynix(SKHY)$ , $Micron Technology(MU)$ and the broader HBM supply chain will continue to benefit from AI demand, but I want to see confirmation from upcoming earnings, HBM pricing and company guidance before turning more bullish. For now, I'm cautiously optimistic. I'll be watching whether the recovery broadens across memory, foundries and semiconductor equip
I'm encouraged by today's V-shaped reversal, but I don't think the correction is fully over. The rebound suggests the worst forced selling may be e...
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Shyon
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07-14 17:59
I'm optimistic about $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ AI strategy. A 14GW compute target shows management is thinking long term and is determined to stay at the forefront of AI. Yes, the spending is enormous, but in an AI race where compute is a competitive advantage, investing aggressively today could strengthen Meta's position for years to come. It's not just about Nvidia anymore—companies involved in memory, networking, optical components, power and data-center infrastructure should all benefit as hyperscalers continue expanding AI capacity. I see this as a broad ecosystem opportunity rather than a single-stock story. For me, the biggest factor is execution. If Meta can convert this massive investment into stronger AI products, better advertising
I'm optimistic about $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ AI strategy. A 14GW compute target shows management is thinking long term and is determined to st...
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @JC888 @Barcode @SherniceXuan 2000
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Lanceljx
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07-14 19:23
A 12.6% one-day decline is significant, but by itself it does not confirm that the memory supercycle has peaked. The key question is why the stock fell: If the decline was driven mainly by valuation compression and profit-taking, especially after a very strong run and high expectations, the long-term memory thesis may remain intact. If it reflects evidence of weakening NAND pricing, customer inventory corrections, or deteriorating demand, then it would be more concerning. At present, the industry's structural drivers remain broadly supportive: AI servers continue to require more high-performance storage. Enterprise SSD demand is stronger than in previous cycles. Supply discipline across major NAND manufacturers is much better than in past booms. However, after a record rally, expectations
A 12.6% one-day decline is significant, but by itself it does not confirm that the memory supercycle has peaked. The key question is why the stock ...
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Pinkspider
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07-14 20:55
$IBM Woah. IBM put out preliminary Q2 results...and they are not good. Revenue was $17.2B vs $17.86B expected, up 1% YoY. Consulting revenue was flat and infrastructure revenue was down 7% YoY. All the software names are down in sympathy to IBM basically saying that software spend went to semiconductor spend this quarter. CEO Arvind Krishna: “In the last few weeks of June, we saw clients shift their quarterly capex spend toward servers, storage, and memory purchases to secure supply-constrained infrastructure ahead of expected price increases.” He also said clients were distracted by “rapidly-evolving, industry-wide cybersecurity concerns,” and that IBM “did not anticipate the magnitude of the capex reprioritization.” Company just lose $65B in market cap. I don't think all the software nam
$IBM Woah. IBM put out preliminary Q2 results...and they are not good. Revenue was $17.2B vs $17.86B expected, up 1% YoY. Consulting revenue was fl...
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Elliottwave_Forecast
·
07-14 21:39

Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) Near Support Area

PSLV, the Sprott Physical Silver Trust, is a closed‑end fund that gives investors direct exposure to physical silver bullion. Unlike derivative products, it holds allocated silver bars in secure vaults, offering a transparent way to track silver prices. Many investors use the trust as a hedge against inflation, currency weakness, or to diversify portfolios with tangible precious metals. PSLV Weekly Elliott Wave Chart The weekly chart highlights that PSLV carved out a significant wave ((II)) low at 6.13 on August 29, 2022, setting the stage for a robust impulsive advance. From this foundation, wave I surged to $11.77 before a corrective wave II retraced to $9.60. Momentum then carried the instrument higher in wave III, reaching $33.25, followed by a wave IV pullback that settled at $29.56.
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) Near Support Area
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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07-14 21:41

Beyond the Hype: Why Vertiv (VRT) is Mapping Out the Cleanest Elliott Wave Structure of the Quarter

When retail traders look for ways to play the ongoing artificial intelligence supercycle, they almost universally flock to the same handful of over-analyzed mega-caps. But while the main financial headlines focus entirely on chipmakers and hyperscalers, seasoned technical analysts know that the real, institutional smart money is quietly driving a massive structural trend in the physical backbone powering AI: data center power infrastructure and advanced liquid cooling. Enter Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT). Founded as part of Emerson Electric before going public via a SPAC merger in 2020, Vertiv has transformed from a traditional industrial supplier into an essential gatekeeper of high-density AI clusters. As next-generation GPUs push traditional air-cooling facilities past their physical limits,
Beyond the Hype: Why Vertiv (VRT) is Mapping Out the Cleanest Elliott Wave Structure of the Quarter
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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07-14 21:42

EURUSD : Buy Trade Hits Targets +2%

On July 8 2026 I posted the EURUSD buy/long trade on social media @AidanFX with the entry, stop loss and targets. “LONG EURUSD 1.1410 Stop Loss 1.1391 Target 1.14385 – 1.1448 area” EURUSD 15 Minute Chart July 8 2026 EURUSD moves higher and hits 2R target at 1.1448 from 1.1410 and I closed the buy trade for +38 pips (+2% gain risking 1% on every trade) A trader should always have multiple strategies all lined up before entering a trade. Never trade off one simple strategy. When multiple strategies all line up it allows a trader to see a clearer trade setup. We at EWF never say we are always right. No market service provider can forecast markets with 100% accuracy. Only thing we at EWF 100%, is that we are RIGHT more than we are WRONG. Of course, like any strategy/technique, there will be ti
EURUSD : Buy Trade Hits Targets +2%
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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07-14 21:44

Elliott Wave Outlook: EURUSD 5‑Swing Structure From July 2 High Signals More Weakness

EURUSD maintains an incomplete bearish sequence from the January 27, 2026 peak, leaving room for further downside. The projected target zone is defined by the 100% to 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the January 27 high, which falls between 1.076 and 1.117. This extension range provides a precise technical framework for anticipating the next leg lower. In the near term, the cycle from the July 2, 2026 high has unfolded into a five‑swing decline, reinforcing the bearish bias and signaling additional weakness. From the July 2 high, wave ((i)) concluded at 1.139 as a diagonal structure. A corrective rally in wave ((ii)) terminated at 1.146, after which the pair resumed its downward trajectory in wave ((iii)). The internal subdivision of wave ((iii)) is unfolding as another five‑wave impulse. W
Elliott Wave Outlook: EURUSD 5‑Swing Structure From July 2 High Signals More Weakness
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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07-14 21:46

Albemarle (ALB) Forecast: Elliott Wave Signals Buying Opportunity Near $100

Albemarle Corporation (ALB) provides energy storage solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Energy storage, Specialties & Ketjen. It comes under Basic Materials sector & trades under “ALB” ticker at NYSE. ALB favors rally against April-2025 low of $49.43 in yearly sequence. Further rally will confirm above November-2022 high of $334.55. Currently, it favors corrective pullback in 3 swings towards $100.2 or lower to correct April-2025 low before turning higher. ALB: Elliott Wave Latest Daily View: In yearly, it ended Grand super cycle of ((I)) at $334.55 high (Nov-2022) & proposed ended ((II)) at $49.43 low (April-2025). Within ((I)), it ended (I) at $144.99 high, (II) at $48.89 low, (III) at $291.48 high, (IV) at $169.93 low & (V) at $334.55 high. The ((II)
Albemarle (ALB) Forecast: Elliott Wave Signals Buying Opportunity Near $100
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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07-14 21:48

Mastering the WXY Structure: How This Advanced Pattern Protects and Boosts Your Profitability Ratio

In financial markets and quantitative trading, maximizing your profitability ratio—such as the Profit Factor, Return on Risk (RoR), or the Win/Loss ratio—requires an exceptional ability to differentiate between a temporary market pause and a total trend reversal. One of the most powerful analytical frameworks used by institutional traders to achieve this is the WXY corrective structure. Derived from advanced Elliott Wave Theory, the WXY structure represents a complex, double-three corrective pattern. When properly integrated into a trading strategy, it drastically reduces risk exposure and maximizes profit efficiency. Here is an analysis of how the WXY structure operates and why its execution fundamentally increases your financial profitability ratios. Understanding the WXY Structure A sta
Mastering the WXY Structure: How This Advanced Pattern Protects and Boosts Your Profitability Ratio
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Shyon
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15:01
I'm voting Green and expect $Netflix(NFLX)$ to finish up around 5%–10% after earnings. The stock has already pulled back significantly over the past three months, and I think a lot of the recent concerns are already reflected in the share price. That lowers the bar for a positive surprise. I'm particularly watching the advertising business. If management shows strong growth in ad revenue, better monetization, and continued adoption of the ad-supported plan, I believe investors will focus more on the long-term earnings potential than on a slight decline in operating margin. I'm staying bullish because Netflix continues to have a strong global subscriber base and multiple growth drivers. As long as management delivers a confident outlook and demons
I'm voting Green and expect $Netflix(NFLX)$ to finish up around 5%–10% after earnings. The stock has already pulled back significantly over the pas...
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小猪来了23
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11:45
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dailyovr
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15:31
$DBS(D05.SI)$ I'm glad I have learnt my previous mistake not to be itchy hands, this is my reward for being patient 
$DBS(D05.SI)$ I'm glad I have learnt my previous mistake not to be itchy hands, this is my reward for being patient
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dailyovr
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15:33
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Stockkid
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15:59
$Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares(MUU)$ bullish. As news reported, micron oder full till y2028. But with more countries adorpted ai factories. Data centre and micron hbm will be in tremendous demand than current. More token, more agent etc
$Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares(MUU)$ bullish. As news reported, micron oder full till y2028. But with more countries adorpted ai factories. Data...
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