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$SPY Bounce Then Drop? $META Weak, $NFLX Looks Like a Trap
$SPY is holding a key support zone but likely faces a short-term bounce before another leg lower. $META is breaking down in line with a bearish long-term view, while $NFLX’s rally looks like a classic lower-high trap within a broader bear cycle. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Strong support here for $SPY My expectations stands. Most likely short term bounce, followed by another sell off Hope I’m wrong 🤞 $SPY right back down to test liquidity zone support again Going to get REAL ugly if this level is swept. Bulls still hold it for now 👀 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Back in January our long term model stayed off the bull side for $META. Now it is breaking down in line with that view. When the long t
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14 minutes ago
$SPX $NDX $DJI Breakdown + $SMCI Short +27% Win
For a bounce, I needed to see at least one index hold the November lows while the others broke them. That's an SMT divergence — it warns that momentum is fading and a reversal is setting up. Instead, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ all broke those lows together. No divergence. No warning sign. FULL SYNC. When correlated assets move together like this, it confirms the trend — not a reversal. Bearish until a divergence develops. 🎯 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Short — CLOSED +27.1% Entered $30.53 on 3/18. Target hit in 2 DAYS. W5 did the rest. Straight into the 100% extension at $22.15. 📍 Entry: $
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17 minutes ago
$SPX Playbook Works: 6,500 Hit, Trend Continues
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit our 6,500 mid-term target ✅ But momentum says the wave count is EVOLVING. Leaning toward a bit more downside in the 3rd wave. Then a 4th wave BOUNCE. Then a 5th wave LOWER. The playbook hasn't missed. No reason to stop following it now. Sheesh, my indicator that I developed LAST WEEK is getting better and BETTER. In beta testing, but it helped frame a short today. Nice +25 GAIN 🔥 ALL members of EWC will be able to test it out once I am done refining. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ 🚨 TARGET HIT. I told you MONTHS ago — Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. I never moved the target. Not ONCE. The sell signal triggered. Wave 3 confirmed. $SPX delivered. This is what trusting the S
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31 minutes ago
Volatility is cooling — but we’re not back to “calm” territory yet
1/ 📊 $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Volatility Report Volatility is cooling — but we’re not back to “calm” territory yet. Here’s what the latest data tells us about market sentiment 👇 2/ 🔻 The VIX closed at 22.37 on March 17. That’s: • ⬇️ -1.14 points (-4.85%) vs. prior session • ⬇️ -1.86 points (-7.68%) over the last 5 trading days Short-term pressure is easing. 3/ 📈 But zoom out. The current level remains above the two-year mean of 19.45. We’re off the highs — yet still elevated relative to longer-term norms. 4/ 📊 Percentile check: The VIX sits at the 63.2nd percentile of the past year. Meaning: Roughly 3 out of 5 trading days over the last 12 months had lower volatility than today. Not extreme. Not calm either. 5/ 🔄 Term Structure Insight: The cur
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36 minutes ago
$SPX Time Bottom Near, $SPY Tests $654 Support
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ A bottom is near in terms of Time, not necessarily in terms of Price. Money Flow is nearing the 2018, 2022, and 2025 lows and has already dropped below the 2020 levels. While the %B is also oversold. After four red weeks, a flush could accelerate the case for a reversal. $SPY $654 was the "must-visit" price I shared on Saturday with subscribers, even with Monday's spike. Today’s low hit $655🎯. Given the support zone (200DMA + Shelf), $659 must hold tomorrow for a minimum recovery to $663; otherwise, today was a gap fill and the decline resumes. SPY Another Inverse "U-Turn": This has been the price action mood for over a month. Looks like a seventh week
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02:58
When Is the Right Time to Bottom-Fish?
$SPY$ When is it time to buy the dip? Not now. Simple reason: the current drop is pricing in the impact of surging oil prices — but what about earnings season? With triple witching (March 20) behind us, we're now three weeks out from Q2 earnings. Last quarter, spending was the main driver for stock moves. Spending up → stocks down. So if spending slows, does that mean stocks go up? Not so fast. Slower spending would signal that big tech is cautious on AI — which would almost certainly trigger a valuation reset. That's why I'm not surprised to see May puts targeting 600–625 on SPY. That's deeply pessimistic. Still, a bounce next week is possible. Put expirations are skewed further out than calls. So the market could swing violently either way — but options are expensive. Buying premium is a
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03-20 21:34
Market Sentiment Alert: Options Traders Hit Peak Bearishness as Put/Call Ratio Spikes to 0.90
The Fear Gauge is Flashing Red Wednesday's options flow data delivered a stark wake-up call for equity bulls. The equity put/call ratio surged to 0.90—the highest reading of 2026 and the fourth-highest level over the past 12 months. For context, this means options traders purchased 90 put contracts (bearish bets/insurance) for every 100 call contracts (bullish bets), indicating a dramatic risk-off pivot in positioning. Decoding the 0.90 Level In options market parlance, the put/call ratio serves as a real-time fear thermometer: Below 0.70: Euphoria/Greed (call buying dominates) 0.70–0.85: Neutral/Cautious (balanced hedging) Above 0.90: Significant Fear (defensive positioning accelerates) Above 1.00: Capitulation (more puts than calls, rare panic extremes) Hitting 0.90 places current sentim
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03-20 17:46
Weekly | ASX Pullback: WDS, STO Lead Energy Rally, COL, SIG Defensives Hold, YAL Climbs
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,428.40, down 1.72% in the past 5 days. The ASX 200 fell for a third straight week as the war in the Middle East kept energy costs elevated and forced markets to price in a more aggressive interest rate path. However, the following five Australian stocks bucked the trend, rising by at least 4%. These moves occurred against a mixed ASX backdrop (some selloff in non-commodity names), with energy/coal names benefiting most from commodity rebounds and defensives like Coles/Sigma holding firm on fundamentals. 1. $WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD(WDS.AU)$ +9.66% The surge was primarily commodity-driven amid a volatile ASX session where many stocks fac
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03-20 21:27
Paul Mampilly's Energy Alpha Review：$XLE, $USO,$UNG
Executive Summary When Paul Mampilly issued his "monster opportunity" call on energy in early 2025, the sector was trading at cyclical lows with Brent crude under pressure and recession fears dominating headlines. Twelve months later, the data validates what subscribers already knew: Mampilly's structural bullish thesis on oil, natural gas, and AI-driven power demand wasn't just directionally correct—it generated triple-digit returns while the broader market rotated defensively. The Macro Setup: Structural, Not Cyclical Mampilly's core investment case rested on a multi-year supply-demand imbalance rather than short-term trading patterns. His key drivers: AI Power Surge: Exploding electricity demand from data centers creating grid bottlenecks and natural gas scarcity Supply Constrictions: C
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03-19 16:53
$AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$ This counter is experiencing extreme tech growth in amidst of Iran War.
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03-19 18:44
$BE 20260320 142.0 PUT$ finger cross and another week clear with extra income :)
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03-19 23:46
$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ Still on positive
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03-20 09:11
$Singtel(Z74.SI)$ hello friend how are you
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03-20 10:54
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
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03-20 17:09
Option Movers | Tesla's $380 Put Soars 144%; Alibaba Sees 65% Put Options
Wall Street ended lower on Thursday (Mar 19), with declines in Micron Technology and Tesla, as worries about inflation stemming from soaring oil prices left investors pessimistic about the potential for future interest rate cuts. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 70,059,869 contracts was traded on Thursday. Top 10 Option Volumes Top 10: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, $Micron Technology(MU)$, $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Apple(AAPL
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03-20 16:46
Winners Amid the Energy Crisis: 6 Selected Oil and LNG Stocks
💬 Let’s Discuss: Which energy sector are you bullish on right now—oil or LNG? Share your top picks amid the Strait of Hormuz tensions! The sudden upheaval in the Strait of Hormuz has not only brought global oil prices close to the $100 mark but also triggered a repricing of “safety” and “scarcity” in the energy market. Amid this geopolitical game, the outlines of the winners have become clear: one group consists of U.S. onshore oil and gas giants that can avoid supply disruptions and reap the dividends of rising oil prices; the other includes industry leaders reshaping the global energy trade pattern and benefiting from the structural shortage of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Below are 3 selected oil stocks and 3 LNG stocks. Whether due to geographical advantages or industry barriers, they
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03-20 16:50
Tesla’s “Flywheel Effect” Kicks In? Robotaxis Touted as Next Growth Engine
💬 Let’s Discuss: Do you believe Tesla’s robotaxis will live up to the hype? Share your take on TSLA’s AI transformation and RIVN’s catch-up chance! Despite a roughly 9% year-on-year drop in 2025 vehicle deliveries—marking the second consecutive year of negative growth— $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ stock has been on a tear in the capital market. It rose more than 60% in 2024 and has climbed an additional 10% since entering 2025. Against the backdrop of challenges in its electric vehicle (EV) business, the stock’s strong performance has attracted widespread attention. Behind this, a core market expectation is that the company is transitioning from an automaker to an artificial intelligence (AI) enterprise. This does not mean abandoning the EV business, but
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03-20 16:38
Bank of Canada Hits Pause—Dividend Giants Become Market “Anchor” with Stable Cash Flow
💬 Let’s Discuss: Are you eyeing Canadian dividend stocks amid BoC’s wait-and-see stance? Share your picks for stable cash flow plays below! Faced with new uncertainties from geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Canada (BoC) chose to stand pat this week, keeping its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%. The decision itself came as no surprise—after all, it marks the third consecutive time the central bank has opted for a wait-and-see approach at its monetary policy meeting. But what truly merits attention is the signal from the BoC: oil prices, pushed higher by the Iran war, will lift inflation in the short term, while economic fundamentals are weaker than expected. “The Canadian economy is grappling with many challenges. Right now, we are facing greater volatility,” BoC Governor Tiff
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03-20 16:33
Fed’s “Dovish Actions, Hawkish Rhetoric”? Gold Plummets Below $4,900
💬 Let’s Chime In: Did you expect gold to rally on Fed pause? Share your thoughts on the “hawkish words, dovish moves” and gold’s next move! On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced it would keep the federal funds rate unchanged in the 3.5%-3.75% range, in line with market expectations. This marks the second time the Fed has hit the pause button after three consecutive rate cuts at the end of 2025. What truly sparked market interpretation was the simultaneous release of the interest rate dot plot — this quarterly summary of economic projections showed that the median forecast by Fed officials for the interest rate at the end of 2026 is 3.4%, meaning there will be at least one more 25-basis-point rate cut this year. Meanwhile, interest rate expectations for 2027 and 2028 have also continu
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03-20 16:03
Gold Remains Generally Biased Towards an Uupward Trend
$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Analysis: Gold remains generally biased towards an upward trend. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4577 forms a key support level; short-term support lies around $4633. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a test of $4200. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a clear increase in selling momentum, potentially indicating further downside for gold. If gold closes below the 100-day moving average on the daily chart, watch for a test of $4500. A break below this level would target the February 2nd low of $4402, followed by $4200. Further downside would see the 200-day moving average at $4060/oz. Conversely, if gold