💰 Everyone Says “Buy the Dip.” I’m Still Holding Cash. Here’s Why.
#[🎁Reward: Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit?] There is a strange assumption in markets that being bullish means you need to be fully invested. I don’t agree. I remain bullish on the long-term AI opportunity. I already have exposure through names including $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, alongside broader positions such as $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. But I am deliberately not fully invested yet. That is not because I think AI is dead. It is because I think keeping cash available is an investment decision too. 📉 A falling stock is not automatically a cheap stock This is the part I think gets lost during big corrections. When a stock drops 20%, 30% or even 40%, our brains immediately compare the new price with the old high. It looks cheap because it used t
Prepare for the Reset: A Market Correction Could Open the Next Big Opportunity
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Within the broader monthly trend structure of the U.S. equity market, June ultimately closed in line with the general outlook presented in our May Monthly Investment Report, characterized by limited upward momentum alongside continued alternating fluctuations between advances and pullbacks. However, the magnitude and intensity of the downside movement during June developed more aggressively than origin
My August 5 outlook continues to play out. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ reached the first target at 7,700, and the broader bullish structure remains intact. After a period of consolidation, price bounced directly from the Daily FVG, confirming that buyers are still defending the key support zone. With momentum remaining strong, 7,900 is now the next major target, representing the 50% extension of Wave 3. If momentum continues, a move toward new highs could develop early this week. However, I’m not chasing price at these levels. The market is already extended after the recent rally, which makes the risk/reward less attractive for fresh longs. Instead, I’m watching for another pullback into the next bullish Daily FVG. A clean retest followed by a successful
Five areas could come in hotter when July CPI is released Wednesday: Oil: Crude $WTI Crude Oil - main 2609(CLmain)$ jumped 22% in July as fresh Middle East fighting pushed energy prices higher. Shelter: Rent and owners’ equivalent rent continue to rise month after month. Electricity: Summer cooling demand and growing data-center power consumption are putting upward pressure on utility bills. Auto Insurance: Premiums are still being repriced as repair and replacement costs remain elevated. Food Away From Home: Higher restaurant labor costs continue to push menu prices higher. The Street expects 0.1% headline CPI, 0.3% core CPI, and 3.2% year-over-year inflation. The biggest wildcard remains shelter. If it comes in hotter than expected, the infl
10 years ago, I was buying $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ at $160 it spiked 2500% to $4000+ $TSLA always does a massive run at this entry point. And its happening again right now. Here's the exact option contract I'm buying: I like Dec 2028 $600 calls for $51, but if you have a small account less than $1000. Choose this one here... June 2027 $600 calls for $12. So just wait a few days and get this one under $10. There's about 10 more of these golden gem plays, Let me know if you want all of them! The most dangerous thing that can happen to your finances is your neighbor getting rich. Here's why: A neighbor wins $1,000 in the lottery and bankruptcies on your block rise 2.4%. Researchers at the Philadelphia Fed pulled lottery data from Alberta and tracked wha
OPEN’s Story vs. Reality: Revenue Collapses, Losses Explode
The $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ gang didn't like me pointing out the company's operational disaster, but the Q2 earnings release were an incredible showing of reality distortion. Management: "Everything Is Up. Except Costs." Reality: Revenue fell 44% and operating loss was over 10x higher than a year ago. And for a company that's "not an iBuyer" they bought 149% more homes than a year ago and have $1.8 billion of inventory in the balance sheet. Ohh, and the stock is down 22% since my tweet. Cults can be great for a good business, but they're detrimental when the business doesn't match the story they tell themselves.
Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? Navigating the Great Tech Recalibration: Structural Shift or Market Bubble? The past month has delivered a brutal reality check across global equity markets. Investors who spent the early part of the year riding the artificial intelligence narrative are now staring at a sea of red. Macro headwinds, shifting capital allocations, and valuation fatigue have triggered a steep sell-off across key indices. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, the ChiNext(399006) dropped 27.9%, and while the NASDAQ(.IXIC) declined by a comparatively modest 10.2%, individual semiconductor and high-growth technology tickers suffered disproportionate losses. Semiconductor giants like Micron Technology$美光科技(MU)$ plummeted 41.2%, Sa
$e.l.f. Beauty Inc.(ELF)$ Traded this position for a few years already. Sold it when it was 100+ dollars and made a good profit. Bought back at around 80 and DCA to avg 60 plus. Now the train is heading towards 100+ again. Everyone sleeping on a beauty company and rush towards AI. Why don't look into a company which targets the female market. Even when market crash, females will still want to look and feel good using the power of cosmetics. 🥰
STI Gains 1.24% as Gold, Fintech and China Tech SDRs Lead
The Straits Times Index $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ edged up 1.24% weekly and closed at 5,698.43 as of August 7th. The index has now surged nearly 22.6% YoY, with gold ETFs, fintech names, and China tech SDRs driving this week's gains while energy and property names lagged. Weekly Sector Stars: Real Estate Development (+46.05%), Transaction & Payment Processing Services (+25.34%), Office Services & Supplies (+20.13%), Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing (+20.03%), and Gold (+14.40%) dominated the leaderboard — though several of these moves were likely low-volume anomalies or idiosyncratic re-ratings. 9 Popular Stocks: $SS SPDR S&P500 USD(S27.SI)$ +3.19% — The Singapore-listed S&P
ASX 200 Surges 3.19% to Record as Miners, Biotech & Industrials Lead Rally
$S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ jumped 3.19% weekly and closed at a fresh record high of 9,263.6 as of August 7th 2026, driven by a powerful rebound across miners, financials, healthcare, and industrials. The index broke decisively above the 9,000 psychological level as commodity price stabilization, strong earnings, and global risk-on sentiment converged. Weekly Sector Stars: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders (+22.12%), Aerospace & Defense (+18.51%), Pharmaceuticals (+17.95%), Consumer Electronics (+16.11%), and Construction Materials (+15.57%) led — though several of these moves were likely low-volume anomalies. Weekly Top 10 Popular Stocks: $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ +5.41% — The world's
Beyond the "Beat or Miss": Why Singapore REITs Must Reclaim Forward Earnings Guidance
When UI Boustead REIT recently reported its maiden financial results post-listing, the market's initial reaction followed a predictable media script: Net Property Income (NPI) had fallen 4.3% below its prorated IPO forecast. Predictably, short-term observers focused heavily on the variance. Yet a closer look under the hood revealed a remarkably resilient business. Portfolio occupancy improved meaningfully, the Japan assets achieved full committed occupancy, Singapore rental reversions remained firmly positive, property operating expenses came in below budget, and joint venture contributions exceeded expectations by a wide margin. The 4.3% NPI shortfall was driven almost entirely by two macro and operational factors: a weakening Japanese Yen and a minor delay in lease commencement at one Ja
By Lawrence G. McMillan A little more than a week ago, the FOMC meeting concluded (on July 29th), and traders were not happy. They sold the market before and after the meeting, closing $SPX that day at 7316. But then a series of events both real and psychological took place that released a buying panic. The net effect of this was that $SPX has broken out to new all- time highs, and has not fallen back below the old highs at 7620. That makes the $SPX chart bullish again, for the first time in a while. Targets are always nebulous things, but this could take $SPX to 8,000 or so. Equity-only put-call ratios have not rolled over to buy signals. As much as $SPX has risen, it has been accompanied by continued buying of puts on stocks. That is for protection most likely. So, even though these put-
o…the S&P is basically at ATHs Trump has said 7 different times this week that he wants a deal with Iran Bessent said a ceasefire could be announced over the weekend Rate hike probabilities tanked by 20% today because of the labor market data $PLTR is up 40% in a week…which means the software stocks are finally getting the respect they deserve including $MSFT $RDDT $SHOP earnings continue to compound aggressively the super high-beta semi names are consolidating like $MU $NBIS which isn’t bearish at all, especially when their growth continues to be massive hyperscalers continue to spend on capex and cloud growth rates are showing the ROI leverage also has been wiped out significantly feels like we could be setting up for an end of year run IF hikes are out of the picture and earnings co
It wasn’t just tech stocks that rallied this week. Gold, silver and base metals all came roaring back. Gold gained more than 7% for the week and climbed back above $4,300. Silver surged nearly 10% toward $63, while copper returned above $14,000 per ton. To me, the key change is simple: The market is starting to price in the idea that U.S. rates may have already peaked. Payrolls Removed the Biggest Headwind U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, versus expectations for an increase of around 80,000. After the data, expectations for further tightening dropped sharply, while the dollar weakened and Treasury yields moved lower. That matters a lot for gold. The biggest pressure on gold over the past few months was not a lack of safe-haven demand. It was high oil prices, sticky inflation a
The U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July. Economists were expecting roughly 80,000–95,000 new jobs. And yet… The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit a new record high. The Nasdaq jumped 1.3%. Treasury yields fell. So why did Wall Street celebrate a weak jobs report? Because right now, bad economic news is being interpreted as good news for stocks. And that tells us something very important about the market. THE LABOR MARKET JUST SENT A WARNING The July payroll report wasn't simply weaker than expected. It missed expectations by a huge margin. The economy lost 23,000 jobs. Even more concerning: NFP May and June payrolls were revised down by a combined 103,000 jobs. Meanwhile, labor-force participation continues to decline. So beneath the headline unemployment