Semiconductor stocks performance is the key barometer for the broader market and economy. Chips are used in appliances, data centres, gaming, EVs and even artificial intelligence.Have the semiconductor stocks bottomed yet? In my humble opinion NO.With inflation at all time high, rising interest rates, the war in Ukraine, increasing oil prices, the global economy is slowing down. Hence there is lesser demand for chips.However there are still demand for chips especially in the EV industry. Elon Musk said that his gigafactories in Austin and Berlin are "burning furnaces" due to supply constraints of raw materials especially chips.Data centres are still humming along as their demand for chips continue to grow. I like $VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ as it is diversified and minimises my risk on single stocks. Its share price has fallen 8.94% in the last 3 months. Its Top 10 holdings include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Texas Instruments, Analog Devices, Broadcom, Intel, ASML, AMD, Qualcomm and Lam Research Corp.In the short term, there is much volatility in the semiconductor stocks, but in the long term, companies like TSML, Nvidia and AMD will continue to grow exponentially. This is a great opportunity to buy $VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ to hold long term.@TigerEvents @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger @CaptainTiger @Mainstreet_Trades
Truist cuts Netflix estimates, stays on sidelines into earningsA look ahead at Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX)$Netflix(NFLX)$ highly anticipated earnings report has led to newly lowered estimates at Truist Securities, which is staying Neutral on the stock as it evaluates the advertising opportunity ahead.Mobile app download growth - a proxy for gross subscriber additions - decelerated a bit in the second quarter, thanks to slowdowns in the U.S./Canada and Asia Pacific, analyst Matthew Thornton says. And he's in line with his expectations on subscribers (after the company guided to a 2M drop in subs), implying a modest improvement in churn.He's now expecting revenues to come in slightly worse than the rest of the Street, at $7.97B, with EBIT of $1.73B. That's due to expectations that foreign exchange will become a 2-point-plus headwind by the end of the quarter compared to when Netflix issued guidance.Looking ahead to the third quarter, assuming a 2M-subscriber drop in Q2, he notes "recent seasonality" implies gains of 0.8M to 2.1M; he expects 1.5M net adds, benefiting from a stronger content slate. He sees Q3 revenues at $7.9B, vs. consensus for $8.12B.Turning to the advertising story: The planned ad-subsidized service tier could add $1B in incremental revenue by 2025 - if it launches in 2023, and an incremental $0.9B in revenue across international (assuming a 2024 launch there), he says.The company is benefiting from improved risk/reward, he points out (an unsurprising development after Netflix (NFLX) lost half its market value this year), and as low-cost entertainment is likely to be more durable in a recession vs. areas reliant on brand advertising, or larger-ticket consumer purchases. But competition is still rising, macro factors will have an impact on churn, and there's "low visibility" from here.He's trimmed his price target to $210 from the previous $300; the stock is up 2.1% today and so the target currently implies 18% upside.
$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ Inventor of mobile communication standards secures market leadership: Qualcomm has been leading the development for mobile communication standards and owns multiple patents and intellectual property across 5G/4G/3G standards. Besides monetizing the technology know how through licensing, Qualcomm also offers various connectivity solutions and products for smartphone makers, automotive customers, Internet of Things device makers and companies in the networking industries. It is No.1 in the supply of radio frequency + modem chips and No.2 in the supply of processor chips for the smartphone industry. It is the market leader in the supply of telematics solutions to the automotive industry and is building out the connected car ecosystem.Technology leadership and innovation drive positive growth outlook: With its technology leadership status in connectivity solutions, Qualcomm has an enviable position of earning license fees from its inventions. The fees grow in line with proliferation of new devices and the advent of new technologies. With its know how, Qualcomm has identified smartphone, IoT and automotive industries as the key areas to focus its innovations on. 5G network penetration will drive higher demand for 5G smartphones while proliferation of IoT devices will drive demand for wireless semiconductor components. Connected cars and development of self-driving vehicles over multi year periods will ensure strong sustainable growth.15 key industry trends to expand addressable market size 7x to over USD 700 bn over 10 years. Qualcomm identified 15 key industry trends that will support its growth and market expansion opportunities over the next decade. It sees addressable market expansion from about USD 100 bn currently to over USD 700 bn at the end of the period. It's aspirational but does point to significant growth opportunities for Qualcomm. Rising semiconductor content and its innovation led tech leadership drives pricing power and margins supporting higher shareholder returns. Near term, Qualcomm projects a mid- teens 3-year revenue CAGR and sees revenue of USD 46 bn and operating margin of 30% in FY24.RisksKey growth risk for Qualcomm in the near term is slower than expected demand growth for 5G mobile devices given the current dependence on this core segment. Worse than expected competition from Mediatek or emerging Chinese competition eg Hi-Silicon could lead to negative share price reaction first and subsequent share losses. Failure to execute on its growth plans in both the IoT and automotive segments could lead to disappointment over its longer term growth targets. From the looks of it, I will be cautious due to the cyclical downturn.@TigerStars DYODD
$AMD(AMD)$ A $50,000 investment in shares of AMD at the beginning of 2012 was worth more than $1.3 million at the end of 2021. Of course, the stock has pulled back 42% so far in 2022, but investors who bought the company's shares a decade ago are still sitting on fat gains.The good part is that AMD's slide this year has made the stock attractive as far as its valuation is concerned. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31 is way lower than its five-year average earnings multiple of 105. The forward P/E of 20 points toward healthy growth in AMD's bottom line over the next year.More importantly, a closer look at the markets that AMD serves tells us that this company could grow at an impressive pace for years to come. Take the data center business, for example, which currently produces around 20% of AMD's total revenue. The chipmaker has been enjoying terrific traction in this market, as AMD's data center revenue doubled year over year in the first quarter of 2022.It wouldn't be surprising to see the data center business move the needle in a bigger way for AMD. That's because the company sells data center CPUs (central processing units), GPUs (graphics processing units), data processing units (DPUs), and field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs).As a result, AMD now has a complete portfolio of chips to target the fast-growing market for data center accelerators, which is expected to clock an annual growth rate of 32.5% through 2031 as per a third-party estimate. Throw in AMD's solid prospects in the video gaming space, where demand for chips that power gaming PCs and consoles is set to expand, and it is easy to see why analysts are expecting its earnings to grow at almost 33% a year for the next five years -- a growth rate that it could sustain for a longer period.
In my last article, I expressed how we have just entered the second phase of the bear market where corporate earnings start to fall due to weak consumer demand. This thesis is supported by Michael Burry, who claims that despite the worst start to a year in five decades, we are only halfway through the bear market. Even Chicken Genius Singapore said in his latest video that he is bearish in the short term as he expects earnings to fall.
The current macroeconomic issues definitely pose a heavy challenge to US companies as consumer sentiment starts to fade in anticipation of an inevitable recession. Since the start of the year, companies have been issuing weak forward guidance as they struggle to satisfy investors who have been expecting a post-pandemic economic boom. This led to phase one of the bear market where we saw the stock prices of the most overvalued tech companies being hit the hardest due to multiple compression. That being said, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is still 10% above its pre-pandemic high and could continue to fall as the economic situation in the US deteriorates.So how should investors invest during this period of uncertainty and turmoil in the markets?Instead of trying to time the market, investors should capitalize on falling stock prices to buy shares of high-quality companies with solid businesses that will continue to thrive despite macroeconomic challenges. While this may require a bit of homework on the part of investors, understanding businesses can help to create opportunities for investments. Over time, through the power of compounding, investors who invest in great businesses will be able to beat the market and achieve high investment returns. Therefore, I strongly suggest investors not to be disheartened by their paper losses but instead focus on learning about investment opportunities by getting to know businesses better.As Warren Buffet once said, "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked." I believe that this bear market presents great opportunities for investors who have a long investment horizon and have the patience to sit through volatility and drawdowns. As more earnings and news come in, investors will be able to distinguish the high-quality companies from those that have sustained themselves through a decade of easy money. Therefore, I believe that while investment returns have been dismal for the first half of 2022, forward-looking investors who stay invested and are vigilant in identifying new investment opportunities will outperform those investors who have abandoned the markets out of fear of falling stock prices.@TigerStars @CaptainTiger @TigerEvents
6 Ex-Dividend Stocks This Week: Buy or Sell &Option Trading Notes
Hi Tigers, This week$Cisco(CSCO)$$MasterCard(MA)$$Verizon(VZ)$ ，$General Mills(GIS)$BR.AMER.TOB.(BATS.UK)$ , $McKesson(MCK)$ are going to ex-dividend. The dates and yields information are as below:Twitter: @DividendWaveTwitter: @DividendWaveThere are some notes on the posible influencies on prices, and how to trade the stocks or related options, hope its helpful for you. What Is Ex-Dividend?Investopedia explains that Ex-dividend describes a stock that is trading without the value of the next dividend payment. The ex-dividend date or "ex-date" is the day the stock starts trading without the value of its next dividend payment.Typically, the ex-dividend date for a stock is one business day before the record date, meaning that an investor who buys the stock on its ex-dividend date or later will not be eligible to receive the declared dividend. Rather, the dividend payment is made to whoever owned the stock the day before the ex-dividend date.KEY TAKEAWAYSEx-dividend is when a company's dividend allocations have been specified.The ex-dividend date of a stock is the day on which the stock begins trading without the subsequent dividend value.Investors who purchased the stock before the ex-dividend date are entitled to the next dividend payment while those who purchased the stock on the ex-dividend date, or after, are not.The ex-dividend date occurs before the record date because a stock trade is settled "T+1" meaning that the record of that transaction isn't settled for one business day.The essence of dividend distribution is to distribute a portion of profits to shareholders. It is very necessary for investment transactions to understand the specific methods of dividend distribution and the impact on stock prices.After a company has been in operation for a period of time (usually one year), if the operation is normal and profits are generated, it will distribute dividends and bonuses to shareholders.Usually the higher the implementation ratio of the listed company, the greater the decline in the par value of the stock. Investors need not worry because the number of shares of the investor increases as well as having cash dividends, etc. The overall stock capital value of the position after the other price will not change and investors will not suffer a loss of capital.There are generally three delivery methods:1. Pay shareholders in cash. This is the most common and common way and is used by more than 80% of companies in the United States.2. The allotment of shares to shareholders. This method is mainly used to keep the funds in the company to expand operations and to pursue the long-term interests and long-term goals of the company's development.3. Distributes the company's products to shareholders as dividends and bonuses.In the stock market, if an investor avoids the ex-dividend tax charged on dividends, then the investor can sell the stock before the ex-dividend date.If the investor continues to be optimistic about the subsequent price increase of the stock, then the investor can still hold the stock on the ex-dividend date.If the investor is not optimistic about the subsequent price increase of the stock, then the investor can sell the stock on the ex-dividend date. Usually the ex-dividend date does not affect the investor's stock trading.Why dividends are bad for the value of buy options?A dividend is a distribution of the company's accumulated cash to shareholders.A buy option is an agreement to buy shares at an agreed price at a certain time in the future.Because of the dividend, the value of the company decreases, but the agreed-upon purchase price remains the same, so of course buyer lose out.SHARE YOUR THOUGHTSAny other company worth a look?You may be rewarded with Tiger Coins for sharing your thoughts in the comment💸💸💸Follow me! Don't forget I am the richest tiger in this community😎😎
$Apple(AAPL)$ 's former director of Corporate Law responsible for enforcing the company's insider trading policy, pleaded guilty to illegally trading for years on confidential revenue and earnings filings.As reported on Bloomberg, Levoff, who joined Apple in 2008, admitted he regularly traded on inside information between 2001 and 2016.***Talk about allowing a fox loose in the chickencoop***
[Events] Share Your 2022 Mid-Year Recap & Win Tiger Coins
Hi Tigers,We're giving away Tiger Coins and merchandise and would like to invite you, our Tiger Community, to participate in the following activity. It's easy! All you have to do to participate is leave a message in the comment section of this post sharing your 2022 mid-year recap. You can win Tiger Coins and there's a chance to win a special Tiger gift.🐯🐯🐯🐯🐯🐯In the blink of an eye, we have reached the halfway point of the year 2022. For investors, 2022 will be a turbulent year in the stock market, with efforts to maintain their investment levels.In the first half of 2022, the S&P 500 index is down nearly 20%. How did your investment perform in the last six months? Did it outperform the market?💡Here are the discussion topics Leave a message in the comment section of this post, and share your 2022 mid-year recap.Describe your half-year performance in one wordWhat did you learn from a fluctuating market?What is your investment plan for the remainder of the year?🎁 PrizesAll Tigers who comment on this post will receive 50 Tiger Coins.All Tigers who write posts containing more than 100 characters will receive 100 Tiger Coins. Tigers who write posts of the highest quality will receive 1,000 Tiger Coins and get a chance to win a special Tiger gift. Make a post on the TOPIC page >>⏰Event Duration1st, July- 30th, JulyDisclaimerThe services, and any material and/or content appearing thereon (“content ”) are provided “as is”, without any warranties. TTMF, its employees, officers, directors, affiliates, agents and licensors cannot and do not warrant the accuracy, completeness, currentness, timeliness, noninfringement, title, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose of the content available through the services, or the services themselves, and TTMF hereby disclaims any such express or implied warranties. No Investment Advice Provided（Click for more details）
2022 Half-Year Recap: The biggest news in the market
Russian-Ukrainian WarIn the past few months, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has escalated. This conflict is not only a military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but also an economic war between Russia and the United States and its allies. Following the outbreak of the war, several rounds of economic sanctions have been imposed on Russia by the United States and Europe. The chain reaction of the war and economic sanctions resulted in large fluctuations in the stock market, foreign exchange market, energy, agriculture, and precious metals futures markets.InflationU.S. Consumer prices accelerated in May at the fastest rate since 1981. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' May Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-over-year increase of 8.6% last month, up from 8.3% in April. The biggest contributors to the latest jump in inflation were shelter, gasoline, and food, according to the BLS.RecessionTraders are slashing their bets on how far central banks will be able to lift interest rates this cycle, reflecting growing fears in financial markets of economic slowdown or even outright recession.higher interest rates mean higher borrowing costs . Consumption and investment will slow down, and unemployment rates may rise.People will eventually start spending less. The demand for goods and services will then drop .According to a forecast published by Bloomberg, the probability of a recession by early 2024 has reached 72%.Fed hikes interest rateThe Federal Reserve launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation. On May 4, the U.S. Fed raised its interest rate by 0.5% to 0.75%-1.0%, becoming the largest interest rate hike since 2000. On June 15, the Fed hiked its benchmark benchmark interest rates by 75 basis points to a range of 1.5%-1.75% in June, and Chair Jerome Powell indicated there could be another similar move in July. From November highs, the S&P 500 is down more than 20%, while the Nasdaq-100 has fallen 30%.Oil PricesU.S. Crude oil prices turned negative for the first time, as dismal company earnings reports underlined worries about economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic. Under normal circumstances, with the Federal Reserve's rate rise cycle beginning, crude oil and other commodity prices will fall in the coming year. However, affected by the energy crisis caused by the Russian-Ukrainian War , crude oil prices rose again, and the price of WTI crude oil futures even exceeded 130 US dollars.Algorithmic Stablecoins CrashedYou may have heard of algorithmic stablecoins. Rather than maintaining a peg by the use of a reserve of assets, TerraUSD aims to mimic the U.S. dollar and maintain stability through a complex algorithm. However, the algorithm failed and caused TerraUSD to lose its peg and collapse. As a result, the Luna fell to zero in May and even the cryptocurrency market crashed.Proposed Acquisition of Twitter by Elon MuskOn April 14, Elon Musk offered to purchase social media company Twitter, Inc., for $44billion, after previously acquiring 9.1 percent of the company's stock for $2.64 billion, becoming its largest shareholder. Twitter adopted a limited duration shareholder rights plan, often called a “poison pill,” a day after billionaire Elon Musk offered to buy Twitter. on June 21 Musk reiterated that there are still “unresolved matters” for the Twitter deal.Drop COVID Testing for Incoming International Air TravelersThe United States rescinded a 17-month-old requirement that people arriving in the country by air test negative for COVID-19, a move that follows intense lobbying by airlines and the travel industry.Many countries in Europe and elsewhere have also dropped testing requirements. Dropping these requirements will boost travel.
Data centres were hot in the past few years as investors bet on the increasing cloud and data demand in the tech era. Very few investors believe that the bet will go wrong simply basing on the premise that 'this is the future'.Well. Things went south after the Covid boom for data centre REITs. Keppel DC REIT (AJBU)$KEPPEL DC REIT(AJBU.SI)$ share price peaked around the second half of 2020 with a price of $3.04 and thereafter it gradually fell to $1.97 in Jul 2022. That's a 35% decline and the dividend yields weren't sufficient to cover this drop as they were less than 10% in the past 2 years.The other pure play data centre REIT listed in Singapore is $DigiCore Reit USD(DCRU.SI)$ Digital Core REIT (DCRU). It IPO-ed in end 2021 to much fanfare - share price jumped 15% higher than the IPO price of US$0.88 on the first day of trading.It peaked at US$1.18 before crashing to US$0.76, a 36% decline in just 7 months of trading. There were reasons for the fall. First is that the interest rate has been rising and that hurts REITs because they borrow to fund real estate investments. Their financing costs would go up and reduce dividends. The damage was larger against the data centre REITs because they were relatively more expensive than the other types of REITs - their dividend yields were lower.For e.g. Keppel DC REIT average 5y dividend yield was just 3.38%. And with the 10y Singapore Government Bonds edging close to 3%, it doesn't make sense to take on higher risk with the REIT for about the same yield.Hence, Keppel DC REIT share price has to fall in order for the dividend yield to go up.Same goes for Digital Core REIT, which is more sensitive to the US rates as the data centres and financing are located in the US. The second reason is more specific to DIgital Core REIT. Its fifth largest tenant has filed for bankruptcy. It contributed about 7% of Digital Core REIT's revenue. This would impact the dividend payout if the rental payment halts.The third reason could be the fact that a hedge fund manager, Jim Chanos, openly said he is shorting data centre REITs that have no exposure to the big tech. (He became famous after shorting Enron and got it right.)His argument against these REITs is that the big tech cloud businesses are going to gobble up the market share as they build their own sophisticated data centres and offer the services directly to customers.He has a point and I think some demand can be impacted as customers subscribe to the cloud services and give up hosting their own servers. But I would think that it is mostly for the small and mid-sized companies where they don't have the scale to justify for managing their own physical servers. Subscribing to cloud services directly yields cost savings.But for bigger companies where they may even rival certain services against the big tech, would prefer to own their servers and have more control. Sometimes privacy and data protection is a key consideration too. Data centre REITs provide the space needed for housing these servers and hence I believe there will still be demand.Keppel DC REIT and Digital Core REIT are currently yielding about 5% and 5.4% respectively. You are likely to buy if you believe in the following:- data centre REITs are relevant in the future- the current yields are attractive enough- interest rates unlikely to rise significantly I often hear people say this, "I will buy if the price comes down". But when it happens, some still don't dare to pull the trigger because there's bad news. It should be clear to you that they come as a package. The key is to stay objective and determine if the bad news are permanent or temporary. Stay away if it is the former and have the courage to buy if it is the latter. I see the bad news for data centre REITs as temporary. What do you think?
US markets fell last week with S&P500 down by 0.25% and hovering around bear market territory year to date having corrected about 20% YTD. The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditure climbed by 6.3% in May, or 4.7% after stripping out food and fuel, which have started to show some moderation. Nasdaq fell -1.8% underperforming the S&P500 even despite the US 10-year yields falling below 3%, as investors are mixed as to whether the Fed is expected to reduce or maintain the pace of its rate hikes in the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The ECB plans to start to raise rates in July and September for the first time in 11 years to tighten monetary policy in the medium term; Stoxx 50 was little changed during the week.S&P 500 & Nasdaq Index (YTD)US 10 Year Yield (%)China markets continue to show their resilience up 1.1% during the week on the HSCEI. Caixin Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) rebounded to 51.7 compared to last month’s 48.1 which showed a sequential recovery t growth. Japanese equities fell 0.7% during the week after manufacturers’ business confidence fell in the second quarter due to input costs and global supply chain disruptions.Lockheed Martin $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ received an order from Greece to purchase 20 F-35 fighter jets. Furthermore, the Biden administration also supported the sale of F-16 jets to Turkey earlier. Amid the ongoing geopolitical crisis, with the long-drawn Russia and Ukraine war, global defense spending is expected to see a pick-up. It is expected that US defense spending may rise through 2023. Especially the Congress’s addition of the $25b budget on President Biden’s request and reports of $770b-$780b 2023 budget spending by the Pentagon request. This suggests an estimated 5% in 2023 growth in defense spending higher than the long-term US defense spending historically over the last 10 years. It is worth noting the defensive and counter-cyclical nature of defense spending considering the macroeconomic slowdown.Chevron $Chevron(CVX)$ have corrected recently along with oil prices of concerns of slowing economic growth and even recessionary risks and its impact on demand for oil, however, YTD share price is still up 23.4% as of writing. Chevron is one of the leading US Oil Major focused on upstream production and have historically seen stable growth in its upstream production, Chevron’s production assets are diversified by region, and have limited exposure in Russia. Given the ongoing supply disruption from Russia, the supply-demand fundamental is expected to continue to favor oil producers with crude oil still above $100, which is expected to drive strong free-cash flows and return on capital for investors. The company have committed to $5b-10b of share buyback annually.
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ Fast rises in NIO's orders and deliveries are forecasted, driven by NIO's new models, its optional upgrade launches, opening of its NeoPark, new Chinese purchase subsidies for EV customers, leading EV industry features and quality, + EV industry's best power options and network growth. Expect investment funds piling into Nio (even more than already), including in Hong Kong and Singapore. As always DYODD.Less
Here's a quick basic look at $Apple(AAPL)$ chart to see where Apple might be heading. With the 2 legged pullback readings - in the near term movement indicated with Blue Arrows, the price may test 120 level. While a slightly longer frame, the 2nd leg indicated via Red Arrows, may test the 108/105 level - which looks very likely as we can see the bottom is close to where the earning is gonna be in end July, especially so if the report is gonna be a disappointment. Hopes we don't get there. Please feel free to share your findinga and your thoughts if you see the chart differently
I thought now would be a great time to share a potential investment recovery plan admidst a period where the fear of recession, inflation, war and market crashes is heightened.
So, let us begin:
When we first experience a loss, it must have been devastating (especially if the amount is large). For myself, my hands would shake and I struggle to concentrate for the next few days. What ultimately got me through my losses are friends'/family's support and to come up with a plan to move forward.
Step 1: Assess why the loss occurred.Was it part of your investment thesis before you started investing? If yes, you shouldn't blame yourself too much because every investment has its own odds of winning and losing. It is a necessary risk that you took to earn your returns. The bad outcome chose to happen. If the answer is no, we should be more careful in our investment analysis and make more thorough research before investing in future.
Step 2: Assess your available resources.These resources can come in many forms. It could be credible advices, past researches, undeployed capital, income, loans and knowledge on various investment tools (margin, collateralized loans, CFDs, options, plain old vanilla investing, CPF Investment Accounts*, SRS* etc).
Step 3: Devise a plan.Personally, I think that there are three main solutions to consider:(1) Do nothing. You do not put more capital at risk. If your investment is sound enough, it should survive the short term volatility and recover in the long term.(2) Continue doing whatever you are doing. I think this is perfect for those who always DCA in a diversified portfolio. You get to buy more when the market is down and buy less when the market is pricey. Emotion is excluded in this strategy and it should make you a very rational investor.(3) Reallocate your capital. I would plot a mini graph with growth potential (weighted probability of risk and return) on the x-axis and duration required for growth on the y-axis. Then, I will place the companies (already in my portfolio and those that are in my watchlist) on the chart. This helps to decide how to concentrate my investment for the best possible outcome. Often times, you may even realize that it is okay to buy high sell low (BUT buy something else). Do not be too stubborn on holding onto counters that made you lose money, thinking that one fine day, it will come back. We need to consider the opportunity cost of not reallocating capital.
Step 4: Implement the strategy.Discipline. Discipline. Stick to the plan and don't get influenced by news headlines. If you need to change your plan, it should be based on something factual and evidence based, not due to the whims and fancy of random fear mongering headlines. The purpose of such headlines is to catch "eyeballs" and not provide evidences for you to make sound judgment on your investment strategies.
Step 5: Prepare for the next market crash.It does not harm to plan in advance. It will definitely be useful, you just don't know when.
These are what I learnt from investing in the past 8 years, going through US-China trade war (I did nothing), COVID-19 (buy buy buy), HK protest/blacklisting (reallocate capital) and now this Russia-Ukraine war (buy using CPF*).
All the best!
*CFP refers to Singapore’s mandatory savings account retirement where SRS is the country’s retirement account. Different country may have something similar using different names. E.g. United States’ 401(k) and Roth IRA.
Tesla Q2 2022 Deliveries $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla Total Q2 Deliveries 254,695, Total Q2 Production 258,580.Q2 Deliveries increased 26.5% YOY Q2 2021 at 201,250 deliveries, decreased 17.9% previous Quarter at 310,048 deliveries. Tesla said June 2022 was its highest vehicle production month in historyQ2 Deliveries of rivals Nio 25,059 (+14.4% YOY), Xpeng 34,422 (+97%), Li Auto 28,687 (+63%).For month of June, Nio 12,961 EVs delivered, best ever total monthly and its first month with more than 10,000 deliveries since December 2021. Meanwhile Xpeng 15,295 EVs delivered in June 2022, and Li Auto 13,024 EVs for June 2022.Auto industry in China likely to have rebounded from the latest COVID wave.Tesla short term resistance at $760, while support at $620, any breech of support could see this stock testing $570 lows from June 2021.
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
Big move coming for S&P 500 according to this market breadth indicator
The bullish divergence in the stock market breadth and the price volume analysis of S&P 500 using the Wyckoff method suggest a potential big move ahead.
Click and watch the video below on YouTube (Pro Tip: adjust the speed to 1.5–2X). Pay attention to the analogue comparison using the Wyckoff trading method to spot the clues and tell-tale signs for the next big move.
The bullish setup vs. the bearish setup is 106 to 641 from the screenshot of my stock screener below. The bearish setup has spiked from 80 to 641, as the market dropped from 2–4% last week. Yet, the bullish setup has increased from 24 to 106, which was a constructive sign for the bullish scenario despite the bearish market.
Another encouraging sign is the addition of 1 more industry group that outperforms the market on top of the China stocks theme and the Biotech group.Visit TradePrecise.comto get more stock market insights in email for free.
Safe trading. If you are day trading the US futures or swing trading for Malaysia and US stocks, do check out my YouTube Channel: Ming Jong Tey for additional videos and resources. @TigerStars$Alibaba(BABA)$$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
2 Stocks That Will Be Bargain Sale By Mid July ❤️🚀🔥
$Apple(AAPL)$ $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ The chances of a recession are creeping higher as interest rates rise, but falling into one is not guaranteed.A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of slowing economic growth, measured by gross domestic product (GDP) data. Over the last two years, interest rates have been at record lows while the U.S. government injected trillions of stimulus dollars into the economy to fight the pandemic, which led to strong growth. Now, the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates back to normal levels, which could slow down the economy, and if it goes too far, it might even lead to a recession. Wall Street investment banks think the likelihood of that outcome within the next 12 months is around 30% to 40%.But that might be too pessimisticThe stock market is paying close attention to that risk. The technology sector in particular, which is represented by the Nasdaq-100 index, has fallen 28% in 2022 so far, placing it firmly in a bear market. But are investors being too negative?According to the most recent data, there are approximately 11.4 million job openings across the U.S. right now, but only 6 million people who are unemployed. It implies that businesses are feeling optimistic enough to hire more staff, and since there isn't enough available labor to fill all those jobs, employees might see their income continue to rise.On that note, households are in great financial shape; their net worth (assets minus liabilities) is near all-time highs, and they have the highest cash balances on record. These conditions typically don't signal a looming recession, so what should investors do if one never comes?Here are two great stocks investors will want to own if the U.S. economy remains strong and avoids the dreaded R-word.1. AppleApple (AAPL 1.62%) is a quintessential consumer brand. If the economy remains strong and consumers feel confident about their financial future, it can be expected that Apple will sell more of its big-ticket devices like the iPhone and accessories, or its Mac line of computers.It has been a common theme in recent years, partly because devices like the iPhone are used by over 1.2 billion consumers, so it gradually becomes more difficult to generate user growth. But it's not necessarily a bad thing because the services segment is far more profitable, with a gross margin that hovers above 70% compared to around 35% for products. By the end of the full fiscal year 2022, analysts expect Apple will have generated $393 billion in total revenue and $6.14 in earnings per share, which is equivalent to approximately $100 billion in net income. Given that Apple stock is currently down 24% from its all-time high, now might be an opportune time to take a position in the largest company in the world. 2. Upstart HoldingsUpstart Holdings (UPST 3.79%) listed on the public markets in December 2020 at $20 per share. It has since rocketed to an all-time high of $401, before falling back down to about $32, where it trades today. The company uses artificial intelligence to originate loans for 57 banks and credit unions (a number that's growing quickly), in a bid to compete with Fair Isaac's decades-old FICO credit scoring system.Investors have sold Upstart stock heavily in recent months because rising interest rates typically result in consumers borrowing less money, less frequently. Since the company earns fees each time it originates a loan, that could deliver a hit to its revenue, and it has already revised its 2022 guidance down to $1.25 billion from $1.4 billion.But if the economy does remain strong, Upstart is very well positioned to benefit. The company's Upstart Auto Retail sales and finance platform is now active in 525 car dealerships across America, a number that has grown 224% in the last 12 months alone. That places Upstart on the front lines when it comes to one of the largest purchases consumers typically make.And the company's primary focus is unsecured lending for a range of purposes including home renovations and vacations, which are more segments of higher discretionary spending when consumers are feeling confident.In the long run, Upstart's annual opportunity could exceed $6 trillion. So, picking up the stock while it's down over 90% from its all-time high might be a good purchase when looking back a few years from now.
$Regis Resources Ltd(RRL.AU)$ [Cry] There's a rally of more than 10% todayreaching $1.45 at peak. Appears to be short covering. I entered at $1.285 yesterday while doing DCA.I didn't check the stock movement in the morning, and missed the move.I was thinking to sell off the same no of shares that I bought ytd for target price of $1.435, profit of $0.15, netting >10% move in one day...If the sell order is filled, to replace the buy order at $1.285 locking in some gains.Seems like I am late to the party, Price is moving down. [Helpless] will maintain the sell order at $1.435 and see what happens next. I won't advise adding on to $Regis Resources Ltd(RRL.AU)$ though, cos it isn't that stable compared to bigger gold players. I continued to DCA I am already holding Regis shares, and I Want to lower the average price. In addition, I am of the opinion that short selling is overdone. Well, same comment as yesterday. Hero or zero for Regis. [Helpless] See how it goes.