Newbie's Blog: Dealing with Volatility

I am currently holding on to $DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ and $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$  , both of which are not doing too well. In fact, the market isn't doing too well. However, my thoughts are that we have been through this before, especially during COVID-19 and even after.

The factors of volatility were initially the War in Ukraine, Inflation and possible recession. While these factors still affect us, we have more or less learnt to live with the effects. While the market is in the red again and prices seem to be low (not as low as during and after the COVID-19 period), it may seem like a good time to sell stocks and stay away.

As of this morning, it seems like the Fed has raised interest rates for the last time this year ("seems"). In general, there is also an underlying fear that recession is looming. 

But my opinion is that having been through the rough patch, we are approaching a possible rally. Of course, I can't tell you when, but being unable to time the market, I think it's important to hold on to stocks, now more than ever. This is because of a few possible scenarios such as (1) Inflation going down below 4 and so on, (2) economy recovering and soaring despite high interest rates and (3) most importantly, generally market optimism which occurs after the market is down (as the market begins to adjust and accept reality). Of course, any positive remarks from the Fed will really boost optimism especially if the rate hikes in June are halted, confirming the pause. That being said, I think the volatility now is temporary and should be ignored as much as possible.

In the markets' current level, I think stocks could be ripe or potentially ripe for the picking. For one, $DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$ is once again below $32.4 which I think is a good opportunity (needless to caveat, you need to consider this with your own analysis).

So generally, my perspective is that we are quickly approaching the light at the end of the unnel. In fact, tech stocks like $Microsoft(MSFT)$  are already doing very well. I$Uber(UBER)$  has done well after they announced that the economy is picking up and more people are taking private hire transport than expected (despite rising costs). That's why I keep holding on to Grab (I am currently very red). But I will still continue to hold on because I believe there is a boom coming and I refuse to give up.


P.s. Sorry for my long absence. My exams just ended, which gives me more time to write. I will try my best to catch up with more articles.


@TigerStars  @Daily_Discussion  

# 💰 Stocks to watch today?(4 Nov)

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment14

  • Top
  • Latest
  • Lionel8383
    ·2023-05-04
    TOP
    The main problem with Grab is that its still early stage and it’s unprofitable. Hence it still is a very speculative stock. Grab’s main markets are in South East Asia, where incomes are lower compared to Uber in US/Europe. So in terms of how much profit it can attempt to squeeze is yet to be seen. Theres a few articles analysing Grab on Seeking Alpha, you might want to look into it
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Jo Tan
      thanks. I've read them and yes I do know they have something to prove.
      2023-05-04
      Reply
      Report
  • Flochin
    ·2023-05-04
    TOP
    Thanks for the sharing. DBS being a blue chip with year on year progressive growth and handsome dividends payout, it may make sense holding on for long term investment goal reason. I accumulated since it was $18. However, I am not convinced the same should be done on Grab. It’s still far from out of the woods. Keeping it in hand could mean missed opportunities as funds could be better deployed on other worthy investments. E.g. PropNex, where both fundamental and technical indicators are flagging it as a worthy investment. I cut loss on Grab. I took on PropNex thereafter. In less than a year, am having >50% gain on this counter.
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Jo Tan
      oh propnex. ok thanks for sharing.
      2023-05-04
      Reply
      Report
  • Agxm
    ·2023-05-04
    TOP
    They say market will be down for may and june not sure how true.
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Jo Tan
      well, the fact is we will never know, so I will just hold.
      2023-05-04
      Reply
      Report
  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-05-04
    TOP
    Glad to have you back writing buddy❣️
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Jo Tan
      thank you
      2023-05-04
      Reply
      Report
  • AnaiAnai
    ·2023-05-04
    grab said by year end should be turning around. lets see how grab perform this QR on 18/5. Should be getting better and better with lesser loss. 🙏🙏🙏
    Reply
    Report
  • WayneEvans
    ·2023-05-04

    I dont really like the SG companies listed in the US stock market tbh.

    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • AnaiAnai
      whether you like or not. the fact is grab is listed in US. lol
      2023-05-04
      Reply
      Report
  • boonk
    ·2023-05-05
    mmmm
    Reply
    Report
  • MINH
    ·2023-05-05
    noted
    Reply
    Report
  • eksp
    ·2023-05-05
    😀
    Reply
    Report