BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
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China's Chip Maker Cambricon Outpaces Wall Street Favorites

This is a 1-year chart of $Cambricon Technologies Corporation Limited(688256)$ listed in Shanghai. A 6-bagger. It's one of China's leading chip manufacturers, often compared with $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ due to its focus on AI. It bested Nvidia's 173% return and even did better than market darling $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 's 355% gains. Just one of many examples of big stock market winners out of China that fall outside the usual scope of Wall Street analysts. It's the top holding of the $KraneShares SSE STAR Market 50 Index ETF(KSTR)$ that focuses on stocks listed in China's tech-focused STAR Board. It's also the 5th
China's Chip Maker Cambricon Outpaces Wall Street Favorites

Tesla Soars on China Sales, While Rivals Face Stock Risk Pricing

So $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ pops 8% after China deliveries hit 3rd highest monthly in December at 93,766 units. China now accounts for nearly 50% of Tesla’s 4Q global deliveries. When it comes to Tesla in China, where the company likely derives most of its EV profits, investors see no risk. But when it comes to $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $XPENG-W(09868)$ $ZEEKR(ZK)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ doing well in China, so much risk is
Tesla Soars on China Sales, While Rivals Face Stock Risk Pricing

AAPL China Sales Plunge 47% in November, Domestic Brands Grow 19.1%

Woah! $Apple(AAPL)$ saw a 47% plunge in mainland China sales in November. And it’s NOT due to a bad economy as headlines will suggest. China’s overall mobile phone market fell 5.1% to 29.6m units in November. That’s a decline of 1.59m units. But foreign branded phones fell 47% to 3.04m. They fell by 2.73m units!The domestic brands alone registered a 19.1% YoY growth to 26,56m units. ImageYou have no idea what you are talking about. 3 of top 5 are Chinese brands. And most likely most of the “Others” are also Chinese brands or made in China for foreign brands. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ Image
AAPL China Sales Plunge 47% in November, Domestic Brands Grow 19.1%

Does HSTECH endure another selloff like we did last year?

In 2024, the $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ Index started the year on a very poor note. It fell 20% in January. But then it ended the year 49% up from its January lows. Total year gain of 19%.In 2025, it’s off to another weak start with a first-day loss of 2.6%. No telling if we will have to endure another selloff like we did last year.It will depend a lot on how fast China can turn promises & vows into action, how quickly the US dollar can start to give up its gains, and how less worse US-China relations can get in Trump’s first few weeks in office. $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$
Does HSTECH endure another selloff like we did last year?

Daily Charts - The CSI 300 index moving up and out of that pennant formation

1.The CSI 300 index moving up and out of that pennant formation.$KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ $KraneShares SSE STAR Market 50 Index ETF(KSTR)$ $iShares MSCI China ETF(MCHI)$Image2.China is expected to sell more NEV cars in 2025 than the entire US auto industry. Let that sink in.$Boyd Gaming(BYD)$ $Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.(GELYF)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
Daily Charts - The CSI 300 index moving up and out of that pennant formation

A bullish technical pattern

Cup and handle. A bullish technical pattern… unless it’s a Chinese stock, which then results in a broken handle the moment you try to trade it. 😂😂😂 Just kidding.Image $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ on track for a banner year with 25.8% and 29.8% gains so far. China isn’t doing terrible with CSI 300 and Hang Seng Tech Index gaining 17.6% and 22.2% respectively. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ Image
A bullish technical pattern

Daily Charts - Are Chinese stocks uninvestable?

1. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $Xiaomi Corp.(XIACY)$ Who says Chinese stocks are uninvestable?Image2. $Starbucks(SBUX)$ Would you still be willing to pay 28X PE and value SBUX at $105B if it lost its 2nd largest market?Image3. $KINGSOFT CLOUD(03896)$ $Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Ltd(KC)$ Kingsoft Cloud is rippin’ on AI and cloudcomputing prospects.Image4. $.SPX(.SPX)$ If the mainstream media headlines reflected the reality that America’s biggest (and many smaller) companies stand to lose their biggest or second-biggest market because of Washington’s
Daily Charts - Are Chinese stocks uninvestable?

MSFT - Is a billion dollars a lot to invest?

Remember when $1 billion used to seem like a very big number? 30 years ago $Microsoft(MSFT)$ was a $23 Billion company. Today it’s worth $3.26 Trillion.$23,000,000,000became$3,260,000,000,000Its market cap grew 142 times while its net income grew just 77x and revenues grew 53x.Stock market values reflect a company’s growth and profitability but also inflation that erodes the buying power of every dollar you keep in your ridiculously low-yielding bank accounts.Invest. It’s the only way to (legally) get ahead.
MSFT - Is a billion dollars a lot to invest?

LCID & NIO - Contrasting Fortunes Despite Losses

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ is worth $10B and “killing it” after delivering just 2,781 units in 3Q24 and losing $1B.😂 $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ is worth $10B and “failing to deliver” after selling 61,855 units in 3Q24 and losing $1B.🙃One is losing $360K per unit and “killing it!”One is losing $16K per unit and has a “weak outlook.” $LEAPMOTOR(09863)$ is just an absolute standout right now in China’s very competitive EV market. Image
LCID & NIO - Contrasting Fortunes Despite Losses

Chips Investigation is going to hurt the US far more than it will China

This is going to hurt the US far more than it will China.The US has very little capacity to produce legacy chips at a realistic price. It is a mass-market product that is quickly being dominated by China, which supplies the global electronics industry. The US can't undo this without causing a great deal of harm to itself and its consumers.Nobody in their right mind will invest tens of billions in legacy chip manufacturing in new locations that don't have the same supply chain ecosystem that China offers - including an endless amount of downstream manufacturers. China accounts for 1/3rd of global electronics manufacturing, much of which ends up on store shelves at $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Target(TGT)$
Chips Investigation is going to hurt the US far more than it will China

$MSTR joining the $QQQ is dumb

$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ joining the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is dumb.Where is the fiduciary responsibility by Invesco $Invesco(IVZ)$ to their clients (ETF holders)? It's not a "proxy" to BTC because it trades at an enormous premium to the only asset it holds.Even if MicroStrategy were to be considered a proxy for Bitcoin, it makes little sense to add highly volatile crypto as part of a broad index filled with companies that have an "E" to derive a PE ratio.It's a high-beta play on Bitcoin. Should that be really part of a company-based index?All it does is make sure that about 0.6% of QQQ's $207B AUM (or about $1.2B) flows into MSTR's stock upon inclusion. More Nasdaq 100 E
$MSTR joining the $QQQ is dumb

Tesla is worth more than SEVEN TIMES the entire China EV industry

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 's market cap is $1.37 trillion.Alone, it's worth more than SEVEN TIMES the entire China EV industry. $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$ $106.83b $GEELY AUTO(00175)$ $Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.(GELYF)$ $19.86b $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $9.40b $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $23.46b $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
Tesla is worth more than SEVEN TIMES the entire China EV industry

Daily Charts - A bad start to a critical month for $NIO

1.A bad start to a critical month for $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ . But to be fair, most major brands except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ have seen declines during this period. The bar is just set a little higher for Nio and its subbrand ONVO.Image2.Like $Luckin Coffee Inc.(LKNCY)$ , investors left $DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$ for dead after scrutiny of the company after its US IPO. This was close to the height of China tech interest in the US markets and a few
Daily Charts - A bad start to a critical month for $NIO

Gold and silver are rallying once again

Gold and silver are rallying once again. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $Silver - main 2503(SImain)$ $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ This is happening at a time when rates are still restrictive, the US dollar is relatively strong, and a broader war in the Middle East is less likely. What’s driving people to the safety of precious metals?A WORSENING LACK OF FAITH IN FIAT MONEY appearing in the form of INFLATED ASSET PRICES.It’s happening in more places than you think.
Gold and silver are rallying once again

Chip Wars?

Chip Wars? China consumes 50% of the world’s semiconductors. China buys 50% of the world’s chipmaking equipment.China controls 50% to 80% of the key metals processing needed for chips.In business, what normally happens when you piss off your single biggest customer?More importantly, why would you piss them off? Will your countrymen be any better off?By trying to choke off supplies to the biggest buyer, you inevitably create an oversupplied market that will destroy margins.Massive investments in fabs need enormous buyers to be able to turn a profit. Otherwise the innovation wheel stops turning. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$
Chip Wars?

TSLA, LULU, KWEB and BABA Show Strong Bullish Trends

1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla shares behaving like a Falcon9 rocket. Image2. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ Lululemon is no 🍋 that’s for sure. While North America sales are down, China is up 36%!!!3. $CSI300(000300.SH)$ Mainland investors keep pouring money into the stock market at a rate that eclipses past bull markets. Yes, China is still in a bull market. The CSI 300 Index is only 6.7% off its recent high closing price in early October. Image4. $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ Could be an interestingly good day for KWEB today given the strength in major CN tech stocks in HKEX Group.Image5.
TSLA, LULU, KWEB and BABA Show Strong Bullish Trends

HSTech quietly making gains

Hang Seng Tech Index quietly making gains this Friday (12/6) and reaffirming that breakout from the descending wedge pattern. Like I said previously, the market is too impatient. ➡️There are already signs of a budding recovery in China's property market. ➡️Both manufacturing and services PMI show expansion in November. ➡️Valuations are back to extreme lows when compared with US counterparts.➡️I think we just need to see the US dollar give up some of its recent gains to get a new rally going. $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ $JD-SW(09618)$ $MEITUAN-W(03690)$
HSTech quietly making gains

PLTR, Pop Mart and ZK Show Strong Bullish Trends

1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Palantir going parabolic. If only government-backed data-driven firms in China trading at 1/20th the PE ratio could perform half as well.Image2. $POP MART(09992)$ Hong Kong-listed Pop Mart International Group has outperformed $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ and even $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ so far this year with a jaw-dropping 351% gain. If you don't know about the company, just ask your teena
PLTR, Pop Mart and ZK Show Strong Bullish Trends

ASML & BABA Show Strong Bullish Trends

1. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML is down almost 40% from its highs. It’s still the global leader in EUV and DUV lithography systems. But the effects of geopolitics has taken its toll on shareholders.Image2. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ Mainland investor ownership in Alibaba via the Stock Connect now at 4.21% after they bought up a net 40.2 million more shares over the past week. That's an estimated US$9-10bn flowing into the HK-listed shares since Alibaba joined the Stock Connect in early September. Image3.Despite the failure to launch again on Friday… a very nice hourly chart for BTC.Image
ASML & BABA Show Strong Bullish Trends

The Future of Tech is in China

The best thing to ever happen to China's tech industry was sanctions from the US government. Without sanctions, there would have never been a high incentive and push from the Chinese government to develop so quickly.China simply would have just been America's number one customer and purchased everything like microchips from US companies. But look at what has happened in just a few short years.Chinese tech is developing at record speeds and faster than the US government could ever imagine! Legacy US companies like $Intel(INTC)$ are getting hammered (worst performing stock in $.SPX(.SPX)$ this year) as over 35% of Intel's revenue was from China. But now powerhouse companies like
The Future of Tech is in China

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