BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
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How difficult Li is in this very competitive, cutthroat market!

$Li Auto(LI)$ $LI AUTO-W(02015)$ 1Q24 results miss on both revenue and EPS.This was made worse by a lower than expected 2Q24 guidance of 105k to 110k vehicle deliveries - still a growth of ~25% YoY. Operating expenses grew out of proportion to revenues primarily due to significant hike in employee count and salaries. This is likely to correct in 2Q24 and fully reflected in 3Q24.From the looks of it, their Li MEGA isn't doing very well. This division faces the largest layoffs (called "staff optimization") as demand for $78K multipurpose vehicle (a.k.a Cyber Van) isn't up to expectations.Proves just how difficult it is in this very competitive, cutthroat market. $XPeng
How difficult Li is in this very competitive, cutthroat market!

Silver! Can you get a better technical chart than this?

Hi, ho, #silver! Can you get a better technical chart than this? $SLV $PSLV $PAAS $WPM $RGLD $HL $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $Sprott Physical Silver Trust(PSLV)$ $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ $Wheaton Precious Metals(WPM)$ $Royal(RGLD)$ $Hecla Mining(HL)$ Wow. Next stop 35 it seems. We anticipated this situation unfolding early on in @Stansberry Commodity Supercycles. Silver stored in the LBMA continues to decline. There simply aren't enough new major discoveries being made (and not enough new investments) to satisfy demand coming from invest
Silver! Can you get a better technical chart than this?

When Will the Below Chinese ADRs Reach ATH Again?

While almost every single major company in the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ is trading at or near all-time-highs... something to consider now that this corner of the market appears to have finally turned a corner. #StocksToWatch $Alibaba(BABA)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$ $Baidu(BIDU)$ $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $Tencent Music(TM
When Will the Below Chinese ADRs Reach ATH Again?

It will set us up for another nice move up IMHO

Short-sellers are for the most part still sidelined in this market. Very good sign. Even with 1Q earnings reporting almost finished for majors, the typical selloff that we've been seeing post ER is not taking place.If we consolidate at these levels for the next 1-2 weeks, it will set us up for another nice move up IMHO. $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF(EWH)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $TENCENT(00700)$ $Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$
It will set us up for another nice move up IMHO

Great stuff coming ahead in 2Q for China e-commerce companies

Great stuff coming ahead in 2Q for China e-commerce companies. Online retail sales growth quicken. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ $BILIBILI-W(09626)$ $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ $MEITUAN(MPNGY)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ BABA going from strength to strength here. This move is starting to turn a lot of big heads on Wall Street. China’s online
Great stuff coming ahead in 2Q for China e-commerce companies

$BABA looking to retake 100 handle in the coming months?

$Alibaba(BABA)$ looking to retake 100 handle in the coming months? Let me know what you think! Image
$BABA looking to retake 100 handle in the coming months?

Selling the Rallies in China Tech is Coming to an End

I think the days of selling the rallies in China tech is coming to an end. It’s switching to a buy the dip market where the likelihood of a euphoric surge is growing by the day given the improving fundamentals, improving sentiment, upgrades, and big name investors raising their stakes. $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ $Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$ $MEITUAN(MPNGF)$ ImageThe Hang Seng Property Index has broker ou
Selling the Rallies in China Tech is Coming to an End

A good sign of strong ER from JD

$Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ +5% after mixed results yesterday. $JD.com(JD)$ flat after beating earnings massively today.I like both. But this just goes to show how markets aren't always rational especially when you're dealing with short periods.Blowout results by JD with Adjusted EPS hitting $0.78 vs. estimate of only $0.48. Also beat on revenues of $36B vs. estimate of $35.7B. JD's mainland e-commerce revenues +6.6%; logistics +13.8%. Very solid numbers.ImageJD crushes expectations on the big three: revenue, adjusted net income and adjused EPS. latter two were negative YoY but increased. Hat tip to JD!ImageOne of the lowest short selling turnover rates I've
A good sign of strong ER from JD

I've been bullish on MP & LYC

I've been bullish on rareearth mining and processing companies for a while. This is just what companies like $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ and $LYNAS RARE EARTHS LTD(LYC.AU)$.AX need to have a fighting chance against China's stranglehold on the RE market. Still, their capacities are nowhere close what China can - and does - supply to the West. This is a long-term story that everyone needs to pay attention to. US aiming to secure supply chain for rare earth-derived products could cause China to act sooner in playing its RE advantage.https://twitter.com/BrianTycangco/status/1790680587541598667
I've been bullish on MP & LYC

BABA Selloff looks like a crazy overreaction

$Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ 1Q24 results are out. Beat on revenue but slight miss on EPS. Market is acting like it missed bigly on all metrics. I think it's more to do with the fact that core business grew slower than the general market. Remember that China 1Q online retail sales gained 12.4%. That 4% topline growth for Taobao & TMall is significantly slower than the market. So, it seems that other players are taking market share away from Alibaba. We'll find out when $JD.com(JD)$ $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ $MEITUAN(MPNGF)$ $PDD Holdings I
BABA Selloff looks like a crazy overreaction

Chinese property stocks trade higher in HK

Chinese property stocks trade higher in HK as more cities eased housing market policy, analysts say China's property market is forming soft landingSales are still down big large double digits yoy but sentiment appears to be shifting away from very bad to less bad. Need to get more direction from govt in terms of stronger policy support and wait until the buyers return. The economy looks like it’s in better form as well. Some investors aren’t willing to wait around bec they know how fast things can turn back up. $SEAZEN(01030)$ $C&D INTL GROUP(01908)$ $SHIMAO GROUP(00813)$ $CHINA RES LAND(01109)$
Chinese property stocks trade higher in HK

China accounted for 70% of global EV sales in 1Q24

There's little logic in the move to tax or/and ban Chinese EV brands from Western markets. It would make sense if these were the largest markets for EVs. They simply aren't. China accounted for 60% of global EV sales in 2023. By 1Q24, it accounted for 70% of the global EV sales. No other market comes close.China is also growing faster than the global market, registering a 31% YoY 1Q24 growth vs. 21% global. In fact, US & Canada markets only grew 13%, while European markets grew a measly 7%.Why risk getting shut out of the world's largest EV market in the hopes of protecting uncompetitive and unprogressive firms? It will only breed inefficiency and hasten their decay. If this is a negotiating tactic, it's not well thought out. There's no position of strength. And it risks widening the t
China accounted for 70% of global EV sales in 1Q24

HSTECH craters 3%+ as short selling picks up in a low-volume market

Hate to be the bearer of bad news. Hang Seng Tech Index $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ craters 3%+ as short selling picks up in a low-volume market. The consistent lack of follow-through in policy and implementation to stimulate CN economy in the face of deflationary pressures = no strong buying support. $TENCENT(00700)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ $NTES-S(09999)$ $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $JD-SW(09618)$ $BIDU-SW(09888)$
HSTECH craters 3%+ as short selling picks up in a low-volume market

One key reason gold is doing so well

I've been saying US consumers will need to forget the good ol' days of 2% or less inflation. They're not coming back - at least not in any sustainable fashion. The cost (and sins) of years of QE, binging on debt, and an overextended military have permanently eroded the purchasing power of the almighty US$. It's one key reason #gold $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ is doing so well. - Consumers are getting frustrated with stalling inflationSo true. The days of your dollar today buying the same goods next year and the year after... is OVER. Time to join the rest of the world in a more realistic expectation of inflation. And that's going to have a significant impact on the way people spend and invest their money going forward.
One key reason gold is doing so well

Which model will be the “Tesla slayer”?

Media is still putting out headlines about which model will be the “Tesla slayer”. I know I’m going to get some hate for this, but … I think $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has already been slayed at least in markets where Chinese brands are allowed to compete. It’s not all bad. Tesla will become better at what it does because of this kind of relentless competition. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $XPENG-W(09868)$ $XIAOMI-W(01810)$
Which model will be the “Tesla slayer”?

Talk about a red-hot market

Talk about a red-hot market. China's overall car sales are up 7% YoY in March alone, with NEV sales +28 to nearly 700k units. Real estate might be sluggish but the consumer is alive and strong - and just waiting for better deals & more interesting models. $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$ $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ $GEELY AUTO(00175)$ $Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.(GELYY)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
Talk about a red-hot market

It is the time to buy ‘cheap’ Chinese stocks

About 1.5 mos since HSTI $High Sierra Technologies Inc.(HSTI)$ turned a corner but better late than never I guess. This isn’t over. China just needs to keep its foot on the gas pedal. $CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $iShares MSCI China ETF(MCHI)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $JD-SW(09618)$ $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$ Ray Dalio says now is the time to buy ‘cheap’ Chinese stocksImageThat’s what you call turning a corner. Hang Seng Tech Index $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ now up 10% from its 1/3
It is the time to buy ‘cheap’ Chinese stocks

The ten China Equity ETFs with the largest have had $51.2B of inflow

China Equity ETFs listed globally have seen $48B of net buying year to date. The ten China Equity ETFs with the largest have had $51.2B of inflow. All ten are listed in China. Only 2 of the top 25 for YTD inflow are listed outside of China. $E-FUND CSI 300 EXCHANGE-TRADEED INDEX INITIATED STYLE SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(510310)$ $JIASHI CSI 300 INDEX TRADING SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(159919)$ $HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE CSI 300 INDEX TRADING SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(510300)$ $CARD IN 500 EXCHANGE-TRADED INDEX SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(510500)$ $SSE 50 ETF FUND(510050)$
The ten China Equity ETFs with the largest have had $51.2B of inflow

Mainland investor ownership of the CSOP HS TECH is now at an incredible 43.2%

Mainland investor ownership of the $CSOP HS TECH(03033)$ CSOP Hang Seng Tech Index ETF is now at an incredible 43.2% via the Southbound Stock Connect scheme that allows qualified Chinese investors access to select HK-listed stocks and ETFs. Uh-ma-zing. http://3033.HK now a US$3.6 billion ETF and climbing. Top 10 holdings: $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ $JD-SW(09618)$ $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$ $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $TENCENT(00700)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ $LI AUTO-W(02015)$
Mainland investor ownership of the CSOP HS TECH is now at an incredible 43.2%

Nothing that exciting from SE 4Q23 results

SE $Sea Ltd(SE)$ 4Q23 results beat on rev and EPS. Nothing that exciting from the company. But no nasty surprises either. Shopee getting entrenched throughout Southeast Asia, Sea Money turning profitable & expanding, plus Garena halting the slide in its overall metrics. Cash position back up to $8bn.https://twitter.com/BrianTycangco/status/1764686487876964853
Nothing that exciting from SE 4Q23 results

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