News and my thoughts from the past week (31Aug2026) JPMorgan has said that there may be a large-scale food supply crisis in the next year. - Unusual Whale Bill Gates accuses the tech industry of knowingly downplaying AI's risks because too much money is at stake. Executives are worried in private but won't say so publicly, he told the NYT. Their reasoning, in his words: "It's bad for us — the next trillion dollars we're trying to raise." Gates says the industry blew past milestones it once said would warrant caution: models escaping their creators' control, AI producing bioweapon recipes. - X user International Cyber Digest AI agents are now using 5x more tokens than humans - X user Kalshi David Sacks: “I got bad news for you, Chamath, an open source ban is coming. They're not going to cal

Market Outlook of S&P500 (31Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend with a potential for reversal. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.10. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily

Earnings Calendar (31Aug2026) There are a few interesting earnings releases in the coming week that include Dell, NIO, Palo Alto, Asana and Broadcom. Let us look at Broadcom. Broadcom: Market View and Valuation Technical analysis currently indicates a “strong sell”, while analyst sentiment points to a “strong buy”. The price target of $555.97 implies a potential upside of 42.6%, and the stock has risen 24.01% over the past year. However, valuation appears stretched. With a P/E ratio of 61.2 and EPS of $6.19, the stock looks expensive on an earnings basis. Financial Performance: 2021–2025 Broadcom’s financial performance strengthened significantly between 2021 and 2025, with revenue, operating income, and net income all showing strong growth. Total revenue rose from $27.4 billion

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 31Aug2026) Global Manufacturing Signals China’s August Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 49.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. This release is especially important because China accounts for nearly one-third of global manufacturing output, so a weaker reading could point to softer global demand. Chicago PMI for August is forecast at 57.8, suggesting continued expansion in production and a potentially bullish signal for markets. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 53.2, also pointing to expansion. ISM Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 55.3, indicating further growth in manufacturing activity. ISM Manufacturing Prices for August will be an important gauge of producer cost pressures, which may eve

News and my thoughts from the past week (24Aug2026) I don't know what's worse, knowing 70% of U.S. GDP is the AI bubble... Or knowing that 70% of U.S. GDP is entirely funded by private credit and retirement funds. - X user Financelot Canada suspends trade talks with US and says it will match tariffs dollar for dollar. - X user Watcher Guru Meta’s former engineering director is back on the stand, and his testimony is as brutal as the courtroom drawing of him. Whistleblower Arturo Bejar says Meta knew young users were being harmed at “extraordinarily high rates” but its own tracking failed to capture the real damage. He told jurors parents “would have wanted to have known” what the company knew. The case accuses Meta of addicting kids, worsening anxiety and depression, and illegally collecti

Market Outlook of S&P500 (24Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average line. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the long term. With the last candle sitting on the MA50 line, this implies a potential trend change in the shorter term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend with a potential for reversal. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.04. This impl

Earnings Calendar (24Aug2026) I am interested in a few earnings that include Salesforce, Nvidia, Zoom, and PDD. Let us look at Salesforce. Technical Analysis has a recommendation of “strong buy”, and the Analysts Sentiment recommends a “Buy”. The stock price has fallen 16.78% from a year ago. With the (analyst) price target of $243.98, there is a potential upside of 16.64%. With the P/E Ratio of 24.2 and an EPS of 8.05, this appears to be rather attractive. One of the reasons why I have picked this stock is due to the potential disruption of AI. How will Salesforce navigate this? This can be a good case study for other companies offering enterprise solutions. We are looking at the annual financial performance since 2022. Revenue has been growing from $26.4B (2022) to $41.5B (2026). With th

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 24Aug2026) Consumer Sentiment CB Consumer Confidence for August is forecast at 90.3, suggesting softer consumer sentiment toward the market. This figure can serve as a useful reference point for assessing the strength of household confidence and broader market expectations. Housing Market New Home Sales for July are expected to come in at 620,000 units, slightly below the previous month. The result will provide a reference point for evaluating current conditions in the real estate market. Inflation and Federal Reserve Focus The most closely watched release in the coming week is likely to be the July PCE Price Index. The year-on-year forecast stands at 3.3%. As the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, this data will be closely monitored b

News and my thoughts from the past week (17Aug2026) OpenAI lost its chief revenue officer, its COO, its product chief, its VP, its head of marketing, its head of ethics, its head of safety, and its chief futurist in the span of a few months. The CRO, Denise Dresser, left after eight months and walked away from what would've been a huge IPO payout. OpenAI is valued at $852 billion and filed its IPO paperwork in June. Investors told CNBC they were surprised by Dresser's exit. - X user Hedgie Fed official Hammack calls to immediately raise interest rates. - X user Watcher Guru Jamie Dimon warns America could lose its reserve currency status within 25 years. @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$<

Market Outlook of S&P500 (17Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on an uptrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.06. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily interval, technical a

Earnings Calendar (17Aug2026) Next week’s earnings calendar includes Home Depot, Baidu, Klarna, Walmart and Alibaba. This section focuses on Klarna, given its relevance to consumer finance, digital payments and credit risk. Klarna offers Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) services, a reference for consumer debt. Business and Credit Relevance Klarna is a digital bank and payments provider offering pay-in-full, buy-now-pay-later, longer-term financing, banking products and merchant tools across major international markets. Its credit relevance lies in its consumer financing model: it extends payment terms, manages repayment risk and depends on customer credit quality, funding costs and merchant transaction volumes. For credit assessment, the key areas to monitor are underwriting discipline, loan perfo

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 17Aug2026) Federal Reserve Focus The FOMC meeting minutes will be released this week and will be closely watched for signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Investors will look for guidance on how policymakers are assessing inflation, employment conditions, and the likely path of interest rates. Key Economic Indicators Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: The August reading will be released this week. The previous figure stood at 41.4, indicating contraction in the sector. Initial Jobless Claims: The latest claims data will also be announced, following a previous reading of 209,000. This will be an important labour-market indicator as the Federal Reserve balances inflation control with employment conditions. Crude Oil Inventories: Inve

News and my thoughts from the past week (10Aug2026) Amazon is building a natural gas plant in Pecos County, Texas, to power an AI data center. Its permits allow 33 million tons of carbon dioxide a year, which would make it the single largest source of climate pollution in the country. For comparison, the dirtiest plant operating in America today emits about 16 million tons, so Amazon's is permitted for roughly double that. Amazon co-founded The Climate Pledge in 2019 and promised net-zero emissions by 2040. - X user Hedgie Jamie Dimon warns America could lose its reserve currency status within 25 years. - X user Whale Insider Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth told employees that AI productivity gains should go into more work, not more time off. When a staffer asked about bringing back extra vacatio