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10-18 17:40

(Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (19Oct2026)

5 · My Investing Muse Our thoughts on the week ahead. We use this section to explore questions, not to offer firm conclusions. The AI money-go-round The way money moves around the AI industry continues to concern us. Some attention is now on companies such as CoreWeave. Its co-founders have reportedly sold about $3.3 billion of shares since the 2025 IPO, while the value of their remaining holdings has fallen sharply. Insiders can sell shares for many reasonable reasons. Even so, it is fair to ask whether some are selling now because they expect prices to fall further. AI/ML as a share of US VC deal value, rising toward ~83% in 2026 YTD — Social Capital / PitchBook-NVCA. The real bottleneck is physical AI growth depends on more than computer chips, storage and internet connections. It also
(Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (19Oct2026)
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10-18 17:39

(Part 4 of 5) - leading news (19Oct2026)

4 · Last week’s leading news These are the main stories we are highlighting for readers this week, shown as they originally appeared so readers can judge them for themselves. @Kalshi_Finance · 16 Oct — CoreWeave founders cashed out $3.3bn. BigGo Finance · 15 Oct — CoreWeave founders’ $3.3bn cash-out; paper wealth down ~$15bn. @unusual_whales · 17 Oct — IMF warning on an AI-bubble hit to global growth. @WatcherGuru · 17 Oct — Bank of America on the AI investment cycle. @unusual_whales · 17 Oct — call to delay Anthropic’s IPO over AI-safety concerns. @coinbureau · 15 Oct — Anthropic Q3 revenue and IPO timing. Yahoo Finance — Nvidia’s Jensen Huang on cutting off unsafe-AI customers. @unusual_whales · 15 Oct — eight US states sue OpenAI. WSJ, via Threads — Netflix cutting about 1,000 jobs. @Tr
(Part 4 of 5) - leading news (19Oct2026)
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10-18 17:38

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 technical analysis

3 · S&P 500 — technical read (daily chart) For the daily chart, we first look at MACD, which shows changes in market momentum. We then check the 50-day and 200-day moving averages and the flow of trading money to see whether buyers or sellers have more control. Together, these indicators suggest one way to approach the week; they do not predict what will happen. S&P 500 (^GSPC), daily — Yahoo Finance; close 16 Oct 7,659.44 (−1.09%). Market signal summary — short-term downtrend, long-term uptrend: The S&P 500 closed at 7,659.44 on 16 October, down 1.09% for the day and about 2% for the week. The index fell below its 50-day moving average near 7,700, while MACD crossed below its signal line, both pointing to weakening short-term momentum. However, the index remained about 5% abov
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 technical analysis
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10-18 17:36

(2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - P&G's earnings

2 · How we research a company — Procter & Gamble (PG) Rather than give readers a list of stocks, we want to explain the research process. Procter & Gamble reports this week, so we use it as an example of how to decide whether a company belongs in a portfolio. This explains a method; it is not a recommendation. US earnings week ahead, 19–23 Oct 2026 — Stock Titan. P&G reports before the open on Thursday. Reports: before the open on Thursday 22 October 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027). The company at a glance P&G at $159.35 on 16 Oct — Investing.com. ‘Earnings in 4 days’; five-year total return about +31%. Company snapshot: P&G traded at $159.35 on 16 October, giving it a market value of about $370bn. The shares were valued at roughly 24 times earnings and offered a 2.7% dividend yi
(2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - P&G's earnings
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10-18 17:34

(1 of 5) Economics Calendar (19Oct2026)

1 · The economic calendar This section is not about guessing the numbers. It is about understanding what each report may tell us and how markets often react. This week is light, and Federal Reserve officials are not speaking publicly, so the data will mainly shape expectations before more important events next week. Calendar summary: This is a light data week. China’s third-quarter GDP is expected to improve slightly to 4.4% from 4.3%. US jobless claims are forecast to edge up from 199,000 to 200,000, which would still point to a stable labour market. Both US PMI readings are expected to ease slightly, but remain well above 50, so services and manufacturing should continue to expand. Oil inventories will provide an additional check on energy demand and supply. Homebuilder confidence and ho
(1 of 5) Economics Calendar (19Oct2026)
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10-18 17:27

Preview of the week - Proctor & Gamble earnings (19Oct2026)

Through My Asian Lens · Pukka Perspectives Weekly Investing Preview United States market · Week of Monday 19 – Friday 23 October 2026 The calendar is quieter this week, but many companies will report earnings, and the market has recently weakened. Here is how we see the week ahead — as a guide for thinking, not a list of trades to copy. 1 · The economic calendar This section is not about guessing the numbers. It is about understanding what each report may tell us and how markets often react. This week is light, and Federal Reserve officials are not speaking publicly, so the data will mainly shape expectations before more important events next week. Calendar summary: This is a light data week. China’s third-quarter GDP is expected to improve slightly to 4.4% from 4.3%. US jobless claims are
Preview of the week - Proctor & Gamble earnings (19Oct2026)
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10-12
Let us consider planning our year-end travel in areas less prone to extreme weathers, natural disasters like earthquake and volcanic activities. At the same time, Let us consider preparing some emergency toolkit. Keep well all and stay safe. Over the past week, severe weather and major natural disasters were heavily defined by an active Pacific basin and late-season Atlantic tropical activity. A powerful magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck near Panama's Azuero Peninsula at a shallow depth, injuring at least 27 people, damaging more than 400 structures, and triggering widespread power outages across six provinces. In the tropics, Hurricane Isaias made landfall near Destin, Florida as a Category 2 storm with 105 mph sustained winds. It marked the latest first-hurricane formation of an Atlanti
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10-12

S&P500, the Magnificent 7 & the S&P493 (YTD performance)

Here’s a ~300-word summary of our three-part market analysis (data as of 9–10 Oct 2026), in prose. 1. YTD performance and the reversal. 2026 flipped the script. The S&P 500 is up roughly 14.9% on a total-return basis, but the Magnificent 7 lagged (cap-weighted around +11%, equal-weighted around +5%) while the S&P 493 led (about +16%). The seven names that drove 62% of 2023’s gains became a drag this year, with Microsoft (−19%) and Tesla (−14%) offsetting Apple and Alphabet. Breadth broadened in the first half, then re-narrowed in Q3 (Equal-Weight −2%, Russell 2000 −7%). Concentration sits at a record ~38–40% top-10 weight, exceeding the dot-com peak. 2. Leverage and the pipeline. Margin debt hit a record ~$1.5T (+37% year-on-year), with net free credit at −$1.03T — no cash cushion
S&P500, the Magnificent 7 & the S&P493 (YTD performance)
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10-11

(Part 3 of 3) News and my investing muse (12Oct2026)

INVESTING PREVIEW (12Oct2026) III. News and My Investing Muse Energy is driving inflation. Brent crude averaged about $114 in September, while petrol and diesel reached record monthly prices. Core inflation is still easing, but the Fed cannot solve an oil shock with higher interest rates. Car buyers are feeling the pressure. A quarter of new-car loans now run longer than 84 months. The average amount financed is $44,664, with a monthly payment of $787. I’ll be listening for signs that banks are seeing more household stress. A small insurer is flashing a warning. South Carolina is moving to take control of Atlantic Coast Life Insurance after concerns about risky, hard-to-sell investments. The company is not large enough to threaten the wider system, but the case shows how higher rates can e
(Part 3 of 3) News and my investing muse (12Oct2026)
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10-11

(Part 2 of 3) S&P500 technical analysis (12Oct2026)

INVESTING PREVIEW (12Oct02026) II. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 reached a record 7,819 on October 6, breaking above its August high after two quiet months. Still, momentum is weaker than it was in July. The RSI, a measure of market strength, has fallen to 55 from 75. The VIX is also low at 14.8, which suggests investors may be too relaxed ahead of Wednesday’s inflation report. I’m watching three levels: 7,800, 7,700 and 7,550–7,575. Holding above 7,800 would support the breakout. A drop below 7,550 on a Friday close could open the way to 7,350. The trend is still up, but I do not want to chase it before the inflation data. Michael Burry warns that investors are in denial. That may be true, but the market is still at record highs and the trend remains positive. I’m taking
(Part 2 of 3) S&P500 technical analysis (12Oct2026)
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10-11

(Part 1 of 3) I. Economic and Earnings Calendar - BlackRock?

My Investing Muse — Week of October 12, 2026 Three weeks before the midterms, markets have a lot to digest. This week, I’m focusing on what the key numbers mean—and what I plan to do about them. I. Economic and Earnings Calendar Monday is Columbus Day. The bond market is closed, but the stock market is open. Big banks start reporting Tuesday, including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. UnitedHealth also reports. Wednesday is the key day. September inflation data arrives at 8:30 a.m., alongside results from ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock. Economists expect headline inflation of 3.6–3.7% and core inflation of 2.4%. The Fed still expects another rate increase this year, but markets see only a small chance of one on October 28. If core inflation runs hott
(Part 1 of 3) I. Economic and Earnings Calendar - BlackRock?
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10-11

(Full article) My Investing Muse — Week of October 12, 2026

My Investing Muse — Week of October 12, 2026 Three weeks before the midterms, markets have a lot to digest. This week, I’m focusing on what the key numbers mean—and what I plan to do about them. I. Economic and Earnings Calendar Monday is Columbus Day. The bond market is closed, but the stock market is open. Big banks start reporting Tuesday, including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. UnitedHealth also reports. Wednesday is the key day. September inflation data arrives at 8:30 a.m., alongside results from ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock. Economists expect headline inflation of 3.6–3.7% and core inflation of 2.4%. The Fed still expects another rate increase this year, but markets see only a small chance of one on October 28. If core inflation runs hott
(Full article) My Investing Muse — Week of October 12, 2026
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10-04

Muse and my investing muse (05Oct2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (05Oct2026) The fuel cluster (📷 1–4): 1. 📷 Diesel will “not return to normal for a year.” Energy executives in the Dallas Fed survey expect high fuel costs to persist — with pump signs already showing diesel above US$8/gallon in places and petrol above US$6. This is no longer a spike; it is being budgeted as a condition. - Financial Times Diesel above US$8/gallon at the pump (FT, via Benson) 2. 📷 China’s refiners suspend October fuel exports; PetroChina cancels cargoes. The world’s swing supplier of refined products is keeping its fuel at home. - Reuters, 1 October China refiners suspend October fuel exports (Reuters, via Benson) 3. 📷 India’s MRPL cancels three export tenders (diesel, jet fuel, reformate) after a refinery fire. - hydrocarbonprocessin
Muse and my investing muse (05Oct2026)
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10-04

Market Outlook of S&P500 (05Oct2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (05Oct2026) Technicals as of Friday 2 October close, pulled via Yahoo Finance data: · Close: 7,722.72 — 1.2% below the 52-week high of 7,816.70, and +12.6% year to date · Moving averages: price above the MA50 (7,658) and MA200 (7,226); MA50 above MA200 — the trend structure is intact · MACD: 10.98, marginally below signal 11.12 — momentum has stalled at the highs, though the histogram is improving (−0.14 from −3.02) · RSI(14): 54.8 — neutral · Chaikin Money Flow (20): −0.053 — has slipped negative; money trickling out at the highs · Stochastic: %K 78.3 above %D 62.9 — recovering · Overall ten-rule gauge: 7 buy / 3 sell — still constructive, but last week’s clean sweep is gone: MACD cross, money flow and 20-day momentum have all turned. The CNN Fear & Greed
Market Outlook of S&P500 (05Oct2026)
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10-04

Economic and Earnings Calendar (05Oct2026)

Economic Calendar (05Oct2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com) After last week’s triple-feature (RBA, PCE, payrolls), this week is deliberately quiet — which makes each item carry more weight, and leaves the tape more exposed to headlines than to data. China is on Golden Week holiday Monday to Wednesday, thinning Asia liquidity. 1. FOMC minutes (Wednesday 7 October, 2:00 pm ET). The one genuine event of the week: the record of the meeting that delivered the first rate rise in three years (to 3.75–4.00%). After Friday’s soft payrolls (+29K — see below), the minutes tell us how much of the decision was inflation-fighting conviction versus insurance. Watch the language on oil pass-through and on how many participants wanted to signal another rise in October. [Investing.c
Economic and Earnings Calendar (05Oct2026)
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10-04

Preview of the week starting 05Oct2026 - FOMC minutes, a thin calendar, and Delta’s fuel bill

Economic Calendar (05Oct2026) caption...Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com) After last week’s triple-feature (RBA, PCE, payrolls), this week is deliberately quiet — which makes each item carry more weight, and leaves the tape more exposed to headlines than to data. China is on Golden Week holiday Monday to Wednesday, thinning Asia liquidity. 1. FOMC minutes (Wednesday 7 October, 2:00 pm ET). The one genuine event of the week: the record of the meeting that delivered the first rate rise in three years (to 3.75–4.00%). After Friday’s soft payrolls (+29K — see below), the minutes tell us how much of the decision was inflation-fighting conviction versus insurance. Watch the language on oil pass-through and on how many participants wanted to signal another rise in October. [I
Preview of the week starting 05Oct2026 - FOMC minutes, a thin calendar, and Delta’s fuel bill
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09-30

(Part 3 of 3) News and my investing muse (28Sep2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (28Sep2026) Benson's selected items (drafted from his inputs, his fact-check notes applied): 1. Weather and natural disasters across Asia. Typhoon Dujuan swept Japan's Kanto region around 21–23 September, bringing record rainfall, landslides and flooding with a rising death toll, and another storm was intensifying near Okinawa by week's end. Vietnam is still recovering from heavy rain and flooding across its northern and north-central provinces from mid-September, with homes inundated and crops damaged. In Thailand, all 50 Bangkok districts were declared disaster areas after severe rainfall, school closures and disruption to government travel — continued rain raises the risk of worse. In the Pacific, Hurricane Polo is real but its near-term threat is
(Part 3 of 3) News and my investing muse (28Sep2026)
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09-30

(Part 2 of 3) S&P500 analysis (28Sep2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (28Sep2026) Technicals as of Friday 25 September close, pulled via Yahoo Finance data: S&P 500 intraday, Friday 25 September (via Benson) ·       Close: 7,743.41 — just 0.94% below the 52-week high of 7,816.70, and +12.9% year to date ·       Moving averages: price above the MA50 (7,636) and MA200 (7,205); MA50 above MA200 — the uptrend is intact on every timeframe we track ·       MACD: 18.83 versus signal 10.74, with the histogram ticking up (8.09 from 6.34) — momentum re-accelerating after a flat patch ·       RSI(14): 56.7 — constructive, not stretched ·       Chaikin Money Flow (20): +0.032 — modest but p
(Part 2 of 3) S&P500 analysis (28Sep2026)
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09-30

Part 1 of 3 - Economic and Earnings Calendar of the week 28Sep2026

Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney Economic Calendar (28Sep2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com, via Benson) A genuinely live week: two US prints that can move the rates path, one central-bank decision that is too close to call, and China going quiet for Golden Week from Thursday. 1. The RBA decides — and the market has not made up its mind (Tuesday 29 September, 2:30 pm AEST). The cash rate sits at 4.35%. Pricing is roughly 55/45 between a 25 bp rise to 4.60% and a hold; NAB expects the rise this week, ANZ, CBA and Westpac lean to November. The awkward part: August CPI lands on Wednesday, after the vote, so the board decides with July's 3.5% headline (3.6% trimmed mean) as its freshest read. Whichever way it goes, the st
Part 1 of 3 - Economic and Earnings Calendar of the week 28Sep2026
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09-28

(Full article) Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney

Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney Economic Calendar (28Sep2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com, via Benson) A genuinely live week: two US prints that can move the rates path, one central-bank decision that is too close to call, and China going quiet for Golden Week from Thursday. 1. The RBA decides — and the market has not made up its mind (Tuesday 29 September, 2:30 pm AEST). The cash rate sits at 4.35%. Pricing is roughly 55/45 between a 25 bp rise to 4.60% and a hold; NAB expects the rise this week, ANZ, CBA and Westpac lean to November. The awkward part: August CPI lands on Wednesday, after the vote, so the board decides with July's 3.5% headline (3.6% trimmed mean) as its freshest read. Whichever way it goes, the st
(Full article) Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney

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