My Investing Muse (23Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news BREAKING: Party City is closing all of its stores, and corporate employees were told today is their last day of employment - X user Unusual Whale Aerospace company Boeing has announced another round of layoffs, this one impacting 396 workers in Washington state. - NWPB Google has once again reduced its workforce, targeting 10% of its management roles, including directors and vice presidents. CEO Sundar Pichai announced the changes during an all-hands meeting. - DNAIndia Thyssenkrupp faces massive job cuts and plant closures amid international competition and possible management lapses. - DW News The Mersen Manufacturing plant said it is set to furlough 80% of its workers in Columbia. The furloughs were announced just weeks before the C

News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24) Powell has said that "it's pretty clear we've avoided a recession." Do you agree? Image China is dominating the global auto market: China’s share of world car production is now at 39%, the highest on record. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, this percentage has doubled. Its share is also ~11 percentage points larger than Europe, Japan, and the US combined. To put this into perspective, China’s share in global automotive production was just 1% in 2000. By comparison, the US, Japan and Europe accounted for 14%, 20% and 32% of production in 2000, respectively. China has taken over the global car market. X user The Kobeissi Letter Globalization brings access to bigger markets, costs savings and leads to better quality of life. When we limit access,

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 23Dec24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are above the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bearish for both the mid and the long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows a downtrend. The 20 indicators point to a “Sell” rating for the S&P500 (for Daily intervals). Seven indicators recommend a “Buy” rating, and 13 recommend a “Sell” rating. The latest candlestick pattern seems to point to a more “bullish” outlook. Based on the above, the S&P500 should see a downtrend in the coming days. @TigerStars

Earnings Calendar (23Dec24) Due to the holiday season, there are 2 notable earnings this week - Anavex and Limoneira. Let us look at Anavex. Who is Anavex? Anavex has clocked a price decline of 3.6% from a year ago. The EPS is -0.50 and thus, has a (negative) P/E ratio of -17.2 From the technical analysis, it has a “Neutral” rating. From Analysts Sentiment, it has a recommendation for “Strong Buy”. Its price target of $35.472 implies an upside of 311.031%. The company has yet to generate any revenue, making a loss from the last 10 years as per the screenshot above. The operating losses peaked at $56M in 2023. For the coming earnings, the forecast of its EPS and Revenue are -0.157 and no revenue respectively. It seems that the company will end the last quarter with a loss. There are some pr

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key

$Alibaba(BABA)$ bought 111,950 ADRs on Thursday and 113,950 ADRs on Friday accounting for 1.1% and 1% of the ADR volume. For all Alibaba stockholders, this buy back is good news. thanks, X user Brendan Ahern.

My Investing Muse (16Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Evonik aims to spin off assets and could shed 7,000 jobs - Reuters Another low-cost airline filed for Chapter 11. GOL announced on Dec. 10 that it filed a reorganization plan that promises to convert $1.7 billion of debt into equity and raise $1.85 billion of new financing through new investors. - The Street Luxury Brands Face A Retail Labor Crisis As 51% Of Employees Plan To Leave Their Jobs - Forbes Cruise, SF's embattled self-driving car company, is finally folding after $10B in losses - SF Gate Supply Chain News In 2025 the deliveries of new vessels will again raise the capacity oversupply, said Braemar, “even allowing for Red Sea avoidance, oversupply is expected to increase from 3-4% in 2024 to 7-8% in 2025,” said the broker. - S

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Dec24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend but are looking to converge (implying a potential change in trend). Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. However, there seems to be more selling momentum than buying. This can lead to a potential trend change. The 20 indicators are pointing to a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P500 (for Daily interval). 16 indicators recommend a “Buy” and 4 recommend a “Sell” rating. From the candlestick pattern, the latest seems to point

Earnings Calendar (16Dec24) There are a few notable earnings in the coming week namely Nike, Micron, Accenture and Jabil. Let us look into Jabil The price slipped -0.7% from a year ago. The P/E ratio is 11.9. Technical Analysts recommend the rating of “Strong Buy” for the stock. Analysts Sentiment recommends a “Buy” rating. The target price is $147.25 which implies an upside of over 8.97%. Observations about Jabil: Revenue grew from $17.8B (2015) to $28.8B (2024) Operating profit grew from $0.588B (2015) to $1.43B (2024) EPS grew from $1.45 (2015) to $11.17 (2024) FCF (10-year median margin) is 1.7% Jabil’s forecasted EPS and Revenue are $1.88 and $6.61B respectively. For now, I prefer to monitor Jabil’s performance as a spectator and not an investor.

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (16Dec24) Notable Highlights FOMC interest rate decision will be the most watched news in the coming week. The market expects an interest rate cut. A contrary decision is likely to cause some market volatility. The core PCE Price Index will be the next most watched indicator for inflation. This is the preferred reference that the Federal Reserve uses for inflation. Surprises in this can lead to market volatility. S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI reflects the growth or contraction of the manufacturing sector. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index shows the development of the manufacturing sectors in Philadelphia. S&P Global US Services PMI reflects the g

congrats to my fellow tiger authors. thank you for your invaluable contributions. congrats to all.

Top companies in Hong Kong by dividend yield I am invested in Hong Kong and some companies are great for dividend yield. Are you planning to include some Hong Kong stocks in your 2025 portfolio? Source: Companiesmarketcap.com $NWS HOLDINGS(00659)$ $GIORDANO INT'L(00709)$

I came across this good post by Brian Feroldi that highlights 10 KPIs that investors should know. I do not know all of them, but I use some to qualify my long-term holdings.

News and my thoughts from last week (09Dec24) Image Image 67 $SPX companies have issued negative EPS guidance for Q4 2024, which is above the 5-year average of 56 and above the 10-year average of 62 - X user FactSet Image FOMO (Fear of missing out) can be a crippling emotion that can drive us to buying too late & selling too early. Emotional management is key to long-term success. I have exited some of my positions as weakening fundamentals or overvaluation provide opportunities to take profits & stop losses. Let us take stock of our 2024 lessons, adding refinement and better controls to our investing strategy for 2025. Image The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.4% in October 2024 to 99.5 (2016=100), following a 0.3% decline in September (revi