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04-21

My Investing Muse (22Apr24) - layoffs, PCE, SPR, Middle East, Magnificent 7 earnings

My Investing Muse (22Apr24) Layoffs & Closure news Walgreens Boots Alliance is laying off another round of workers, marking the fourth time the struggling retailer has had to do corporate personnel cuts within a year. - Supermarket News Tesla is planning to lay off 300 temporary workers at its German plant near Berlin as part of plans to cut global staff, Business Insider reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. - Reuters Citibank laid off 2,000 employees after a reorganization. Headcount at Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and PNC Financial, declined by about 2,000 jobs combined in the three months ended March 31. - Reuters Morgan Stanley Is Planning Biggest China Job Cuts in Years. About 50 investment bankers in APAC ex-Japan may lose jobs. China, HK bankers accou
My Investing Muse (22Apr24) - layoffs, PCE, SPR, Middle East, Magnificent 7 earnings
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04-21

News and my thoughts from the last week (22 Apr 2024)

News and my thoughts from the last week (22 Apr 2024) Charlie Munger Gave His Family Fortune To The 'Chinese Warren Buffett' Li Lu Who Turned It Into Over $400 Million Dollars — 'Unholy Good Returns' China unloads more US Treasury bills as odds of Fed rate cuts grow slim. With the Federal Reserve suggesting interest rate cuts are unlikely in the immediate future, China has unloaded more of its US Treasury holdings - SCMP Epson closure of Tuas plant in Singapore - CNA IMF Steps Up Its Warning to US Over Spending and Ballooning Debt. Annual report credits unsustainable spending for US growth. US fiscal stance risks global financial instability, IMF says. - Bloomberg JUST IN: Ft. Worth Texas' tallest building is facing foreclosure just 3 years after the buyer acquired the buildingThe 40-s
News and my thoughts from the last week (22 Apr 2024)
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04-21

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22 Apr 2024 ~ will the dip end?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the volume trend seems to be changing direction. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22 Apr 2024 ~ will the dip end?
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04-21

Earnings Calendar for the week starting 22 Apr 2024 - can Tesla dip after its earnings?

Earnings Calendar (22 Apr 2024) There are a few earnings of interest in the coming week. Personally, SAP, UPS, Tesla, Meta, Chipotle, Microsoft, Alphabet, Intel, ExxonMobil and Chevron are earnings of interest. Let us look at Tesla Observations Tesla's revenue grew from $3.1 billion in 2014 to $96.7 billion in 2023. The gross profit grew from $0.8 billion in 2014 to $17.6 billion in 2023. Operating profit started with a loss of $0.18B in 2014 and in the 2023 year achieved an $8.8 billion operating profit Earnings per share (EPS) started at -$0.16 in 2014 and ended 2023 with $4.30. Over a 10-year CAGR, revenue has grown 47.3% and assets have grown 46%. Free cash flow over the same. Has grown 144.1%. Personally, Tesla is a good company with strong fundamentals. There are also good
Earnings Calendar for the week starting 22 Apr 2024 - can Tesla dip after its earnings?
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04-21

Economic Calendar for week starting 22 Apr 2024 - PCE data coming ...

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (22 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights New home sales will bring insight into the current status of US real estate. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will bring about an understanding of the manufacturing outlook for the US. S&P Global Services PMI will bring an understanding of services production for the US The most watched economic data in the coming week will be the PCE price index. This is the main index that the Federal Reserve used as a reference for inflation in America. Should this continue to trend upwards, it will be more difficult for the Federal Reserve to impose a fat pivot or a drop in interest rates. US GDP results will also be
Economic Calendar for week starting 22 Apr 2024 - PCE data coming ...
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04-21

Preview of the week starting 22 Apr 2024 - could Tesla dip after its earnings?

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (22 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights New home sales will bring insight into the current status of US real estate. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will bring about an understanding of the manufacturing outlook for the US. S&P Global Services PMI will bring an understanding of services production for the US The most watched economic data in the coming week will be the PCE price index. This is the main index that the Federal Reserve used as a reference for inflation in America. Should this continue to trend upwards, it will be more difficult for the Federal Reserve to impose a fat pivot or a drop in interest rates. US GDP results will also be released in the coming we
Preview of the week starting 22 Apr 2024 - could Tesla dip after its earnings?
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04-16

when the intent of the Iranian attack was not to win ~ not investing article

Iran and Israel conflict It started with the “arrest” of MSC Aries at the Straits of Hormuz. BREAKING: IRAN BANS ALL SHIPS LINKED TO ISRAEL “Starting today, all vessels linked to the Zionist regime are banned from operating in the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf.Any such vessels found in these waters will be confiscated.” This thread means that all Israeli-linked vessels would not be able to travel past the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf. This would be taken seriously by the shipping industry, causing further disruptions to the regional supply chain. Vessels will be forced to divert, leading to an increase in supply chain lead time and cost. Missiles and Drones were launched The screenshot was taken from the NBC news report. Iran launched its retaliation after Israel bombed its embassy in
when the intent of the Iranian attack was not to win ~ not investing article
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04-14

My investing muse (15Apr24) - Layoffs, closures, Iran & CPI

My Investing Muse (15Apr24) Layoffs & Closure news ConvergeOne blamed rising interest rates and a downgraded credit rating as reasons for its recent financial struggles. The company has $1.8 billion in debt, and it reported $1.525 billion in revenue for 2023. - Reuters A popular West Coast pizza chain Mod Pizza shuttered five of its California locations shortly before the state enacted its new minimum wage law this month that raises fast-food workers’ pay from $16 an hour to $20. - NYPost More layoffs hit logistics which is the blood of the economy. over 1300 layoffs hit logistics companies across US - FreightWaves The Associated Press (AP) reported last week that 614 Apple employees were notified in late March that they would be laid off effective May 27. - HCAMAG The job elimination
My investing muse (15Apr24) - Layoffs, closures, Iran & CPI
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04-14

News and my thoughts from the last week (15 Apr 2024) outflows, Iran and AI

News and my thoughts from the last week (15 Apr 2024) U.S. large caps saw $15.8 billion of outflows in the week, while stocks in general saw outflows of $19.6 billion, Bank of America said in its weekly round-up of flows in and out of world markets using EPFR data. - Yahoo Finance IRAN BANS ALL SHIPS LINKED TO ISRAEL “Starting today, all vessels linked to the Zionist regime are banned from operating in the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf. Any such vessels found in these waters will be confiscated.” - From X user ShaykhSulaiman Iran launched dozens of drones at Israel on Saturday but they will take hours to reach their targets. An attack that may trigger a major escalation between the regional archenemies, with the U.S. pledging to back Israel. - Reuters MSC Aries was taken by Iran. This wou
News and my thoughts from the last week (15 Apr 2024) outflows, Iran and AI
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04-14

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Interpretation of CMF from the CFI website: When there is a continuous buying period (when the CMF value is sustained above zero), the trend is considered bullish and indicates that price will continue to rise with the trend. When there is continuous selling pressure (CMF value below zero), this points to a bearish trend, indicating price will continue downward.Higher readings, either positive or negative, indicate a stronger trend. Increasing readings indicate gaining momentum.Cro
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24
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04-14

Earnings Calendar (15Apr24) - can Intuitive Surgical hit a new high?

Earnings Calendar (15 Apr 2024) There are a few earnings of interest in the coming week with the likes of Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, United, Johnson & Johnson, ASML, Netflix and American Express. Let us look into the recent performance of Intuitive Surgical ($ISRG). ISRG has hit its 52-week high recently and is ranging near the top price. The stock price has gained over 44% from a year ago. Investing has a recommended “Strong Sell” rating for this stock. Observations: Revenue growth $2.1B (2014) to $7.1B (2023) The gross profit margin is 68.4% based on the 10-year median. FCF is a strong 26.3% based on the 10-year median. Operating profits growth $0.5B (2014) to $1.7B (2023) For the coming earnings, the forecast is 1.42 and $1.87B respectively for its EPS and Revenue. Can
Earnings Calendar (15Apr24) - can Intuitive Surgical hit a new high?
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04-14

Economic Calendar for week starting 15Apr24 - China GDP

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (15 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights In the coming week, US core retail sales and retail sales data will be released. These data will highlight the current state of consumerism in the USA. There will be an important GDP update coming from China. This is important data not just for China but also for the rest of the world as China is still deemed to be the world's factory. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index will be released in the week. This data highlights the expansion or contraction of the manufacturing sector. Existing home sales data will be a good barometer of real estate status. Initial jobless claims will also be a key
Economic Calendar for week starting 15Apr24 - China GDP
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04-14

Preview of the week starting 15 Apr 2024 - Will the Iranian attack mess up the earnings?

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (15 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights In the coming week, US core retail sales and retail sales data will be released. These data will highlight the current state of consumerism in the USA. There will be an important GDP update coming from China. This is important data not just for China but also for the rest of the world as China is still deemed to be the world's factory. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index will be released in the week. This data highlights the expansion or contraction of the manufacturing sector. Existing home sales data will be a good barometer of real estate status. Initial jobless claims will also be a key macro data that the Federal Reserve will look
Preview of the week starting 15 Apr 2024 - Will the Iranian attack mess up the earnings?
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04-14
Iran launched attack on Israel On going developments.  How would the market respond when it opens on Monday? 
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04-06

My Investing Muse ( 08Apr24) - Layoffs, Baltimore, Minimum Wage & Fed Fund Rate

My Investing Muse ( 08Apr24) - Layoffs, Baltimore, Minimum Wage & Fed Fund Rate Layoffs news Global management consulting firm McKinsey has offered to pay hundreds of senior employees to voluntarily leave the company and look for other jobs. UK managers were given the option for a 9-month job search period. - India Today Citigroup will lay off 430 employees across different divisions in New York, the bank disclosed in filings with the State Department of Labor on Monday. - Reuters A 70-year-old California-based less-than-truckload carrier Tony's Express ceased operations Thursday, leaving over 200 truck drivers, warehouse workers and office personnel without jobs, paychecks and paid time off (PTO). - FreightWavew We continue to learn of more layoff news in the past week and we can ex
My Investing Muse ( 08Apr24) - Layoffs, Baltimore, Minimum Wage & Fed Fund Rate
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04-06

News and my thoughts from the last week (08 Apr 2024) - AI, China, debts

News and my thoughts from the last week (08 Apr 2024) Can America afford another war front or fund another war? Will the USA run out of both money and bullets? Are there sufficient arms left for defence? Should there be an international or local authority that monitors the development of AI and requires AI solutions with decision-making automation to have identification so that we can establish ownership and accountability? In the world of AI, he/she who controls the algorithm controls the world 12% of the world tries to define a view of China through their media. China is here as a global power and there is no stopping them. I hope that we can mix our opinions with travel. With working from home, the impact will spill over from commercial real estate (CRE) to retail, F&B and even cit
News and my thoughts from the last week (08 Apr 2024) - AI, China, debts
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04-06

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 08Apr24: is there a correction coming?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 08Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Interpretation of CMF from the CFI website: When there is a continuous buying period (when the CMF value is sustained above zero), the trend is considered bullish and indicates that price will continue to rise with the trend. When there is continuous selling pressure (CMF value below zero), this points to a bearish trend, indicating price will continue downward.Higher readings, either positive or negative, indicate a stronger trend. Increasing readings indicate gaining momentu
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 08Apr24: is there a correction coming?
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04-06

Earnings Calendar (08Apr24) - Will BlackRock sink?

Earnings Calendar (08 Apr 2024) There are a few earnings of interest this week namely Delta, Citi, State Street, and BlackRock. The earnings season continues for Q1 of 2024 quarter, with the banking sectors leading the way. Let us look at BlackRock in detail. Observations: The revenue of the company grew from $11 billion in 2014 to $17.8 billion in the year 2023. Gross profit grew from $6 billion in 2014 to $8.6 billion in 2023 Operating profit grew from $4.5 billion in 2014 to $6.3 billion in 2023. Though it is not the record operating profit in 2021 common it remains a highly profitable operating margin that last ended at 35.5% in 2023. The free cash flow (FCF) 10-year median margin stands at a strong 32.8%. The gross profit margin stands at 50.7% from 10-year median. At the price-ear
Earnings Calendar (08Apr24) - Will BlackRock sink?
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04-06

Economic Calendar (08Apr24) - will CPI be good news?

Public Holidays Singapore celebrates Eid al-Fitr (Hari Raya Puaa) on 10 Apr 2024 (Wed). There are no public holidays in Hong Kong, China and America in the coming week. Economic Calendar (08 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights The most watched data in the coming week from the economic calendar will be CPI. The CPI is also known as the inflation indicator. A forecast of 3.4% CPI year on year is on the cards. Should the figure turn out to be higher, the market is expected to turn bearish and vice versa. There will be updates of 10-year note auctions and 30-year bond auctions. These are part of the Federal Reserve funding the spending deficit. Initial jobless claims will also be a key macro data that the Federal Reserve will look into as they ponder the next interest rate decision Crude
Economic Calendar (08Apr24) - will CPI be good news?
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04-06

Preview of the week starting 08 Apr 2024 - Q1/2024 earnings starts - will BlackRock sink?

Public Holidays Singapore celebrates Eid al-Fitr (Hari Raya Puaa) on 10 Apr 2024 (Wed). There are no public holidays in Hong Kong, China and America in the coming week. Economic Calendar (08 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights The most watched data in the coming week from the economic calendar will be CPI. The CPI is also known as the inflation indicator. A forecast of 3.4% CPI year on year is on the cards. Should the figure turn out to be higher, the market is expected to turn bearish and vice versa. There will be updates of 10-year note auctions and 30-year bond auctions. These are part of the Federal Reserve funding the spending deficit. Initial jobless claims will also be a key macro data that the Federal Reserve will look into as they ponder the next interest rate decision Crude Oil Inve
Preview of the week starting 08 Apr 2024 - Q1/2024 earnings starts - will BlackRock sink?

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