Bitcoin has recently broken above $91,000 and briefly tested ~$94,000 — a sign that bullish momentum persists in the short-term price action, but volatility remains pronounced (intraday swings of thousands of dollars). $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ In this article, we would like to make grounded analysis addressing the questions about bullish momentum, the $250K target, and likely timing. Is the Bullish Momentum Still Present? Short-term momentum: • A break above $90K–$94K can be interpreted as bullish in the near term, showing buyers are stepping in above key resistance zones. • However, the market has shown significant volatility, including notable sell-offs and range trades below prior all-time highs. Longer consolidation phases often

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$'s message at CES 2026 demonstrated clearly their direction in providing the entire "pipeline" for AI, from foundational chips to software and applications, this would drive the move towards intelligent, autonomous AI agents across all industries. Nvidia’s messaging at CES 2026 underscored a clear strategic shift in the AI race, one that reflects the company’s intent to own the full stack of AI computing rather than just a segment of it. The announcements and ecosystem signals from the show substantiate this interpretation and also help explain broader industry dynamics going forward. Nvidia’s CES 2026 Messaging: Full-Stack AI At its CES keynote, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang laid out a vision that goes beyond individual chips or isolated

$Constellation(STZ)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings on Wednesday, January 7, 2026, after the market close, followed by a conference call on January 8. The sentiment heading into this report is cautious. STZ has struggled with a softening consumer environment, specifically impacting its Wine and Spirits division and its core Hispanic demographic for the Beer business. Q3 2026 Expectations Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.65–$2.66 (Est. 18.2% decline YoY). Revenue: ~$2.18–$2.20 billion (Est. 11.6% decline YoY). Context: The projected declines are partly due to significant divestitures (SVEDKA and certain wine brands) and a "right-sizing" of inventory levels at the distributor level. Constellation Brands (STZ) faces a partic

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ stock is down approximately 5-6% since the start of 2026, a decline primarily attributed to market-wide factors, profit-taking after a significant 2025 rally, and ongoing concerns about its high valuation. PLTR last close on Monday (05 Jan) at $174.04. In this article, we would like to look at the updated market snapshot for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) as of the latest U.S. trading session. What are the primary cause of PLTR’s decline? Outlook for growth and 2026 performance. More importantly, what would happen if profit-taking persists and valuation concerns deepen? Primary Causes of PLTR’s Decline in Early 2026 Multiple interrelated factors are driving the ~5–6% drop year-to-date, consistent with your ini

$APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ is set to report its Fiscal Q2 2026 earnings this coming Wednesday, January 7, 2026 (after market close). This is a critical pivot point for the stock. The narrative has shifted from just "AI cloud growth" to a complex corporate restructuring involving the "ChronoScale" spin-off. The stock is currently trading with high implied volatility (~100%+ annualized), meaning the market expects a significant price swing (up or down) of roughly 9-15% following the report. Key Metrics to Watch While the headline revenue and EPS numbers matter, the market’s reaction will likely hinge on guidance and the spin-off mechanics. The "Real" Metrics (What Institutions Are Watching): ChronoScale Spin-Off Details: On Dec 29, 2025, APLD anno

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ continue to come into big support again for the fifth month in a row. The short-term (12-EMA) moving average is below the 220 which form a large key support structure from about 205 to below 220. In this article, I would like to explore how we can plan for Amazon Bull Put spread option trade, the expected move for the week is $221.16 at its lowest, and we might want to consider a strike price nearer to the expected move to leave us with with a very small "margin of error" (about $1.16). Since our expected move for Amazon (AMZN) is to $221.16, and if we place our sold strike at $220, the stock would remain above our strike price at expiration. This means the options would expire worthless, and we would keep the full profit (the c

Here are the macro snapshot for the risk appetite, interest rate direction, and volatility regime heading into the first full trading week of 2026 (January 5–9). This overview integrates market positioning, policy expectations, and broad asset trends based on the latest available institutional research and market commentary. Market Summary: First Trading Day of 2026 (Friday, Jan 2) Wall Street kicked off 2026 with a mixed but resilient session. Investors engaged in a "rotation" trade, moving capital away from some 2025 high-flyers (like Tesla) into cyclical and industrial sectors, while semiconductor demand kept the tech-heavy indices afloat. S&P 500: Closed slightly higher (+0.19%), finishing around 6,858. The index struggled to break the psychological 6,900 barrier, resulting in chop

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q4 delivery miss drives annual sales down 8.5% amid EV competition. So can Tesla keep up with the competition from legacy automakers releasing cheaper EVs and expired federal incentives. In this article, we would like to look at the current, evidence-based view of what’s happening at Tesla and what it could mean for its ability to compete in the EV market and for TSLA stock going forward: What Happened: Tesla’s Q4 & 2025 Delivery Results Tesla’s delivery report showed: 418,227 vehicles delivered in Q4 2025, a year-over-year decline of about 15–16 percent and below Wall Street consensus expectations. Full-year 2025 deliveries were ~1.64 million, down ~8.5 percent from 2024 — marking the second consecutive annual sales decli

CES 2026 would be a defining moment for AI as we are seeing intelligent systems becoming smarter, faster and more integrated into our daily lives. CES 2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal industry moment for AI and semiconductors, not just another gadget show. The narrative this year (and likely beyond) is shifting from raw chip performance to what these chips enable in real-world outcomes, such as energy efficiency, AI-assisted workflows, next-generation mobility, and integrated AI across devices and systems. This has important implications for chip giants and the broader technology ecosystem. From Raw Performance to Outcomes and Experiences Broader Industry Emphasis At CES 2026, the focus extends far beyond benchmark numbers. Companies are presenting AI technologies as enablers of new expe

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ experienced a modest pullback and soft finish to 2025, with a roughly 0.7% drop on the final trading day (December 31, 2025) amidst light volume, we need to look at the dip as a healthy reset rather than a bursting bubble, with some expectations for continued growth and broadening market leadership into 2026 despite some year-end volatility in mega-cap tech. The late-December pullback is better interpreted as a positional reset than a structural warning—however, it does carry information about how 2026 is likely to unfold rather than whether it will be positive. In this article, I would like to share the structured way to think about the two competing interpretations. Why the Late-2025 Dip Looks Like a Healthy Reset Several

With much talks surrounding $Microsoft(MSFT)$ OpenAI and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google Gemini for consumers and developers looking for model practicality, we are also seeing the growing need to show that AI can actually be useful. One of the much talk about in 2025 is the AI agents, so with $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ acquiring Manus AI, are we seeing a shift of big tech looking for ways to start making money from AI while they continued to build their internal AI competitive advantage. In this article, we would look at a structured view of why Meta’s acquisition of Manus AI matters — particularly in the context of the ongoing conversation about AI agents, practical

A Happy New Year to all my fellow tigers! As we draw a close to 2025, where Fed policy shifts include lower rates and renewed balance sheet expansion, these signal a bullish environment for value stocks and broader market participation in 2026. In this article, we would like to look at a comprehensive analysis of the U.S. equity market performance for calendar year 2025 and what it may signal for 2026, with emphasis on how monetary policy (including your mentioned lower rates and balance-sheet stance) ties into market dynamics and sector leadership. Market Performance: How U.S. Equities Closed 2025 Major Index Returns The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 finished 2025 with double-digit gains (~16.4%) despite ending the final session on a down note.

AI Hype is once again being ignite by the Big Short, this time, discussion around whether OpenAI is going to become the next Netscape due to its cash burn rate seems to be getting humongous. In this article we would like to discuss a comprehensive, current assessment of whether OpenAI is headed toward a “next Netscape” outcome (rapid rise then decline) given concerns about cash burn, funding, competition ( $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google Gemini and Chinese players), and $Microsoft(MSFT)$’s strategic posture. Cash Burn vs. Revenue Reality OpenAI is spending at an unprecedented scale, and that drives the “Netscape comparison” — a high-profile pioneer that failed to sustain competitive advantage. OpenAI’s revenue

The reason why I would like to look at $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is because this stock seem to be trapped in consolidation for a very long time, and the other fundamental reasons are its valuation at around 27 and below mean that it is trading at a 1.1 PEG and it price to sales remains in the mid 7s, And SOFI is expanding their operating and net margins and their growth for the next few years, this kind of stock would be an attractive opportunity to me, so in this article I would like to share how I would like to play bull put spread on SOFI with expiration on 09 Jan 2026. Beautiful Monthly Uptrend We are seeing SOFI is now on a beautiful monthly uptrend and it has just been looking to set some monthly higher lows into the 2021 highs which wa

Over the past week trading sessions, $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ Bitcoin has gained more than 2% to climb back above the $90,000 per BTC zone, a level not seen since we saw $84,000 around 22 Nov 2205, and Bitcoin have been trying to push for a renewed bullish momentum. It looks like the current sideways trading, primarily in the $85,000 to $95,000 range, is a natural period of market indecision where buying and selling pressures are temporarily balanced. Currently, Bitcoin continued to hover around $87,000, so is the current behavior gearing more towards a “Pump and Dump”, or we think that the current price behavior is far more consistent with a high-level consolidation following a prior impulse move than with a classic “pump and dump”

We saw $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ getting a slight decline of 0.19% on Monday (29 Dec) after the Christmas holiday, and guess this show that Amazon fundamental is still strong enough to go through the volatility we are going to see coming from S&P 500 and NASDAQ dip. AMZN implied volatility (IV) is 24.3, which is in the 9% percentile rank. This means that 9% of the time the IV was lower in the last year than the current level. The current IV (24.3) is -10.1% below its 20 day moving average (27.1) indicating implied volatility is trending lower. In this article, I would like to share my plan for a Bull Put spread for Amazon. With Amazon expected move for 09 Jan at around $238 to $225, I have decided to do 230/225 bull put spread with expiration on 09 J

Nvidia announced on Christmas Eve, that it is acquiring Groq IP and talent for $20B, with strong talent from Groq joining $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, could this be Nvidia gameplay to up its position in the leadership in both the AI infrastructure and also overall leadership in the AI market? In this article, we would like to discuss Nvidia’s announced agreement with Groq (reported at ~$20 billion) — specifically regarding whether it is likely to strengthen Nvidia’s leadership in AI infrastructure and widen its competitive moat: Nature of the Deal — Not a Traditional Acquisition Key structural points: Nvidia has licensed Groq’s AI inference technology and is hiring key Groq personnel — including founder Jonathan Ross and President Sunny Madra — in what analyst

As we entered the final trading week of US stock market on 29 Dec 2025, and FOMC minutes expected to be released on 30th, will a hawkish minutes add pressure for more corrections on the tech stocks? Can the next Fed Chair with candidates favouring rate cuts are leading the race, could this create a positive impact for the stock market when we start 1st trading day on 02 Jan 2026? In this article, we would like to discuss these two questions — (1) the potential impact of hawkish FOMC minutes on tech stocks around the final US trading week of 2025, and (2) whether the prospects for a more dovish Fed Chair could lift sentiment into the first trading day of 2026. Key Fed & Market Developments Late 2025–Early 2026 Could hawkish FOMC minutes add pressure on tech stocks at year-end? Yes — haw

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ H200 China sales still hinges on demand from customers in China, though Nvidia reportedly saw strong interest in its H200 AI processors. So there have been news of Huawei Ascend 910C Accelerator challenging Nvidia H200. If you have been dabbling with AI development, one would look at maturation of the technology, adaptation of current AI model and infrastructure to any new hardware (e.g. Chips). So in this article, I would like to share what I think of the current situational and investment-oriented assessment of Nvidia’s H200 China sales prospects, the competitive positioning of Huawei’s Ascend line (especially the 910C), and the implications for Nvidia’s longer-term dominance with CUDA and overall AI infrastructure leadership. Chi

Wedbush analysts see $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ hitting a $1 trillion valuation over the next two to three years. Palantir's ability to "close up" (justify) its high valuation in 2026 would be in intense debate among analysts, with a possible outcome dependent on the company sustaining its current explosive growth, especially in its commercial AI platform business. In this article, we would like to discuss if Palantir (PLTR) could gather a rally into 2026, focusing on valuation concerns, potential catalysts, and what specific trading opportunities might emerge. I am holding PLTR for long-term but have been trading using option or swing trade whenever there is an upside opportunities from Palantir, so for 2026, I might be doing the same wit