$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ With this earnings report, NVIDIA has cemented its status as the Federal Reserve of the AI world. Going forward, its earnings releases will be roughly equivalent to macroeconomic data releases. I haven't figured out the full implications yet, but one thing is clear: the nature of the company has changed. Wednesday's largest block trade combo was Sell Put 200 + Buy Call 220 + Sell Call 230. As today's opening showed — opening at 222, hitting 225 intraday — it was remarkably precise. Next week, there's no need to look at open interest data or GEX analysis. Just reference today's intraday block trade: the September 4-expiry 235 Put $NVDA 20260904 235.0 PUT$ — volume 9,1

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ A knockout move. Someone opened a 100,000-contract call combo with a notional value of nearly $10 million — buying 100,000 contracts of this week's 230 call$NVDA 20260828 230.0 CALL$  while selling this week's 240 call$NVDA 20260828 240.0 CALL$. Ten million dollars on weekly options — is this just throwing money around, or do they actually know something? Either way, if NVIDIA's stock rallies to 230 after tomorrow's earnings, it would give the U.S. stock market a serious boost ju

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's post-earnings data on Wednesday was good, but it had little impact on the stock price. The real driver is the September 18 Triple Witching open interest settlement: the top Calls and top Puts will be max-pained, pinning the stock in the $200–210 range. So it's hard to see a directional trend before Triple Witching. Take Pelosi buying the dip on INTC — before Triple Witching, INTC will struggle to break above 110, and it's also hard to break above 100. If you hold the underlying stock, consider selling the 100 call $INTC 20260918 100.0 CALL$ to just ride it out through early September. It's worth noting that large block trades can have reverse effects. Earli

Just now, news broke that Pelosi disclosed buying the dip on $Intel(INTC)$ $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ — purchasing 15,000 shares of BE, 10,000 shares of INTC, as well as 500 BE LEAPS calls $BE 20270617 100.0 CALL$  and 500k worth of INTC LEAPS calls $INTC 20270617 50.0 CALL$. Using deep ITM LEAPS calls to buy the dip has many advantages: you only need half the capital to gain exposure equivalent to 100 shares of the underlying stock. Deep ITM calls are resistant to downside moves and can be exercised. The only drawback is that leverage is lower than OTM calls. BE was once a cor

$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ It's Bitcoin's shorts' turn to get squeezed. This is quite instructive — so what other products out there currently have high short interest? Speaking of which, I saw a large 100,000-contract bearish block trade a few days ago $IBIT 20281215 20.0 PUT$ , with notional volume of roughly $30+ million. Although it hasn't been closed yet, it's currently down 15%. Fortunately, it's a long-dated put, which is more resistant to downward moves — a near-term put would probably be down 50% by now. Bullish call block trades are the 39.5 call and 45 call $IBIT 20260925 39.5 CALL$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ There's really not much point in looking at SPY's options activity anymore — it's really hard to make it drop. If it does drop, just sell puts. The Trump Account is basically a cheat code for the S&P 500. It indirectly turns every oversold trillion-dollar stock into a market-lifting reserve. So don't be fooled by AVGO getting hammered — it's a bear trap, storing up fuel for the broader market rally. A block trade opened 10,000 contracts of the 355 Sell Put $AVGO 20260831 355.0 PUT$ — the trader is definitely betting on this dynamic. The only thing is, Trump isn't entirely satisfied with the current account registration numbers yet, so he's stepp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ QQQ suddenly initiated a small pullback, with the target being the starting price from August 3, around 710. SPY also looks like it's heading for a pullback to 760. This pullback isn't actually that small, but compared to July, it is. In terms of magnitude, it's simply giving back the excess gains from August 4. Even if it pulls back to 760, SPY's August gains would still be positive. The VIX 24 Call opened 146,600 contracts $VIX 20260916 24.0 CALL$ . Compared to the previous 28 Call opening, this is relatively moderate — suggesting that this pullback will likely push the VIX only into the low 20s. $SanDisk Corp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The subtitle of this article is: "We are all just pieces in Wall Street's game." To sum up the recent market action: squeeze the shorts to kill the bears, then nurture the bulls; then crash the market to kill the bulls and feed the bears — and so the cycle continues, giving SPY fresh momentum every time. The SPY block trade worth noting is this August 31-expiry 785 call $SPY 20260831 785.0 CALL$, opening 33,000 contracts — this is a roll, and the pre-roll position was the August 14-expiry 750 call $SPY 20260814 750.0 CALL$. In any case, even though we don't know which sector will lead t

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ are in an awkward position — especially CRWV. The key takeaway from earnings isn't in the financial results themselves, but outside the filings: GPU rental prices. It's similar to how storage stocks are priced — earnings only become interesting after long-term agreements (LTAs) are signed; before that, it's all about whether storage prices are going up. For data centers, both of these companies are heavily leveraged and asset-heavy. Whether they can turn a profit depends entirely on whether GPUs can be rented at good prices. If GPU rental prices fall, even stellar earnings won't save the stock — because institutions will reason that if you're renting cheap but bought

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The news came out the day before yesterday that Anthropic is planning an IPO in September or early October. That would be right after Triple Witching on 9/18 — which roughly translates to bullish after Triple Witching. The bullish playbook is probably similar to before: continue squeezing the shorts, with the broader market dipping first then rallying. Oh, SPY might not drop, but some sectors will. IGV opened 50,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 90 put$IGV 20261218 90.0 PUT$ — a buy-side bearish bet with a notional value of approximately $13.5 million. On the same day, PLTR opened 28,000 contracts of the 140 put

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This week, SPY is being held below 780 — not my opinion, but dictated by the Bull Call Spreads: $SPY 20260814 780.0 CALL$ $SPY 20260814 788.0 CALL$ Rotation is back in play, with semiconductors once again becoming the sector being reined in. Last week's big regulator, NVIDIA, pulled back, while pharmaceuticals and software rebounded. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ There are two possible scenarios for this week: one is the stock being trapped in a 125–135 consolidation range; the other is breaking above 135 and trading in a 135–155 range. Either way, selli

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Friday's nonfarm payrolls data is the big test, but Wednesday's ADP small employment report showed only 44,000 new jobs — missing expectations — which has made the market less certain about a September rate hike. It's not out of the question that SPY could retrace to 760 over the next two weeks. After that pullback, it's expected to remain in a high-level consolidation range. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ All seven storage companies have now reported earnings: Samsung, Hynix, Micron, SNDK, Kioxia, WDC, and STX. There's nothing wrong with the earnings themselves — the only problem is that prices got too expensive and got in the way of the cloud providers. How could a Korean storage comp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This is the most aggressive single-leg bullish bet I've ever seen: $SPY 20260821 785.0 CALL$  — a block trade buying the August 21-expiry 785 call, opening 85,000 contracts. $SPY 20260814 775.0 CALL$— a block trade buying the August 14-expiry 775 call, opening 85,000 contracts. $SPY 20260918 820.0 CALL$ — a block trade buying the September 18-expiry 820 call, opening 26,000 contracts. Notably, the 785 call is a roll — the previously mentioned $SPY 20260821

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ I think these two lines are all the headline this article needs today. No need to analyze any other stocks. SPY has rallied to 775 — just close your eyes and pick any stock, and you'd make money. SPY dropped a massive block trade on the market — the August 21-expiry 775 call $SPY 20260821 775.0 CALL$ opened 50,000 contracts (buy-side). And today, more large bullish call trades continued to open during the session: 49,700 contracts of the August 14-expiry 775 call l$SPY 20260814 775.0 CALL$ , and 20,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 820 call

Wall Street Is Squeezing Both Sides — Every Bull and Bear That Discloses a Position Gets Crushed After taking down bullish trader Leopold last week, the market opened on Monday with a short squeeze that caught bears off guard. Following Leopold's announcement that he was liquidating his fund, well-known short seller Burry declared on July 30 that he was continuing to short Micron and NVDA — adding to his Micron short at 880 and his SOXX short at 506. Then Monday brought a massive rally, effectively putting the shorts back on the fire. Both bulls and bears got burned, but SPY came out on top again. This aligns with our analysis from last Friday — SPY's rise is a political mandate. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Where does the funding for SPY's political mandate

"Stock God" Leopold was margin-called and forced to transfer his holdings — Citadel Securities swooped in and picked them up at a bargain price. The very next day, the market rebounded sharply with a massive surge. There's something worth reminding everyone about: Citadel Securities acquired Morgan Stanley's options market-making business in 2025 and is likely the largest options market maker in the market today. As we all know, options liquidity is provided by market makers, so Leopold's large block buy orders were essentially visible chips in the eyes of the market makers. This reminds me of the old saying — "the mantis stalks the cicada, unaware of the oriole behind." The large block trades I've been tracking might just be fat lambs waiting to be sheared in the eyes of the market makers

The July FOMC confirmed no rate hike — that's good. The U.S. stock market really can't handle any more turbulence right now. It may seem "reasonable" that only South Korea and Japan are plummeting, but in reality, it's not reasonable at all. The 100,000-contract IGV weekly call position $IGV 20260731 88.0 CALL$ was closed before Tuesday's close. Although IGV continued to rise today, for weekly options with less than five days to expiration, the trading discipline is exactly that — open on the day, close on the same day or the next. The noteworthy point is that I initially thought this trade was betting on upside from MSFT and META earnings, and that after closing it would at least roll into a new position. But the block trad

The biggest difference between this week and last: negative sentiment toward memory chips is finally spreading widely. Last week was "buy the dip with full confidence"; but after CXMT's listing Monday, plus news of mass-produced Chinese DUV, fears of surging supply crushed an already fragile uptrend. For some names, a monthly pullback has turned into a quarterly one, and panic is fully setting in. Yet Tuesday's semiconductor crash didn't drag the broad market down—which, to me, isn't a good sign. Last week someone traded 70,000 contracts of the Aug 19 29 call$VIX 20260819 29.0 CALL$  . If the market won't correct even now, what is this VIX call betting on? Surely not a rate hike at Wednesday's FOMC?

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ A week of major pullback. SPY target remains the same as last week — looking at 710–720. Speaking of which, here's something interesting: software ETF saw a massive bullish (expiration-day) call order last Friday. This week's 88 call $IGV 20260731 88.0 CALL$ opened 100,000 contracts — that's $20 million spent on weekly options. And it actually rose on Monday. So can we chase IGV? Naturally, no. Currently, semiconductors and software are seesawing — the reason is that sentiment has temporarily shifted toward the software sector, which has richer cash flows. Notably, IGV's top holding is Microsoft. There is broad consensus that this week's earnings wil