$Intel(INTC)$ Tonight's short squeeze in CPU concept stocks was spectacular — AMD hit a trillion-dollar market cap intraday, and Pelosi's ITM call position rose 23% $INTC 20270319 50.0 CALL$ . The reasons behind this squeeze are complex: various delayed industry catalysts finally fermented — like the Meta App Store ranking news we'd been talking about all last week, which only exploded today, and then the C-end application surge, which in turn benefited chips; the crude oil plunge cooled inflation expectations; Of course, the most important factor was the positioning of the chips. The expectation of a late-September pullback was so deeply ingrained that last week saw a pile of Sell

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Thursday's meeting didn't just deliver one rate hike — it also signaled another hike later this year, which is about as hawkish as it gets. Maxing out expectations isn't necessarily bad — it means the market's next focus won't be on data beating expectations, but on what happens if data comes in below expectations. But after the hawkish hike, the market didn't pull back significantly — tech stocks rebounded and led the gains. This is the current "three highs" environment: high growth, high inflation, high rates. According to late-September tradition, the market should pull back. But looking at the directional bets from large block trades, bulls and bears are split roughly 50/50 — you could even say the bullish side

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Based on GEX analysis, SPY is likely to close at 750 this week — rate hike or not, that's the price. Barring any surprises, low-level consolidation should begin next week. Also interesting: GLD saw a buy-side opening of 15,000 contracts on the 430 Call $GLD 20261120 430.0 CALL$ — suggesting gold has a high probability of bottoming out after Friday's meeting. $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Everyone thinks Trump is about to make a deal, but before any deal, there will surely be one more round of death threats. Generally, Trump chooses to announce during trading hours on a weekday — he won't pick a weekend wh

Over the weekend, the three tech giants reached a verbal agreement to slow AI development, causing AI-related concept stocks to plunge — hardware fell, and cloud giants fell too. But I'm thinking about something else: Anthropic's post-IPO earnings and stock performance will likely be very hard to predict, because the CEO can say whatever he wants. Data disclosure is one thing; the earnings call is another. The broader market pullback driven by the three giants' rhetoric looks like a great Sell Put opportunity to me. I mean, do you believe commercial companies won't compete, or do you believe I'm Qin Shi Huang? The verbal slowdown has no actual capex data to back it up — it looks more like expectation management. One explanation for the three giants' slowdown is that they're compromising wi

30-year Treasury yields hit another new high, and oil prices continued rising, breaking above $100. Trump said oil prices won't fall until after the midterm elections — meaning there's one last push higher — so oil prices duly rallied first. The broader market dipped slightly. As long as Friday's CPI isn't too outrageous, the likely outcome is a dip-and-rebound. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Judging from call openings, the target for this MUSE-driven move is 700, with many large block trades opening $META 20261002 670.0 CALL$  $META 20261016 800.0 CALL$ . But whether it can reach that level and the path it takes

Today's market is quite eventful — oil broke through $100/barrel, gold rose, Bitcoin rose, Treasury yields rose, semiconductors rose, and even the VIX rose. The only thing that fell was the broader market. Macro inflation is heading higher, but the AI industry outlook is also bullish — it's a "each to their own" kind of dynamic. I'd suggest paying close attention to GPT-6 Astra. The fact that it can lift semiconductors in such a challenging macro environment makes me wonder how much higher they'd fly if the macro environment were actually favorable. Also, we should expect a wave of positive news from closed-source models going forward. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Pre-market, META announced its new personal AI assistant, MUSE, which has already cl

$Intel(INTC)$ This time, Intel is the star of the short squeeze. Last week, I warned everyone not to sell naked calls. The consequence of a month-long consolidation and trading below 90 is that a large number of Sell Calls accumulated at four strike levels: 95, 100, 105, and 110. After all, there wasn't much expectation of a rally before the September 18 Triple Witching. But then Tuesday's pre-market gap-up broke through 100 — a sudden squeeze. It also broke above 105 intraday. At this point, it looks like it may challenge the 110 resistance level. Probably similar to NVIDIA — breaking through the 230 resistance before pulling back. In other words, INTC will likely break through 110 before a pullback. On the options front, large at-the-money Sell

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The market's script over the past two days is almost identical to last month's — a rally in the first few days of the month, led by NVIDIA. The only question is whether the consolidation and pullback that followed will also be the same. If that's the playbook, then after tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls data is released, the market will gap up and sell off. The expected minimum pullback level over the next two weeks is 755 $SPY 20260911 755.0 PUT$ $SPY 20260915 755.0 PUT$. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Although I don't think September is a good time to buy calls,

$Apple(AAPL)$ I previously thought that even though Apple is a top-tier contrarian stock, it would at least need to show some pullback given the magnitude of macro rate hikes. But I forgot about Apple's new CEO taking over — his first public appearance is on September 10. Before that, the stock absolutely cannot fall — how would that look? Wall Street these days can't even let the market drop on July 4th, so you really have to appreciate the unwritten rules of the game. In any case, although there is a 340 Sell Call block trade on September 9 $AAPL 20270115 355.0 CALL$ that makes it hard for the stock to break out significantly, I have no doubt that Apple won't fall before next we

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The stock price is currently moving toward the 200–210 center of gravity. You can continue to consider the Sell Call $NVDA 20260911 230.0 CALL$ and Sell Put $NVDA 20260911 200.0 PUT$ strategies. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ Yesterday, EWY had a 20,000-contract Sell Put block trade on the 155 Put $EWY 20261120 155.0 PUT$, which translates to roughly 140 for Hynix $SKHY 20260911 140.0 PUT$. Based on the opening activity, the stock should clo

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ With this earnings report, NVIDIA has cemented its status as the Federal Reserve of the AI world. Going forward, its earnings releases will be roughly equivalent to macroeconomic data releases. I haven't figured out the full implications yet, but one thing is clear: the nature of the company has changed. Wednesday's largest block trade combo was Sell Put 200 + Buy Call 220 + Sell Call 230. As today's opening showed — opening at 222, hitting 225 intraday — it was remarkably precise. Next week, there's no need to look at open interest data or GEX analysis. Just reference today's intraday block trade: the September 4-expiry 235 Put $NVDA 20260904 235.0 PUT$ — volume 9,1

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ A knockout move. Someone opened a 100,000-contract call combo with a notional value of nearly $10 million — buying 100,000 contracts of this week's 230 call$NVDA 20260828 230.0 CALL$  while selling this week's 240 call$NVDA 20260828 240.0 CALL$. Ten million dollars on weekly options — is this just throwing money around, or do they actually know something? Either way, if NVIDIA's stock rallies to 230 after tomorrow's earnings, it would give the U.S. stock market a serious boost ju

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's post-earnings data on Wednesday was good, but it had little impact on the stock price. The real driver is the September 18 Triple Witching open interest settlement: the top Calls and top Puts will be max-pained, pinning the stock in the $200–210 range. So it's hard to see a directional trend before Triple Witching. Take Pelosi buying the dip on INTC — before Triple Witching, INTC will struggle to break above 110, and it's also hard to break above 100. If you hold the underlying stock, consider selling the 100 call $INTC 20260918 100.0 CALL$ to just ride it out through early September. It's worth noting that large block trades can have reverse effects. Earli

Just now, news broke that Pelosi disclosed buying the dip on $Intel(INTC)$ $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ — purchasing 15,000 shares of BE, 10,000 shares of INTC, as well as 500 BE LEAPS calls $BE 20270617 100.0 CALL$  and 500k worth of INTC LEAPS calls $INTC 20270617 50.0 CALL$. Using deep ITM LEAPS calls to buy the dip has many advantages: you only need half the capital to gain exposure equivalent to 100 shares of the underlying stock. Deep ITM calls are resistant to downside moves and can be exercised. The only drawback is that leverage is lower than OTM calls. BE was once a cor

$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ It's Bitcoin's shorts' turn to get squeezed. This is quite instructive — so what other products out there currently have high short interest? Speaking of which, I saw a large 100,000-contract bearish block trade a few days ago $IBIT 20281215 20.0 PUT$ , with notional volume of roughly $30+ million. Although it hasn't been closed yet, it's currently down 15%. Fortunately, it's a long-dated put, which is more resistant to downward moves — a near-term put would probably be down 50% by now. Bullish call block trades are the 39.5 call and 45 call $IBIT 20260925 39.5 CALL$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ There's really not much point in looking at SPY's options activity anymore — it's really hard to make it drop. If it does drop, just sell puts. The Trump Account is basically a cheat code for the S&P 500. It indirectly turns every oversold trillion-dollar stock into a market-lifting reserve. So don't be fooled by AVGO getting hammered — it's a bear trap, storing up fuel for the broader market rally. A block trade opened 10,000 contracts of the 355 Sell Put $AVGO 20260831 355.0 PUT$ — the trader is definitely betting on this dynamic. The only thing is, Trump isn't entirely satisfied with the current account registration numbers yet, so he's stepp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ QQQ suddenly initiated a small pullback, with the target being the starting price from August 3, around 710. SPY also looks like it's heading for a pullback to 760. This pullback isn't actually that small, but compared to July, it is. In terms of magnitude, it's simply giving back the excess gains from August 4. Even if it pulls back to 760, SPY's August gains would still be positive. The VIX 24 Call opened 146,600 contracts $VIX 20260916 24.0 CALL$ . Compared to the previous 28 Call opening, this is relatively moderate — suggesting that this pullback will likely push the VIX only into the low 20s. $SanDisk Corp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The subtitle of this article is: "We are all just pieces in Wall Street's game." To sum up the recent market action: squeeze the shorts to kill the bears, then nurture the bulls; then crash the market to kill the bulls and feed the bears — and so the cycle continues, giving SPY fresh momentum every time. The SPY block trade worth noting is this August 31-expiry 785 call $SPY 20260831 785.0 CALL$, opening 33,000 contracts — this is a roll, and the pre-roll position was the August 14-expiry 750 call $SPY 20260814 750.0 CALL$. In any case, even though we don't know which sector will lead t

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ are in an awkward position — especially CRWV. The key takeaway from earnings isn't in the financial results themselves, but outside the filings: GPU rental prices. It's similar to how storage stocks are priced — earnings only become interesting after long-term agreements (LTAs) are signed; before that, it's all about whether storage prices are going up. For data centers, both of these companies are heavily leveraged and asset-heavy. Whether they can turn a profit depends entirely on whether GPUs can be rented at good prices. If GPU rental prices fall, even stellar earnings won't save the stock — because institutions will reason that if you're renting cheap but bought