$ECHOIQ LTD(EIQ.AU)$ This is another company that really test our patience. From the charts, it is becoming apparent that patience amongst the investing/speculatively crowd is wearing out. Those in the know or who has followed my previous posts would know that the company has been waiting for a FDA approval. Many deals have been signed pending this approval, so the FDA approval becomes increasingly weighted. The failure to get approval could spelt a large correction in the company shares price. Originally, the approval was gradually priced-in. However, with the recent reversal of price, approval triggered upside potential has also become a lot more mouthwatering, if there's a better word. From chart perspective, EIQ is showing lots of weak
$AML3D LTD(AL3.AU)$ It has been a while I last shared this company. No... I have not sold a single share... And yes, I have been holding on all the way down... Furthermore, I have been actively adding to my position. Sometimes, we do need drawdown control. However, it is still dependent on individual stocks and individual's objective and outlook for the company of interest. AML3D is a company that I had absolute fate on early in its run. I have been raising my position slowly, resulting in a much higher capital base. For the first time since my initial investment, the price had actually gone below my cost! I have added once or twice since. It's not irrational decision, nor is it for the purpose of averaging down. The corporate front was pretty
So rather than buying US Treasuries, and those same JPN investors have begun aggressively selling off US debt to bring their cash home. This is the main reason why US had joined Japan government in JPY intervention to support JPY. The cheaper JPY vs USD, the less sense for Japanese to buy new US Treasury. It also makes a lot of sense to sell USD based Treasury as they will end up with a lot more JPY. So, US Treasury is scared! Dead scare... The house of cards might just come tumbling down... It is strange times... while long term Treasury is now considered risky, US equity is still attractive to a certain extent... until it doesn't... remember that the bond market is so much larger compared to equity market. If bond sneezed 🤧, equity crashes...
@Shernice軒嬣 2000:If Every Country Is in Debt, Who Does the World Owe the Money To?
What you had stated is the normal working government debts system. However, this normal no longer holds: The Failure of the Old Normal - For decades, the global financial system relied on specific "safety valves" that have now stopped working:The Infinite Cheap Capital Loop (Japan): Japan survived a gross debt-to-GDP ratio well over 230% because its interest rates were near 0%. Global investors used this to fund the Yen Carry Trade—borrowing free yen to buy higher-yielding assets like US Treasuries. Because inflation finally broke through Japan's low-growth stagnation, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) had to raise its policy rate. As rates creep higher toward expectations of 1.25%, the carry trade is aggressively unwinding. Furthermore, Japanese 10-year and 30-year bond yields hit multi-decade h
@Shernice軒嬣 2000:If Every Country Is in Debt, Who Does the World Owe the Money To?
Property prices in most parts of Australia are undergoing correction. It is not just inflation triggered interest rate hikes, the new federal government’s policy of removing negative gearing is having a big effect on reducing investor’s appetite. The result is a withdrawal of property investment. This left only first time buyers in the market. Sellers obviously don’t want to sell to this group as they don’t have the money to pay the asking prices. Sales collapse. Inflation from oil prices hike and removal of government fuel prices subsides is not helping. Central bank might have no choice but to raise interest rate again. Australian inflation has stayed stubbornly high compared to those seen in Singapore. Banks are no doubt benefiting from rates hikes however with less property transaction
@koolgal:🌟🌟Navigating the ASX right now feels like walking on a tightrope. Between 3 rate hikes by RBA pushing official cash rate to 4.35%, looming Federal Budget capital gains changes & persistent July inflation print of 3.5%, market anxiety is running high. If forced to trim my holdings, I would lighten up my positions in B: Property shares first, closely followed by A: Tech stocks. I would also increase my exposure to D: Bank stocks. When interest rates tick higher, the real estate sector gets hit by a double whammy of structural pain: 1: The capital value of commercial property portfolio falls. 2: The big debt service obligations spike instantly, eating into dividends. Tech stocks: High tech names like WiseTech makes it a target for profit taking. I would rotate into Aust
Losing money in a trading session doesn't mean we can't celebrate with food
I have come here especially to buy mooncake to take back to Australia. The traditional teochew yam paste mooncake from Crown Hotel has been shifted over here. Took me a while to find the hotel - Amara. I was basically walking passed the entrance without realisation! Ended up having lunch here as well. I was not too hungry, and they offer dim sum lunch, which suits my current lack in appetite. Had a balanced diet, a porridge (abalone anyone?), beancurd rolls and siu mai, washed down with a fine pot of Chinese tea. Oh... I forgot its free starter, a guava with dried orange peel! Totally gently sweet and refreshing... It's not your normal dim sum... a classy one. Oh... Let's forget the price for this nice meal 😜 Let's just say the service and ambience makes up for it to give the meal a
$Silvercorp Metals Inc(SVM)$ Revisit SVM, which is going from strength to strength. Despite silver price struggled overnight in US trading session, SVM was able to continue its strong march forward. In fact, upon hitting a recent low at $8.50, followed by a confirmation of inverted head and shoulders, the share price has not looked back. The main reason is linked to the recent backflow in interest in precious metals group in general. Gold has moved from $4000 to $4700 and silver from $55 to now finally assaulting $70 target 🎯. What a turnaround in a couple of weeks! As discussed in another article not long ago, there is a separate reason. SVM has over the years quietly transformed itself. It is no longer a China only silver mining company, neither
$ALKANE RESOURCES LTD(ALK.AU)$ The 2nd coming of gold... just like the 2nd coming of Trump... 2nd coming of Trump proves challenging for US and world at large, but the die was casted and the train 🚆 could not be stopped. The 2nd coming of gold is equally inevitable... the train 🚂 has also left the station... Trump, going headlessly and needlessly into war, both physically and economically, has pushed dedollarisation ahead in time. US dollars 💸, with the raising fiscal deficit and compounding debts, is an unstoppable train. Elon Musk, loves him or hates him, is a respected player in the economic game. I agree with him that the US debts could only be stopped if AI and robots outmanoeuvred the economy, generating excess that makes the debts redunda
$Sun Silver Ltd(SS1.AU)$ I know... still the silver theme... not on AGQ for now, but obviously still related. Silver is hovering around $68.8, a resistance line. The silver price had consolidated and cleared $64.4. It appears that this $68.8-$70 resistance proved a little stubborn. There is a good chance silver price will bounce around this range for a bit, however looking at the secondary charts and the gold charts, the increasing volume and bounce off of RSI and KDJ appears to give silver price that boost to clear $70 sooner rather than later. Sun Silver appears to require this timely boost. Its RSI and KDJ indicators are both pointing downward, which is conflicted by the MACD, which is very much in positive territory. There's also a big spike
Gee… I heard most of these 500 will be doing sales… investment-linked insurance types… which is something I had experienced buying. Mixed bags of feelings… insurance should be what it is, protection. Investment on the other hand should also be what it is, growth and wealth… mixing both together might appear enticing for many older folks who don’t really know investing and simply want more interest for their savings… if the sales pitch says as it is, I would be fine, since even the non-educated would have been informed. A pity, from my past experiences, sales are sales. There’s always a glorifying package that masks 🎭 the actual product. I can only say that as Singaporeans become more affluent (assets and CPF rich), with cars 🚘 being so expensive, those savings have nowhere to go to, it’s n
@koolgal:🌟For years, international fund managers dismissed the Singapore stock market as a slow moving retirement village - a dull boring market with old school banks , matured REITs & industrial conglomerates. Not any more. The Singapore market is now very much a vibrant market attracting global Institutional titans & ultra high net worth family offices looking for a safe haven to park their assets. That is why my answer is A: I am still bullish on $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ When DBS launches a campaign to hire 500+ young local professionals to scale its technology & wealth pipelines, it sends a clear message:
I think she was correct to thank Buddha… she has been in Singapore for some time, she should know it’s for the wandering ghosts… so she was asking for Buddha’s help to protect her and count her blessings… especially she was doing it to gain frame as a netizen. Why else would she do it? Seriously… just because of fruit??! I don’t believe that… Chinese are much clever than that, bus drivers or otherwise…
@Shernice軒嬣 2000:Fruit so expensive in SG, bus driver takes Hungry Ghost offerings for free snack!" 🍊👻
I read about when you first started… think that was around COVID in 2020… you are still considered a newbie but you have started well… the one thing you didn’t have is to experience the market crashes… that would test your mantle and set you up as a true investor… [Chuckle][Evil] With a solid foundation, I am sure you will learn how to adjust when it comes. Just to be sure, market gives what it wants. We have to accept what it gives… of course, you could have a different view once you have experienced the baptism of fire 🔥…
@koolgal:🌟Dear Tiger Friends, Can you guess the year I started investing when the hottest, most culturally explosive stock was $GameStop(GME)$ ? This video game meme stock kingpin delivered a mind boggling, retail driven total return of over 815%! It was a year when Main Street pit their strength against Wall Street. It was a time when online retail forums, led by the legendary "Roaring Kitty" aka Keith Gill banded together to trigger a historic, multi billion dollar short squeeze that completely broke traditional Wall Street risk models and sent institutional short sellers into a total liquidation panic. For a brief intoxicating moment, the online forums & retail "Ordinary Joes" felt completely untouchable. But the reality of corpo
$ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$ It has been a week from my last article on AGQ, shared as an attachment below again for anyone who missed it. As I am not using a desktop version of the app, I have no idea how to share the link itself. Obviously, one way is to look at my username for those articles if you like what you read and wanted more. Silver price has indeed trended upwards since last week's update. I took a little nibble to fund my teh O kosong a couple of days ago. Otherwise, I am fully on the ride to the initial targeted price of around $100 as mentioned in last week's article. I don't have too big a position for AGQ in 🐯 even after adding to the original position prior to this new run. Therefore, I can sleep w
$American Tungsten & Antimony Ltd(AT4.AU)$ When the stocks all around are flashing red, we need those winners to keep up our spirits... AT4, probably not your typical go-to winner at times of volatility, has its strengths. A typical winner for downturns especially in tech, which I had shared previously, is an ETF such as $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ . It's not one that we normally hold in a portfolio with its time decay component for such leverage ETFs, which I had shared too. But, these are not normal times. Many retail traders or "investors" might disagree. I have gone through too many major market crashes to act any cool 😎 that party 🎉 🥳 is here to stay for
stagflation is still a variable threat especially with the oil and gas prices still holding up or creeping higher now and then. With the war, it's not like the US national debt has any way to go but up... the indices might appear rebounding after corrections, the rebounds are increasingly weaker and seemingly supported by those components big tech companies rather than broad based buying. Furthermore, with Nasdaq's money 💰🤑 grabbing stint for companies such as $SpaceX(SPCX)$ , the index itself is no longer a good balance gauge of overall sentiments of the investment crowd. There's always a trigger or money sucking event that ends a 🐂, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ 's craze is as good as any... to signal a possible nex
$ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$ Not going to write ✍️ much for this... My last article on AGQ and silver still stands... Obviously, given the nature of this ETF, if silver price stagnant and improves gradually, not to mention moving down, AGQ would suffer from time decay effects and the price would go lower. I believe silver price has bottomed. Gold found its support around $4000, silver at $55. From a chart prospective, it's currently in uptrend with its near term support at $64.5. Remember that in one of my past articles, I had fixed a near term target of $68.8. AGQ, likewise hits a bottom near $57.65. $78.70 was my first checkpoint (which has now overcome). We are still shooting for $100. It appears that this target is still intact... Obviou