Dell's ISG segment grew 34% YoY, driven by a 58% surge in server and networking revenue. Dell shipped $2.9 billion in AI servers during Q3 FY25, with a backlog reaching $4.5 billion. CSG revenue declined 1% YoY as consumer sales fell 18%, offset by a 3% rise in commercial PCs. Dell's AI solutions, including the industry-leading XE9680, outshine Super Micro with unmatched density, liquid cooling efficiency, and turnkey integration. Dell's 25% ISG growth forecast appears conservative, given the AI server market's 35% CAGR and robust enterprise demand. Hispanolistic Investment Thesis While most of the world is racing for AI, few companies are as pivotal in the quiet AI ecosystem as Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL). Much of the attention has fall
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Why Dell's Post-Earnings Drop Is A Gift
Why Dell's Post-Earnings Drop Is A Gift
Why SoundHound's Risk Profile Is Improving
SoundHound's Q3 revenue reached $25.1 million, up 89% YoY, driven by demand across multiple industries. Revenue reliance on the largest client dropped from 72% to 12%, diversifying and stabilizing revenue streams. Partnerships with Stellantis and quick-service restaurants position SoundHound in transaction-heavy industries with a $140 billion TAM. Proprietary products like Chat AI and Polaris enable efficiency and scalability across diverse sectors, doubling query capacity. At 35.4x forward P/S, SoundHound's 74% forward growth rate significantly outpaces the sector median of 5.52%. da-kuk/E+ via Getty Images Investment Thesis SoundHound’s (NASDAQ:SOUN) recent operational improvements have significantly enhanced its investment appeal by mit
Why SoundHound's Risk Profile Is Improving
Why I Trimmed Alibaba Exposure But Remain Bullish
Taobao and Tmall generated RMB99 billion in revenue, with strong customer retention and a 2% rise in management revenue. Alibaba Cloud grew 7%, driven by AI services, with adjusted EBITA up 89% and 9% margin increase. The AIDC segment saw 29% YoY growth, with AliExpress focusing on faster delivery to boost margins. Alibaba repurchased $10 billion worth of shares in H1 FY2025, reducing the share count by 4.4% and attracting HK$46 billion inflows. Alibaba’s stock price of $83 is below the $90 target, with neutral momentum and subdued volume, indicating range-bound movement. Robert Way Investment Thesis Following up on my earlier analysis, Alibaba Group (NYSE:
Why I Trimmed Alibaba Exposure But Remain Bullish
Unlocking Zeta Global Holdings' Market Potential
Zeta Global Holdings achieved 42% YoY revenue growth in Q3 2024, excluding political revenue, a robust 31% increase. Scaled client ARPU rose 33% YoY to $557K, highlighting strong upselling and cross-selling within accounts. Adjusted EBITDA grew 59% YoY to $54 million, with margins expanding 2.1 percentage points to 20%. 2024 revenue guidance increased by $61 million to a $986 million midpoint, reflecting 35% YoY growth. Direct revenue now makes up 70% of total revenue, up from 67%, improving gross margins and client control. ArtemisDiana Investment Thesis Zeta Global Holdings (NYSE:ZETA) rewrites the growth playbook in enterprise software and AI-driven marketing. With a disruptive platform and world-class client relationships, Zeta is addi
Unlocking Zeta Global Holdings' Market Potential
Why ZIM Integrated Thrives Amid Market Chaos
ZIM outperformed the market, delivering a 32% return in two months, reflecting its undervaluation and growth. Forward P/E ratio of 2.17 (89% below sector median) and forward P/S ratio of 0.42 (74% below). $2.8 billion revenue (+117% YoY), $1.1 billion net income, 55% EBITDA margin, and 45% EBIT margin. Q3 2024 Free Cash Flow reached $1.5 billion, a nearly 5X increase from $328 million in Q3 2023. 50% fleet newbuilds by 2024, including 28 LNG-powered ships, boosting efficiency and aligning with ESG mandates. Michael H/DigitalVision via Getty Images Investment Thesis Two months after our bullish rating on ZIM Integrated Shipping (NYSE:
Why ZIM Integrated Thrives Amid Market Chaos
Vale Battles Market Headwinds Despite Growth
Vale’s Q3 iron ore production reached 90.97 million metric tons, the highest since 2019, up 12.9% quarter-over-quarter. Production gains in copper and nickel rose 9.3% and 68.8% respectively, supported by operational improvements in Sossego and Sudbury. Declining iron ore prices, driven by reduced Chinese demand, cut realized prices 7.7% quarter-over-quarter to $90.6 per ton. Rising freight and operational costs, alongside a $956 million provision for the 2015 Mariana dam incident, pressured margins. Premium adjustments on high-grade iron ore mitigated some losses, helping Vale offset declining market prices amid demand fluctuations. Monty Rakusen Investment Thesis Since our last coverage, V
Vale Battles Market Headwinds Despite Growth
Palantir: Why Taking Profits Makes Sense Now
Palantir’s customer base grew 71% from December 2022 to September 2024, reaching 629 customers, driven by strong commercial demand. Commercial customer growth surged 91.5% from Q4 2022 to Q3 2024, positioning Palantir to reduce reliance on government contracts. U.S. commercial customers saw 124.5% growth over the same period, highlighting Palantir’s successful expansion in its domestic market. SBC remains high, reaching $142.4 million in Q3 2024, limiting profitability and diluting shareholder value. With RSI at 81.66, Palantir's stock is overbought, suggesting a potential pullback; current valuation offers a profit-booking opportunity. piranka Investment Thesis As a long-time bull on Palantir (NYSE:PLTR), I’ve seen my conviction in this i
Palantir: Why Taking Profits Makes Sense Now
AMD: Why I'm Doubling Down
Data Center revenue hit $3.5 billion in Q3 2024, growing 122% year-over-year, fueled by AI demand. Ryzen processors drove Client segment revenue to $1.9 billion, a 29% year-over-year increase, bolstering AMD’s profitability. Data Center operating income soared 240% to $1.041 billion, reflecting strong margins and high-demand products like EPYC CPUs. Gaming revenue dropped 69% to $462 million, while Embedded fell 25%, impacting AMD’s growth diversification. AMD trades near $140, with a technical target of $196, bolstered by November’s favorable seasonality and momentum indicators. da-kuk/E+ via Getty Images Investment Thesis Since our last coverage, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:
AMD: Why I'm Doubling Down
Following Q3 Results, PayPal's Path To $96 Is Clear
PYPL's technical target is revised to $96 by year-end, supported by recent earnings momentum and alignment with key Fibonacci levels. PayPal’s transaction volume grew by 1.47 billion from Q1 2022 to Q3 2024, showing stable user growth and engagement. EPS increased 146% from Q1 2022 to Q3 2024, reflecting effective cost management and improved profitability margins. The forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.5 is 58.52% below its five-year average, highlighting significant undervaluation potential. Non-GAAP operating income grew by 18% YoY in Q3 2024, despite a slight revenue growth deceleration to 6%. JasonDoiy Investment Thesis Since our last coverage, PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:
Following Q3 Results, PayPal's Path To $96 Is Clear
Meta's Q3 Performance Solidifies Technical Path To $625
Meta’s Q3 revenue surged 19% year-over-year to $40.6 billion, driven by strong ad performance and AI integration. Operating margin improved to 43% from 40% last year, reflecting operational efficiency despite high CapEx guidance of $38-40 billion. AI and Reality Labs investments remain central to Meta’s growth, with AI enhancements boosting ad relevancy and user engagement. Meta’s stock target stands at $625, supported by technical levels and improving fundamentals within its core advertising business. grinvalds/iStock via Getty Images Investment Thesis Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) recently announced surprisingly strong Q3 2024 results, inc
Meta's Q3 Performance Solidifies Technical Path To $625
Intel's Comeback Story Gains Momentum
Intel’s revenue reached $35.9 billion YTD 2024, growing 6.2%, while operating margins rose to 27%, showing cost management improvements. Core Ultra 200V and 200S processors address AI demand in mobile and desktop markets, with a projected 100 million AI PCs by 2025. The x86 Ecosystem Advisory Group boosts software compatibility, accelerating the adoption of AI-compatible Intel-based systems. Intel’s independent foundry unit targets new clients backed by AWS investments and U.S. government funding. Intel faces intense competition from Nvidia, production delays, and financial strain from workforce cuts and unproven foundry ventures. tupungato Investment Thesis Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) is stepping up its game with a powerful combinatio
Intel's Comeback Story Gains Momentum
Inside Super Micro's Crisis: 5 Scenarios That Could Define Its Future (Rating Downgrade)
SMCI's stock fell over 45% following governance issues and auditor EY’s resignation, highlighting significant risks. Ernst & Young cited concerns over SMCI's "integrity and ethical values," heightening scrutiny on financial controls and governance. Scenarios range from appointing a Big Four auditor and timely filing to regulatory scrutiny and potential NASDAQ delisting. A loan amendment with Cathay Bank grants SMCI until Dec. 31 to file financials but requires $150M in cash reserves. SMCI’s ongoing issues suggest a wait-and-see approach until governance is improved, and a credible auditor is appointed. peshkov Investment Thesis Since our last coverage of Super
Inside Super Micro's Crisis: 5 Scenarios That Could Define Its Future (Rating Downgrade)
Visa's Growth Unshaken By Regulatory Risks
Visa achieved an 8% YoY increase in Q4 payments volume, driven by stable U.S. demand and strong international growth. Cross-border volume rose 13% YoY, with e-commerce fueling a 15% increase in card-not-present transactions, underscoring digital demand. Processed transactions grew 10% YoY, strengthening Visa’s market dominance and aligning with its FY 2025 growth guidance. Value-added services reached $2.4 billion, a 22% YoY increase, highlighting Visa's successful diversification beyond traditional payment processing. Regulatory scrutiny over Visa’s market dominance, particularly in U.S. debit transactions, poses ongoing legal and revenue risks. FinkAvenue Investment Thesis Since our last cove
Visa's Growth Unshaken By Regulatory Risks
SurgePays Hit By Sharp Revenue Decline (Rating Downgrade)
Q2 2024 sales fell sharply to $15.1 million from $35.9 million, primarily due to ACP funding cuts. Gross profit dropped to a -$3.4 million loss in Q2 from a $10 million profit in Q2 2023. Transition to non-subsidized LinkUp Mobile raised costs to retain 280K subscribers, straining cash reserves and profit margins. SG&A expenses surged 101% year-over-year in Q2, driven by stock compensation and consulting fees, worsening cash flow. The announced $5 million stock buyback (~16.5% of market cap) signals management’s confidence, despite ongoing financial challenges. Black_Kira Investment Thesis Given recent developments, we update our investment thesis for SurgePays (NASDAQ:SURG) to reflect heightened caution. Our
SurgePays Hit By Sharp Revenue Decline (Rating Downgrade)
Is Intel's Turnaround Story Over? (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Intel targets over $10 billion in savings by 2025, reducing OpEx to $17.5 billion — a 20% cut. Plans to decrease workforce by over 15% by 2025, aiming to streamline operations and boost profitability. Intel’s Panther Lake and Lunar Lake CPUs target the AI PC market, which is expected to exceed 50% by 2026. Despite revenue growth, Intel reported $2.8 billion in operating losses in Q2 due to higher manufacturing costs. Intel aims to regain process leadership with Intel 18A by 2025, but execution risks lead to a hold rating. tupungato/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Investment Thesis Last month, we evaluated whether Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) has
Is Intel's Turnaround Story Over? (Rating Downgrade)
Why I'm Not Booking Profits On PayPal Yet
Summary PYPL is projected to reach $80 in 2024, with a potential upside to $94 if momentum sustains. PayPal’s TPV grew by 11%, reaching $417 billion, reflecting strong growth across domestic and international markets. Transaction margin dollars rose 8% year-over-year, marking the best performance since 2021 due to product improvements. RSI at 60.55 suggests a neutral-to-bullish outlook, improving momentum and easing selling pressure. PayPal’s partnership with Shopify enhances growth prospects by tapping into a vast merchant network in U.S. e-commerce. da-kuk/E+ via Getty Images Investment Thesis Our medium-term target price of $90 per share for PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:
Why I'm Not Booking Profits On PayPal Yet
Ford Faces Challenges: Will It Rebound?
Summary Ford nears key support at $10.60; its RSI at 42.02 suggests it is oversold, while weak volume limits its short-term upside potential. The UAW strike has caused significant production delays, further raising concerns about Ford's near-term profitability. Ford adjusted its EV strategy, increasing investments but lowering production targets due to demand and supply challenges. Ford Pro remains a high-margin division, projected to generate $70 billion in revenue by the end of 2024. TennesseePhotographer/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Investment Thesis In July, we held a hold rating on Ford (NYSE:F) due to rising ownership costs, decreased affordability, and supply chain disruptions. Since then, F has dropped 23% lower, as recent develo
Ford Faces Challenges: Will It Rebound?
Micron's Secret To AI-Driven Growth
Summary Micron's Q3 2024 revenue surged to $6.8 billion, an 82% YoY increase, driven by AI and data center demand. DRAM contributed 69% of total revenue with 13% sequential growth, while NAND grew 32%, reflecting strong market positioning. AI-related products like high-bandwidth memory led to a 50% revenue increase in the data center segment, and continued growth is expected. Micron's $8 billion CapEx plan focuses on expanding advanced manufacturing and infrastructure to support long-term growth through 2025. MU's RSI at 37 indicates it's nearing oversold territory, while Fibonacci retracement levels suggest a potential bullish reversal if price trends hold. imaginima/iStock via Getty Images Investment Thesis With the increasing demand for AI and data centers, Micron Technology (NASDAQ:
Micron's Secret To AI-Driven Growth
Can NIO Maintain Its Momentum?
Summary The stock is currently in a bullish trend, with a 2024 price target of $6.70, driven by favorable RSI and VPT signals. Vehicle deliveries surged to 57,373 units, a 143.9% YoY increase, boosting vehicle sales revenue by 118.2% from Q2 2023. NIO’s vehicle margin improved to 12.2% from 6.2% in Q2 2023, driven by lower material costs and production efficiencies. Despite rising SG&A expenses and potential share dilution, NIO remains well-positioned for future growth with a robust infrastructure strategy. Robert Way Investment Thesis NIO (NYSE:NIO) has surged by more than 25% since our last coverage in July, entering a clear bullish trend and va
Can NIO Maintain Its Momentum?
Why SoFi's Q3 Could Be A Turning Point
Summary SOFI shows resilience with a 9% return, driven by strong loan demand and a slightly bullish technical outlook despite macroeconomic concerns. SoFi’s diversified platform, improved loan performance, and tight credit risk management underpin long-term growth, though caution is advised due to historical seasonality trends in August. Strong Q2 2024 financials, product innovation, and 58% AUM growth highlight SoFi's operational efficiency and potential for continued expansion. SoFi's Q3 2024 growth reflects an expected 18%-22% increase in adjusted net revenue, driven by expanding financial services and customer acquisition. SOFI's technical analysis shows neutral-to-bullish momentum with an RSI of 54.20, supported by a bullish divergence and increased buying pressure, as indicated by th
Why SoFi's Q3 Could Be A Turning Point
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