MCLmain (Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2607)
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China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the","listText":"Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the","text":"Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/332645e24d877f32b1039531a6926fc0","width":"865","height":"523"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565622732652984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1779102978547,"id":565622732652984,"gmtCreate":1779102873283,"gmtModify":1779102978547,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Trump’s China Visit Ends Below Expectations, Has the Short-Term Pullback in U.S. Stocks Begun?","htmlText":"Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the","listText":"Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the","text":"Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/332645e24d877f32b1039531a6926fc0","width":"865","height":"523"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565622732652984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":564515610690016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":564515610690016,"gmtCreate":1778832666522,"gmtModify":1778843393489,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Positioning Study: Copper Crowded Longs","htmlText":"What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca","listText":"What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca","text":"What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3dffd947649ebc91e9442d862e052176","width":"865","height":"450"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1248fcd3b9441e9bb8f38770708f8456","width":"865","height":"535"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d50c8b25354ab680fa112d14e0692e7f","width":"865","height":"437"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":59,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/564515610690016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843393489,"id":564515610690016,"gmtCreate":1778832666522,"gmtModify":1778843393489,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Positioning Study: Copper Crowded Longs","htmlText":"What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca","listText":"What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca","text":"What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3dffd947649ebc91e9442d862e052176","width":"865","height":"450"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1248fcd3b9441e9bb8f38770708f8456","width":"865","height":"535"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d50c8b25354ab680fa112d14e0692e7f","width":"865","height":"437"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":59,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/564515610690016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":563425723220128,"type":1,"entity":{"id":563425723220128,"gmtCreate":1778574449608,"gmtModify":1778843908892,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Cryptocurrency Trading Opportunities: Shift to Bitcoin and Ethereum Breakouts","htmlText":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","listText":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","text":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3b3a619d24a549a3f0e53903ec9336da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563425723220128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843908892,"id":563425723220128,"gmtCreate":1778574449608,"gmtModify":1778843908892,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Cryptocurrency Trading Opportunities: Shift to Bitcoin and Ethereum Breakouts","htmlText":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","listText":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","text":"Cooling Tensions in the Middle East and Shift in Market Focus As previously anticipated, with the 30/60-day overseas military operation cycle reaching its end without further escalation, the situation in the Middle East has naturally entered a phase of “unstable peace.” This implies that the primary market narrative will extend for another 1–2 quarters, and most asset classes will fall into broad range-bound fluctuations. At this stage, after a sustained rebound, crypto assets may present opportunities to sell at higher levels. Crypto assets, which had dominated market attention in recent years, reached their peak and began to decline after Trump’s second term in the White House. A major contributing factor was the “algorithmic” liquidation event in October last year. Following this event,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3b3a619d24a549a3f0e53903ec9336da"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563425723220128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":563100849238840,"type":1,"entity":{"id":563100849238840,"gmtCreate":1778497013157,"gmtModify":1778843904464,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"“NACHO” Takes Hold: Persistent Oil Risks and the Return of Reflation Trades","htmlText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","listText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","text":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb53625528c60186074a882c8fd7977"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41ac8dcffb6aa1615ccbde25b2ca374e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a325817639e91ed45d4eac7624f791"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":89,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563100849238840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","text":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","html":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","text":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","html":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype."}],"streamModify":1778843904464,"id":563100849238840,"gmtCreate":1778497013157,"gmtModify":1778843904464,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"“NACHO” Takes Hold: Persistent Oil Risks and the Return of Reflation Trades","htmlText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","listText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","text":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb53625528c60186074a882c8fd7977"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41ac8dcffb6aa1615ccbde25b2ca374e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a325817639e91ed45d4eac7624f791"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":89,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563100849238840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":562024788034360,"type":1,"entity":{"id":562024788034360,"gmtCreate":1778234302902,"gmtModify":1778234784910,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly：Mild Net Outflows in US Equity Funds While Massive Capital Bets on the Bond Market","htmlText":"Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of \"extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace.\" Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated \"Operation Liberty\" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the \"acceptance of Pakistani mediation.\" During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-","listText":"Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of \"extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace.\" Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated \"Operation Liberty\" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the \"acceptance of Pakistani mediation.\" During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-","text":"Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of \"extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace.\" Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated \"Operation Liberty\" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the \"acceptance of Pakistani mediation.\" During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f5165305b2c04f0492f04803301afca"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6901d5e938e0d4d703758f8a7004fb59"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2e780660f29a8dc2a823ab707132c33f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/562024788034360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3580519485452891","authorId":"3580519485452891","name":"Options777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4071abef24a0beb44c0b14c0276f1757","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3580519485452891","authorIdStr":"3580519485452891"},"content":"TLDR version; lots of numbers and words but explains as much as saying water is wet","text":"TLDR version; lots of numbers and words but explains as much as saying water is wet","html":"TLDR version; lots of numbers and words but explains as much as saying water is wet"}],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3580519485452891","authorId":"3580519485452891","name":"Options777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4071abef24a0beb44c0b14c0276f1757","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3580519485452891","authorIdStr":"3580519485452891"},"content":"TLDR version; lots of numbers and words but explains as much as saying water is wet","text":"TLDR version; lots of numbers and words but explains as much as saying water is wet","html":"TLDR version; lots of numbers and words but explains as much as saying water is wet"}],"streamModify":1778234784910,"id":562024788034360,"gmtCreate":1778234302902,"gmtModify":1778234784910,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly：Mild Net Outflows in US Equity Funds While Massive Capital Bets on the Bond Market","htmlText":"Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of \"extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace.\" Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated \"Operation Liberty\" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the \"acceptance of Pakistani mediation.\" During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-","listText":"Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of \"extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace.\" Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated \"Operation Liberty\" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the \"acceptance of Pakistani mediation.\" During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-","text":"Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of \"extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace.\" Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated \"Operation Liberty\" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the \"acceptance of Pakistani mediation.\" During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f5165305b2c04f0492f04803301afca"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6901d5e938e0d4d703758f8a7004fb59"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2e780660f29a8dc2a823ab707132c33f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/562024788034360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558831241933160,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558831241933160,"gmtCreate":1777466118408,"gmtModify":1778843891113,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"A Higher Probability Path of “Unstable Peace” Under Remote Signaling Dynamics","htmlText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":202,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843891113,"id":558831241933160,"gmtCreate":1777466118408,"gmtModify":1778843891113,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"A Higher Probability Path of “Unstable Peace” Under Remote Signaling Dynamics","htmlText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","listText":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","text":"Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2f61ed604e8fc1a9cc44150d0857649"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/faab5b4e7202df57d575f8a5c0fe89b0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/769952e4a0691fbb7f506a696dc022ff"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":202,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558831241933160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558506301702968,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558506301702968,"gmtCreate":1777375297450,"gmtModify":1778843884319,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Data: Copper Sentiment Heats Up as Gold Fades","htmlText":"What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see \"who is buying and who is selling.\" CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun","listText":"What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see \"who is buying and who is selling.\" CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun","text":"What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see \"who is buying and who is selling.\" CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/dd77d03d624d814ff9aa607d8e49ec04"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e5a0f1a22cef2e910a76cb0338ad3907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/97e6c919d63ca3904e5840c4cbe77e87"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558506301702968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843884319,"id":558506301702968,"gmtCreate":1777375297450,"gmtModify":1778843884319,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Data: Copper Sentiment Heats Up as Gold Fades","htmlText":"What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see \"who is buying and who is selling.\" CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun","listText":"What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see \"who is buying and who is selling.\" CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun","text":"What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see \"who is buying and who is selling.\" CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/dd77d03d624d814ff9aa607d8e49ec04"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e5a0f1a22cef2e910a76cb0338ad3907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/97e6c919d63ca3904e5840c4cbe77e87"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558506301702968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558104805212624,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1778843872740,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843872740,"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1778843872740,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558026942055224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558026942055224,"gmtCreate":1777258266286,"gmtModify":1778843864024,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"Under the New Landscape, Dollar Assets Face Pressure from All Sides and Oil Trading Strategies","htmlText":"Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.","listText":"Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.","text":"Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a501da758582f99bf7fb18c09ac5ad9f"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/60c05b8176d01ab20d4351735801e0ff"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/12dbdec195dc59fa5e4245a2634e230d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558026942055224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843864024,"id":558026942055224,"gmtCreate":1777258266286,"gmtModify":1778843864024,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"Under the New Landscape, Dollar Assets Face Pressure from All Sides and Oil Trading Strategies","htmlText":"Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.","listText":"Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.","text":"Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a501da758582f99bf7fb18c09ac5ad9f"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/60c05b8176d01ab20d4351735801e0ff"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/12dbdec195dc59fa5e4245a2634e230d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558026942055224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":556696529441232,"type":1,"entity":{"id":556696529441232,"gmtCreate":1776945035266,"gmtModify":1776999708023,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly：Equity Funds Face Deeper Outflows as Falling Metal Inventories Raise Price Risks","htmlText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","listText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","text":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/006173742db76d20c25257ccffde4b6d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/81e8acfd5f098ba1b29b99e16383f1cd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e9d0a1e0857a82012d3384be17da101"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556696529441232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776999708023,"id":556696529441232,"gmtCreate":1776945035266,"gmtModify":1776999708023,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly：Equity Funds Face Deeper Outflows as Falling Metal Inventories Raise Price Risks","htmlText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","listText":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","text":"Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/006173742db76d20c25257ccffde4b6d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/81e8acfd5f098ba1b29b99e16383f1cd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e9d0a1e0857a82012d3384be17da101"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556696529441232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":556722168587064,"type":1,"entity":{"id":556722168587064,"gmtCreate":1776939718076,"gmtModify":1778843851599,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals","htmlText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","listText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","text":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5217d17fed8318946dcff93be0a8cbd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b24d594babfd25c446db45d83ace92"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/785bf33664e0e83041f8aa6e0b5367a3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":38,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556722168587064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843851599,"id":556722168587064,"gmtCreate":1776939718076,"gmtModify":1778843851599,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals","htmlText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","listText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","text":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5217d17fed8318946dcff93be0a8cbd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b24d594babfd25c446db45d83ace92"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/785bf33664e0e83041f8aa6e0b5367a3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":38,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556722168587064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555725039461336,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843841800,"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555722222379992,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843836825,"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":554689079665608,"type":1,"entity":{"id":554689079665608,"gmtCreate":1776428348046,"gmtModify":1778843830519,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital \"Rotation\" Become Evident","htmlText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","listText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","text":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f26227d173f4832340d2aabd87c906c9"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77ce41a356c23bead1baf73e4dd4d2ce"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e221541d0c399428f55941382dcbd189"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1392,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":73,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554689079665608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843830519,"id":554689079665608,"gmtCreate":1776428348046,"gmtModify":1778843830519,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital \"Rotation\" Become Evident","htmlText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","listText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","text":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f26227d173f4832340d2aabd87c906c9"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77ce41a356c23bead1baf73e4dd4d2ce"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e221541d0c399428f55941382dcbd189"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1392,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":73,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554689079665608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":554623411905480,"type":1,"entity":{"id":554623411905480,"gmtCreate":1776412315877,"gmtModify":1776415785264,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?","htmlText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","listText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","text":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3a54cc82e2f8c1d29a509fa85401aa1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c740c78262da4721a0f8b2fae5155b2c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d3e1a7d4a2130f7efead3ccfa34c4de"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554623411905480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776415785264,"id":554623411905480,"gmtCreate":1776412315877,"gmtModify":1776415785264,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?","htmlText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","listText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","text":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3a54cc82e2f8c1d29a509fa85401aa1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c740c78262da4721a0f8b2fae5155b2c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d3e1a7d4a2130f7efead3ccfa34c4de"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554623411905480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":554332254192104,"type":1,"entity":{"id":554332254192104,"gmtCreate":1776341304052,"gmtModify":1776341384810,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off","htmlText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","listText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","text":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f03867bfb79921275114a07280e754fd","width":"881","height":"490"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db45b76eb88d989448a47d4339898b4","width":"853","height":"568"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2898f06a9a977e73e343b7fc75452db5","width":"900","height":"175"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1583,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":62,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554332254192104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776341384810,"id":554332254192104,"gmtCreate":1776341304052,"gmtModify":1776341384810,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off","htmlText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","listText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","text":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f03867bfb79921275114a07280e754fd","width":"881","height":"490"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db45b76eb88d989448a47d4339898b4","width":"853","height":"568"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2898f06a9a977e73e343b7fc75452db5","width":"900","height":"175"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1583,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":62,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554332254192104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553891178676712,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776413088746,"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553592631423960,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776160705067,"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553362476003872,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553362476003872,"gmtCreate":1776135114894,"gmtModify":1778843817817,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap: Under a Fragile Ceasefire, the Strategy to Navigate Bull and Bear Market","htmlText":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. <a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1861861728546827/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221861861728546827%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link:</a>","listText":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. <a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1861861728546827/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221861861728546827%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link:</a>","text":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. Course Link:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":127,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553362476003872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war .","text":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war .","html":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war ."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war .","text":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war .","html":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war ."}],"streamModify":1778843817817,"id":553362476003872,"gmtCreate":1776135114894,"gmtModify":1778843817817,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap: Under a Fragile Ceasefire, the Strategy to Navigate Bull and Bear Market","htmlText":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. <a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1861861728546827/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221861861728546827%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link:</a>","listText":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. <a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1861861728546827/?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221861861728546827%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link:</a>","text":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. Course Link:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":127,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553362476003872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553143631197016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1778843430852,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574752437126777","authorIdStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574752437126777","authorIdStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"streamModify":1778843430852,"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1778843430852,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"New York Mercantile Exchange","code":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","name":"NYMEX","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":20,"zone":"EDT","zoneId":"America/New_York","zoneName":"Eastern Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"MCL2607","contractId":"11f8b3edb39a442a9537696e498bf414","contractMonth":"202607","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"Micro WTI","productExchangeUrl":"https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/micro-wti-crude-oil-futures.html#contract-specifications","productPriceIncrement":"0.01 (USD/barrel) (US$1)","productScale":"100 barrels","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for the current year","productTradingTime":"18:00(T-1)-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$100 x futures price","worth":100},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260618","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1781807400000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":100},"name":"Micro WTI Crude Oil - Jul 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_MCL_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"MCLmain","referMainContractId":"46b7b21297924277b9c40c4899b473cb","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"MCL","symbolId":"FT_SY_MCL","symbolName":"Micro WTI Crude Oil"}}