MESmain (Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612)
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"MESmain","contractId":"756801a759e34e81be7565d922e012e1","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"Micro S&P 500","productExchangeUrl":"https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/micro-e-mini-sandp-500_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 per index point ( US$1.25 )","productScale":"US$5 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$5 USD per index point","worth":5},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":5},"name":"Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_MES_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"MES","symbolId":"FT_SY_MES","symbolName":"Micro E-mini S&P 500"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":620711977570608,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620711977570608,"gmtCreate":1792567734167,"gmtModify":1792567777936,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy: Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Why Selling Puts Still Makes Sense","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87541aaefddaf46201362636c277e40c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620711977570608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274784832471","authorIdStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","text":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","html":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274784832471","authorId":"3479274784832471","name":"quiettt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4631beb8e4e432c5add0866e8379057d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274784832471","authorIdStr":"3479274784832471"},"content":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","text":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break","html":"I don't buy the selloff-is-over part yet. If VIX still stays tame, this bounce can fade fast and the QQQ straddle only gets interesting on a real SPX 120 day break"}],"streamModify":1792567777936,"id":620711977570608,"gmtCreate":1792567734167,"gmtModify":1792567777936,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy: Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Why Selling Puts Still Makes Sense","htmlText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","listText":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","text":"Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how these views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Nvidia Straddle Closed for Profit; Lock In Option Gains Promptly: The previously discussed Nvidia straddle has been closed at a profit. Investors still holding the position should consider taking profits promptly. Profitable calls bought at lower levels should also be monetized into the rebound before lower implied volatility, time decay and weaker buying erode returns. 2. US Equity Selloff May Be Near Its End, Creating Conditions for a Rebound: Leveraged ETFs recorded a sharp","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87541aaefddaf46201362636c277e40c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620711977570608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620300236468376,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620300236468376,"gmtCreate":1792467197424,"gmtModify":1792467238263,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"October Hike Risk Fades: Risk-On Wave Builds as Gold Eyes a Major Breakout","htmlText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","listText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","text":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb36ae5d148b79af999d98741f80ecdb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":174,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620300236468376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000527","authorId":"9000000000000527","name":"Juliaaa11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000527","authorIdStr":"9000000000000527"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000527","authorId":"9000000000000527","name":"Juliaaa11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000527","authorIdStr":"9000000000000527"},"content":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","text":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip.","html":"Weekly RSI is already overbought, but the monthly MACD just crossed up. Gold can still break out, just feels more like break then retest than a straight line rip."}],"streamModify":1792467238263,"id":620300236468376,"gmtCreate":1792467197424,"gmtModify":1792467238263,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"October Hike Risk Fades: Risk-On Wave Builds as Gold Eyes a Major Breakout","htmlText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","listText":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> ","text":"The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb36ae5d148b79af999d98741f80ecdb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":174,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620300236468376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":620072091218160,"type":1,"entity":{"id":620072091218160,"gmtCreate":1792411507654,"gmtModify":1792412317404,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"October Curse Meets CPI Black Swan: Options Strategies to Hedge U.S. Equity Risk","htmlText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","listText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","text":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1eaa3321140e8476dd0ec05794f4a5e1","width":"753","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":790,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":23,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620072091218160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274729249414","authorId":"3479274729249414","name":"cheerzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7eae466324df873e0b817337d13f4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274729249414","authorIdStr":"3479274729249414"},"content":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","text":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","html":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out."},{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274793181513","authorIdStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","text":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","html":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting."}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274729249414","authorId":"3479274729249414","name":"cheerzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7eae466324df873e0b817337d13f4e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274729249414","authorIdStr":"3479274729249414"},"content":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","text":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out.","html":"Front-end vol is probably doing the work here. With CPI at 3.7% and hike odds near 90%, short-dated put premium looks richer than usual without going too far out."},{"author":{"id":"3479274793181513","authorId":"3479274793181513","name":"glintzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274793181513","authorIdStr":"3479274793181513"},"content":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","text":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting.","html":"Equity puts help, but if you are calling it black swan risk, gold deserves more than a ticker mention. Non-correlation matters more when sticky inflation keeps biting."}],"streamModify":1792412317404,"id":620072091218160,"gmtCreate":1792411507654,"gmtModify":1792412317404,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"October Curse Meets CPI Black Swan: Options Strategies to Hedge U.S. Equity Risk","htmlText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","listText":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","text":"Most of us assumed that CPI and the other data releases would stay relatively tame heading into the US midterms. Instead, the numbers came in hot. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, a five-month high and above the 3.6% the market was looking for. The bigger surprise was core CPI, which strips out food and energy: it climbed to 2.6% year over year, also ahead of expectations and up from 2.4% the month before. As things stand, the market is already pricing in another Fed hike before year-end — CME's FedWatch Tool puts the odds at close to 90%. The most direct casualty of a higher-for-longer rate environment driven by sticky inflation is the cohort of tech companies that fund their capital spending with debt. To lock in the computing capacity that the next phase of AI development demands","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1eaa3321140e8476dd0ec05794f4a5e1","width":"753","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":790,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":23,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620072091218160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":618291626528920,"type":1,"entity":{"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000656","authorIdStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000656","authorId":"9000000000000656","name":"CecilFranklin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa4731ac634473d4f9e536afcd38ccc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000656","authorIdStr":"9000000000000656"},"content":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","text":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet","html":"COMEX restock does not automatically reprice copper though. LME stocks are still tight, and China demand has not fully rolled over yet"}],"streamModify":1792033079032,"id":618291626528920,"gmtCreate":1791976814138,"gmtModify":1792033079032,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Rare Stock-Bond Outflows; Copper Stocks HHit Records, Diverging from Prices","htmlText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","listText":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a>","text":"This week, the dominant cross-asset pricing driver shifted from geopolitical risk premia to a U.S. rates shock. As Middle East supply disruption risks eased at the margin, crude oil retreated sharply from its mid-month high. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped 30 basis points to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Oil’s decline did little to ease pressure on long-end yields, suggesting that the latest rate surge was driven mainly by a widening term premium and mounting Treasury supply pressure. With elevated rates and tighter liquidity expectations weighing on markets, equities, industrial metals, and precious metals all came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0b83f8f41a770c8ddc980bc18c37f3b7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":143,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/618291626528920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613296824443016,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000196","authorIdStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000196","authorId":"9000000000000196","name":"RalphWood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9375ece8939095541554d14ce83b2fa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000196","authorIdStr":"9000000000000196"},"content":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","text":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast","html":"Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast"}],"streamModify":1790751738507,"id":613296824443016,"gmtCreate":1790751389079,"gmtModify":1790751738507,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back","htmlText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$微黃金2612(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/019b8f25f1f9a755d53be071ac795807"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":100,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613296824443016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":613237563486456,"type":1,"entity":{"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274808936914","authorIdStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274808936914","authorId":"3479274808936914","name":"NEXTTOME","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abee7c4586b9b9c43f64b5fd9ad0a2d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274808936914","authorIdStr":"3479274808936914"},"content":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","text":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce","html":"CTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce"}],"streamModify":1790749108616,"id":613237563486456,"gmtCreate":1790736931833,"gmtModify":1790749108616,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?","htmlText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","listText":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","text":"Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66edc154f98b3e0eb87238daf4240cd8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d48e660ee5f1955263fa678b4de28ad0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15a6154a7f9fb0445f66f2469ca3b0b0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":176,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/613237563486456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":20,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612969788109280,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612969788109280,"gmtCreate":1790671635478,"gmtModify":1790673520242,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"It All Comes Down to Rates: Are Hawkish Expectations Overpriced and Treasury Yields Near a Peak?","htmlText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","listText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","text":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/367b044ab7c927d888822efd5d556c8b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/433793aeed0c3aa4825e88148ef90704"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1cfd127b0d4aa6e45d5577c153ba4e94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612969788109280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000364","authorId":"9000000000000364","name":"groovix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000364","authorIdStr":"9000000000000364"},"content":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","text":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","html":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000364","authorId":"9000000000000364","name":"groovix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0965d3709fcccd732467fba87aa4ea6e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000364","authorIdStr":"9000000000000364"},"content":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","text":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold","html":"2007 was the last real 5% break, and SPX was around 17x then versus roughly 21x now. If yields are topping, equities probably have more snapback than gold"}],"streamModify":1790673520242,"id":612969788109280,"gmtCreate":1790671635478,"gmtModify":1790673520242,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"It All Comes Down to Rates: Are Hawkish Expectations Overpriced and Treasury Yields Near a Peak?","htmlText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","listText":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US2Y.BOND\">$美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$</a> I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","text":"English version: If there is only one number worth watching closely in today's market, it is probably the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. It is no longer just a KPI for bond traders; it has become a common pricing anchor for U.S. equities, gold, crude oil and even Bitcoin. With that anchor pushed to a historic high of 5.2%, and the market having priced in both of the remaining rate hikes this year, a more important question arises: How much higher can it go? $美国2年期国债收益率(US2Y.BOND)$ $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB(UUP)$ I. One Master Switch Holds the Reins of Every Asset Let me start with the c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/367b044ab7c927d888822efd5d556c8b"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/433793aeed0c3aa4825e88148ef90704"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1cfd127b0d4aa6e45d5577c153ba4e94"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":42,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612969788109280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":612588083507224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":612588083507224,"gmtCreate":1790578366259,"gmtModify":1790578930166,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Policy Shift Before the Midterms? 3 Ways to Position for Market Opportunities💰","htmlText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","listText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","text":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4da36be0e85c6966775a15475c7dd091"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a07b9940241e5fcd9dff93ace345ea80"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52ada8201bd2cfaadc7282d7d27d235b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612588083507224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000416","authorId":"9000000000000416","name":"peppywoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412ae10bafb07946890558126185d43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000416","authorIdStr":"9000000000000416"},"content":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","text":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","html":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000416","authorId":"9000000000000416","name":"peppywoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9412ae10bafb07946890558126185d43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000416","authorIdStr":"9000000000000416"},"content":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","text":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests","html":"Gold probably stays choppy short term, but a pullback near 4000 looks pretty buyable to me. The bounce setup there feels better than the post suggests"}],"streamModify":1790578930166,"id":612588083507224,"gmtCreate":1790578366259,"gmtModify":1790578930166,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Policy Shift Before the Midterms? 3 Ways to Position for Market Opportunities💰","htmlText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","listText":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","text":"Chinese leaders visited the United States last week. Even by the time the visit ended and the official readout was released, there were few concrete measures or signed agreements. Apart from the easing of trade tariffs that the market had widely anticipated, there was little of particular note. The lack of a major domestic publicity push around the visit’s outcomes is also telling. Clearly, Trump hopes to generate a series of positive developments ahead of the midterm elections to bolster his electoral prospects. In addition to the Chinese visit, there was news last week of U.S.–Iran talks, but that, too, amounted to more talk than action, with no tangible outcome yet. Any further impact on oil prices and inflation may therefore have to wait until after the midterms. For financial markets","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4da36be0e85c6966775a15475c7dd091"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a07b9940241e5fcd9dff93ace345ea80"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52ada8201bd2cfaadc7282d7d27d235b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":52,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/612588083507224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610849781276808,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610849781276808,"gmtCreate":1790153966431,"gmtModify":1790154120519,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4252736365929692","authorIdStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: What the Latest Option Flows Signal for Markets？💰💵","htmlText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","listText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","text":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66f449ad503cb927fd072013ed40b662"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc4c3db0728b70f1a7ed9b29a6ad7995"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20cdfe7f929faca88970300ed368dfe7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610849781276808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274715219344","authorIdStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","text":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","html":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000350","authorIdStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","text":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","html":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy."}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274715219344","authorIdStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","text":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle.","html":"Oil downside is not just a geopolitics hedge. Put buildup in WTI and Brent also reads like longer demand skepticism, which matters more for USO than the inflation relief angle."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000350","authorIdStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","text":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy.","html":"Tech is still the leadership, but that ES put build says vol risk is real. New highs look fine until they stop being easy."}],"streamModify":1790154120519,"id":610849781276808,"gmtCreate":1790153966431,"gmtModify":1790154120519,"author":{"id":"4252736365929692","authorId":"4252736365929692","name":"Tiger_Futures Captain","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c8a93fbb91cb334db806011ca9f202a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4252736365929692","authorIdStr":"4252736365929692"},"themes":[],"title":"Big Options Bets: What the Latest Option Flows Signal for Markets？💰💵","htmlText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","listText":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","text":"Since September, the market has not entered a period of broad-based risk-on sentiment. Instead, it has exhibited a structurally bullish bias led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 has continued to make new highs for the current phase, while the S&P 500 has remained near its highs but has clearly lagged behind. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has eased inflationary and interest-rate pressures. The market is rewarding earnings expectations for AI and large-cap technology companies, but it has not abandoned its defenses against high valuations, economic growth risks, and geopolitical events. Below are distribution charts of trading volume and open interest in major futures options listed on CME Group, used to observe market expectations and risk protection across different p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66f449ad503cb927fd072013ed40b662"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cc4c3db0728b70f1a7ed9b29a6ad7995"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20cdfe7f929faca88970300ed368dfe7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":92,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610849781276808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610818128634264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274785641432","authorIdStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274785641432","authorIdStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","text":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip.","html":"October as a top window feels too calendar-driven. Peaks usually need positioning and sentiment to crack together, not just a page flip."}],"streamModify":1790146451805,"id":610818128634264,"gmtCreate":1790146325464,"gmtModify":1790146451805,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: US Stocks Hit New Highs. How to Navigate Pullback Risk and Volatile Oil?","htmlText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","listText":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","text":"Introduction 1. Further rate hikes remain firmly in play. CME FedWatch puts the chance of another October hike at 57.6%. The popular “dovish hike” narrative misreads the policy signal. If October payrolls remain strong, three hikes this year become a credible outcome. Volatility would rise accordingly. 2. The dollar may be entering a faster leg higher. September’s rate hike marked a turning point in the dollar cycle. Because rate differentials now drive the trend, commodity longs face a difficult backdrop. 3. US stocks remain strong, but beware the \"last hurrah\". Avoid excessive bullishness before the midterm elections. The Dow and Russell peaked in August, so October is the next window for a possible top in the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Limit exposure to tactical trades","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33263f67726f387021405ac1ef4ad0be"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610818128634264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":22,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610498208063736,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610498208063736,"gmtCreate":1790068143887,"gmtModify":1790132550248,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"A Divergence Behind New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Why I’m Still Selling Puts and Running Small Straddles","htmlText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","listText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","text":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$ $微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632f516dd6c046f39b6bd2eca3bde6b8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/459f4cd8dba359a2f33e1e6b65f3505c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/048aa96dfb6ca7b9b24ffb9cfbf3c8eb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":263,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610498208063736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000695","authorId":"9000000000000695","name":"BaronLyly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2002537f0b7be973a9a9a72fea618459","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000695","authorIdStr":"9000000000000695"},"content":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","text":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","html":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction"}],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000695","authorId":"9000000000000695","name":"BaronLyly","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2002537f0b7be973a9a9a72fea618459","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000695","authorIdStr":"9000000000000695"},"content":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","text":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction","html":"NVDA one month ATM IV near 30 is the bigger tell here. In a vol regime that compressed, the timing matters more than the direction"}],"streamModify":1790132550248,"id":610498208063736,"gmtCreate":1790068143887,"gmtModify":1790132550248,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"A Divergence Behind New Highs in U.S. Stocks: Why I’m Still Selling Puts and Running Small Straddles","htmlText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","listText":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MNQmain\">$微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$</a>","text":"English version： Last week, we put on a very small straddle position in QQQ: we simultaneously bought a September 25 call and put, both with a strike price of 704. The two legs cost $9.73 and $8.93, respectively. A few trading days later, the call has risen to $37.74, generating an unrealized gain of $2,800, while the put has fallen to just $0.26, producing a loss of $867. Netting the two together, this lightly sized position has already doubled. $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $NQ100指数主连 2609(NQmain)$ $微型NQ100指数主连 2609(MNQmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/632f516dd6c046f39b6bd2eca3bde6b8"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/459f4cd8dba359a2f33e1e6b65f3505c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/048aa96dfb6ca7b9b24ffb9cfbf3c8eb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":263,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610498208063736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":610375379914840,"type":1,"entity":{"id":610375379914840,"gmtCreate":1790048124404,"gmtModify":1790048174418,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Fed Hike Lands: Direction Confirmed? Risk Assets Set for Another Strong Month","htmlText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98f66785537b6bb5cd962b2d4ae2e8b3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":153,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610375379914840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000692","authorIdStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","text":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","html":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000692","authorIdStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","text":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month","html":"3430 getting tagged is the gift here, not the miss. Gold still looks bid into the next month"}],"streamModify":1790048174418,"id":610375379914840,"gmtCreate":1790048124404,"gmtModify":1790048174418,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Fed Hike Lands: Direction Confirmed? Risk Assets Set for Another Strong Month","htmlText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","listText":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGC2612\">$E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$</a>","text":"The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98f66785537b6bb5cd962b2d4ae2e8b3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":153,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/610375379914840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609031505760344,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000382","authorIdStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274755021820","authorIdStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000382","authorIdStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274755021820","authorIdStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"streamModify":1789720203884,"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609028128932000,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274785641432","authorIdStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274785641432","authorIdStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"streamModify":1789719877417,"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":85,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":30,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":608348719882288,"type":1,"entity":{"id":608348719882288,"gmtCreate":1789553334007,"gmtModify":1789557068307,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: 4 Fed Paths Decide Gold and Stocks Tonight! Which Strategy Wins?","htmlText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","listText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","text":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db92f3ae06523015f9ef29bb4ca2ddf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608348719882288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000434","authorId":"9000000000000434","name":"PageDickens","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e83e48989b3401bb5773e10a7c62208","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000434","authorIdStr":"9000000000000434"},"content":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","text":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","html":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000658","authorId":"9000000000000658","name":"CarterSilas","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000658","authorIdStr":"9000000000000658"},"content":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","text":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","html":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000434","authorId":"9000000000000434","name":"PageDickens","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e83e48989b3401bb5773e10a7c62208","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000434","authorIdStr":"9000000000000434"},"content":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","text":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","html":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000658","authorId":"9000000000000658","name":"CarterSilas","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000658","authorIdStr":"9000000000000658"},"content":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","text":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","html":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast"}],"streamModify":1789557068307,"id":608348719882288,"gmtCreate":1789553334007,"gmtModify":1789557068307,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: 4 Fed Paths Decide Gold and Stocks Tonight! Which Strategy Wins?","htmlText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","listText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","text":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db92f3ae06523015f9ef29bb4ca2ddf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608348719882288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":607981259042944,"type":1,"entity":{"id":607981259042944,"gmtCreate":1789463623365,"gmtModify":1789527320127,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Trade FOMC Night: Can the Fed Contain Long-Term Yields Without Breaking Equities?","htmlText":"This week’s FOMC meeting will set the near- to medium-term rhythm for markets. But the key issue is not simply whether the Fed raises rates; it is how Treasury yields at the front end and long end of the curve will be repriced. The 10-year Treasury yield is now approaching—or has already touched—the sensitive 5% threshold. Markets are concerned both that further increases in long-dated yields could crush richly valued assets and that excessive policy tightening could push up front-end rates and quickly hit equities. In our view, four possible meeting outcomes could unfold this week. All ultimately revolve around the tug-of-war between the front end and the long end of the yield curve, although the implications for individual asset classes differ across scenarios. A Tense Yield Environment","listText":"This week’s FOMC meeting will set the near- to medium-term rhythm for markets. But the key issue is not simply whether the Fed raises rates; it is how Treasury yields at the front end and long end of the curve will be repriced. The 10-year Treasury yield is now approaching—or has already touched—the sensitive 5% threshold. Markets are concerned both that further increases in long-dated yields could crush richly valued assets and that excessive policy tightening could push up front-end rates and quickly hit equities. In our view, four possible meeting outcomes could unfold this week. All ultimately revolve around the tug-of-war between the front end and the long end of the yield curve, although the implications for individual asset classes differ across scenarios. A Tense Yield Environment","text":"This week’s FOMC meeting will set the near- to medium-term rhythm for markets. But the key issue is not simply whether the Fed raises rates; it is how Treasury yields at the front end and long end of the curve will be repriced. The 10-year Treasury yield is now approaching—or has already touched—the sensitive 5% threshold. Markets are concerned both that further increases in long-dated yields could crush richly valued assets and that excessive policy tightening could push up front-end rates and quickly hit equities. In our view, four possible meeting outcomes could unfold this week. All ultimately revolve around the tug-of-war between the front end and the long end of the yield curve, although the implications for individual asset classes differ across scenarios. A Tense Yield Environment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1eb45eaa93fcbabda913b2dc62a771b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607981259042944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274755021820","authorIdStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Dot plot matters more here. If it comes in hotter, 2Y and DXY reprice first, and that small straddle gets a lot less forgiving.","text":"Dot plot matters more here. If it comes in hotter, 2Y and DXY reprice first, and that small straddle gets a lot less forgiving.","html":"Dot plot matters more here. If it comes in hotter, 2Y and DXY reprice first, and that small straddle gets a lot less forgiving."}],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274755021820","authorIdStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Dot plot matters more here. If it comes in hotter, 2Y and DXY reprice first, and that small straddle gets a lot less forgiving.","text":"Dot plot matters more here. If it comes in hotter, 2Y and DXY reprice first, and that small straddle gets a lot less forgiving.","html":"Dot plot matters more here. If it comes in hotter, 2Y and DXY reprice first, and that small straddle gets a lot less forgiving."}],"streamModify":1789527320127,"id":607981259042944,"gmtCreate":1789463623365,"gmtModify":1789527320127,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Trade FOMC Night: Can the Fed Contain Long-Term Yields Without Breaking Equities?","htmlText":"This week’s FOMC meeting will set the near- to medium-term rhythm for markets. But the key issue is not simply whether the Fed raises rates; it is how Treasury yields at the front end and long end of the curve will be repriced. The 10-year Treasury yield is now approaching—or has already touched—the sensitive 5% threshold. Markets are concerned both that further increases in long-dated yields could crush richly valued assets and that excessive policy tightening could push up front-end rates and quickly hit equities. In our view, four possible meeting outcomes could unfold this week. All ultimately revolve around the tug-of-war between the front end and the long end of the yield curve, although the implications for individual asset classes differ across scenarios. A Tense Yield Environment","listText":"This week’s FOMC meeting will set the near- to medium-term rhythm for markets. But the key issue is not simply whether the Fed raises rates; it is how Treasury yields at the front end and long end of the curve will be repriced. The 10-year Treasury yield is now approaching—or has already touched—the sensitive 5% threshold. Markets are concerned both that further increases in long-dated yields could crush richly valued assets and that excessive policy tightening could push up front-end rates and quickly hit equities. In our view, four possible meeting outcomes could unfold this week. All ultimately revolve around the tug-of-war between the front end and the long end of the yield curve, although the implications for individual asset classes differ across scenarios. A Tense Yield Environment","text":"This week’s FOMC meeting will set the near- to medium-term rhythm for markets. But the key issue is not simply whether the Fed raises rates; it is how Treasury yields at the front end and long end of the curve will be repriced. The 10-year Treasury yield is now approaching—or has already touched—the sensitive 5% threshold. Markets are concerned both that further increases in long-dated yields could crush richly valued assets and that excessive policy tightening could push up front-end rates and quickly hit equities. In our view, four possible meeting outcomes could unfold this week. All ultimately revolve around the tug-of-war between the front end and the long end of the yield curve, although the implications for individual asset classes differ across scenarios. A Tense Yield Environment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1eb45eaa93fcbabda913b2dc62a771b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607981259042944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":607712196923416,"type":1,"entity":{"id":607712196923416,"gmtCreate":1789375718817,"gmtModify":1789375871575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Reposition After Taking Profits: A Practical Framework for Futures Rollovers and ETF Trading","htmlText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","listText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","text":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5066f91db118b219ae0e0039ac8de604"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":40,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607712196923416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000169","authorId":"9000000000000169","name":"JohnnyYoung","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000169","authorIdStr":"9000000000000169"},"content":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","text":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","html":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000169","authorId":"9000000000000169","name":"JohnnyYoung","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000169","authorIdStr":"9000000000000169"},"content":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","text":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner","html":"FOMC day usually blows up fill assumptions. For GLD those staggered limits look fine, but slippage around the decision can dwarf the setup. A defined-risk options spread might handle execution risk cleaner"}],"streamModify":1789375871575,"id":607712196923416,"gmtCreate":1789375718817,"gmtModify":1789375871575,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"How to Reposition After Taking Profits: A Practical Framework for Futures Rollovers and ETF Trading","htmlText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","listText":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","text":"After holding the positions for more than two months, our long EUR and WTI crude oil trades both generated positive returns last week. With a Federal Reserve rate hike drawing near, new trade setups may emerge at any time. Many investors still have questions about several key issues. This week, we will use the current market backdrop to review the main considerations and provide a practical framework. Managing Futures Contract Rollovers One of the most common questions concerns futures contract rollovers. Because we frequently run swing trades and some positions are held for relatively long periods, changes in the front-month or most-active contract are sometimes unavoidable. Since physical delivery is generally not a practical option, the choices are usually limited to the following: Sett","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5066f91db118b219ae0e0039ac8de604"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":40,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607712196923416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":607610540589144,"type":1,"entity":{"id":607610540589144,"gmtCreate":1789373114803,"gmtModify":1789613733339,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"FOMC Preview: Watch Key Levels in U.S. Equities; Stay Alert to a Pullback in Commodities After Rally","htmlText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","listText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","text":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3c9988fe1821479e3123f5152713618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607610540589144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274809858351","authorIdStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","text":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","html":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274809858351","authorIdStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","text":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","html":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs"}],"streamModify":1789613733339,"id":607610540589144,"gmtCreate":1789373114803,"gmtModify":1789613733339,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"FOMC Preview: Watch Key Levels in U.S. Equities; Stay Alert to a Pullback in Commodities After Rally","htmlText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","listText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","text":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3c9988fe1821479e3123f5152713618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607610540589144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":606536239624240,"type":1,"entity":{"id":606536239624240,"gmtCreate":1789110833944,"gmtModify":1789114108241,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Could Rate Hike Uncertainty Keep Markets Range-Bound? Three Ways to Track the Key Assets","htmlText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1875834123583595","type":1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","listText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1875834123583595","type":1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","text":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> 空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？ Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0518f524d3d3e0231a7c56dba6343cd8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606536239624240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000427","authorId":"9000000000000427","name":"PenelopeHood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe619b28a9ab446bf388e9aadd75bb65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000427","authorIdStr":"9000000000000427"},"content":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","text":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","html":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly"},{"author":{"id":"3479274717122482","authorId":"3479274717122482","name":"mizzmo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c93cde9144b779ded3076616f3e20b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274717122482","authorIdStr":"3479274717122482"},"content":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","text":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","html":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently."}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000427","authorId":"9000000000000427","name":"PenelopeHood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe619b28a9ab446bf388e9aadd75bb65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000427","authorIdStr":"9000000000000427"},"content":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","text":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly","html":"VIX staying elevated already weakens the old moving-average playbook. I’d re-run the parameters by regime first, otherwise those cross-asset signals can drift badly"},{"author":{"id":"3479274717122482","authorId":"3479274717122482","name":"mizzmo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c93cde9144b779ded3076616f3e20b8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274717122482","authorIdStr":"3479274717122482"},"content":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","text":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently.","html":"The payroll surprise matters less by itself than what it does to real yields and dollar liquidity. I care more about TGA and RRP here because that flow can hit gold and Bitcoin very differently."}],"streamModify":1789114108241,"id":606536239624240,"gmtCreate":1789110833944,"gmtModify":1789114108241,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Could Rate Hike Uncertainty Keep Markets Range-Bound? Three Ways to Track the Key Assets","htmlText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1875834123583595","type":1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","listText":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNLive&rndata={"liveId":"1875834123583595","type":1}\">空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？</a> Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","text":"Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the outlook for gold, Bitcoin, and offshore RMB amid expectations for higher interest rates. The core of this session was how to assess the direction of these assets through cross-asset correlations, while also covering trading strategy execution and adjustments to moving average parameters. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> 空前的高收益率壓力下，為什麼比特幣的低位機會卻很值得關注？ Next, I will summarize the key information and trading-related views from the session, so that readers who did not have time to join can quickly unders","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0518f524d3d3e0231a7c56dba6343cd8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606536239624240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":606221724897328,"type":1,"entity":{"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000340","authorIdStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","text":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","html":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000181","authorId":"9000000000000181","name":"blinky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7e488f0f7683bcc2f916727332a2d8b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000181","authorIdStr":"9000000000000181"},"content":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","text":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","html":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000340","authorIdStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","text":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","html":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000181","authorId":"9000000000000181","name":"blinky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7e488f0f7683bcc2f916727332a2d8b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000181","authorIdStr":"9000000000000181"},"content":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","text":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","html":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season"}],"streamModify":1789034197464,"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"Chicago Mercantile Exchange","code":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","name":"CME","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":10,"zone":"CDT","zoneId":"America/Chicago","zoneName":"Central Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Equity_Index","contractCode":"MES2612","contractId":"1a784e96d21c435d83db6bcec2c11c4c","contractMonth":"202612","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"Micro S&P 500","productExchangeUrl":"https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/micro-e-mini-sandp-500_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.25 per index point ( US$1.25 )","productScale":"US$5 USD per index point","productTradingMonth":"4 nearest quarterly months (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec)","productTradingTime":"17:00（T-1）-16:00","productType":"Equity Index","productWorth":"US$5 USD per index point","worth":5},"exchangeCode":"CME","exchangeId":"FT_EX_CME","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20261218","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1797604200000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":5},"name":"Micro E-mini S&P 500 - Dec 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_MES_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":2,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":2,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":2,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"MESmain","referMainContractId":"756801a759e34e81be7565d922e012e1","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"MES","symbolId":"FT_SY_MES","symbolName":"Micro E-mini S&P 500"}}