Natural Gas - main 2608 (NGmain) - To The Moon

NGmain (Natural Gas - main 2608)

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Futures Contract Details

Contract Name	Natural Gas - Aug 2026
Contract Code	NG2608
Exchange	NYMEX
Contract Type	Energy
Contract Size	10,000mmBtu
Currency	USD
Min Price Chg	0.001（ USD/mmBtu）( US$10 )
Contract Value	US$10,000 x futures price
Trading Hours	18:00（T-1）-17:00
Time Zone	Eastern Daylight Time
First Notice Day	20260730
LTD	20260729

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The Dollar Just Broke Out—How to Bulletproof Your Stock Portfolio Now！","htmlText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$&lt;/</a>","listText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$&lt;/</a>","text":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/023cc5cbf0c641dc637ca49dc1226abe","width":"1835","height":"852"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a30ee3c72aaedbca694b9c2d188dbb80","width":"1818","height":"855"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ea859288cd1ef9edc9f0f0b7975d92f","width":"1488","height":"944"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":114,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578317131616512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1782215869364,"id":578317131616512,"gmtCreate":1782215493492,"gmtModify":1782215869364,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Red Alert! The Dollar Just Broke Out—How to Bulletproof Your Stock Portfolio Now！","htmlText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$&lt;/</a>","listText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$&lt;/</a>","text":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/023cc5cbf0c641dc637ca49dc1226abe","width":"1835","height":"852"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a30ee3c72aaedbca694b9c2d188dbb80","width":"1818","height":"855"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ea859288cd1ef9edc9f0f0b7975d92f","width":"1488","height":"944"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":114,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578317131616512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":578264420922616,"type":1,"entity":{"id":578264420922616,"gmtCreate":1782202701441,"gmtModify":1782202733220,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Hormuz Blockaded Again？ The \"Fight-and-Talk\" Trading Strategy You Need Now！","htmlText":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. 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Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","text":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. 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Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","listText":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","text":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c858f749460eec485e4dfed5460e40ab","width":"893","height":"315"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6de9c0007186f7783dd12a4f9d70f12b","width":"826","height":"526"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f8e9e1ea879e12b159856ffd9b96c08","width":"830","height":"520"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264420922616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":576055311343776,"type":1,"entity":{"id":576055311343776,"gmtCreate":1781668585560,"gmtModify":1781669698600,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil Plunges, Undercurrents Thrive? June 19 Deal Could Flip — Option Strategy to Capture Time Value","htmlText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","listText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","text":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15e93111f709432ce2d11912f805a2e6","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a1f8829fe317cad896a652c8f43aa9","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b990bcbe679696760e29ad4bc4fc187a","width":"865","height":"305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":211,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/576055311343776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1781669698600,"id":576055311343776,"gmtCreate":1781668585560,"gmtModify":1781669698600,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil Plunges, Undercurrents Thrive? June 19 Deal Could Flip — Option Strategy to Capture Time Value","htmlText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","listText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","text":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15e93111f709432ce2d11912f805a2e6","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a1f8829fe317cad896a652c8f43aa9","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b990bcbe679696760e29ad4bc4fc187a","width":"865","height":"305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":211,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/576055311343776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":568058349261200,"type":1,"entity":{"id":568058349261200,"gmtCreate":1779697505470,"gmtModify":1779983424326,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Strait Reopening Imminent? What Could Be the Market Impact?","htmlText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","listText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","text":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a47f2c8eaae78d5ac30c2ac9c8034fdd","width":"865","height":"619"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/38c9125101238145e2386b97211ba306","width":"865","height":"553"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7514e0aee2805de7bf57ccf8d15bd73a","width":"865","height":"552"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568058349261200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1779983424326,"id":568058349261200,"gmtCreate":1779697505470,"gmtModify":1779983424326,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Strait Reopening Imminent? What Could Be the Market Impact?","htmlText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","listText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","text":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a47f2c8eaae78d5ac30c2ac9c8034fdd","width":"865","height":"619"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/38c9125101238145e2386b97211ba306","width":"865","height":"553"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7514e0aee2805de7bf57ccf8d15bd73a","width":"865","height":"552"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568058349261200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":565871490916368,"type":1,"entity":{"id":565871490916368,"gmtCreate":1779163685036,"gmtModify":1779164042411,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US-China talks stall: risk assets wrestle with yields and a fragile rally","htmlText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","listText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","text":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7110b59ed2c3a7c555d78182aaf5ff0f","width":"865","height":"560"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fd5315854cc663f0d6d410c394abe51","width":"865","height":"556"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0659af5dd908c078c291f5075304cd19","width":"865","height":"565"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":124,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565871490916368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1779164042411,"id":565871490916368,"gmtCreate":1779163685036,"gmtModify":1779164042411,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US-China talks stall: risk assets wrestle with yields and a fragile rally","htmlText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","listText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","text":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7110b59ed2c3a7c555d78182aaf5ff0f","width":"865","height":"560"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fd5315854cc663f0d6d410c394abe51","width":"865","height":"556"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0659af5dd908c078c291f5075304cd19","width":"865","height":"565"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":124,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565871490916368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":563100849238840,"type":1,"entity":{"id":563100849238840,"gmtCreate":1778497013157,"gmtModify":1778843904464,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"“NACHO” Takes Hold: Persistent Oil Risks and the Return of Reflation Trades","htmlText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for&nbsp;Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","listText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for&nbsp;Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","text":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb53625528c60186074a882c8fd7977"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41ac8dcffb6aa1615ccbde25b2ca374e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a325817639e91ed45d4eac7624f791"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":89,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563100849238840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","text":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","html":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","text":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","html":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype."}],"streamModify":1778843904464,"id":563100849238840,"gmtCreate":1778497013157,"gmtModify":1778843904464,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"“NACHO” Takes Hold: Persistent Oil Risks and the Return of Reflation Trades","htmlText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for&nbsp;Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","listText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for&nbsp;Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","text":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb53625528c60186074a882c8fd7977"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41ac8dcffb6aa1615ccbde25b2ca374e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a325817639e91ed45d4eac7624f791"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":89,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563100849238840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558104805212624,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1778843872740,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843872740,"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1778843872740,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555725039461336,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843841800,"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555722222379992,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843836825,"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553891178676712,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776413088746,"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553592631423960,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776160705067,"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":551337795658216,"type":1,"entity":{"id":551337795658216,"gmtCreate":1775640807271,"gmtModify":1775640843385,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Another Two-Week Ceasefire Window: Is It Time to Short Crude Oil?","htmlText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","listText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","text":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm： $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$ $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ In fact, the 10-yea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fc52ae9d63f02ff64ec9cfbd7765ab95","width":"909","height":"438"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8643004d4165867bd63a933f21486c6d","width":"908","height":"447"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/69ab4c9cae14d84fe5935fcff3dc0a09","width":"909","height":"403"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":76,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551337795658216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098151747339220","authorId":"4098151747339220","name":"Arty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c38e7adda4157457303e200995a04cea","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4098151747339220","authorIdStr":"4098151747339220"},"content":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","text":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","html":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours"},{"author":{"id":"3567852837945728","authorId":"3567852837945728","name":"setia100","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d07af59743ad001196b7aca5f1726d7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567852837945728","authorIdStr":"3567852837945728"},"content":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","text":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","html":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel."}],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098151747339220","authorId":"4098151747339220","name":"Arty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c38e7adda4157457303e200995a04cea","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4098151747339220","authorIdStr":"4098151747339220"},"content":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","text":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","html":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours"},{"author":{"id":"3567852837945728","authorId":"3567852837945728","name":"setia100","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d07af59743ad001196b7aca5f1726d7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567852837945728","authorIdStr":"3567852837945728"},"content":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","text":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","html":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel."}],"streamModify":1775640843385,"id":551337795658216,"gmtCreate":1775640807271,"gmtModify":1775640843385,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Another Two-Week Ceasefire Window: Is It Time to Short Crude Oil?","htmlText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","listText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","text":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm： $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$ $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ In fact, the 10-yea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fc52ae9d63f02ff64ec9cfbd7765ab95","width":"909","height":"438"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8643004d4165867bd63a933f21486c6d","width":"908","height":"447"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/69ab4c9cae14d84fe5935fcff3dc0a09","width":"909","height":"403"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":76,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551337795658216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":551245866165224,"type":1,"entity":{"id":551245866165224,"gmtCreate":1775618449027,"gmtModify":1775619363207,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"War Clouds Recede———Will Oil Ever Rebound?","htmlText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","listText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","text":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":144,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551245866165224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3078,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4095856449653620","authorId":"4095856449653620","name":"JL1Apr","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa696d7e42a997dc2a7b18b5382eab83","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4095856449653620","authorIdStr":"4095856449653620"},"content":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","text":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","html":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4095856449653620","authorId":"4095856449653620","name":"JL1Apr","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa696d7e42a997dc2a7b18b5382eab83","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4095856449653620","authorIdStr":"4095856449653620"},"content":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","text":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat.","html":"I don't believe Trump would accept admitting defeat."}],"streamModify":1775619363207,"id":551245866165224,"gmtCreate":1775618449027,"gmtModify":1775619363207,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"War Clouds Recede———Will Oil Ever Rebound?","htmlText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","listText":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","text":"Pentagon Reshuffle Signals Ground War Last week, oil prices experienced a new round of surging—with single-week gains exceeding double digits—driven by President Trump's aggressive, pre-war mobilization-style remarks. Although a dramatic rescue of an American pilot took place over the weekend, the more critical focus remains the personnel upheaval within the upper echelons of the US military. From a logical standpoint, this could be a strategic move to install loyalists in preparation for an eventual full-scale conflict. Therefore, even if a \"ground war\" is not necessarily the optimal choice, the risk of its outbreak can no longer be ignored. According to public sources, at least three top military officials have been \"reassigned\" or \"forced into retirement,\" including the high-ranking Arm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":144,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551245866165224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3078,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":551018644341592,"type":1,"entity":{"id":551018644341592,"gmtCreate":1775562973989,"gmtModify":1775569200117,"author":{"id":"4106547232749330","authorId":"4106547232749330","name":"Tiger_SG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9eb57a835b72d997d1941fb6605d80a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106547232749330","authorIdStr":"4106547232749330"},"themes":[],"title":"Hormuz vs. My Wallet: Can CDC Vouchers Save Us This Time?","htmlText":"Beyond market volatility, many of us are likely feeling another kind of “price surge” in daily life. Since early April, Singapore has entered a broad repricing mode — fuel prices flashing higher, electricity bills creeping up, and even your daily cup of kopi costing a few cents more. From oil to kopi, everything is rising The root cause may lie thousands of miles away — in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s key energy chokepoint. Rising geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil and natural gas prices, feeding directly into local costs. Diesel prices surged 4.7%–7.6% overnight Singapore relies on ~95% natural gas for electricity, and gas prices are linked to oil <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NGmain\">$Natural Gas - main 2605(NGmain)$</a> Residential electricity tariffs have already risen","listText":"Beyond market volatility, many of us are likely feeling another kind of “price surge” in daily life. Since early April, Singapore has entered a broad repricing mode — fuel prices flashing higher, electricity bills creeping up, and even your daily cup of kopi costing a few cents more. From oil to kopi, everything is rising The root cause may lie thousands of miles away — in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s key energy chokepoint. Rising geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil and natural gas prices, feeding directly into local costs. Diesel prices surged 4.7%–7.6% overnight Singapore relies on ~95% natural gas for electricity, and gas prices are linked to oil <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NGmain\">$Natural Gas - main 2605(NGmain)$</a> Residential electricity tariffs have already risen","text":"Beyond market volatility, many of us are likely feeling another kind of “price surge” in daily life. Since early April, Singapore has entered a broad repricing mode — fuel prices flashing higher, electricity bills creeping up, and even your daily cup of kopi costing a few cents more. From oil to kopi, everything is rising The root cause may lie thousands of miles away — in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s key energy chokepoint. Rising geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil and natural gas prices, feeding directly into local costs. Diesel prices surged 4.7%–7.6% overnight Singapore relies on ~95% natural gas for electricity, and gas prices are linked to oil $Natural Gas - main 2605(NGmain)$ Residential electricity tariffs have already risen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":473,"commentSize":41,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551018644341592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorIdStr":"3559581955535845"},"content":"🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ . When global chaos erupts, these giants don't run. They collect deposits, grow wealth management & send me dividends like hongbaos for being loyal. Then there are quality SReits like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - steady & backed by real assets. I position by staying anchored in Singapore's strength: banks, Reits & the resilience of Singapore that always find a way. @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments","text":"🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ . When global chaos erupts, these giants don't run. They collect deposits, grow wealth management & send me dividends like hongbaos for being loyal. Then there are quality SReits like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - steady & backed by real assets. I position by staying anchored in Singapore's strength: banks, Reits & the resilience of Singapore that always find a way. @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments","html":"🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ . When global chaos erupts, these giants don't run. They collect deposits, grow wealth management & send me dividends like hongbaos for being loyal. Then there are quality SReits like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - steady & backed by real assets. I position by staying anchored in Singapore's strength: banks, Reits & the resilience of Singapore that always find a way. @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments"},{"author":{"id":"3581734406950755","authorId":"3581734406950755","name":"Shyon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3423cbda71d7a89cd2f2f2d6744330","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581734406950755","authorIdStr":"3581734406950755"},"content":"I can definitely feel it in daily life — not just market charts, but real expenses rising. From petrol to kopi, costs are creeping up and adding up quickly. With WTI Crude Oil elevated and Natural Gas trending higher, it’s clear why electricity and transport costs in Singapore are increasing. It feels like inflation is coming from multiple angles. I do think government support helps, but more as a cushion than a full offset. The CDC vouchers and rebates are timely and appreciated, but with fuel and utility costs still climbing, the relief feels temporary rather than a complete solution. As for oil, I expect prices to stay elevated with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. If tensions ease, we may see some pullback, but escalation could keep energy prices volatile. So I’m staying flexible, managing spending, and preparing for continued uncertainty. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub","text":"I can definitely feel it in daily life — not just market charts, but real expenses rising. From petrol to kopi, costs are creeping up and adding up quickly. With WTI Crude Oil elevated and Natural Gas trending higher, it’s clear why electricity and transport costs in Singapore are increasing. It feels like inflation is coming from multiple angles. I do think government support helps, but more as a cushion than a full offset. The CDC vouchers and rebates are timely and appreciated, but with fuel and utility costs still climbing, the relief feels temporary rather than a complete solution. As for oil, I expect prices to stay elevated with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. If tensions ease, we may see some pullback, but escalation could keep energy prices volatile. So I’m staying flexible, managing spending, and preparing for continued uncertainty. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub","html":"I can definitely feel it in daily life — not just market charts, but real expenses rising. From petrol to kopi, costs are creeping up and adding up quickly. With WTI Crude Oil elevated and Natural Gas trending higher, it’s clear why electricity and transport costs in Singapore are increasing. It feels like inflation is coming from multiple angles. I do think government support helps, but more as a cushion than a full offset. The CDC vouchers and rebates are timely and appreciated, but with fuel and utility costs still climbing, the relief feels temporary rather than a complete solution. As for oil, I expect prices to stay elevated with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. If tensions ease, we may see some pullback, but escalation could keep energy prices volatile. So I’m staying flexible, managing spending, and preparing for continued uncertainty. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorIdStr":"3559581955535845"},"content":"🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ . When global chaos erupts, these giants don't run. They collect deposits, grow wealth management & send me dividends like hongbaos for being loyal. Then there are quality SReits like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - steady & backed by real assets. I position by staying anchored in Singapore's strength: banks, Reits & the resilience of Singapore that always find a way. @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments","text":"🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ . When global chaos erupts, these giants don't run. They collect deposits, grow wealth management & send me dividends like hongbaos for being loyal. Then there are quality SReits like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - steady & backed by real assets. I position by staying anchored in Singapore's strength: banks, Reits & the resilience of Singapore that always find a way. @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments","html":"🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ & $UOB(U11.SI)$ . When global chaos erupts, these giants don't run. They collect deposits, grow wealth management & send me dividends like hongbaos for being loyal. Then there are quality SReits like $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ - steady & backed by real assets. I position by staying anchored in Singapore's strength: banks, Reits & the resilience of Singapore that always find a way. @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments"},{"author":{"id":"3581734406950755","authorId":"3581734406950755","name":"Shyon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3423cbda71d7a89cd2f2f2d6744330","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581734406950755","authorIdStr":"3581734406950755"},"content":"I can definitely feel it in daily life — not just market charts, but real expenses rising. From petrol to kopi, costs are creeping up and adding up quickly. With WTI Crude Oil elevated and Natural Gas trending higher, it’s clear why electricity and transport costs in Singapore are increasing. It feels like inflation is coming from multiple angles. I do think government support helps, but more as a cushion than a full offset. The CDC vouchers and rebates are timely and appreciated, but with fuel and utility costs still climbing, the relief feels temporary rather than a complete solution. As for oil, I expect prices to stay elevated with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. If tensions ease, we may see some pullback, but escalation could keep energy prices volatile. So I’m staying flexible, managing spending, and preparing for continued uncertainty. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub","text":"I can definitely feel it in daily life — not just market charts, but real expenses rising. From petrol to kopi, costs are creeping up and adding up quickly. With WTI Crude Oil elevated and Natural Gas trending higher, it’s clear why electricity and transport costs in Singapore are increasing. It feels like inflation is coming from multiple angles. I do think government support helps, but more as a cushion than a full offset. The CDC vouchers and rebates are timely and appreciated, but with fuel and utility costs still climbing, the relief feels temporary rather than a complete solution. As for oil, I expect prices to stay elevated with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. If tensions ease, we may see some pullback, but escalation could keep energy prices volatile. So I’m staying flexible, managing spending, and preparing for continued uncertainty. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub","html":"I can definitely feel it in daily life — not just market charts, but real expenses rising. From petrol to kopi, costs are creeping up and adding up quickly. With WTI Crude Oil elevated and Natural Gas trending higher, it’s clear why electricity and transport costs in Singapore are increasing. It feels like inflation is coming from multiple angles. I do think government support helps, but more as a cushion than a full offset. The CDC vouchers and rebates are timely and appreciated, but with fuel and utility costs still climbing, the relief feels temporary rather than a complete solution. As for oil, I expect prices to stay elevated with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. If tensions ease, we may see some pullback, but escalation could keep energy prices volatile. So I’m staying flexible, managing spending, and preparing for continued uncertainty. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub"}],"streamModify":1775569200117,"id":551018644341592,"gmtCreate":1775562973989,"gmtModify":1775569200117,"author":{"id":"4106547232749330","authorId":"4106547232749330","name":"Tiger_SG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9eb57a835b72d997d1941fb6605d80a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106547232749330","authorIdStr":"4106547232749330"},"themes":[],"title":"Hormuz vs. My Wallet: Can CDC Vouchers Save Us This Time?","htmlText":"Beyond market volatility, many of us are likely feeling another kind of “price surge” in daily life. Since early April, Singapore has entered a broad repricing mode — fuel prices flashing higher, electricity bills creeping up, and even your daily cup of kopi costing a few cents more. From oil to kopi, everything is rising The root cause may lie thousands of miles away — in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s key energy chokepoint. Rising geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil and natural gas prices, feeding directly into local costs. Diesel prices surged 4.7%–7.6% overnight Singapore relies on ~95% natural gas for electricity, and gas prices are linked to oil <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NGmain\">$Natural Gas - main 2605(NGmain)$</a> Residential electricity tariffs have already risen","listText":"Beyond market volatility, many of us are likely feeling another kind of “price surge” in daily life. Since early April, Singapore has entered a broad repricing mode — fuel prices flashing higher, electricity bills creeping up, and even your daily cup of kopi costing a few cents more. From oil to kopi, everything is rising The root cause may lie thousands of miles away — in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s key energy chokepoint. Rising geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil and natural gas prices, feeding directly into local costs. Diesel prices surged 4.7%–7.6% overnight Singapore relies on ~95% natural gas for electricity, and gas prices are linked to oil <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/NGmain\">$Natural Gas - main 2605(NGmain)$</a> Residential electricity tariffs have already risen","text":"Beyond market volatility, many of us are likely feeling another kind of “price surge” in daily life. Since early April, Singapore has entered a broad repricing mode — fuel prices flashing higher, electricity bills creeping up, and even your daily cup of kopi costing a few cents more. From oil to kopi, everything is rising The root cause may lie thousands of miles away — in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s key energy chokepoint. Rising geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil and natural gas prices, feeding directly into local costs. Diesel prices surged 4.7%–7.6% overnight Singapore relies on ~95% natural gas for electricity, and gas prices are linked to oil $Natural Gas - main 2605(NGmain)$ Residential electricity tariffs have already risen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":473,"commentSize":41,"repostSize":26,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551018644341592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":549267725616296,"type":1,"entity":{"id":549267725616296,"gmtCreate":1775122432381,"gmtModify":1775122485797,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Magnificent 7 on the Brink: Is It Time to Short the US Market?","htmlText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","listText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","text":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d80a84d9c362135e2789ddef0c9df15e","width":"1082","height":"729"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c39214f7b3f52645c7d451fd57cd67","width":"1078","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f01e036bea70a0e38bd283332523715f","width":"1077","height":"474"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549267725616296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4217445003125362","authorId":"4217445003125362","name":"mark2012","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4217445003125362","authorIdStr":"4217445003125362"},"content":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","text":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","html":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least"},{"author":{"id":"4226601826832662","authorId":"4226601826832662","name":"梦回大宋朝","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/615765695ad331cc4d20ce4b9b08687c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4226601826832662","authorIdStr":"4226601826832662"},"content":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","text":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","html":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4217445003125362","authorId":"4217445003125362","name":"mark2012","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4217445003125362","authorIdStr":"4217445003125362"},"content":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","text":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","html":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least"},{"author":{"id":"4226601826832662","authorId":"4226601826832662","name":"梦回大宋朝","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/615765695ad331cc4d20ce4b9b08687c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4226601826832662","authorIdStr":"4226601826832662"},"content":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","text":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","html":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!"}],"streamModify":1775122485797,"id":549267725616296,"gmtCreate":1775122432381,"gmtModify":1775122485797,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Magnificent 7 on the Brink: Is It Time to Short the US Market?","htmlText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","listText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","text":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d80a84d9c362135e2789ddef0c9df15e","width":"1082","height":"729"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c39214f7b3f52645c7d451fd57cd67","width":"1078","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f01e036bea70a0e38bd283332523715f","width":"1077","height":"474"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549267725616296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":548950662418488,"type":1,"entity":{"id":548950662418488,"gmtCreate":1775045118599,"gmtModify":1775045146117,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Calm Before the Storm? Markets Eye US Troop Movements","htmlText":"This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo","listText":"This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo","text":"This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3552f7e81dcab9187d7a30f27b8415ac","width":"1219","height":"458"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/59e8f17a3ce88c6db06866b8d79d3404","width":"1121","height":"715"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/975625711da28176023ff7f50eea98f2","width":"1117","height":"711"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/548950662418488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000550","authorId":"9000000000000550","name":"JackPowell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/041f4a577e364033016303e2227a3108","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000550","authorIdStr":"9000000000000550"},"content":"Markets are on edge with troop movements. Oil and gold could swing big. Keep an eye out![惊讶]","text":"Markets are on edge with troop movements. Oil and gold could swing big. Keep an eye out![惊讶]","html":"Markets are on edge with troop movements. Oil and gold could swing big. Keep an eye out![惊讶]"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000550","authorId":"9000000000000550","name":"JackPowell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/041f4a577e364033016303e2227a3108","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000550","authorIdStr":"9000000000000550"},"content":"Markets are on edge with troop movements. Oil and gold could swing big. Keep an eye out![惊讶]","text":"Markets are on edge with troop movements. Oil and gold could swing big. Keep an eye out![惊讶]","html":"Markets are on edge with troop movements. Oil and gold could swing big. Keep an eye out![惊讶]"}],"streamModify":1775045146117,"id":548950662418488,"gmtCreate":1775045118599,"gmtModify":1775045146117,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Calm Before the Storm? Markets Eye US Troop Movements","htmlText":"This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo","listText":"This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo","text":"This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3552f7e81dcab9187d7a30f27b8415ac","width":"1219","height":"458"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/59e8f17a3ce88c6db06866b8d79d3404","width":"1121","height":"715"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/975625711da28176023ff7f50eea98f2","width":"1117","height":"711"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":54,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/548950662418488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":544241860436264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":544241860436264,"gmtCreate":1773895278997,"gmtModify":1774236807467,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Facing Dual Headwinds: How Long Can You Stay Long on the Hang Seng?🚀🚀","htmlText":"Recently, the Hang Seng Index has surged for three consecutive days, capturing the attention of many traders. Analysts attribute this rally to better-than-expected macroeconomic data from mainland China, an earnings recovery in tech stocks driven by the AI boom, and a short-term easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. However, against the backdrop of this continuous surge, authoritative institutions warn that the Hong Kong stock market still faces deep-seated tail risks from resurging inflation and foreign capital flight beneath the surface of this rebound. We will now discuss whether it is advisable to chase the current rally in the Hang Seng market.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2603(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2603(HSIm</a>","listText":"Recently, the Hang Seng Index has surged for three consecutive days, capturing the attention of many traders. Analysts attribute this rally to better-than-expected macroeconomic data from mainland China, an earnings recovery in tech stocks driven by the AI boom, and a short-term easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. However, against the backdrop of this continuous surge, authoritative institutions warn that the Hong Kong stock market still faces deep-seated tail risks from resurging inflation and foreign capital flight beneath the surface of this rebound. We will now discuss whether it is advisable to chase the current rally in the Hang Seng market.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2603(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2603(HSIm</a>","text":"Recently, the Hang Seng Index has surged for three consecutive days, capturing the attention of many traders. Analysts attribute this rally to better-than-expected macroeconomic data from mainland China, an earnings recovery in tech stocks driven by the AI boom, and a short-term easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. However, against the backdrop of this continuous surge, authoritative institutions warn that the Hong Kong stock market still faces deep-seated tail risks from resurging inflation and foreign capital flight beneath the surface of this rebound. We will now discuss whether it is advisable to chase the current rally in the Hang Seng market.$A50指数主连 2603(CNmain)$ $恒生指数主连 2603(HSIm","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3416876874dacb2ea1626e914f84ca3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":146,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544241860436264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1774236807467,"id":544241860436264,"gmtCreate":1773895278997,"gmtModify":1774236807467,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Facing Dual Headwinds: How Long Can You Stay Long on the Hang Seng?🚀🚀","htmlText":"Recently, the Hang Seng Index has surged for three consecutive days, capturing the attention of many traders. Analysts attribute this rally to better-than-expected macroeconomic data from mainland China, an earnings recovery in tech stocks driven by the AI boom, and a short-term easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. However, against the backdrop of this continuous surge, authoritative institutions warn that the Hong Kong stock market still faces deep-seated tail risks from resurging inflation and foreign capital flight beneath the surface of this rebound. We will now discuss whether it is advisable to chase the current rally in the Hang Seng market.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2603(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2603(HSIm</a>","listText":"Recently, the Hang Seng Index has surged for three consecutive days, capturing the attention of many traders. Analysts attribute this rally to better-than-expected macroeconomic data from mainland China, an earnings recovery in tech stocks driven by the AI boom, and a short-term easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. However, against the backdrop of this continuous surge, authoritative institutions warn that the Hong Kong stock market still faces deep-seated tail risks from resurging inflation and foreign capital flight beneath the surface of this rebound. We will now discuss whether it is advisable to chase the current rally in the Hang Seng market.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2603(CNmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2603(HSIm</a>","text":"Recently, the Hang Seng Index has surged for three consecutive days, capturing the attention of many traders. Analysts attribute this rally to better-than-expected macroeconomic data from mainland China, an earnings recovery in tech stocks driven by the AI boom, and a short-term easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East. However, against the backdrop of this continuous surge, authoritative institutions warn that the Hong Kong stock market still faces deep-seated tail risks from resurging inflation and foreign capital flight beneath the surface of this rebound. We will now discuss whether it is advisable to chase the current rally in the Hang Seng market.$A50指数主连 2603(CNmain)$ $恒生指数主连 2603(HSIm","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3416876874dacb2ea1626e914f84ca3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":146,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544241860436264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":541401533825264,"type":1,"entity":{"id":541401533825264,"gmtCreate":1773201809299,"gmtModify":1773201864772,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Day 11 of the War: What Oil Prices Are Telling Us About the Next Move in Stocks","htmlText":"By the 11th day of the U.S.–Iran war, markets have gone through extreme turbulence. WTI crude futures have surged in the short term from 80 dollars—a level many traders saw as a point to close positions—to nearly 120 dollars, and then, within just one day, plunged sharply back down to around 83. U.S. equity indices also tumbled quickly when the war escalated, only to stage a broad-based rebound afterward. At this point, many investors are likely asking themselves: how should we position our portfolios now? What opportunities in the market are still worth our close attention? To figure out what opportunities in the market are really worth seizing right now, we first need to understand the macro logic that is driving current volatility. Let’s take a look at the macro transmission chain we’re","listText":"By the 11th day of the U.S.–Iran war, markets have gone through extreme turbulence. WTI crude futures have surged in the short term from 80 dollars—a level many traders saw as a point to close positions—to nearly 120 dollars, and then, within just one day, plunged sharply back down to around 83. U.S. equity indices also tumbled quickly when the war escalated, only to stage a broad-based rebound afterward. At this point, many investors are likely asking themselves: how should we position our portfolios now? What opportunities in the market are still worth our close attention? To figure out what opportunities in the market are really worth seizing right now, we first need to understand the macro logic that is driving current volatility. Let’s take a look at the macro transmission chain we’re","text":"By the 11th day of the U.S.–Iran war, markets have gone through extreme turbulence. WTI crude futures have surged in the short term from 80 dollars—a level many traders saw as a point to close positions—to nearly 120 dollars, and then, within just one day, plunged sharply back down to around 83. U.S. equity indices also tumbled quickly when the war escalated, only to stage a broad-based rebound afterward. At this point, many investors are likely asking themselves: how should we position our portfolios now? What opportunities in the market are still worth our close attention? To figure out what opportunities in the market are really worth seizing right now, we first need to understand the macro logic that is driving current volatility. Let’s take a look at the macro transmission chain we’re","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/11654240deb61094685c3752c081cb33","width":"865","height":"383"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0212829bad896a901b1aeec2309fdf6","width":"865","height":"1384"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f229f71ddb85742ddfdf47f4e43b644a","width":"865","height":"481"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":158,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/541401533825264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274809858351","authorIdStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"Short Nasdaq if it breaks 23,900. Crude oil dips could be buys![看跌]","text":"Short Nasdaq if it breaks 23,900. Crude oil dips could be buys![看跌]","html":"Short Nasdaq if it breaks 23,900. Crude oil dips could be buys![看跌]"}],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274809858351","authorIdStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"Short Nasdaq if it breaks 23,900. Crude oil dips could be buys![看跌]","text":"Short Nasdaq if it breaks 23,900. Crude oil dips could be buys![看跌]","html":"Short Nasdaq if it breaks 23,900. Crude oil dips could be buys![看跌]"}],"streamModify":1773201864772,"id":541401533825264,"gmtCreate":1773201809299,"gmtModify":1773201864772,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Day 11 of the War: What Oil Prices Are Telling Us About the Next Move in Stocks","htmlText":"By the 11th day of the U.S.–Iran war, markets have gone through extreme turbulence. WTI crude futures have surged in the short term from 80 dollars—a level many traders saw as a point to close positions—to nearly 120 dollars, and then, within just one day, plunged sharply back down to around 83. U.S. equity indices also tumbled quickly when the war escalated, only to stage a broad-based rebound afterward. At this point, many investors are likely asking themselves: how should we position our portfolios now? What opportunities in the market are still worth our close attention? To figure out what opportunities in the market are really worth seizing right now, we first need to understand the macro logic that is driving current volatility. Let’s take a look at the macro transmission chain we’re","listText":"By the 11th day of the U.S.–Iran war, markets have gone through extreme turbulence. WTI crude futures have surged in the short term from 80 dollars—a level many traders saw as a point to close positions—to nearly 120 dollars, and then, within just one day, plunged sharply back down to around 83. U.S. equity indices also tumbled quickly when the war escalated, only to stage a broad-based rebound afterward. At this point, many investors are likely asking themselves: how should we position our portfolios now? What opportunities in the market are still worth our close attention? To figure out what opportunities in the market are really worth seizing right now, we first need to understand the macro logic that is driving current volatility. Let’s take a look at the macro transmission chain we’re","text":"By the 11th day of the U.S.–Iran war, markets have gone through extreme turbulence. WTI crude futures have surged in the short term from 80 dollars—a level many traders saw as a point to close positions—to nearly 120 dollars, and then, within just one day, plunged sharply back down to around 83. U.S. equity indices also tumbled quickly when the war escalated, only to stage a broad-based rebound afterward. At this point, many investors are likely asking themselves: how should we position our portfolios now? What opportunities in the market are still worth our close attention? To figure out what opportunities in the market are really worth seizing right now, we first need to understand the macro logic that is driving current volatility. Let’s take a look at the macro transmission chain we’re","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/11654240deb61094685c3752c081cb33","width":"865","height":"383"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0212829bad896a901b1aeec2309fdf6","width":"865","height":"1384"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f229f71ddb85742ddfdf47f4e43b644a","width":"865","height":"481"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":158,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/541401533825264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":540758197797408,"type":1,"entity":{"id":540758197797408,"gmtCreate":1773047321507,"gmtModify":1773047342788,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude May Break $100, but the Risk of a Sharp Reversal Is Rising","htmlText":"Following the US-Israeli operation that eliminated a key Iranian figure, the original playbook was to install a pro-American leader within Iran — an approach designed to serve US interests while minimizing the impact on financial markets. Venezuela served as a successful example of this strategy. However, over the past week, it has become clear that the Iran situation has not unfolded according to Washington's script. The new Iranian leadership is likely to remain non-pro-American, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz places Trump in a critically vulnerable position. If oil prices fail to retreat quickly ahead of the approaching midterm elections, the Republican Party could lose congressional seats, effectively crippling Trump's ability to govern in the second half of his term. Given t","listText":"Following the US-Israeli operation that eliminated a key Iranian figure, the original playbook was to install a pro-American leader within Iran — an approach designed to serve US interests while minimizing the impact on financial markets. Venezuela served as a successful example of this strategy. However, over the past week, it has become clear that the Iran situation has not unfolded according to Washington's script. The new Iranian leadership is likely to remain non-pro-American, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz places Trump in a critically vulnerable position. If oil prices fail to retreat quickly ahead of the approaching midterm elections, the Republican Party could lose congressional seats, effectively crippling Trump's ability to govern in the second half of his term. Given t","text":"Following the US-Israeli operation that eliminated a key Iranian figure, the original playbook was to install a pro-American leader within Iran — an approach designed to serve US interests while minimizing the impact on financial markets. Venezuela served as a successful example of this strategy. However, over the past week, it has become clear that the Iran situation has not unfolded according to Washington's script. The new Iranian leadership is likely to remain non-pro-American, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz places Trump in a critically vulnerable position. If oil prices fail to retreat quickly ahead of the approaching midterm elections, the Republican Party could lose congressional seats, effectively crippling Trump's ability to govern in the second half of his term. Given t","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dc529cebabffa0fbac52b82d8a4ecb8","width":"1073","height":"161"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":25,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/540758197797408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1773047342788,"id":540758197797408,"gmtCreate":1773047321507,"gmtModify":1773047342788,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude May Break $100, but the Risk of a Sharp Reversal Is Rising","htmlText":"Following the US-Israeli operation that eliminated a key Iranian figure, the original playbook was to install a pro-American leader within Iran — an approach designed to serve US interests while minimizing the impact on financial markets. Venezuela served as a successful example of this strategy. However, over the past week, it has become clear that the Iran situation has not unfolded according to Washington's script. The new Iranian leadership is likely to remain non-pro-American, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz places Trump in a critically vulnerable position. If oil prices fail to retreat quickly ahead of the approaching midterm elections, the Republican Party could lose congressional seats, effectively crippling Trump's ability to govern in the second half of his term. Given t","listText":"Following the US-Israeli operation that eliminated a key Iranian figure, the original playbook was to install a pro-American leader within Iran — an approach designed to serve US interests while minimizing the impact on financial markets. Venezuela served as a successful example of this strategy. However, over the past week, it has become clear that the Iran situation has not unfolded according to Washington's script. The new Iranian leadership is likely to remain non-pro-American, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz places Trump in a critically vulnerable position. If oil prices fail to retreat quickly ahead of the approaching midterm elections, the Republican Party could lose congressional seats, effectively crippling Trump's ability to govern in the second half of his term. Given t","text":"Following the US-Israeli operation that eliminated a key Iranian figure, the original playbook was to install a pro-American leader within Iran — an approach designed to serve US interests while minimizing the impact on financial markets. Venezuela served as a successful example of this strategy. However, over the past week, it has become clear that the Iran situation has not unfolded according to Washington's script. The new Iranian leadership is likely to remain non-pro-American, and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz places Trump in a critically vulnerable position. If oil prices fail to retreat quickly ahead of the approaching midterm elections, the Republican Party could lose congressional seats, effectively crippling Trump's ability to govern in the second half of his term. Given t","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dc529cebabffa0fbac52b82d8a4ecb8","width":"1073","height":"161"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":25,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/540758197797408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":539696535023832,"type":1,"entity":{"id":539696535023832,"gmtCreate":1772788216370,"gmtModify":1772788268825,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The US-Iran War is Escalating—So Why Did I Just Close My Long Oil Trades?","htmlText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","listText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","text":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/220fe11b2bd81b2be62118b289b08ad2","width":"668","height":"918"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b547c887d60b8626764503eeb371b3a","width":"1806","height":"804"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66b8c008471223974ace93803f51f506","width":"1317","height":"696"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":60,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539696535023832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1772788268825,"id":539696535023832,"gmtCreate":1772788216370,"gmtModify":1772788268825,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_Tradinghouse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"The US-Iran War is Escalating—So Why Did I Just Close My Long Oil Trades?","htmlText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","listText":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","text":"First, let me update you on my recent trading moves. I haven't been particularly active in equities lately; instead, I've maintained a light short position on the Euro and locked in some profits from a crude oil bull calendar spread (buying the near month and selling the deferred month three months out). Currently, my dprofits are entirely concentrated in my futures account. Today, I closed my crude oil calendar spread position, booking a modest profit over the past few days. Remember our trading rule? \"Rest during minor volatility, rest during extreme volatility, and no rest when there is no volatility\". When a major risk event triggers massive market swings, our best approach in the futures market is to minimize our trade frequency, increase our win rate, and appropriately reduce our pos","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/220fe11b2bd81b2be62118b289b08ad2","width":"668","height":"918"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b547c887d60b8626764503eeb371b3a","width":"1806","height":"804"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66b8c008471223974ace93803f51f506","width":"1317","height":"696"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":60,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539696535023832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"New York Mercantile Exchange","code":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","name":"NYMEX","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":20,"zone":"EDT","zoneId":"America/New_York","zoneName":"Eastern Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"NG2608","contractId":"37afcbf7f87045f2971ab98e320a476c","contractMonth":"202608","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.001（ USD/mmBtu）( US$10 )","productScale":"10,000mmBtu","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for the current year","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$10,000 x futures price","worth":10000},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"20260730","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":1785445200000,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260729","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1785358800000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":10000},"name":"Natural Gas - Aug 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_NG_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":3,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":3,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":3,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"NGmain","referMainContractId":"aaa58976a09c48d095feb4571ae271ca","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"NG","symbolId":"FT_SY_NG","symbolName":"Natural Gas"}}