NGmain (Natural Gas - main 2610)
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"NGmain","contractId":"aaa58976a09c48d095feb4571ae271ca","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.001（ USD/mmBtu）( US$10 )","productScale":"10,000mmBtu","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for the current year","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$10,000 x futures price","worth":10000},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":10000},"name":"Natural Gas - main 2610","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_NG_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":3,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":3,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":3,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"NG","symbolId":"FT_SY_NG","symbolName":"Natural Gas"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":598390933225600,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598390933225600,"gmtCreate":1787122235226,"gmtModify":1787122982101,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"High-Level Pullback Begins？Three Strategies for a Choppy Market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","text":"The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/631d0ca65d09ed75204904863c4931d0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98b80baf0b3479e64078e827a582d54e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08e49ba10a0f6d46ed1973dda9feae30"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598390933225600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000579","authorId":"9000000000000579","name":"GeraldAdela","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74991ef479abd9cfe482bcb9079a22bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000579","idStr":"9000000000000579"},"content":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","text":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","html":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol"}],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000579","authorId":"9000000000000579","name":"GeraldAdela","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74991ef479abd9cfe482bcb9079a22bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000579","idStr":"9000000000000579"},"content":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","text":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","html":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol"}],"streamModify":1787122982101,"id":598390933225600,"gmtCreate":1787122235226,"gmtModify":1787122982101,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"High-Level Pullback Begins？Three Strategies for a Choppy Market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","text":"The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/631d0ca65d09ed75204904863c4931d0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98b80baf0b3479e64078e827a582d54e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08e49ba10a0f6d46ed1973dda9feae30"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598390933225600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597772257562648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786950458851,"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":593602040985136,"type":1,"entity":{"id":593602040985136,"gmtCreate":1785919179834,"gmtModify":1785987103640,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Macro Strategy: Rebound vs. Reversal in US Equities？Strategies for a Range-Bound US Market💹","htmlText":"Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/590822823945728\">Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat</a> Strategy Contributor: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3534312667271286\">@程俊Dream</a> US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr","listText":"Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/590822823945728\">Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat</a> Strategy Contributor: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3534312667271286\">@程俊Dream</a> US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr","text":"Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat Strategy Contributor: @程俊Dream US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1d5c5cef940b27184d521a55ba2b546"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7db07996d7419b2216c1778628b372d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1ca6a754c75668703fd43b981a208b70"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":33,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/593602040985136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987103640,"id":593602040985136,"gmtCreate":1785919179834,"gmtModify":1785987103640,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Macro Strategy: Rebound vs. Reversal in US Equities？Strategies for a Range-Bound US Market💹","htmlText":"Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/590822823945728\">Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat</a> Strategy Contributor: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3534312667271286\">@程俊Dream</a> US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr","listText":"Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/590822823945728\">Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat</a> Strategy Contributor: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3534312667271286\">@程俊Dream</a> US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr","text":"Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat Strategy Contributor: @程俊Dream US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b1d5c5cef940b27184d521a55ba2b546"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7db07996d7419b2216c1778628b372d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1ca6a754c75668703fd43b981a208b70"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":33,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/593602040985136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":16,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":592877236159920,"type":1,"entity":{"id":592877236159920,"gmtCreate":1785742135330,"gmtModify":1785987111234,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Will NFP Shift Rate Hike Expectations?Is a New Wave of Market Volatility Coming?","htmlText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","listText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","text":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. $Inve","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa0a0626d68bf647d9a710e181fc7a27"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1df7e562369b66be3c4949d7b9605707"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/562060c289328b93032b4b7d659ebec7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":208,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592877236159920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987111234,"id":592877236159920,"gmtCreate":1785742135330,"gmtModify":1785987111234,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Will NFP Shift Rate Hike Expectations?Is a New Wave of Market Volatility Coming?","htmlText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","listText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","text":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. $Inve","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa0a0626d68bf647d9a710e181fc7a27"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1df7e562369b66be3c4949d7b9605707"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/562060c289328b93032b4b7d659ebec7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":208,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592877236159920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":590822823945728,"type":1,"entity":{"id":590822823945728,"gmtCreate":1785240594247,"gmtModify":1785987059356,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat ","htmlText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","listText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","text":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24a97e59a8e619f03c04fce85a4d4a36"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/849b9dafa5dee7be2b0da3ac63385eaa"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a756c812aca026f0c6faecbbd968cf1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590822823945728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987059356,"id":590822823945728,"gmtCreate":1785240594247,"gmtModify":1785987059356,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat ","htmlText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","listText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","text":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24a97e59a8e619f03c04fce85a4d4a36"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/849b9dafa5dee7be2b0da3ac63385eaa"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a756c812aca026f0c6faecbbd968cf1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590822823945728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":586734048944160,"type":1,"entity":{"id":586734048944160,"gmtCreate":1784276296780,"gmtModify":1785987060499,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Cold CPI, Fading Rate-Hike Bets, a Dollar Teetering at 100.5: Has Gold's Rebound Window Opened?","htmlText":"Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli","listText":"Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli","text":"Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26332c626a84377fea71d8aa66ec8307","width":"865","height":"493"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4b2c7690727ff7bdfdd3c469bff51abf","width":"865","height":"445"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3bf76d736b22d74253d151cc977063e9","width":"865","height":"388"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/586734048944160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987060499,"id":586734048944160,"gmtCreate":1784276296780,"gmtModify":1785987060499,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Cold CPI, Fading Rate-Hike Bets, a Dollar Teetering at 100.5: Has Gold's Rebound Window Opened?","htmlText":"Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli","listText":"Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli","text":"Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26332c626a84377fea71d8aa66ec8307","width":"865","height":"493"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4b2c7690727ff7bdfdd3c469bff51abf","width":"865","height":"445"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3bf76d736b22d74253d151cc977063e9","width":"865","height":"388"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/586734048944160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":586032632955104,"type":1,"entity":{"id":586032632955104,"gmtCreate":1784105135859,"gmtModify":1784169987641,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Two Must-Watch Strategies Now: the Enticing oil Crack Spread and Stock-Index Options Straddle","htmlText":"Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","listText":"Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","text":"Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25698fa2cdba85e2e33a7eb9cd5f3078"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a3070da9201e495e7ec72030d04c812"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3d9bd9362035ff080d8eaf35211bc3b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":366,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/586032632955104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12051,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1784169987641,"id":586032632955104,"gmtCreate":1784105135859,"gmtModify":1784169987641,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Two Must-Watch Strategies Now: the Enticing oil Crack Spread and Stock-Index Options Straddle","htmlText":"Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","listText":"Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","text":"Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25698fa2cdba85e2e33a7eb9cd5f3078"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a3070da9201e495e7ec72030d04c812"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3d9bd9362035ff080d8eaf35211bc3b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":366,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":28,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/586032632955104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12051,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":585647642038368,"type":1,"entity":{"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1784018004707,"id":585647642038368,"gmtCreate":1784011163379,"gmtModify":1784018004707,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Why the US–Iran War Scare Is Overdone — and Watch WTI's $80 Line","htmlText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","listText":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","text":"Last week the Middle East situation produced fresh news again — from the U.S. air strikes on Iran to Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz — as if the old script were playing out once more. We noted before that the U.S.–Iran contest is unlikely to end peacefully, and will most probably reignite in the fourth quarter. So will the current developments bring the new fighting forward? On the whole, the probability is relatively limited, because the timing on the U.S. (Trump) side is not yet fully ready, and market behavior also shows that overall sentiment remains relatively stable. From the standpoint of long-term goals, taking Iran down — or at least striking it thoroughly — is the core demand for the U.S. However, both the military situation and inflation pressure previously meant the stalemate","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f3a1e466a211db612b2583bd2e7d5b1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":65,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585647642038368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":585630342902048,"type":1,"entity":{"id":585630342902048,"gmtCreate":1784010679430,"gmtModify":1784017999181,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"CPI Shock Ahead: Don't Chase Stocks,and Oil Still Has Room to Drop","htmlText":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","listText":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","text":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/86b232863a15289dd50d0ae48d8e1555"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585630342902048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1784017999181,"id":585630342902048,"gmtCreate":1784010679430,"gmtModify":1784017999181,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"CPI Shock Ahead: Don't Chase Stocks,and Oil Still Has Room to Drop","htmlText":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","listText":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","text":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/86b232863a15289dd50d0ae48d8e1555"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585630342902048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":583603213271072,"type":1,"entity":{"id":583603213271072,"gmtCreate":1783511932602,"gmtModify":1783512143400,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed","htmlText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","listText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","text":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92a4da4cfefce6ae0978a4889cc151f","width":"865","height":"385"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c891bac8ef2f82e0e31539c207591628","width":"865","height":"1122"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3abd5b13c7d42e71656d0d8687101679","width":"865","height":"702"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":39,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583603213271072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1783512143400,"id":583603213271072,"gmtCreate":1783511932602,"gmtModify":1783512143400,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed","htmlText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","listText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","text":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92a4da4cfefce6ae0978a4889cc151f","width":"865","height":"385"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c891bac8ef2f82e0e31539c207591628","width":"865","height":"1122"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3abd5b13c7d42e71656d0d8687101679","width":"865","height":"702"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":39,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583603213271072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":578317131616512,"type":1,"entity":{"id":578317131616512,"gmtCreate":1782215493492,"gmtModify":1785987063227,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Red Alert! The Dollar Just Broke Out—How to Bulletproof Your Stock Portfolio Now！","htmlText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</</a>","listText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</</a>","text":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/023cc5cbf0c641dc637ca49dc1226abe","width":"1835","height":"852"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a30ee3c72aaedbca694b9c2d188dbb80","width":"1818","height":"855"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ea859288cd1ef9edc9f0f0b7975d92f","width":"1488","height":"944"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":116,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578317131616512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987063227,"id":578317131616512,"gmtCreate":1782215493492,"gmtModify":1785987063227,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Red Alert! The Dollar Just Broke Out—How to Bulletproof Your Stock Portfolio Now！","htmlText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</</a>","listText":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UDN\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UUP\">$Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</</a>","text":"The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a \"head and shoulders bottom\" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/023cc5cbf0c641dc637ca49dc1226abe","width":"1835","height":"852"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a30ee3c72aaedbca694b9c2d188dbb80","width":"1818","height":"855"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ea859288cd1ef9edc9f0f0b7975d92f","width":"1488","height":"944"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":116,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578317131616512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":578264420922616,"type":1,"entity":{"id":578264420922616,"gmtCreate":1782202701441,"gmtModify":1782202733220,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Hormuz Blockaded Again？ The \"Fight-and-Talk\" Trading Strategy You Need Now！","htmlText":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","listText":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","text":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c858f749460eec485e4dfed5460e40ab","width":"893","height":"315"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6de9c0007186f7783dd12a4f9d70f12b","width":"826","height":"526"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f8e9e1ea879e12b159856ffd9b96c08","width":"830","height":"520"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264420922616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1782202733220,"id":578264420922616,"gmtCreate":1782202701441,"gmtModify":1782202733220,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Hormuz Blockaded Again？ The \"Fight-and-Talk\" Trading Strategy You Need Now！","htmlText":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","listText":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","text":"Over the weekend, renewed exchanges of fire between Israel and Lebanon reignited tensions in the US-Iran negotiations. Iran announced that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted to zero, effectively placing the strait under a de facto blockade and setting market nerves on edge once again. Absent any news of a negotiated settlement, crude oil is poised for a substantial rebound next week, though the outlook for other commodities and equity indices remains grim. With the US midterm elections approaching, a \"fight-and-talk\" dynamic will define future market action. The US is eager to restore navigation to lower oil prices and fulfill campaign promises, while Iran aims to leverage the strait's reopening to extract maximum economic concessions. Consequently, negotiations wi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c858f749460eec485e4dfed5460e40ab","width":"893","height":"315"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6de9c0007186f7783dd12a4f9d70f12b","width":"826","height":"526"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f8e9e1ea879e12b159856ffd9b96c08","width":"830","height":"520"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/578264420922616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":576055311343776,"type":1,"entity":{"id":576055311343776,"gmtCreate":1781668585560,"gmtModify":1781669698600,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil Plunges, Undercurrents Thrive? June 19 Deal Could Flip — Option Strategy to Capture Time Value","htmlText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","listText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","text":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15e93111f709432ce2d11912f805a2e6","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a1f8829fe317cad896a652c8f43aa9","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b990bcbe679696760e29ad4bc4fc187a","width":"865","height":"305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":211,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/576055311343776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1781669698600,"id":576055311343776,"gmtCreate":1781668585560,"gmtModify":1781669698600,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil Plunges, Undercurrents Thrive? June 19 Deal Could Flip — Option Strategy to Capture Time Value","htmlText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","listText":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","text":"With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15e93111f709432ce2d11912f805a2e6","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a1f8829fe317cad896a652c8f43aa9","width":"865","height":"404"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b990bcbe679696760e29ad4bc4fc187a","width":"865","height":"305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":211,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/576055311343776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":9,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":568058349261200,"type":1,"entity":{"id":568058349261200,"gmtCreate":1779697505470,"gmtModify":1779983424326,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Strait Reopening Imminent? What Could Be the Market Impact?","htmlText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","listText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","text":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a47f2c8eaae78d5ac30c2ac9c8034fdd","width":"865","height":"619"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/38c9125101238145e2386b97211ba306","width":"865","height":"553"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7514e0aee2805de7bf57ccf8d15bd73a","width":"865","height":"552"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568058349261200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1779983424326,"id":568058349261200,"gmtCreate":1779697505470,"gmtModify":1779983424326,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Strait Reopening Imminent? What Could Be the Market Impact?","htmlText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","listText":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","text":"Over the weekend, there were frequent positive signals from the U.S.–Iran peace negotiations. If an agreement is reached, the reopening of the Strait could be imminent. As discussed in last week’s live session, the core sticking point in current negotiations lies in uranium enrichment. The U.S. is seeking Iran’s commitment to abandon uranium enrichment before lifting sanctions, while Iran prefers that sanctions be lifted first before addressing enrichment. If this divergence can be reconciled, negotiations could accelerate; otherwise, entrenched positions on both sides may stall or even derail the process. Recent developments appear favorable for the reopening of the Strait, which is likely to trigger a notable shift in market positioning next week. 1. Direct Impact on Crude Oil There is l","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a47f2c8eaae78d5ac30c2ac9c8034fdd","width":"865","height":"619"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/38c9125101238145e2386b97211ba306","width":"865","height":"553"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7514e0aee2805de7bf57ccf8d15bd73a","width":"865","height":"552"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568058349261200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":565871490916368,"type":1,"entity":{"id":565871490916368,"gmtCreate":1779163685036,"gmtModify":1779164042411,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US-China talks stall: risk assets wrestle with yields and a fragile rally","htmlText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","listText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","text":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7110b59ed2c3a7c555d78182aaf5ff0f","width":"865","height":"560"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fd5315854cc663f0d6d410c394abe51","width":"865","height":"556"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0659af5dd908c078c291f5075304cd19","width":"865","height":"565"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":124,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565871490916368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1779164042411,"id":565871490916368,"gmtCreate":1779163685036,"gmtModify":1779164042411,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"US-China talks stall: risk assets wrestle with yields and a fragile rally","htmlText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","listText":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","text":"Market regime review and the uncertainty of future directions Last week, Trump’s visit to China dominated most of the headlines, but after the lively atmosphere and optimistic expectations, it ultimately appears that no substantive outcomes were achieved. This led to a decline in most non-dominant risk assets in the latter part of the week, with both gold and silver signaling that the previous round of a corrective rebound has ended. However, as the summer rally approaches, whether a sustained performance can be achieved remains highly variable. Weak relative performance signals for precious metals and non-mainstream metals Silver posted a large upper shadow last week, with a intraday high near $90, but then retraced the gains over the next two trading days. The pace of the rebound is slow","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7110b59ed2c3a7c555d78182aaf5ff0f","width":"865","height":"560"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fd5315854cc663f0d6d410c394abe51","width":"865","height":"556"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0659af5dd908c078c291f5075304cd19","width":"865","height":"565"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":124,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/565871490916368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":563100849238840,"type":1,"entity":{"id":563100849238840,"gmtCreate":1778497013157,"gmtModify":1778843904464,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"“NACHO” Takes Hold: Persistent Oil Risks and the Return of Reflation Trades","htmlText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","listText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","text":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb53625528c60186074a882c8fd7977"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41ac8dcffb6aa1615ccbde25b2ca374e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a325817639e91ed45d4eac7624f791"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":89,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563100849238840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4136897647765072","idStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","text":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","html":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4136897647765072","idStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","text":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype.","html":"It ain’t about TACO or Nacho anymore .. it is all about AI Hype."}],"streamModify":1778843904464,"id":563100849238840,"gmtCreate":1778497013157,"gmtModify":1778843904464,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"“NACHO” Takes Hold: Persistent Oil Risks and the Return of Reflation Trades","htmlText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","listText":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","text":"The New Term “NACHO” and Shifting Market Expectations Recently, new buzzwords have been emerging in financial markets. Following “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), another term—“NACHO”—has quietly gained traction among traders. “NACHO” stands for Not A Chance Hormuz Opens, implying that there is little hope for a quick resolution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Essentially, this reflects the market’s declining confidence in a swift reopening of the strait, leading to expectations that elevated oil prices will persist far longer than previously anticipated, thereby reigniting longer-term inflation. The emergence of this term also signals a shift in market focus—from short-term price fluctuations to a broader consideration of assets’ inflation-hedging characteristics over a longer hori","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/deb53625528c60186074a882c8fd7977"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41ac8dcffb6aa1615ccbde25b2ca374e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a325817639e91ed45d4eac7624f791"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":89,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563100849238840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":558104805212624,"type":1,"entity":{"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1778843872740,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843872740,"id":558104805212624,"gmtCreate":1777288852593,"gmtModify":1778843872740,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil Opportunities Emerge in Volatile Markets as Gold Faces Selling Pressure","htmlText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","listText":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","text":"Geopolitical Deadlock PersistsOver the weekend, the U.S.–Iran conflict has approached the two-month mark, and the negotiation deadlock remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked—regardless of whether the blockade is enforced by Iran or the United States, a large number of vessels remain stranded in the strait. Although financial markets have reacted relatively optimistically, with U.S. equities rallying while oil prices fluctuate and commodities remain broadly subdued, the underlying situation has not materially changed. Market Reaction and Inflation Outlook Persistently high oil prices will gradually feed into inflation over time, so any sudden surge in prices should not come as a surprise. Meanwhile, a shooting incident occurred during Trump’s White House press conference","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c7e1ac0c998922c593aa67fabd8cf33"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c684f446944af2436ab3376f3b345ef4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebbf53beabfaadc58dd69b5cda47d42a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":63,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/558104805212624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555725039461336,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843841800,"id":555725039461336,"gmtCreate":1776685731941,"gmtModify":1778843841800,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table: What Is the Real Catalyst for a Dollar Rebound?","htmlText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","listText":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","text":"Trump once believed he was the only one in the market capable of “drawing K-lines with words,” but it turns out Iran has learned the same trick. From last Friday to the beginning of this week, both sides have been locked in a tug-of-war over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and whether to extend ceasefire negotiations, each telling its own version of the story. Judging by market reactions, investors are largely in a passive, headline-driven mode: bullish news triggers risk-on buying, while negative developments lead to risk-off selling. Based on our analysis and judgment from last week, a delaying strategy remains the most likely scenario, with the key question being whether it is short-term or a more prolonged standoff. 1. Negotiation Tug-of-War: Tough Tal","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e924561655cd86bd36b329dcd037b195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555725039461336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":555722222379992,"type":1,"entity":{"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1778843836825,"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":553891178676712,"type":1,"entity":{"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1776413088746,"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"New York Mercantile Exchange","code":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","name":"NYMEX","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":20,"zone":"EDT","zoneId":"America/New_York","zoneName":"Eastern Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"NG2610","contractId":"974daa9edbe044279a96ea3b81c139e5","contractMonth":"202610","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Physical","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.001（ USD/mmBtu）( US$10 )","productScale":"10,000mmBtu","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for the current year","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$10,000 x futures price","worth":10000},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"20260929","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":1790715600000,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260928","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1790629200000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":10000},"name":"Natural Gas - Oct 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_NG_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":3,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":3,"value":1},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":3,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"NGmain","referMainContractId":"aaa58976a09c48d095feb4571ae271ca","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"NG","symbolId":"FT_SY_NG","symbolName":"Natural Gas"}}