QMmain (E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610)
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{"futures":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"QMmain","contractId":"31b3e57bd65f44d8850fd050303cc60d","contractMonth":"","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/crude-oil/emini-crude-oil_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.025（ USD/barrel）( US$12.5 )","productScale":"500 barrels","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for the current year","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$500 x futures price","worth":500},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":true,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"","lastTradingDateTimestamp":0,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":500},"name":"E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_QM_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":3,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":3,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":3,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"QM","symbolId":"FT_SY_QM","symbolName":"E-mini WTI Crude Oil"},"tab":"news","tweetList":[{"objectId":609031505760344,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":83,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":22,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000382","authorIdStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274755021820","authorIdStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"fizzloo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb122f93f1e4d3d7bc3ccbfb6d37baf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000382","authorIdStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","text":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move","html":"Rates are the headline, but central bank buying and geopolitics still matter more for gold. This pullback feels more like a reset than the end of the move"},{"author":{"id":"3479274755021820","authorId":"3479274755021820","name":"qixoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/256ffdc976dab81f8d06c84c0e0e8e43","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274755021820","authorIdStr":"3479274755021820"},"content":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","text":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods","html":"Copper and aluminum probably matter more here. If industrial demand stays this soft, equities are still not out of the woods"}],"streamModify":1789720203884,"id":609031505760344,"gmtCreate":1789720030128,"gmtModify":1789720203884,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Capital Insight: Equity Outflows Narrow Sharply as Gold, Silver Longs Retreat","htmlText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","listText":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","text":"This week’s macro focus was the Fed’s September meeting. On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first hike in more than three years, after markets had priced in more than 92% odds. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly hit 5.0266%, widening the 10-year/3-month spread to 89 basis points. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions lifted Brent above $109 a barrel and drove WTI up about 9.6% for the week. Higher yields and geopolitical risk weighed on U.S. equities, with the Dow down 1.56% and the S&P 500 off 0.78%. Commodities diverged: crude gained nearly 10%, while copper and aluminum each fell about 1%. Gold lost 1.4% and silver fell more than 5%, extending precious metals’ losing streak to three weeks. As of the close on September 16, 2026, the week","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c2a3b762e663939e76389fd78655613e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":83,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":22,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609031505760344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":15,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":609028128932000,"type":1,"entity":{"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":83,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":25,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274785641432","authorIdStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274785641432","authorId":"3479274785641432","name":"Chungllq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/159d15638df857f22133cce85bb6593d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274785641432","authorIdStr":"3479274785641432"},"content":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","text":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons","html":"I care more about the Treasury curve than the hike itself. Gold and Bitcoin usually split once the curve starts steepening for the wrong reasons"}],"streamModify":1789719877417,"id":609028128932000,"gmtCreate":1789719293202,"gmtModify":1789719877417,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Will September’s FOMC set the market’s direction——How to trade gold and Bitcoin trends?💰💰","htmlText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","listText":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","text":"Disclaimer: The views expressed below are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice. They are provided for informational purposes only. Last night, I shared my views in Tiger’s futures livestream following the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate hike. With the decision now behind us, markets have entered a critical phase of testing whether the negative catalyst has been fully priced in. The discussion covered the real drivers behind the rate decision, the outlook for future policy, long-dated U.S. Treasury yields as the key market gauge, and trading views on crypto assets, gold, U.S. equities, crude oil, and foreign exchange. For those who missed the session, the replay is available>>","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4a73ec34df6425156a39ad82c80292ab"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":83,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":25,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/609028128932000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":608584518627352,"type":1,"entity":{"id":608584518627352,"gmtCreate":1789618292394,"gmtModify":1789618751535,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572493257500324","authorIdStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"Central Banks Are Buying Gold and ETFs Are Selling: Whose Money Decides the Next Move?","htmlText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","listText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","text":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$ $黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$ FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53deb3b42d37a3a7eac1d1a0919dde73"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":132,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":29,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608584518627352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000630","authorId":"9000000000000630","name":"Marialina","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0adc079be44b41bba23aad7469b25854","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000630","authorIdStr":"9000000000000630"},"content":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","text":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","html":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000692","authorIdStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","text":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","html":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline."}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000630","authorId":"9000000000000630","name":"Marialina","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0adc079be44b41bba23aad7469b25854","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000630","authorIdStr":"9000000000000630"},"content":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","text":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself","html":"Real rates matter more here. Sticky inflation expectations are why gold still isn't cracking, so next CPI probably matters more than the meeting itself"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000692","authorId":"9000000000000692","name":"BartonBecky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58026ab8f0edf0d829859314a737d6a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000692","authorIdStr":"9000000000000692"},"content":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","text":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline.","html":"FOMC itself feels mostly priced in. The break probably comes from how the dot plot gets interpreted after, not the meeting headline."}],"streamModify":1789618751535,"id":608584518627352,"gmtCreate":1789618292394,"gmtModify":1789618751535,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572493257500324","authorIdStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"Central Banks Are Buying Gold and ETFs Are Selling: Whose Money Decides the Next Move?","htmlText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","listText":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/GCmain\">$黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/MGCmain\">$微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/1OZmain\">$1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GLD\">$黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$</a> FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","text":"After rallying in August, gold has pulled back to the midpoint of that advance, with neither bulls nor bears gaining a clear upper hand. Technically, prices remain confined to the prior consolidation range, leaving room for either a breakout or a breakdown in the near term. The question is not whether gold must rise or fall, but whether post-FOMC macro moves can force a break from the range. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金主連 2612(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黃金主連 2612(1OZmain)$ $黃金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$ FOMC Surprise Drives Near-Term Pricing, With Real Yields and the Do","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/53deb3b42d37a3a7eac1d1a0919dde73"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":132,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":29,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608584518627352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":608348719882288,"type":1,"entity":{"id":608348719882288,"gmtCreate":1789553334007,"gmtModify":1789557068307,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: 4 Fed Paths Decide Gold and Stocks Tonight! Which Strategy Wins?","htmlText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","listText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","text":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db92f3ae06523015f9ef29bb4ca2ddf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608348719882288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000434","authorId":"9000000000000434","name":"PageDickens","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e83e48989b3401bb5773e10a7c62208","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000434","authorIdStr":"9000000000000434"},"content":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","text":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","html":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000658","authorId":"9000000000000658","name":"CarterSilas","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000658","authorIdStr":"9000000000000658"},"content":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","text":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","html":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000434","authorId":"9000000000000434","name":"PageDickens","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e83e48989b3401bb5773e10a7c62208","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000434","authorIdStr":"9000000000000434"},"content":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","text":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline.","html":"30-year yield matters more here. If it clears 5.2%, credit spreads probably widen fast, and that hits QQQ and gold harder than the 10-year headline."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000658","authorId":"9000000000000658","name":"CarterSilas","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf65ca86aeb00567f8edf7489edd03ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000658","authorIdStr":"9000000000000658"},"content":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","text":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast","html":"Gold probably has more bid than this writeup gives it credit for. If Iran risk stays hot and long yields stop climbing, GLD catches both flows fast"}],"streamModify":1789557068307,"id":608348719882288,"gmtCreate":1789553334007,"gmtModify":1789557068307,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: 4 Fed Paths Decide Gold and Stocks Tonight! Which Strategy Wins?","htmlText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","listText":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","text":"Weekly Roundup 1. The Real Focus of the FOMC Isn't the Rate Move. It's the Treasury Yield Curve. Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point hike, so whether asset prices reprice sharply in the near term will hinge on how the Fed frames its future rate path and inflation outlook. The 10-year Treasury yield is closing in on 5%, and a decisive break above that level would weigh on both stocks and gold through three channels: valuation discounting, funding costs and risk appetite. What markets are really waiting on is whether long-term yields have peaked. 2. Beneath a Calm Surface, US Stocks Show Signs of Technical Fatigue. Market breadth is fading fast: only about 28% of NYSE-listed stocks are trading above their 20-day moving average, and the equal-weight S&P 500 has slipped be","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0db92f3ae06523015f9ef29bb4ca2ddf"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/608348719882288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":607610540589144,"type":1,"entity":{"id":607610540589144,"gmtCreate":1789373114803,"gmtModify":1789613733339,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"FOMC Preview: Watch Key Levels in U.S. Equities; Stay Alert to a Pullback in Commodities After Rally","htmlText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","listText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","text":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3c9988fe1821479e3123f5152713618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607610540589144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274809858351","authorIdStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","text":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","html":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274809858351","authorId":"3479274809858351","name":"twinkle5","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1199212883bdd6438fe9209c5a43f33d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274809858351","authorIdStr":"3479274809858351"},"content":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","text":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs","html":"90% is mostly priced in already. For me 105.8 on DXY is the level that decides whether dollar strength really has legs"}],"streamModify":1789613733339,"id":607610540589144,"gmtCreate":1789373114803,"gmtModify":1789613733339,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"FOMC Preview: Watch Key Levels in U.S. Equities; Stay Alert to a Pullback in Commodities After Rally","htmlText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","listText":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","text":"Last week’s CPI release brought market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike into much sharper alignment. Following the euro area’s earlier rate increase and a 0.3% month-over-month rise in core CPI, markets are now pricing in roughly a 90% probability that the Fed will raise rates in September. Although core CPI came in marginally above expectations, the overall reading was not excessively strong. In particular, core CPI has not accelerated significantly even with oil prices approaching USD 100 per barrel. The market also generally expects the Fed’s tightening path to remain relatively gradual. As a result, a rate hike this week is largely priced in. Conversely, if the Fed unexpectedly leaves rates unchanged, the decision could be interpreted as a positive surprise and potentially","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3c9988fe1821479e3123f5152713618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/607610540589144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":606221724897328,"type":1,"entity":{"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000340","authorIdStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","text":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","html":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000181","authorId":"9000000000000181","name":"blinky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7e488f0f7683bcc2f916727332a2d8b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000181","authorIdStr":"9000000000000181"},"content":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","text":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","html":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000340","authorId":"9000000000000340","name":"zinglee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000340","authorIdStr":"9000000000000340"},"content":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","text":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong","html":"Within M7, Meta and Microsoft look furthest along on actual AI monetization. The harder part is whether cash flow scales with capex or just stays optically strong"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000181","authorId":"9000000000000181","name":"blinky","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7e488f0f7683bcc2f916727332a2d8b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000181","authorIdStr":"9000000000000181"},"content":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","text":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season","html":"Cash flow is the part getting ignored here. If capex keeps outrunning monetization, this gets exposed fast in earnings season"}],"streamModify":1789034197464,"id":606221724897328,"gmtCreate":1789034048122,"gmtModify":1789034197464,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly Valuation Watch: AI Capex Rises as Cash Flow Falls Behind, Can Returns Justify the Risk?","htmlText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","listText":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2609</a>","text":"Introduction: Markets Hold Firm as Rate Sensitivity Rises From August 31 to September 4, U.S. stocks moved as investors weighed geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, volatile global bond yields and a stronger jobs report. SPY gained 0.41% for the week, suggesting that risk appetite remained intact. However, market swings grew sharper. On September 4, August nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000, well above forecasts, while unemployment held at 4.1%. As a result, Treasury yields and the dollar climbed, prompting investors to price in a greater chance of further Fed tightening. $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $SP500指数主连 2609","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec70f0c9efb2e682277a8d3a228c9849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/606221724897328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605840101466240,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000721","authorIdStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000721","authorId":"9000000000000721","name":"AlexiaTours","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000721","authorIdStr":"9000000000000721"},"content":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","text":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting","html":"155 is the anchor here. If BOJ stays put, the carry unwind probably fades and yields keep doing the heavy lifting"}],"streamModify":1788941102939,"id":605840101466240,"gmtCreate":1788940879816,"gmtModify":1788941102939,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: China’s Energy Rebound Lifts Global Yields: Options for Range-Bound Markets","htmlText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","listText":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/JPYmain\">$Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/QMmain\">$E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Macro Strategy Weekly China’s Rebounding Energy Demand Is Pushing Global Yields Higher: What Is the Best Options Strategy for Navigating a Range-Bound Market? Weekly Strategy Summary The key focus for markets this week is not to make a directional bet on any single asset. Rather, it is to monitor how the yen, crude oil, global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. equities establish new inter-market linkages. The key takeaways from this week’s report are as follows. $Japanese Yen - main 2609(JPYmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2610(CLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2610(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd4d36b22b7f034c27fa335a7b10f558"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":11,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605840101466240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":23,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":605122676002976,"type":1,"entity":{"id":605122676002976,"gmtCreate":1788765813482,"gmtModify":1788768981188,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Long-Term Yields Are Approaching a Tipping Point—Could Dollar Drop Another 10%？","htmlText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","listText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","text":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b9c0da16441a49c050245e8146a14af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":72,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":148,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605122676002976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000411","authorId":"9000000000000411","name":"breezzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ad2cc67582df9ded2545cb87a71ea7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000411","authorIdStr":"9000000000000411"},"content":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","text":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","html":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000411","authorId":"9000000000000411","name":"breezzi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ad2cc67582df9ded2545cb87a71ea7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000411","authorIdStr":"9000000000000411"},"content":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","text":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity.","html":"10-year yield near the prior high is the real pressure point. Market still feels too relaxed about curve inversion hitting banks and tightening dollar liquidity."}],"streamModify":1788768981188,"id":605122676002976,"gmtCreate":1788765813482,"gmtModify":1788768981188,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Long-Term Yields Are Approaching a Tipping Point—Could Dollar Drop Another 10%？","htmlText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","listText":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","text":"Recently, the broader market and most asset classes have remained locked in a relatively measured, range-bound tug-of-war. Inflation and rate-hike discussions have driven short-term volatility, but they have not triggered any meaningful change in the overall trend. Meanwhile, in a less closely watched corner of the market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has gradually climbed back toward the highs of the previous tightening cycle. If bond prices lose further control from here, both the Federal Reserve and the market itself could face significant challenges. In theory, changes in U.S. interest rates drive fluctuations in Treasury prices and, in turn, movements in Treasury yields. In other words, policy rates should serve as the anchor. This year, however, long-dated Treasury yields have cle","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b9c0da16441a49c050245e8146a14af"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":72,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":148,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/605122676002976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":604169357180952,"type":1,"entity":{"id":604169357180952,"gmtCreate":1788510767708,"gmtModify":1788510954345,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572493257500324","authorIdStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","listText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","text":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb? Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/caa8565f02b7f9b420b5ce047a42aa5e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604169357180952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000568","authorIdStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","text":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","html":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge"}],"imageCount":27,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000568","authorId":"9000000000000568","name":"kookiz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a0aed7518f515997f95ed495391d65","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000568","authorIdStr":"9000000000000568"},"content":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","text":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge","html":"Gold and Bitcoin split hardest when real yields rise. Gold usually eats the hit first, while Bitcoin trades more like liquidity beta than pure hedge"}],"streamModify":1788510954345,"id":604169357180952,"gmtCreate":1788510767708,"gmtModify":1788510954345,"author":{"id":"3572493257500324","authorId":"3572493257500324","name":"顾明喆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198fea2e3b9227e1abf821ce14ae4176","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572493257500324","authorIdStr":"3572493257500324"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?","htmlText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","listText":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://live.livesaasvolccdn.com/9999/5316894\">U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb?</a> Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","text":"Last night, I hosted a live session on Tiger’s futures platform titled Global Multi-Asset Allocation Strategy. The session covered global macro conditions, U.S. equities, gold, and Bitcoin, with a focus on the market’s key tensions, potential risks, and corresponding trading ideas. For those who were unable to attend the live session, the replay is available here >>> U.S. Stocks: Will Semis Drag Markets Lower Again? Bitcoin: Escape Hatch or Bomb? Below, I have organized the key information and trading-related views from the session to help readers who did not have time to attend quickly understand my current market perspective. Before that, let me briefly introduce my background. I am currently a contracte","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/caa8565f02b7f9b420b5ce047a42aa5e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604169357180952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":27,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":603723199774864,"type":1,"entity":{"id":603723199774864,"gmtCreate":1788424138695,"gmtModify":1788424558540,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Gold Longs Stay Concentrated—Can Oil’s Advance Hold Without Inventory Support?","htmlText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","listText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","text":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3d9675ec1744f1e6eba0aa78ebd71f88"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603723199774864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000462","authorId":"9000000000000462","name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5c39d60e3b5c35cd699bf7d148556","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000462","authorIdStr":"9000000000000462"},"content":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","text":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","html":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first"}],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000462","authorId":"9000000000000462","name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5c39d60e3b5c35cd699bf7d148556","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000462","authorIdStr":"9000000000000462"},"content":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","text":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first","html":"Aluminum inventories matter more by region than headline totals here. LME builds while SHFE draws can distort arb and regional premia, so I’d watch for synchronized copper and aluminum draws first"}],"streamModify":1788424558540,"id":603723199774864,"gmtCreate":1788424138695,"gmtModify":1788424558540,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Gold Longs Stay Concentrated—Can Oil’s Advance Hold Without Inventory Support?","htmlText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","listText":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","text":"As of the close on August 28, 2026, this report examines the interaction among interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inventory data, fund flows, and speculative positioning across gold, silver, crude oil, copper, and aluminum. Market Overview U.S. July PCE inflation rose 3.7% year over year, while core PCE inflation increased 3.3%; both remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. At the Jackson Hole meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated explicitly that “if inflation does not decline meaningfully, further rate hikes may be necessary,” significantly increasing market expectations for a September rate hike. Against this backdrop, the commodity market featured precious metals consolidating at elevated levels before pulling back, crude oil retreating as its geopolitical p","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3d9675ec1744f1e6eba0aa78ebd71f88"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":53,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/603723199774864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":600364937115136,"type":1,"entity":{"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000469","authorIdStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000469","authorId":"9000000000000469","name":"MortimerDodd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45889c069df88784e75b651f763a062a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000469","authorIdStr":"9000000000000469"},"content":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","text":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense","html":"Crude still looks constructive to me. Inventory draws and backwardation matter more here than the entry plan, and that stop-to-breakeven shift makes sense"}],"streamModify":1787645572733,"id":600364937115136,"gmtCreate":1787570211720,"gmtModify":1787645572733,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"U.S. Equity Technicals Turn Bearish? Several Opportunities Worth Watching (Recent Yield Sharing)","htmlText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","listText":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","text":"The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/303d9238ce578291f21c7dac927a8907"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93ef538b66f2a9ec58e9cb425b285da3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68f7713df5514ce78db52b56cc593097"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":93,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/600364937115136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598796858392704,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598796858392704,"gmtCreate":1787221338050,"gmtModify":1787898967027,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums","htmlText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","listText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","text":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9967fc2b07a8b6afb0f8114959e273b1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd9b01757f75cac711a386c106deb242"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2818eaff7c59bf56e8a418a594dce7d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598796858392704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274715219344","authorIdStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","text":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","html":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof"}],"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274715219344","authorId":"3479274715219344","name":"catandbull","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/124ddb27832ad3a5d8aa835fe6bb7572","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274715219344","authorIdStr":"3479274715219344"},"content":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","text":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof","html":"20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof"}],"streamModify":1787898967027,"id":598796858392704,"gmtCreate":1787221338050,"gmtModify":1787898967027,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums","htmlText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","listText":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","text":"Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9967fc2b07a8b6afb0f8114959e273b1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd9b01757f75cac711a386c106deb242"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2818eaff7c59bf56e8a418a594dce7d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":106,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598796858392704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":18,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":598390933225600,"type":1,"entity":{"id":598390933225600,"gmtCreate":1787122235226,"gmtModify":1788146277969,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"High-Level Pullback Begins？Three Strategies for a Choppy Market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","text":"The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/631d0ca65d09ed75204904863c4931d0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98b80baf0b3479e64078e827a582d54e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08e49ba10a0f6d46ed1973dda9feae30"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598390933225600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000579","authorId":"9000000000000579","name":"GeraldAdela","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74991ef479abd9cfe482bcb9079a22bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000579","authorIdStr":"9000000000000579"},"content":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","text":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","html":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol"}],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000579","authorId":"9000000000000579","name":"GeraldAdela","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74991ef479abd9cfe482bcb9079a22bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000579","authorIdStr":"9000000000000579"},"content":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","text":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol","html":"Crude matters, but VIX term structure is the cleaner tell here. If front-month stays pinned, this “pullback” can fade fast lol"}],"streamModify":1788146277969,"id":598390933225600,"gmtCreate":1787122235226,"gmtModify":1788146277969,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"High-Level Pullback Begins？Three Strategies for a Choppy Market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/595765834904680\">The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market</a> The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","text":"The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/631d0ca65d09ed75204904863c4931d0"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/98b80baf0b3479e64078e827a582d54e"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/08e49ba10a0f6d46ed1973dda9feae30"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/598390933225600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":597772257562648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1786950458851,"id":597772257562648,"gmtCreate":1786948975809,"gmtModify":1786950458851,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Are Asset Rebounds Near an End? How to Trade Bitcoin and Gold’s Key Levels","htmlText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","listText":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","text":"After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a3a44b63d65874ec2f88adabcd2f21d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8a2d7a90734e7bac9bf9b5042626452a"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b80388d744a56055c7b5f2451d06551a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/597772257562648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":592878186353744,"type":1,"entity":{"id":592878186353744,"gmtCreate":1785742344997,"gmtModify":1788146277890,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stock Market Correction May Be Over, but It’s Too Early to Call a Rally","htmlText":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","listText":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","text":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/82a339b78d9ab73336237d126e3b1a62"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab91e65b8aa05a6f48d84b83b64b9e58"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c4da42562aae3414f4e64937138311c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":252,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":21,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592878186353744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX..","text":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX..","html":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX.."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX..","text":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX..","html":"This is a counter trend rally on the NDX.."}],"streamModify":1788146277890,"id":592878186353744,"gmtCreate":1785742344997,"gmtModify":1788146277890,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Stock Market Correction May Be Over, but It’s Too Early to Call a Rally","htmlText":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","listText":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","text":"The low-side bid we had kept sitting under the Nasdaq for two weeks was never filled. With the index stabilising and rebounding off 27,000, and with several other headline developments turning, the correction that has run for more than a month may now be close to its end. What we do expect from here is dispersion: the divide between what stays strong and what has already topped out should become considerably more visible. Set against the S&P and the Dow, the Nasdaq was clearly the US index that gave back the most in this round of correction. Gains and losses share the same source, so it is no surprise that AI and technology names — the hardest-hit group — were what dragged the index lower. In practice, though, the pullback did not even reach the 61.8% retracement. That is an indirect r","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/82a339b78d9ab73336237d126e3b1a62"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ab91e65b8aa05a6f48d84b83b64b9e58"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c4da42562aae3414f4e64937138311c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":252,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":21,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592878186353744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":592877236159920,"type":1,"entity":{"id":592877236159920,"gmtCreate":1785742135330,"gmtModify":1788146277844,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Will NFP Shift Rate Hike Expectations?Is a New Wave of Market Volatility Coming?","htmlText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","listText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","text":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. $Inve","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa0a0626d68bf647d9a710e181fc7a27"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1df7e562369b66be3c4949d7b9605707"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/562060c289328b93032b4b7d659ebec7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":208,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592877236159920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1788146277844,"id":592877236159920,"gmtCreate":1785742135330,"gmtModify":1788146277844,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Will NFP Shift Rate Hike Expectations?Is a New Wave of Market Volatility Coming?","htmlText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","listText":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Inve</a>","text":"The first week of August is formally here. In terms of how the calendar falls, the opening week of a month tends to have an outsized effect on volatility in US trading, chiefly because the US non-farm payrolls report — the release markets watch most closely — lands early in the month. In a market as rate-sensitive as the current one, payrolls feed straight into rate expectations and therefore into a wider trading range. On top of that, the weekend's US–Iran flare-up has left the progress of the “so-called” 60-day negotiation window genuinely hard to read, and that is another source of instability in the market right now. A market like this, however, is actually easier to profit from — provided you approach it with a relatively short-term mindset. $Inve","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa0a0626d68bf647d9a710e181fc7a27"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1df7e562369b66be3c4949d7b9605707"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/562060c289328b93032b4b7d659ebec7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":208,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/592877236159920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":591476965385200,"type":1,"entity":{"id":591476965385200,"gmtCreate":1785400156139,"gmtModify":1785987058943,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Crude Oil Rises as Inventories Build; Gold Stays Weak Despite Tight Supply","htmlText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","listText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","text":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25c596e44c3e3d86917b4f721c9afe64"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95408b6f087a0c7ff7ddd7f3144b4ae4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31d06b9c474b57964078cfcf4b487bce"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":113,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591476965385200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987058943,"id":591476965385200,"gmtCreate":1785400156139,"gmtModify":1785987058943,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly：Crude Oil Rises as Inventories Build; Gold Stays Weak Despite Tight Supply","htmlText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","listText":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","text":"Over the past week, major asset classes delivered a strikingly uneven set of returns. Crude oil took first place with a 10.64% gain, silver followed with 4.04%, copper and gold posted modest gains of 1.10% and 0.81% respectively, while aluminium fell 0.73% — the only commodity to close lower. Against that broad commodity strength, U.S. equity index futures retreated across the board. Both of the week's commodity narratives point to the Middle East. On crude: renewed U.S.–Iran confrontation, a Houthi strike that shut in 400,000 barrels per day of capacity at Saudi Aramco's Jazan refinery, Red Sea tanker traffic falling to multi-month lows, and OPEC+ preparing to stop raising output targets together pushed up the pricing of supply-disruption risk. On aluminium: according to Reuters, war in t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25c596e44c3e3d86917b4f721c9afe64"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95408b6f087a0c7ff7ddd7f3144b4ae4"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31d06b9c474b57964078cfcf4b487bce"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":113,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/591476965385200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":590822823945728,"type":1,"entity":{"id":590822823945728,"gmtCreate":1785240594247,"gmtModify":1785987059356,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat ","htmlText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","listText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","text":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24a97e59a8e619f03c04fce85a4d4a36"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/849b9dafa5dee7be2b0da3ac63385eaa"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a756c812aca026f0c6faecbbd968cf1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590822823945728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987059356,"id":590822823945728,"gmtCreate":1785240594247,"gmtModify":1785987059356,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Tiger_Futures Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat ","htmlText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","listText":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/588510677758240\">Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound</a> Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","text":"First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24a97e59a8e619f03c04fce85a4d4a36"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/849b9dafa5dee7be2b0da3ac63385eaa"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a756c812aca026f0c6faecbbd968cf1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":69,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590822823945728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":590419557807208,"type":1,"entity":{"id":590419557807208,"gmtCreate":1785142094863,"gmtModify":1785987059613,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold Approaches Crucial Inflection Point: All Eyes on This Price Level for a Potential Rally","htmlText":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQM\">$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)</a>","listText":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQM\">$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)</a>","text":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ $Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb465dc8c0979b7691f003fd8eacb511"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":84,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590419557807208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3975,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1785987059613,"id":590419557807208,"gmtCreate":1785142094863,"gmtModify":1785987059613,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold Approaches Crucial Inflection Point: All Eyes on This Price Level for a Potential Rally","htmlText":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQM\">$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)</a>","listText":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQM\">$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)</a>","text":"Gold has been drifting near its lows for about four weeks since bottoming in late June. Although the bulls' earlier rebound attempts made limited headway, the technical structure suggests the probability of a larger-degree rebound in the next phase still exists. This week's earnings season and the Fed's rate decision are expected to be decisive for overall market risk appetite. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ $Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fb465dc8c0979b7691f003fd8eacb511"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":84,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/590419557807208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3975,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"objectId":587778956091648,"type":1,"entity":{"id":587778956091648,"gmtCreate":1784534635593,"gmtModify":1784550323837,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Is the Tech Slump Only Just Beginning? Reading the Signal from Japan and Korea","htmlText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","listText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","text":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5509f8f47b7cedb32628d0c60bc0042d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4be3e855ec261e4cdf6a555aa76c2c1c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e248061f3e074dc5262934d3c0db029d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/587778956091648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"comments":[],"streamModify":1784550323837,"id":587778956091648,"gmtCreate":1784534635593,"gmtModify":1784550323837,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Is the Tech Slump Only Just Beginning? Reading the Signal from Japan and Korea","htmlText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","listText":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","text":"The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5509f8f47b7cedb32628d0c60bc0042d"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4be3e855ec261e4cdf6a555aa76c2c1c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e248061f3e074dc5262934d3c0db029d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/587778956091648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"newsList":[],"exchange":{"abbreviation":"New York Mercantile Exchange","code":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","name":"NYMEX","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","weight":20,"zone":"EDT","zoneId":"America/New_York","zoneName":"Eastern Daylight Time"},"contract":{"categoryId":"FT_CA_Energy","contractCode":"QM2610","contractId":"ebb827c941b74026875e371266f8c52a","contractMonth":"202610","currency":"USD","currencyName":"USD","deliveryMode":"Cash","description":{"productAlias":"","productExchangeUrl":"http://www.cmegroup.com/cn-s/trading/energy/crude-oil/emini-crude-oil_contract_specifications.html","productPriceIncrement":"0.025（ USD/barrel）( US$12.5 )","productScale":"500 barrels","productTradingMonth":"Monthly contracts listed for the current year","productTradingTime":"18:00（T-1）-17:00","productType":"Energy","productWorth":"US$500 x futures price","worth":500},"exchangeCode":"NYMEX","exchangeId":"FT_EX_NYMEX","firstNoticeDate":"","firstNoticeDateTimestamp":0,"hasVWAP":false,"isContinuous":false,"isMain":false,"isOmnibusTrade":true,"isTrade":true,"lastTradingDate":"20260921","lastTradingDateTimestamp":1790024400000,"multiplier":{"offset":0,"value":500},"name":"E-mini WTI Crude Oil - Oct 2026","overnightSupported":false,"productId":"FT_PD_QM_FUT","productPriceConfig":{"displayMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"maxScale":3,"priceIncrements":[{"displayPriceIncrement":{"offset":3,"value":25},"priceLowerLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0},"priceUpperLimit":{"offset":0,"value":0}}],"quotesScale":{"offset":3,"value":1},"quotesVendorMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1},"tradeMultiplier":{"offset":0,"value":1}},"quotesDisplayType":"Simple","referMainContractCode":"QMmain","referMainContractId":"31b3e57bd65f44d8850fd050303cc60d","securityType":"FUT","status":"Online","symbol":"QM","symbolId":"FT_SY_QM","symbolName":"E-mini WTI Crude Oil"}}