What is Black Sea grain deal and why it collapses?

Kon How
2023-07-19

What is Black Sea grain deal and why it collapses?

The Initiative on the Safe Transportation of Grain and Foodstuffs from Ukrainian ports, also called the Black Sea Grain Initiative, was an agreement among Russia, Ukraine, Turkey and the United Nations during the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to a complete halt of maritime grain shipments from Ukraine, previously a major exporter via the Black Sea. This resulted in a rise in world food prices and the threat of famine in lower-income countries, and accusation that Russia was weaponizing food supplies.

To address the issue, discussions began in April, hosted by Turkey (which controls the maritime routes from the Black Sea) and supported by the UN. The resulting agreement was signed in Istanbul on 22 July 22, valid for a period of 120 days. The deal had been renewed three times.

In summer 2023, Russia has repeatedly claimed it will withdraw from the deal in July 2023 unless its demands are met. By July 17, 2023, no new agreement to renew the deal had been reached, causing the deal to expire.

The collapse of the pact threatens to push up food prices for consumers worldwide and tip millions into hunger and likely to have repercussions far beyond the region.

Ukraine is among the world’s top three exporters of barley, maize and rapeseed oil. It is also by far the biggest exporter of sunflower oil, accounting for 46% of the world’s exports. While Russia is the biggest global supplier of fertilizers.

In a recent article, we connected the dots to help explain the factors contributing to the current high-interest rate environment and bank runs. We also provided insights into the risks and future opportunities that lie ahead using the 'Quantamental' approach.

$ProShares K 1 Free Crude Oil Strategy ETF(OILK)$ $Wheat - main 2309(ZWmain)$ $Wheat - Jul 2023(ZW2307)$ $Corn - main 2312(ZCmain)$

没有照片描述。没有照片描述。

Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Futures Club
Join Tiger Futures Club to know more about trading futures!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment