Since mid-July, the Japanese stock market has entered a stage of high volatility, during which a series of uncertain factors such as the rate hike of the Bank of Japan, the violent fluctuation of the yen exchange rate and the "Trump deal" ushered in the US election. From the perspective of the Japanese stock market, if the Trump administration brings reflation and the appreciation of the US dollar, then Japan will face greater pressure of capital outflow.Economic slowdown will continueFrom the perspective of stock pricing logic, it is inseparable from corporate profits and risk premiums, both of which are inseparable from the fundamentals of economic growth. Going back to the fundamentals of Japan's economic growth, we can see that GDP growth is slowing down. Generally speaking, it is diff

At the end of October, before the US presidential election, we specifically pointed out that gold had reached the medium and long-term target position, and it was time to take profits. At that time, the price of gold was around 2750. Although there were higher highs afterwards, looking back now, it was obviously a suitable appearance. In addition to price changes, more importantly, short-term and medium-term trends, and even long-term structures, gold shows obvious signs of loosening.First of all, from the perspective of the weekly situation, gold broke through the swing low last week, which was the first time since the autumn of 2023, when gold had not yet set a new record high. Generally speaking, if this low point is no longer gradually raised, it means that the obvious rally has stoppe

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices opened today's trading session with a clear upward move, close to testing the previously broken bullish trend line which now turns into a key resistance level at 2615, noting that the EMA50 meets this level adding more strength to it, while the stochastic indicator has clearly lost its positive momentum.These factors prompt us to suggest continuing the bearish corrective trend in the upcoming trading session, mainly waiting for a test of the 2513 support, noting that a break above 2615 will stop the negative scenario of the downtrend and lead the price back to the main bullish track again.Expect today's trading range to be be

The much-anticipated U.S. election finally revealed its outcome last week: although Trump seems to be very close to Harris in traditional polls, it actually ended with Trump's big victory. With the second entry of this old acquaintance, the capital market also began to give some feedback. So what assets and changes are worth watching for us?About the crypto marketThere is no doubt that this is the strongest variety after the news that Trump is about to take office. Mainstream coins represented by Bitcoin and a number of altcoins have experienced huge gains in just one week. On the one hand, Trump showed the characteristics of a pro-crypto market during the election campaign; on the other hand, his main election assistant, Musk, is also very keen to "shout" on social media.Although we were

The U.S. election is about to give its final answer this week. The ups and downs of swing state data have caused some sensitive assets to take a roller coaster trend around last weekend. However, there are still some varieties fluctuating within a narrow range. Obviously, their breakthrough direction is likely to determine the market tendency in the next stage.Today we are going to talk about copper, which we haven't talked about for a long time. As a wide variety similar to crude oil, copper prices have gone out of a complete bull market and bear market in the first 11 months of this year, and are now just at the central axis level. What's more interesting is that in the past half month, the price has been running within a narrow range of 4.3-4.4 X.Copper has always been said by Dr. Coppe

Since Japan launched its rate hike, the Japanese stock market has entered a high sideways consolidation stage, with the Nikkei 225 index rising by less than 3% in October. Recently, in the 50th House of Representatives election in Japan, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party lost its ruling position for the first time since 2009, and the Japanese stock market and exchange rate fluctuated greatly in the short term, which brought great uncertainty to Japan's monetary and fiscal policies in the future.There are downside risks to the economyAccording to published data, the Japanese government's second-quarter GDP growth rate was lowered from 0.8% to 0.7%, and the annualized quarter-on-quarter growth rate was lowered from 3.1% to 2.9%. Among them, the month-on-month growth rate of private final c

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with u!1. $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ Thursday (31 October) Asian morning trading, spot gold high narrow oscillation, currently trading at 2787.36 ！Gold prices on Wednesday again refreshed record highs to $2,789.89 per ounce, as uncertainty over the U.S. presidential election boosted safe-haven demand, and traders are also waiting for economic data to provide clues to the Federal Reserve's policy path.However, the U.S. economy grew solidly in the third quarter, with consumer spending growing at its fastest pace in a year and a half and inflation slowing sharply, continuing to break recessionary forecasts; this gave support to U.S. bond yields, making gold bulls wary.

The final chapter of the annual drama American election will come soon. As a hot spot that was regarded as more important than the Fed's interest rate cut at the beginning of the year, how will the election results affect the short-term, medium-and long-term development of the market?In terms of short-term fluctuations, we believe that the main difference between Harris and Trump will be the option of controlling the market. Although the risky assets represented by U.S. stocks have maintained a slow bull pattern recently, the continued weakness of oil prices still indicates that the market is currently expensive.If Trump takes office, it is very likely that he will start smashing the market after officially entering the White House. Or on the day of the general election, it is expected tha

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price has managed to touch our first awaited target at $2745.00. Today's trading started with a slight bearish bias in the gold price, influenced by negative stochastic signals. It is expected that the gold price will continue its overall bullish bias in the coming period, with the next target located at $2770. It is important to take into account that once the gold price falls below $2,716.00, this will put additional bearish pressure on the gold price, in which case the gold price targets a test of the major bullish channel support line around 2659 before resuming its attempts to move higher.Gold prices will trade today between su

The time node when silver compensated for the increase and the RMB exchange rate triggered the rise of precious metals in the internal market + various news and fundamentals gathered. These top features that have been talked about before are emerging one after another. As an old bull who has been bullish on gold for many years, now I am more cautious and waiting for a signal to exit. Always remember that pulling the market is the best way to sell goods. Don't go up or chase high is the only way to avoid deep traps and losing money.Silver showed a significant upward trend last week, breaking through the high in mid-May, and opening further higher this Monday. Obviously, the recent comparison of gold and silver trends has completely matched the compensatory effect of silver's late-coming fir

There are only more than two weeks left before the US general election on November 5th. There are various opinions on American polls, and the results of different polls are that which candidate is ahead by a large proportion, which makes the poll results have little reference significance. It seems that we will have to wait until the last polling day to know the results. Therefore, any current "Trump" or "Harris" transactions may be revised at any time. Everyone should pay attention to the market swing, and the general direction has not changed much.The "Israel-Iraq conflict" boosts gold to a record high?Current news points out that Israel plans to strike back against Iran, and it is rumored that the specific implementation time will take place before the US election, that is, further mili