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avatar许亚鑫
12-19 14:48
I don't think it is necessary to emphasize the prospect of the medium-term trend of the market. From the short-term trend outlook, I mean the period from mid-December to the end of the month before New Year's Day. Whether there is still a red envelope market in the market, whether the level is large or not, the main external factor isTonight's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.It's quite simple,If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of a dovish interest rate cut, then we will usher in a big red envelope market; If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of hawkish interest rate cuts, then we will have a market, but it is expected to be structural, just like the shocks you saw in the past November-December.So, how do you determine whether it is a pigeon or an eag

The trend of gold-silver ratio and its trading significance

Gold showed an obvious surge and fall last week, suggesting that an important head of the market has been formed around 2800, and a new round of downward market is in the process of running. At the same time, the performance of the gold-silver ratio above the historical central axis also provides a solid long-term long-term direction of long-gold and short-silver.From the weekly chart of the gold-silver ratio, it can be found that, except for some special stages, the overall ratio will still fluctuate within a relatively reasonable range. Generally speaking, the period when silver is strong and gold is weak will represent the situation where silver makes up for the increase and the overall precious metal is strong, while the environment where gold is particularly strong may only be due to
The trend of gold-silver ratio and its trading significance

GOLD: Confronted with Resistance Line!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $E-Micro Gold - main 2502(MGCmain)$ $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold price managed to break below the intraday bullish trend line and stabilised below it, reinforcing the expectation of a continuation of the bearish trend on an intraday basis, mainly waiting for a visit to the $2,615.00 and subsequently the $2,600.00 level.Stochastic has clearly lost its positive momentum, supporting the downward expectation that a break above $2687 will stop the bearish wave and lead the price back to the main bullish track again.Today's trading range is expected to be bet
GOLD: Confronted with Resistance Line!

What to expect from this week's Fed meeting

This Thursday night is the last Federal Reserve interest rate meeting this year, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference after the meeting. The continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points at this meeting has been fully expected by the market, so the market focus will be on the wording of the Fed meeting announcement and the content of Powell's subsequent speech. As Trump will officially take office next year, how the chairman of the Federal Reserve deals with this "new" president is also one of the key points of this meeting. To put it simply, it may be difficult for the Federal Reserve to avoid "political" issues with a neutral position at this meeting. The media are happy to speculate whether the Federal Reserve is with the new president. " Whether to "do it o
What to expect from this week's Fed meeting

GOLD: Continuously Rising or Down?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Tuesday (December 17) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow range shock, currently trading at 2652.01 U.S. dollars / ounce near. Gold prices bottomed out on Monday, early in the session had fallen to a one-week low of 2643.41 U.S. dollars / ounce, closed near 2652.50 U.S. dollars / ounce, by the ongoing geopolitical concerns and the dollar weakened support, however, the market is waiting for the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, the wait-and-see mood is stronger, the overall trading is more cautious; is expected to be a third rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and to provide clues about the outlook for the year 2025. The selling strategy given yest
GOLD: Continuously Rising or Down?

The Gold Price Continues to be Under Pressure!!

Monday (December 16) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading in the vicinity of 2650.30 U.S. dollars / ounce. Gold prices hit a new high of 2726.05 more than five weeks last Thursday after profit-taking, on Friday to continue the downtrend, the lowest touched 2646 U.S. dollars near, for nearly a week low, U.S. bond yields continue to rise, and refresh the nearly three-week highs, so that the gold price continues to be under pressure.From a technical point of view, gold prices still have the risk of retracement in the short term, but 2605-2666 is the previous oscillation range, but also a dense turnover area, need to pay attention to. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/U
The Gold Price Continues to be Under Pressure!!

What Attributes to the Downward of Gold Price?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Gold closed down nearly $38 yesterday. This was partly attributed to investors taking profits after gold prices hit a 5-week high in early trading, rushing to close out positions ahead of next week's Fed meeting. In addition, higher U.S. bond yields also hit gold prices.Gold ended Thursday's session tumbling $37.85, or 1.39%, to $2,679.94.Gold prices tumbled on Thursday as traders took profits following the fiery U.S. PPI data, which beat expectations and hinted that the anti-inflationary process may be stalling. In addition, gold was also pressured by a modest 1.5 basis point jump in the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note to 4.289 % $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$
What Attributes to the Downward of Gold Price?

Yen And Japan Equity Market Outlook 2025

After Shigeru Ishiba was re-elected as Prime Minister of Japan on November 11th, the Japanese economy still faces several major challenges, among which it is particularly important to seek a balance between inflation and economic growth. Recently, the Japanese stock market has fallen into a range-bound trend, and the yen exchange rate no longer depreciates unilaterally. By next year, the direction of Shigeru Ishiba's economic stimulus is to increase residents' income and fight inflation through subsidies, but the effect remains to be seen. The tariff increase imposed by Trump's new administration may have an additional impact on the Japanese economy, and the sustainability of Japan's debt is also problematic. Therefore, the Japanese stock market has not yet ushered in a new upward driver.
Yen And Japan Equity Market Outlook 2025

GOLD: Resistence or Support Line!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ TECHNICAL: Gold prices provided a clear buying trade yesterday, reaching the $2725 area, reinforcing the expectation of a continuation of the bullish trend in the upcoming trade, reminding you that the target we are waiting for is located at $2,745, a break of which is the key towards the recently recorded all-time high of $2,790.At the same time, considering that a break below $2,670 would stop the bullish wave and push the price to turn down, the stochastic indicator is still negative, which would hamper the task of bouncing back towards the awaited target.Today's trading
GOLD: Resistence or Support Line!

Is Trump Really So Great for Bitcoin?

Judging from the existing answers, it is naturally yes. But what needs to be clear is that there is still more than a month before Trump actually moves into the White House.Before the general election, we once discussed the market in Bitcoin, when the price was still brewing a breakthrough below 70,000. "There is not much time left for the bulls" was the main judgment at the time. Because structurally speaking, the adjustment cycle is completely sufficient and sufficient for more than half a year, and that price position, whether it is Harris or Trump, will push for a breakthrough. Then sure enough, the bulls made the final breakthrough. Of course, it must be admitted that after the election results were released, this short-squeeze rise still exceeded expectations. Previously, the high po
Is Trump Really So Great for Bitcoin?

Gold: Expectation of Rate Cuts Drives Price Higher!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On Tuesday (10 December), the price of gold surged nearly $34 to a two-week high, supported by rising geopolitical tensions to strong expectations of a Fed rate cut next week.Gold prices surged towards $2,700 per ounce, supported by strong market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December this year. Investors are now waiting for the key U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.Gold closed surging $33.75, or 1.27 per cent, at $2,693.78 per ounce on Tuesday.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Gold: Expectation of Rate Cuts Drives Price Higher!

OPEC+ Delays Oil Output Hike Until April,What It Means For Oil Price

Last week, the non-farm data of the United States was released. As suggested by last week's article, the market's attention is not on the economic data of the past two months, but more on the effectiveness of Trump's economic policies after he took office. Therefore, the market performance was relatively flat last week, and the U.S. stock index hit a new high tepid. It is estimated that the pace of the Fed's interest rate cut has not changed much, and it is estimated that there will be a clearer trend after Trump takes office next year.Although the price fluctuation was not large last week, for the oil market, the news announced by OPEC + is very important and needs everyone's attention. This news is that OPEC + announced that additional voluntary production cuts will be postponed for thre
OPEC+ Delays Oil Output Hike Until April,What It Means For Oil Price

GOLD: The Safe-haven Buying Demand Rising

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Tuesday (10 December), gold was narrowly oscillating, currently trading near $2,662.70, holding on to most of its overnight gains. Gold prices touched a two-week high of 2,676.31 on Monday, climbing more than 1 per cent to close at $2,660.09, as China's central bank re-bought gold after a six-month hiatus, while expectations of a Fed rate cut next week also increased bullish sentiment, the geopolitical situation also pushed up safe-haven buying demand. Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: The Safe-haven Buying Demand Rising

GOLD: Dark Cloud Covers the Sky!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold price resumed its downtrend to support the expected continuation of the dominant bearish trend during the day, waiting for a test of $2,600, which is the first major target of my recent forecasts, reminding that a break above this level would extend the bearish wave to the $2,513.15 area.A break below the EMA50 supports the continuation of the suggested bearish wave, while a break above $2567 would stop the expected downtrend and allow the price to resume the dominant bullish trend once again.Expect today's trading range to be between the 2610 support level and the 2645 resistance level.Trading continues to be dominated by sell orders! Asian and European market strategies: Sell: 2643-45 TP:2630-2625 SL:265
GOLD: Dark Cloud Covers the Sky!

US Dollar Index Fundamental Analysis Outlook For Next Week

Looking back at last week, after three consecutive weeks of sharp rises, the US dollar finally ushered in a correction, and the single-week decline was relatively large, nearly half of the previous increase. However, the weekly line of the the US Dollar Index still shows an obvious bullish technical form. Combined with the current fundamental situation, it is more likely that the market outlook will remain strong. In terms of non-US currencies, the yen surged due to inflation data; Looking ahead to this week, the U.S. non-farm payrolls report and public speeches of Federal Reserve officials will be the focus of the market.Global foreign exchange focus review and fundamental summaryAfter rising for three consecutive weeks, the US dollar experienced a weekly correction, and the follow-up tre
US Dollar Index Fundamental Analysis Outlook For Next Week

GOLD: Which Target To Follow as the Report Release?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ In early Asian trading on Thursday (5 December), spot gold was narrowly oscillating, currently trading near $2,649.49 per ounce. Gold prices rose slightly on Wednesday, closing near $2,649.74 per ounce, after data showed that U.S. private jobs grew moderately last month, while investors digested Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech and looked forward to Friday's non-farm payrolls report. Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: Which Target To Follow as the Report Release?

Is the U.S. stock market changing its leader or brewing a correction?

Nvidia, the leader of U.S. stocks in the past two years, has not performed well in the past few weeks. Although the financial report is not bad, as the main promoter of the "predecessor" Biden, it is obvious that some glory is no longer in the context of Trump's second entry into the palace. The fall in the weekly level of the previous week directly affected the price pattern. Will this mean that the U.S. stock market will take the lead in the change in the future cycle, or will the trend itself change?Nvidia once fell below the weekly low at the end of October last week. Although it finally recovered and left a lower shadow line, it still ended the bullish pattern of "higher lows" after the June adjustment. Looking forward, the fall of the weekly swing low can be traced back to a year ago
Is the U.S. stock market changing its leader or brewing a correction?

US Jobs Report At The End Of The Year : What To Expect?

Next week is the beginning of the month, and the non-farm data will come again. The current non-farm data is the basis for the market to speculate on the path of the Fed's interest rate cut. If the data continues to improve, the rate of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will slow down, from the previous expectation of cutting interest rates at every meeting, to cutting interest rates at every other meeting, or even stopping cutting interest rates. This has an impact on the overall trend of commodities.Gold does not react strongly to the pace of interest rate cutsFrom the perspective of impact, the impact on gold and other varieties is not great. The current important impact of gold prices lies in geopolitics, and fluctuations also come from the uncertainty of conflict news. The sha
US Jobs Report At The End Of The Year : What To Expect?

Gold: Whether to Test the Support Line or Not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Technical: The price of gold started today's trading after showing a clear downtrend, the price of gold has fallen below the main bullish trend line, is expected to fall in the next few trading sessions, the first target is to test 2600, it should be noted that if the price of gold falls below this level, gold will continue the downward trend to the next target of 2560, the lower target is located in the 2513.15. Therefore, as long as the price of gold can not overcome the 2658 Therefore, as long as the price of gold fails to overcome $2,658, it is still predicted that gold will have a bearish bias today. Once this level is breached, it will stop the current downward pressure and lead to a return to a major bullish trend.
Gold: Whether to Test the Support Line or Not?

Gold suddenly plummeted, why?

The decline in gold prices overnight was indeed a bit sharp:PicturesYesterday, the big K line of gold fell by 3.36%, equivalent to 91.15 US dollars, and the amplitude ranged from the highest 2721 to 2615. Both the amplitude and the decline have exceeded 1106, which is the big K line after the results of the US presidential election in November. There It fell 3.10% to 85.05 US dollars.The short-term decline of gold is mainly related to the following reasons:First, it is related to the cooling of geopolitical tensions.Last week, Russia and Ukraine launched missiles at each other, which triggered a rise in risk aversion. However, the situation in the region did not escalate further over the weekend. In addition, the market has reported this week that Israel may reach a ceasefire agreement wit
Gold suddenly plummeted, why?