Samlunch
04-11

While CPI inflation is at 3.5%, inflation is much higher in many basic necessities:

1. Car Insurance Inflation: 22.2%

2. Transportation Inflation: 10.7%

3. Car Repair Inflation: 8.2%

4. Hospital Services Inflation: 7.5%

5. Homeowner Inflation: 5.9%

6. Rent Inflation: 5.7%

7. Electricity Inflation: 5.0%

8. Food Away From Home Inflation: 4.2%

Both Core CPI and headline CPI came in hotter than expectations.

This is FOURTH straight month with both readings being hotter than expected.

We now have all major inflation metrics back on the rise and oil prices are nearly $90.

Affordability is still getting worse.

With inflation on the rise, rate cuts are becoming even less likely.

It's incredible to think that just 4 months ago, markets priced in a chance of 8 rate cuts this year.

The Fed's victory speech was too soon.

$WTI Crude Oil - main 2405(CLmain)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  

CPI 3.5%! Expect 2 or 3 Rate Cuts in 2024?
March headline CPI is 3.5%, higher than estimates of 3.4% and also the highest since September 2023. Core CPI is 3.8%, higher than estimates of 3.7%. Goldman Sachs expects only two rate cuts this year, with the first in July and the second in November. ------------- How do you expect rate cut in 2024? Will S&P start to pullback after hot inflation data? What's your target?
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Comments

  • ChrisColeman
    04-11
    ChrisColeman
    This gives us a solid understanding of what's going on.
  • MurielRobin
    04-11
    MurielRobin
    👍
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