semi

melson
04-18

Several factors can impact TSMC's earnings:

 * Demand for semiconductors: TSMC is a major supplier of chips for smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices. So, fluctuations in demand for these products can affect TSMC's earnings.

 * Capacity utilization: TSMC is currently operating at near capacity. If demand weakens, it could lead to underutilized capacity and lower earnings.

 * Pricing: TSMC's pricing power is a key factor in its profitability. If TSMC is forced to lower prices due to competition or other factors, it could hurt its earnings.

 * Costs: TSMC's costs are also important. Rising costs of materials, labor, or other expenses could squeeze its profit margins.

 * Geopolitical factors: TSMC is a Taiwanese company, and geopolitical tensions between Taiwan and China could disrupt its operations or supply chain.

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  got dragged down the past few days by middle east tension. the world is bracing for Israel's response to Iran's aggression. earnings will be released today. the generative ai led rally got interrupted by the inflation resilience, profit taking, possibility of fed rate cut pushed to later half of the year. 

looking at the pnf chart, its uptrend is intact. the generative ai rally has just begun and it is normal for healthy pull backs. a long pole of crosses (x) up is not stable. if Israel's response leads to increasing tensions then tsmc might retreat to 139. 

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  is the leader of the generative ai rally. its pnf too does not show a reversal of trend yet. it would also retreat to 728 if tensions in the middle east worsens. 

do apply automatic investment system where you add shares at each 10% drop or at support zones if you know technical analysis. this way you conserve your capital while the stock is strongly downtrending. do take profit at 10% intervals or at resistance zones if you know technical analysis. this way you have capital to buy the dip. only applies to stocks in an index or warren buffett would approve. bon courage.

merci@TigerStars  @TigerWire  @koolgal  @Asphen  


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Comments

  • koolgal
    04-18
    koolgal
    Thanks for your valuable insights šŸ˜šŸ˜šŸ˜. If the tensions escalate then the markets will be Bearish.  Do you think so?
    • melsonReplykoolgal:Ā 
      [Happy] [ShakeHands] [Happy]
    • koolgalReplymelson:Ā 
      Yes I agree with you. šŸ˜šŸ˜šŸ˜
    • melson:Ā 
      you're welcome. if tensions escalate then investors will be running for cover
  • Asphen
    04-18
    Asphen
    I'm in the industry !!! šŸ˜€
    • melson:Ā 
      [Happy]šŸ§§šŸ§§
  • catandbull
    04-18
    catandbull
    Appreciate the analysis, keep it up!
  • DiAngel
    04-21
    DiAngel
    You changed profile photo. [Warning][Chuckle]
  • Aqa
    04-20
    Aqa
    Shared!
  • Aqa
    04-19
    Aqa
    šŸ‘šŸ»šŸ‘šŸ»šŸ‘šŸ»
    • melson:Ā 
      [Happy]šŸ„‚āœØ
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