Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jul24) - can the rally continue?

KYHBKO
07-15

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Jul24

Observations:

  • The MACD indicator has completed a bullish top crossover that implies a current “bull” run.

  • Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is above the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. This remains in the bullish region. Note the selling strength is gaining ground.

  • Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and the mid-term.

  • Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are on an uptrend.

  • I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals.

S&P500 continues a strong uptrend coming into this week. Technically, it looks to be a “strong buy”.

Using 21 technical indicators, they largely point to a “Strong Buy” with 20 showing a “buy” rating and 1 showing a “sell” rating.

However, 2 indicators show “overbought, " implying a coming reversal.

In my opinion, the S&P500 should remain in a “short” uptrend. Let us monitor for now.

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

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