Rate Cut Delay: Will S&P Drop Below 5000?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said firm inflation during the first quarter had introduced new uncertainty over when and whether the central bank would be able to lower interest rates later this year. ------------------ Will S&P 500 drop below 5000? Is a short term correction or the end of bull market?

avatarKYHBKO
09-16

S&P500 outlook for week starting 16Sep24

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Sep24 Observations: The MACD indicator is about to complete a top crossover which implies a coming uptrend. However, there is a forming of a “double top” which suggests that a reverse is not far away. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have completed their crossover. This implies an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend but there seems to be more selling volume than buying. Thus, the line may have started to trend downward. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar
S&P500 outlook for week starting 16Sep24
avatarKYHBKO
09-09

The outlook of S&P500 09Sep24 - 19+ indicators and some candlestick patterns. Is market going up?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 09Sep24 Observations: The MACD indicator shows a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The MA 50 line has cut the last candle and remains above the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term. The mid-term may turn bearish soon. At the same time, the MA 50 may turn downwards soon. This is something that we should monitor. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are converging and the crossover should happen in the coming days, thus, a downtrend is on the cards. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend but there seems to be more selling volume than buying. Thus, the line may have started to trend downward. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of vol
The outlook of S&P500 09Sep24 - 19+ indicators and some candlestick patterns. Is market going up?
avatarezpick
08-23

goodnight meow

goodnight meow
avatarKYHBKO
08-03

Market outlook of S&P500 of the week 05Aug24 - what more than 20 indicators tell us

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 05Aug24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is below the MA 50 line and above the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish in the mid-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are on a downtrend. For Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF), it is showing a downtrend. There is a chance for some reversal in the coming days. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. From investing dot com, the S&P500 is on a downtrend. Technically, it looks to be a “Strong sell”. Using 20
Market outlook of S&P500 of the week 05Aug24 - what more than 20 indicators tell us
avatarBarcode
07-25
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  🚀 Barclays' Bold Move: S&P 500 Target Raised to 5,600! 🚀 Kia ora Tiger traders, Barclays has just turned up the heat, lifting its 2024 target for the S&P 500 to a sizzling 5,600 from 5,300! Why the optimism? It's all about strong profit growth from our favourite mega-cap tech titans. Here are the top 10 most traded stocks by volume that could ride this wave: 1. NVIDIA (NVDA): Poised to benefit from the AI boom, Nvidia’s strong position in the tech sector makes it
avatarKYHBKO
07-15

Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jul24) - can the rally continue?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Jul24 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed a bullish top crossover that implies a current “bull” run. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is above the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. This remains in the bullish region. Note the selling strength is gaining ground. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are on an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. S&P500 continue
Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jul24) - can the rally continue?
avatarKYHBKO
06-30

S&P500 outlook for coming week (01Jul24)

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 01Jul24 S&P500 1 year chart as of 29Jun24 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed a top crossover and we should expect a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is above the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Yet, there is a stronger selling momentum than a buying one. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are on an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. S&P500
S&P500 outlook for coming week (01Jul24)
avatarKYHBKO
06-23

S&P500 outlook (24Jun24)

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 24Jun24 Observations: The MACD indicator is on an uptrend. A double top is forming and we should expect a reversal in the coming days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Yet, there is a stronger buying momentum than a selling one. Let us monitor the development in the coming days. The CMF could have peaked recently. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are on an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar wi
S&P500 outlook (24Jun24)
avatarKYHBKO
06-15

Week's Outlook for S&P500 (17Jun24)

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 17Jun24 Observations: The MACD indicator is on an uptrend. A double top is forming and we should expect a reversal in the coming days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Yet, there is a stronger buying momentum than a selling one. Let us monitor the development in the coming days. This should peak in the coming days. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are on an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar w
Week's Outlook for S&P500 (17Jun24)

SPX: Indecision Looms After Rally

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The market paused for breath today, with $5,331 acting as support despite a slight decline in $NVDA.It's worth noting that the oscillator is currently overbought. Back in November 2023, similar price action after a rally signaled bullish continuation. However, since March 2024, this pattern has preceded at least a consolidation phase, if not a healthy pullback. Notably, during those instances, the daily price action revisited the 20-day moving average (DMA) after the overbought reading on the weekly oscillators.If $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ continues its decline and Friday closes red, the indexes could end the week in an indecisive mode. $SPDR S&P 500
SPX: Indecision Looms After Rally

Why rate cut is still dominating trading?

U.S. economic data has turned weaker recently, driving up market expectations for a rate cut, $ Dow Jones (.DJI)$ $ S&P 500 (.SPX)$ and $ NASDAQ (.IXIC)$ are at new highs. Long-end rates are down 40bp to 4.3%, and the 30-year is also down to around 4.5%, and gold and commodities are also up.All of this stems from the easing of financial conditions, reflecting their reflexive impact on the economy.Financial conditions are composed of short- and long-term interest rates, credit spreads, equity prices and exchange rates, with long-term interest rates, credit spreads and equity prices having the greatest impact.bus
Why rate cut is still dominating trading?
avatarKYHBKO
05-11

Outlook of S&P500 (13May24) - over 20 indicators used. will the rally continue?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 13May24 1D chart for S&P500 dated 11 May 2024 (SGT) Observations: The MACD indicator is on an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. Using a daily interval chart, Investing is recommending a “Strong Buy” r
Outlook of S&P500 (13May24) - over 20 indicators used. will the rally continue?
avatarKYHBKO
05-10
I agree with my American friend. He mentioned that there is a forming of a double top. Would we see some corrections in the coming days? Will the run continue with minor bumps?  $S&P 500(.SPX)$
avatarKYHBKO
05-05

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24. have we hit the bottom?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24 The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. The 3 EMA lines are turning sideways and there could be ranging or reversal. For the reversal to be confirmed, the 3 EMA lines need
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24. have we hit the bottom?

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[5/2] Key levels for SPY

Tdlr; I'm leaning towards Bullish > Bearish Bullish: Likely to range bound between 500 - 504, with intermediate pivot zone at 502.  -> 500 -> 502 -> 504 Bearish: Will target 497, if price breaks below 500.  -> 497 GEX levels for SPY - 5/2 expiration VEX levels for SPY - 5/2 These levels tend to change as the day progresses, so the best approach is to track the 0DTE GEX changes throughout the day to scalp. Will talk about this in a later article.  Trade safe, friends![Cool]  
[5/2] Key levels for SPY

[1/5] GEX/VEX making my head spin - Key Levels to watch for SPY

With FOMC coming up, we are not seeing a lot of conviction in either directions! Here's a rough cheatsheet, and what u typically monitor for. In general, we are watching out for: - Positive GEX: "Price retardants"  - Negative GEX: "Price accelerants" - Positive VANNA: "Price magnets" - Negative VANNA: "Price repellants" So price levels with highly positive GEX and negative VANNA form zones of resistance/dupport.  GEX levels for SPY - exporation 1/5 Vanna levels for SPY - today's expiration Tdlr 505 - Massive resistance. I don't hold much hope that price will break above this level. But if it does, 505 -> 508 491 - If price trends down, there is a massive "ghost zone" all the way down to 491. So will watch for massive price drop down there.  495 - this will likely be the a
[1/5] GEX/VEX making my head spin - Key Levels to watch for SPY
avatarKYHBKO
04-28

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 > is the bottom here?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stoc
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 > is the bottom here?

S&P 500 & Fear & Greed Index: Mixed Signals

The market experienced a tech-driven bounce, but the $DJIA(.DJI)$ remains weak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed the week with a rejection at $5,110 and the 20-day moving average.The previous SPX post shows those lines, if these resistance levels for the #SP500 hold true, it might indicate the beginning of a second leg down.This chart highlights in blue arrows the initial bounce. The green arrows point to the actual market bottom.The Question: December 2022 Redux or August 2023 Repeat?The key question is whether this situation will unfold similarly to August 2023, where a bounce preceded a deeper decline, or if it will resemble December 2022, where the bounce marked a more sustained recovery.Both cases befo
S&P 500 & Fear & Greed Index: Mixed Signals

WARNING! SPX has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective

WARNING! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective ABC up structure to validate completion of the B-Wave.If price trades below 5050, that would confirm completion of B-Wave rally.If so, that should lead to 5015 in the short term, but ultimately 4820-4800 for [W4]ImageHere are my previous predictions:Further rally for the B-Wave is expected as SPX likely terminated its short-term correction at today's 4990 low.Therefore, price should begin the final corrective leg up targeting 5110-5130-5150.Loss of 4953 would favor the C-Wave already beginning, however, targeting that 4820 [W4] termination range.ImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status
WARNING! SPX has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective