Rate Cut Delay: Will S&P Drop Below 5000?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said firm inflation during the first quarter had introduced new uncertainty over when and whether the central bank would be able to lower interest rates later this year. ------------------ Will S&P 500 drop below 5000? Is a short term correction or the end of bull market?

avatarKYHBKO
05-11

Outlook of S&P500 (13May24) - over 20 indicators used. will the rally continue?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 13May24 1D chart for S&P500 dated 11 May 2024 (SGT) Observations: The MACD indicator is on an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. Using a daily interval chart, Investing is recommending a “Strong Buy
Outlook of S&P500 (13May24) - over 20 indicators used. will the rally continue?
avatarKYHBKO
05-10
I agree with my American friend. He mentioned that there is a forming of a double top. Would we see some corrections in the coming days? Will the run continue with minor bumps?  $S&P 500(.SPX)$
avatarKYHBKO
05-05

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24. have we hit the bottom?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24 The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. The 3 EMA lines are turning sideways and there could be ranging or reversal. For the reversal to be confirmed, the 3 EMA lines ne
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06May24. have we hit the bottom?

An Invitation Letter from Tiger Brokers

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An Invitation Letter from Tiger Brokers

[5/2] Key levels for SPY

Tdlr; I'm leaning towards Bullish > Bearish Bullish: Likely to range bound between 500 - 504, with intermediate pivot zone at 502.  -> 500 -> 502 -> 504 Bearish: Will target 497, if price breaks below 500.  -> 497 GEX levels for SPY - 5/2 expiration VEX levels for SPY - 5/2 These levels tend to change as the day progresses, so the best approach is to track the 0DTE GEX changes throughout the day to scalp. Will talk about this in a later article.  Trade safe, friends![Cool]  
[5/2] Key levels for SPY

[1/5] GEX/VEX making my head spin - Key Levels to watch for SPY

With FOMC coming up, we are not seeing a lot of conviction in either directions! Here's a rough cheatsheet, and what u typically monitor for. In general, we are watching out for: - Positive GEX: "Price retardants"  - Negative GEX: "Price accelerants" - Positive VANNA: "Price magnets" - Negative VANNA: "Price repellants" So price levels with highly positive GEX and negative VANNA form zones of resistance/dupport.  GEX levels for SPY - exporation 1/5 Vanna levels for SPY - today's expiration Tdlr 505 - Massive resistance. I don't hold much hope that price will break above this level. But if it does, 505 -> 508 491 - If price trends down, there is a massive "ghost zone" all the way down to 491. So will watch for massive price drop down there.  495 - this will likely be the a
[1/5] GEX/VEX making my head spin - Key Levels to watch for SPY
avatarKYHBKO
04-28

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 > is the bottom here?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. St
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 > is the bottom here?

S&P 500 & Fear & Greed Index: Mixed Signals

The market experienced a tech-driven bounce, but the $DJIA(.DJI)$ remains weak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed the week with a rejection at $5,110 and the 20-day moving average.The previous SPX post shows those lines, if these resistance levels for the #SP500 hold true, it might indicate the beginning of a second leg down.This chart highlights in blue arrows the initial bounce. The green arrows point to the actual market bottom.The Question: December 2022 Redux or August 2023 Repeat?The key question is whether this situation will unfold similarly to August 2023, where a bounce preceded a deeper decline, or if it will resemble December 2022, where the bounce marked a more sustained recovery.Both cases befo
S&P 500 & Fear & Greed Index: Mixed Signals

WARNING! SPX has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective

WARNING! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective ABC up structure to validate completion of the B-Wave.If price trades below 5050, that would confirm completion of B-Wave rally.If so, that should lead to 5015 in the short term, but ultimately 4820-4800 for [W4]ImageHere are my previous predictions:Further rally for the B-Wave is expected as SPX likely terminated its short-term correction at today's 4990 low.Therefore, price should begin the final corrective leg up targeting 5110-5130-5150.Loss of 4953 would favor the C-Wave already beginning, however, targeting that 4820 [W4] termination range.ImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status
WARNING! SPX has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective

Kimly was top picked by RHB

Kimly was top picked in food service sector in SGX by RHB on 24/04/2024. Coffee shop was more defensive than fast food restaurant. CDC voucher will benefit the coffee shop. Kimly halal food was expanding.  $Kimly(1D0.SI)$  PE 10, dividend 6%, good price.
Kimly was top picked by RHB

"$VIX top panel, S&P 500 bottom panel? "$SPX

[Smart]Hello fellow investors,I hope this message finds you well amidst the dynamic shifts in the market.By Founder & CEO Ciovacco Capital Management.ImageAs of the snapshot from Chris Ciovacco, the founder of Ciovacco Capital shared on X platform”$VIX top panel. S&P 500 bottom panel. $SPX”The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, often referred to as the "fear index," is sitting at a level of 16.94.The chart shows that whenever the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ primary MA moves, it will pull back, which happens to be a signal for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index to rebound.Do you think that with the rebound in semiconductor stocks on Monday, do you think that the stan
"$VIX top panel, S&P 500 bottom panel? "$SPX

$QQQ target for 🎯$420 🌿 💨 ?

After a 10% decline in $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and 5% in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the market will?Vote please.Let’s keep this one simple; we have a quick 10% decline that’s nothing to sneeze at, also I thrown a piece of data I shared from another chart which is 75% of Nasdaq stocks are above their respective 50MA’s wish coincides generally with washout signals. MACD is at a former area of support.This decline terminated right at the previous S/R flip area (support/resistance), and stock market 101 is former resistance being turned to support- the Q’s have a chance do that technical support off of that TA level by using fundamentals from earnings to turn that into said support to launch from.One other additive I thr
$QQQ target for 🎯$420 🌿 💨 ?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! Fear is a buy

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! I will stand by this statement, "We are in a bull market and we are currently seeing a short term correction. Fear is a buy" • RSI falling under 50 and Bears keeping the bear gap open for over the week, both cues worked out perfectly to judge the weekly break down on SPX • Looking at the RSI we are definitely at an over sold level, but it is not a cue to buy the dip for short term trading. • Long term strategy remains on elevated $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (CSPs) • MACD and RSI currently are in full control of the bears.• This market leaders are Semis, and when the leaders are selling the sentiment in the market cannot stay opposite. • I understand everyone is looking for tha
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! Fear is a buy

What makes the market fall? Which Asset to follow?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ decreased 3.1% last week, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ plummeted 5.5%, causing market attention. TMaybe it’s not a bad thing to fall at this position. It can not only digest its overly strong expectations, but also help to restart the interest rate cut trade.Liquidity IssuesThe turning point of financial liquidity in the second quarter will put pressure on U.S. stocks.The difference between the Federal Reserve's balance sheet rule - TGA account - reverse repos is used to measure liquidity within the financial system, which is approximately equal to the scale of reserves in the commercial banking system. Recent changes are that the Fed's monthly balance sheet reduction is still ongoing, but the tax
What makes the market fall? Which Asset to follow?

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: I like to think that the most effective corrections often involve a phase where the majority of participants are convinced it has reached its conclusion. In the short term (1 - 2 weeks) a relief rally that progresses towards the range of 5050 - 5150 would have this effect.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/tomthetrader1
.SPX: What's Going on Next?
avatarKYHBKO
04-21

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22 Apr 2024 ~ will the dip end?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the volume trend seems to be changing direction. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22 Apr 2024 ~ will the dip end?
avatarTiger V
04-20
Given the current market environment, including the ongoing conflict and concerns about potential retaliation from Israel, the S&P 500 could face significant volatility in the short term. The market selloff was also influenced by expectations of interest rate hikes, adding to the bearish sentiment. Monitoring developments closely and staying adaptable to changing conditions will be key for investors. @TigerGPT how do you think about the movement for S&P 500?
Keep shorting the market when fear is at the max I have been buying puts on S&P. All my puts are giving me gains but calls are taking away my money.  I will keep buying puts till the market turned against me.  It is fine to be wrong in the direction you are aiming for. Just quickly liquidate and run away. Find the next moves will do
- Markets lost the 50 DAY MA this week - VIX reversing upward - US OIL hit a 6 month high this week - GOLD & SILVER have moved parabolic - MEGA Caps are starting to decline - US 10 YR exploded higher this week - Israel V Iran - Russia V Ukraine - Inflation coming in hot - Nikki plunges -3% - Bitcoin halving event tomorrow - Earnings season has just started All of this happened at the start of Q2 and we are only 18 days in. $SPY $QQQ $BTC
More than half of the 224 global asset managers surveyed by BofA expect a "soft landing" over the next 12 months. This is down by 15% from January when 71% of fund managers projected a soft landing. Now, more than a third of global asset managers anticipate a hard landing. As higher for longer returns, the risk of entering a recession appears to be growing. The market is currently pricing less than 2 Fed rate cuts in 2024, down from 7 in December. Soft landing expectations are quickly disappearing.