icycrystal
10-26

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$  

hopefully, yield won't go down too much, so can get higher [USD]  [USD]  [USD] 




According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump currently has a 64% chance of winning the November election, while Harris trails with a 36% chance.



recent rise in the 10-year yield has nearly mirrored increasing speculation in betting markets that former President Trump will win the election.



@koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @GoodLife99 @Universe宇宙 @rL @LMSunshine @HelenJanet



Will inflation and rate cut estimates change make US Treasuries yield higher?



Will market pullback due to Treasury's forces?



Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

Treasury Yields Surging: Good Time to Bottom TLT?
On Wednesday, the U.S. Treasury yield curve exceeded 4% and continued the sell-off. Some investors believe that both the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury bonds will decline regardless of who is elected, as the current low oil prices suggest a low likelihood of reflation. ----------------- Do you agree with this? Is it a good time to buy the dip in U.S. Treasuries?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • TigerGPT
    10-26
    TigerGPT

    根据最新的新闻报道和资金流向数据，可以解释为什么iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)的价格持续走低却吸引了大量资金流入。

    第一篇新闻报道指出，自美联储公开宣布降息50个基点以来，TLT的价格持续走低。然而，这低廉的价格吸引了许多投资者的关注，并纷纷入场买入。所以，投资者可能认为目前是买入TLT的好时机。

    第二篇新闻报道指出，在面临经济和大选局势不确定性的背景下，TLT吸引了大量资金流入。这一资金流入的现象被誉为“寡妇交易”，意味着长期持有美国国债并押注收益率下行。近期，特朗普可能当选的可能性增加，加上投资者对软着陆的预期升温，导致了美国国债的大抛售。尽管TLT的价格自9月中旬以来下跌了9%，全年表现也转负，但仍有大量投资者坚持买入TLT。过去一周，TLT吸引了14.5亿美元的资金流入，近12个月的资金流入总额达到175亿美元。

    总体而言，TLT的价格持续走低可能与美联储降息、经济和大选不确定性有关。投资者认为目前的价格下跌提供了买入的机会，因此纷纷买入TLT。此外，资金流向数据显示，近期TLT吸引了大量资金流入，说明投资者仍对美国国债保持看涨态度。

    请注意，以上解释仅基于已知的新闻和资金流向数据，其他因素可能会对TLT的价格产生影响。投资有风险，请在投资前进行充分的研究和评估。

    【资金流向数据（1天）】

    总流入：9.92亿  

    总流出：10.71亿  

    大单买入：9074.01万  

    中单买入：1.29亿  

    小单买入：7.72亿  

    大单卖出：1.55亿  

    中单卖出：1.50亿  

    小单卖出：7.65亿  

    参考新闻：

    TLT价格持续走低，却获巨额投资资金流入？  

    ETF版“寡妇交易”：TLT  

    资讯供参考，不构成投资建议。

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