S&P Target 6500? Is It Safe to Invest at High Levels?

With $.SPX(.SPX)$ recently surpassing the 6,000 point, major institutions have expressed optimism about the U.S. stock market's outlook for next year: Morgan Stanley: Set a base-case year-end 2025 target for the S&P 500 at 6,350 points, with a bullish scenario target of 7,400 points. ---------- Will you still invest in US stocks despite of high valuations and low risk premium? Can $.SPX(.SPX)$ hit 6500 as analysts suggest?

avatarKYHBKO
12-05
if our investments are causing us sleepless nights, let us consider reducing our portfolio. To gain wealth in exchange for health is never a good deal. Money - we can always make it if we are in good health. I am not sure about vice versa. I prefer to take long-term positions so that I can go on and enjoy this “limited” life that I have. Let us find the investing strategy that works well for us. keep well all. Avoid leverage.
avatarKYHBKO
12-02

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 02Dec24 - another week of new ue

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 02Dec24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. This implies more selling momentum than buying. The CMF seems to be moving sideways - applying similar momentum by both buyers and sellers. However, do note that there is a drop in volume that suggests a drop in the current buying momentum. From the 21 indicators, all are pointing to a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P500 (for Daily interval). There are 21 indicators that recommen
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 02Dec24 - another week of new ue
$S&P 500(.SPX)$   Expecting Santa claus rally in Dec. Look at the Dec index movement since 2016.  Expected High 6240 Expected Low 6132 Don't fight the trend 😇

【Weekly Wealth Trends】AI on the Rise? Mid-to-Downstream Sectors May Spark the Boom!

Hello, tigers!This week, due to the Thanksgiving holiday, the U.S. stock market had only 3.5 trading days, resulting in relatively quiet activity. Notably, Nvidia’s stock has continued to pull back to around $136 since its earnings release, as its guidance fell short of the market's highest expectations.However, software stocks tied to AI applications have shown signs of improvement, with short-term gains outpacing the broader market. The Tiger Wealth Research Team believes that mid-to-downstream AI applications may be the next major catalyst!1. Recent Market DataA. Macroeconomic DataNovember U.S. PMI Composite Index: 55.3 (exceeding the expected 54.7), the highest since April 2022.Manufacturing PMI: 48.8, marking the fifth consecutive month of contraction.Services PMI: 57.0, the highest s
【Weekly Wealth Trends】AI on the Rise? Mid-to-Downstream Sectors May Spark the Boom!

Jake Behan:GS Calling for a Rally Into Year End, Charts in Focus

By Jake BehanHead of Capital Markets of Direxion InvestmentEditor’s Note: Happy reading and reach out if questions on anything. Happy Thanksgiving to all! $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ put up a volatile session following its earnings announcement which underwhelmed on its revenue forecast for the current quarter, exceeding analysts’ estimates by a mere $400 million rather than a preferred $1B. Reality seems to be setting in for the company as projections have failed to show ‘blowout’ expectations for two consecutive quarters now. NVDU/NVDD were expectedly busy, $Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares(NVDU)$ currently stands as our 4th biggest getter of inflows YTD. Per Barclays, “post earnings there seems to be no
Jake Behan:GS Calling for a Rally Into Year End, Charts in Focus
avatarStoid
11-27
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Current trend line indicators are getting squeezed at the moment so it looks to be teetering on a cliff edge drop, but the way it’s been going it’ll probably drop a bit and then bounce to new highs. Patiently waiting for the drop, but the market has been defying trend line logistics and keeps going up 🧐 With company valuations already stretched beyond their real value one must ask how long might this inflated bubble last given the global economic environment which is anything but an economic boom time Time to throw the rule book out the window and wait for the peps who run Wall Street to start laying down mass quantum of putts on the major indexes and follow suit  If you look at the lay of the land in terms of volume
avatarKYHBKO
11-24

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 25Nov24 > 21 indicators point to a rally??

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 25Nov24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend but there seems to be a chance for a top crossover too. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. This implies more selling momentum than buying. The CMF seems to be moving sideways - applying similar momentum by both buyers and sellers. From the technical analysis (daily interval), 21 indicators point to a “Strong buy” rating. 21 indicators above point to a “Buy” rating and none to a “Sell” rating. From the candlestick pat
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 25Nov24 > 21 indicators point to a rally??
avatarKYHBKO
11-24

Economic Calendar for the week starting 25Nov24 - PCE, PMI & GDP

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, or China in the coming week. America celebrates Thanksgiving from 28 Nov 2024 and here is wishing all a blessed Thanksgiving. Economic Calendar (25Nov24) Notable Highlights The most watched news in the coming week is the Core PCE Price Index - the main reference used by the Federal Reserve to reference inflation in the US economy. A lower figure can rally a bullish market that is hoping for more rate cuts. There will be an update on America’s GDP (Q3) estimated at 2.8%. China’s Manufacturing PMI will be announced in the coming week. The last reading was 50.1, which represents growth in the sector. China is one of the global factories and if the manufacture continues to expand, this implies th
Economic Calendar for the week starting 25Nov24 - PCE, PMI & GDP
avatarTBI
11-24

TBI's Thoughts [16]: Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)... Tightening?

Hi everyone. Today’s free newsletter will be about one of the Magnificent 7 stocks: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) MSFT is at an interesting spot in the short term. It’s been consolidating for several months and hasn’t made a new high since June. That being said, it’s still made a series of higher lows. The Stochastic oscillator also closed the week with a bullish crossover. On the daily, there are 2 unfilled gaps higher up (416.16-432.10 & 441.48-443.10), while there are numerous unfilled gaps below MSFT’s current price, with the nearest gap at 357. MSFT has consistently defended the major support level at 405-406, while it has consistently failed to break above resistance at 432-433. However, the compression that we’ve been seeing over the past few weeks, as well as the recent leap f
TBI's Thoughts [16]: Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)... Tightening?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | No one but Nvidia? How's semiconductor cycle?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThere was no more macro guidance for the market this week, with two major events influencing market action: 1. BTC made new highs and hit the $100,000 high, and 2. NVIDIA earnings.Risk sentiment was relatively high, but at the same time, U.S. stocks continued to trade in a divergent manner as the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen and concerns about Trump's policies persisted.Through the close of trading on November 21, Big Tech was mixed over the past week with $Apple(AAPL)$ +0.13%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ -0.06%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ -3.28%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ -6.19%,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | No one but Nvidia? How's semiconductor cycle?

My Quick Comments on NVDA earnings,BTC ETFs and Fed Path

NVIDIA Reported after the bell this morning All eyes were on $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ that reported quarterly results after the close of the US market today. The company reported quarterly earnings of $0.81 per share which beat analyst’s consensus estimates of $0.75 by 8 percent. Quarterly sales were $35.1 billion which also beat analyst’s consensus estimates of $33.125 billion. This represents a 94 percent increase in sales above $18.120 billion for the same period last year. For the next quarter, Nvidia projects $37.5 billion in revenue at the midpoint. That compares with the $37.1 billion FactSet consensus but obviously was not high enough for some lofty expectations by some. Nvidia shares slipped 1.5% in afterhours trading having closed down 0.8% a
My Quick Comments on NVDA earnings,BTC ETFs and Fed Path
avatarHMH
11-21

S&P 6500 in Sight? How to Ride the Bull Without Getting Trampled!

The S&P 500 has recently broken the 6,000-point barrier, sparking debate among investors about whether the index can continue its ascent to levels projected by major institutions. Morgan Stanley’s base-case target of 6,350 points by the end of 2025, and their bullish scenario target of 7,400, paints a picture of sustained optimism for U.S. equities. However, with valuations soaring and the risk premium narrowing, many are asking: Is it still safe to invest in U.S. stocks at these elevated levels? Let’s dive into the dynamics shaping the market outlook and discuss how I would approach positioning in this environment. The Case for Optimism Easing Monetary Policy: Recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have breathed new life into equity markets. Lower interest rates reduce the discount r
S&P 6500 in Sight? How to Ride the Bull Without Getting Trampled!

Thoughs on NVDA Earnings Trading

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ was down nearly 5% after hours, then pulled back to basically pull back and stabilize around -2% afterward.This performance is also very much in line with expectations, and there are a couple of ways to look at the narrative so far:Q3 earnings beat sellers by 2B, well within buyers' expectations, but Q4 guidance didn't come in at 38-39B; sellers expected 37B for Q4 and actually guided for 37B, while buyers were a bit higher.So a 5% drop first is sort of profit taking feedback;Subsequently pulled back may also be some Rush-in funds are still not the overall trend is very good, and Jensen in the conference call also did not while on the Blackwell next year whether the exact completion of the capacity to climb the problem, the mai
Thoughs on NVDA Earnings Trading
avatarMoqqa1
11-21

Snowflake Surge 20%+ on Q3 Earnings, while Buffett Sold Off his stake

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ surged 20% after hours after it beat market expectations and lifted guidance in Q3 FY2025.Ever since Warren Buffett's $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ liquidated its position in SNOW in Q2, it has been on a path back up.Financials vs. market expectationsQ3 revenue was $942 million, up 28.3% year-over-year and significantly ahead of market expectations of $898 million.Non-GAAP EPS was $0.20, again beating market expectations of $0.15.Business Performance by SegmentProduct Revenue: Third quarter product revenue reached $900.0 million, an increase of 29% year-over-year, exceeding market estimates of $856.6 million and reflecting Snowflake's success in product expansion and customer attraction.R
Snowflake Surge 20%+ on Q3 Earnings, while Buffett Sold Off his stake

Is Market Content With AI-Driven Nvidia's 94%+ YoY Growth?

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reported its fiscal 2025 third quarter results on November 20, 2024 after the bell.Results for the period continued to grow strongly, and continued the momentum of previous quarters, reaching $2 billion (2B) over what the market had been expecting (Consensus), with data centers accounting for nearly 90% of the $30 billion in revenue, and proving that the demand for AI arithmetic remains strong.But the market is more concerned about the next quarter's guidance.Revenue guidance of $37.5 billion (up or down 2%) was slightly ahead of market expectations of $37.1 billion, falling short of the "huge expectations" of "over $2 billion", while gross margin guidance was flat at 73%, driven byBlackwell volume production drive, and some in
Is Market Content With AI-Driven Nvidia's 94%+ YoY Growth?
avatarPatmos
11-21
Yes we are in a bull market & if earnings are meet easily achieved 
avatarjayc
11-21
The S&P 500 has climbed more than 24% year-to-date, with Wall Street maintaining a bullish stance on U.S. stocks. Analysts predict the benchmark could hit approximately 6,500 points by 2025, suggesting a 10% upside from Tuesday's close at 5,917. We should remain cautious of potential risks and uncertainties. While a Trump victory is perceived as a boost for U.S. equities due to his proposed corporate tax cuts, some analysts warn that his policies, such as tariffs and immigration restrictions, could spur inflation and interest rates, posing risks to the stock market.
avatarDavidSG
11-21
Not for the newbies. FOMO kills. Only invest the fundamental and leaders stocks!
S&p up to 6300?To the moon!⭐