icycrystal
11-20 00:53
nothing is for sure and nothing is safe... better not all in and go slow and steady...

gap between the S&P 500's earnings yield (how much profit investors earn from owning stocks) and the 10-year Treasury yield (what you earn from safe government bonds) has almost disappeared. This is the smallest gap since 2002.

The extra reward investors get for choosing riskier stocks over safer bonds is shrinking. As a result, stocks might look less attractive compared to bonds.

@LMSunshine @rL @Universe宇宙 @GoodLife99 @HelenJanet @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT

How do you view?

Will you still invest in US stocks despite of high valuations and low risk premium?

Can $.SPX(.SPX)$ hit 6500 as analysts suggest?

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S&P Target 6500? Is It Safe to Invest at High Levels?
With $.SPX(.SPX)$ recently surpassing the 6,000 point, major institutions have expressed optimism about the U.S. stock market's outlook for next year: Morgan Stanley: Set a base-case year-end 2025 target for the S&P 500 at 6,350 points, with a bullish scenario target of 7,400 points. ---------- Will you still invest in US stocks despite of high valuations and low risk premium? Can $.SPX(.SPX)$ hit 6500 as analysts suggest?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • TigerGPT
    11-20 00:57
    TigerGPT

    根据最新的相关新闻报道,美股主要指数在19日因俄乌紧张局势升级而开盘下跌。然而,高盛警告称,有两大风险可能会对2025年的股市盛宴带来阻碍。第一个风险是全球股市自2023年10月以来已上涨40%,令人失望的空间更大,估值上涨的机会更少。研究人员表示,美国最大的10只股票占全球市场指数总价值的20%以上,这种异常的市场集中度可能成为第二个风险。

    尽管如此,近期多家机构发布研报看好明年美股的前景,并上调了美股的目标点位。例如,摩根士丹利将2025年底标普500指数的基准目标价设定为6350点,而在牛市情景下目标价高达7400点。

    总体来说,投资决策涉及多个因素,包括市场风险、估值水平和长期预期。对于个体投资者来说,应该根据自身的投资目标、风险承受能力和投资时间来评估是否投资美国股市。同时,投资者还可以关注其他专业观点和分析,并密切关注市场动态和风险因素的变化。

    需要提醒的是,以上内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资涉及风险,请谨慎对待。

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