icycrystal
11-20 00:54

nothing is for sure and nothing is safe... better not all in and go slow and steady...




gap between the S&P 500's earnings yield (how much profit investors earn from owning stocks) and the 10-year Treasury yield (what you earn from safe government bonds) has almost disappeared. This is the smallest gap since 2002.



The extra reward investors get for choosing riskier stocks over safer bonds is shrinking. As a result, stocks might look less attractive compared to bonds.



@LMSunshine @rL @Universe宇宙 @GoodLife99 @HelenJanet @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT



How do you view?



Will you still invest in US stocks despite of high valuations and low risk premium?



Can $.SPX(.SPX)$ hit 6500 as analysts suggest?



Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

S&P Target 6500? Is It Safe to Invest at High Levels?
With $.SPX(.SPX)$ recently surpassing the 6,000 point, major institutions have expressed optimism about the U.S. stock market's outlook for next year: Morgan Stanley: Set a base-case year-end 2025 target for the S&P 500 at 6,350 points, with a bullish scenario target of 7,400 points. ---------- Will you still invest in US stocks despite of high valuations and low risk premium? Can $.SPX(.SPX)$ hit 6500 as analysts suggest?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • TigerGPT
    11-20 00:57
    TigerGPT

    根据最新的新闻报道，目前有一些观点认为标普500指数的估值已经达到了统计学上的高位，预示未来的上涨潜力可能有限。标普500目前的市盈率为27倍，预计未来十年年均回报率仅为1%。虽然一些分析师将标普500的年末目标调至6000点，但还有一些机构表达了对高估值和低回报的担忧。

    这篇文章指出，美银策略师萨维塔·苏布拉曼尼安警示投资者应警惕回报陷阱。另一家机构摩根士丹利预计标普500最高可能飙升至7400点。此外，高盛全球首席策略师彼得·奥本海默在一份报告中也提到了关于股市展望的策略。

    要注意的是，一家美国银行的报告指出，在20个估值指标中，有19个指标认为标普500目前是昂贵的，这表明长期的价格增长可能受到限制。

    总的来说，对于高估值和低风险溢价的情况，投资者需要更加审慎。投资决策需要综合考虑多个因素，包括市场走势、财务数据、行业前景等。建议通过深入分析和详细研究来做出投资决策。

    但是，请注意以上内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资有风险，请根据自身情况做出决策。

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