TBI's Thoughts [16]: Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)... Tightening?

Hi everyone. Today’s free newsletter will be about one of the Magnificent 7 stocks:

Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)

MSFT is at an interesting spot in the short term. It’s been consolidating for several months and hasn’t made a new high since June. That being said, it’s still made a series of higher lows. The Stochastic oscillator also closed the week with a bullish crossover.

On the daily, there are 2 unfilled gaps higher up (416.16-432.10 & 441.48-443.10), while there are numerous unfilled gaps below MSFT’s current price, with the nearest gap at 357. MSFT has consistently defended the major support level at 405-406, while it has consistently failed to break above resistance at 432-433.

However, the compression that we’ve been seeing over the past few weeks, as well as the recent leap flow (500C for 2027), leads me to think that we’re setting up for a breakout and expansion-type move over the next few weeks and months ahead, with new ATHs on the horizon.

Any risk for longs should be a break below the green support trendline, which will see a move back towards major 405-406 support.

Regardless, a significant move is coming on MSFT.

Upside PT: 500

Invalidation: Break and close below green support trendline (will update again if this happens)

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$

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