1.Gold $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ had a storming run in 2024, up about 26%
...but so did stocks (up about the same YTD)
Result = range-trade-for-longer and no resolution of that epic 30-year triangle pattern in the gold/stock ratio (yet)
$.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
2.Go Global in 2025?
3.Commodity Cycles
The bullish breadth divergence in this chart helped identify the (double) bottom in commodities this year.
(+will be a key chart and asset class for the year ahead)
4.The China Risk Premium
The pivot to greater easing helped Chinese stocks put in a very rapid and large rally in 2024.
One key ingredient to that has been the very high equity risk premium in China (“it’s in the price”)
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