Markets Struggle Despite Tariff Reprieve as Recession Fears Grow

DoTrading
03-07

The tariff rollercoaster continued Wednesday, with President Donald Trump partially walking back levies on Mexico and Canada, offering a temporary reprieve until April 2nd. However, unlike previous tariff relief announcements, stocks failed to rally, suggesting investor fatigue with trade policy uncertainty.

Markets

1️⃣ Trump’s Tariff Pause Fails to Lift Markets

  • Mexico Tariff Rollback: Trump announced that Mexico will not face tariffs on goods covered under USMCA, following discussions with President Claudia Sheinbaum

  • Canada Tariff Adjustment: A similar tweak was applied later in the day.

  • China Tariffs Remain in Place.

Despite this, investors showed little enthusiasm, with stocks initially recovering but then sliding further. This shift suggests markets are less willing to react positively to short-term trade headlines and are focused on broader economic risks.

One clear sign of growing uncertainty: The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book report mentioned the word “uncertainty” 45 times, underscoring concerns about the economic outlook.

2️⃣ Stocks Slide Further—Tech and Financials Hit Hard

🔻 The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 2.6%, entering correction territory (-10% from its high) 🔻 Tech stocks tumbled 2.8%, as AI hype faded $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 🔻 Financials dropped 1.7%, extending a rough stretch for banks

$XLK

Key Sector Moves: Tech Woes Continue: AI-driven stocks have struggled in early 2025, as investors question whether massive spending on AI infrastructure will deliver the expected returns. Marvell Technology plunged 20%, despite an earnings beat—their AI-driven growth story didn’t impress enough. Financials’ Slump Suggests Economic Worries: Banks are economically sensitive, and their continued decline signals growing recession concerns.

However, there was a glimmer of hope after hours: $Broadcom(AVGO)$ surged 11% after beating expectations and expressing strong confidence in AI demand.

$AVGO

3️⃣ Recession Signals? Jobs Report & Consumer Spending in Focus

Jobs Data Coming Today: Economists expect 158,000 new jobs (up from January’s 143,000). Unemployment rate expected to hold steady at 4%. Recent rise in jobless claims is fueling fears of an economic slowdown

Gasoline demand dropped 1.5% last week vs. last year, hinting at a possible slowdown in consumer spending—a crucial factor for GDP growth.

4️⃣ Market Sentiment: Risk Aversion Growing

📉 The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is down 4% from its recent record high, as investors shift toward defensive sectors like healthcare. Tech’s dominance is fading: S&P 500 Consumer Staples have outperformed Tech by over one standard deviation—a rare occurrence that signals a risk-off environment.

Outlook: Rate cut expectations are rising, which could provide a safety net for markets. Big tech earnings remain a wild card—Broadcom’s positive report could stabilize sentiment. The Fed may step in if economic conditions deteriorate further.

🔍 Bottom Line: Caution Rules, as Market Looks for Clarity

Markets are losing patience with trade policy uncertainty—tariff reprieves are no longer enough to drive optimism. Tech remains under pressure, financials signal economic concerns, and investors are shifting toward defensive sectors. jobs report could be a major catalyst—either reassuring markets or fueling more recession fears…

For now, the market is in a “wait-and-see” mode, with volatility likely to persist…

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Comments

  • Venus Reade
    03-07
    Venus Reade
    I am not even worried avgo...will go to $200 today
    • DoTrading
      The crazy edy market right now ... Crazy Vol
  • WendyOneP
    03-07
    WendyOneP
    Great thougths and insights!
    • DoTrading
      thanks 👍 don't hesitate to share it
  • Mortimer Arthur
    03-07
    Mortimer Arthur
    avgo will back to 200 and it ain’t even surprising.
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