$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ $Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ 🚀🔬💡 Quantum Meets E-Commerce: $RGTI and $SE Headline a High-Volume Earnings Week 💡🔬🚀

I am tracking two of the highest-volatility setups in next week’s earnings calendar, and they could not be more different in their catalysts. I am looking at quantum computing’s cutting edge in $RGTI and a proven e-commerce heavyweight in $SE, both primed for binary moves as results hit.

⚙️ Technical staging ahead of earnings: $RGTI

Rigetti Computing ($RGTI) enters its 12Aug25 Q2 earnings with a chart coiling for a decisive move. On the daily, price built a deep cup-and-handle base since February, reclaimed the neckline in July near $15.00–$15.20, and stalled just shy of $18.00–$18.50 resistance. That rejection formed a mild descending trendline, while the 21-day EMA ($15.18) now lines up as key support. A clean breakout above $18.00 could trigger momentum toward $20.50, then $22.80; a breakdown below $15.00 risks a slide to $13.34 (50EMA) or even $9.79 (200EMA).

On the 4H Keltner and Bollinger overlays, price hugs mid-bands with volatility contraction; a setup that often precedes a directional surge. EMAs (13/21/55) remain flat to slightly bullish, reinforcing a neutral-to-bullish bias if $15 holds.

🧪 Hype meets hard science: $RGTI

RGTI and other quantum names surged this week on news from USC researchers who identified “neglectons”: previously dismissed particles that may unlock error-correction through braiding. While the implications are profound, commercialisation remains years, possibly decades, away.

Backing up the narrative, RGTI’s Ankaa-3 platform hit 99.5% two-qubit gate fidelity. In tandem with DARPA’s Quantum Benchmark Initiative, investor attention is sharpening; however, the translation from breakthroughs to revenues is not immediate.

📊 Earnings expectations and Wall Street view: $RGTI

Consensus for Q2 2025: revenue falling 39.3% YoY to $1.873 M, EPS at –$0.05. The past eight quarters reflect uneven delivery; strong beats in mid-2024, but severe misses in late-2024 and early-2025. Analysts remain unanimous with 7 buy ratings and a $16.50 median 12-month PT: just 6.4% above last close ($15.44), suggesting limited short-term upside without a beat.

📈 Technical staging ahead of earnings: $SE

Sea Limited ($SE) also reports on 12Aug25 and carries a high-volume, institutional-heavy profile. On the daily, $SE is in a rising channel from its April lows, with higher highs and higher lows intact. Key resistance sits at $72.50 (aligned with upper channel and Bollinger top), while immediate support is at $67.80 (21EMA). A breakout over $72.50 could target $76.40 and then $81.20.

The 4H chart shows price consolidating above mid-Keltner and mid-Bollinger bands, with RSI holding near 57 and MACD positive but flattening. Weekly structure remains bullish, with the 50-week EMA rising beneath at $64.20, keeping the long-term uptrend intact ahead of earnings.

💵 Fundamentals and sentiment: $SE

Analysts expect Q2 2025 EPS of $1.03 and revenue near $5.00B. Last quarter’s $0.65 EPS missed estimates by $0.28 despite nearly 30% YoY revenue growth. Institutional ownership exceeds 59%, and consensus PT hovers around $159.82. The earnings print will be a major test of whether growth and margins can re-accelerate.

💡 The long-term investment narrative

I believe I am bullish on the setups forming in both $RGTI and $SE. I am confident in the technical levels that could spark breakout momentum, and I am aware of the fundamental catalysts that could turn this earnings week into a high-conviction trading opportunity.

For RGTI, the thesis hinges on converting hardware breakthroughs into commercial value. Federal support and sector milestones offer tailwinds, but profitability remains years away, and dilution from its $350M raise highlights funding risk. For SE, the challenge lies in proving operational leverage while sustaining top-line expansion in competitive e-commerce and fintech markets.

🎯 Key levels and trading map

I am convinced that the convergence of technical compression and major earnings catalysts in $RGTI and $SE presents one of the most asymmetric setups of the month. I am prepared to act decisively if price confirms my breakout levels, and I am ready to scale in if momentum aligns with the macro backdrop.

• RGTI bullish trigger: hold above $18.00 → $20.50 → $22.80. Support: $15.20, $13.34, $9.79. Breakdown under $15 could target $13.30–$13.40.

• SE bullish trigger: break above $72.50 → $76.40 → $81.20. Support: $67.80, $64.20. Breakdown under $64.20 risks trend damage.

📅 Macro and event context

Both RGTI and SE report on Tuesday, the same day as Core CPI, creating a volatile catalyst cluster. Cisco, JD.com, Deere, and Applied Materials also report mid-week, increasing rotation potential. With the S&P 500 up 2.4% and Nasdaq-100 up 3.7% last week, risk appetite is positive, but earnings plus macro data make for binary moves.

🧭 Probability-weighted outlook

The goal here isn’t to predict, but to map out the scenarios most supported by current market data and positioning.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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