MHh
2025-09-29
I agree fully with his views. There is no way around except to agree that valuations of the magnificent 7 and s&p500 are high yet not in irrational exuberance. With expected rate cuts for the rest of the year, that should continue to drive stock prices up. So, I agree with his strategy to reduce aggressive positions and to increase defensive positions. However, I would do this closer to the year end santa rally to try to gain more returns.


My portfolio is still heavily on the s&p500. Across the board, it is currently hard to find defensive assets at attractive prices. For now, I would try to take profit at a later time to yield cash so that I can buy during dips. I think from next year onwards, cash might be king when the market corrects or potentially a recession. I would prefer to have cash for bargain hunting. @LuckyPiggie @HelenJanet @Kaixiang @DiAngel @Universe宇宙 @SPOT_ON @Wayneqq @SR050321 @Success88 @Fenger1188 come join
Market Master 101 | Howard: Where Do We Stand in 2025?
In his recent memo to Oaktree’s clients, Howard Marks outlined his views on the current high levels of the market. He believes the market has not yet entered a phase of irrational exuberance, but still advises clients to adopt a Level 5 defense (reducing aggressive positions and increasing defensive holdings). What do you think of his views on the valuations of the Magnificent 7 and the S&P 500? How is your own portfolio allocated right now? Since the market is at elevated levels, should we be holding some defensive assets?
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Comments

  • Norton Rebecca
    2025-09-30
    Norton Rebecca
    标普500也很重!等待圣诞老人反弹获利了结-现金=2025议价能力!
    • MHh
      希望及时获利了结!
  • Reg Ford
    2025-09-30
    Reg Ford
    降息现在加速,但2025年调整即将到来!将利润存为现金,然后寻找便宜货!
    • MHh
      不会全部获利了结,因为涨势可能会持续到2026年
  • zingle
    2025-09-30
    zingle
    Smart decision
    • MHh
      Thank you[Smile]
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