With the shutdown ending, the relief rally makes sense — liquidity is coming back — but I don’t see it as a new bull trend yet. Key macro issues like inflation, yields, and Fed uncertainty are still unresolved, so I’m cautious about chasing the first rebound.
The Dow–tech divergence also signals that risk is being repriced. Mega-cap AI stocks remain expensive, and recent selling from SoftBank and big short positions against NVDA and PLTR suggest more volatility ahead. In contrast, blue chips and cyclicals look more stable in the near term as funds rotate.
For the next month, I lean toward blue chips and cyclicals outperforming since they benefit most from liquidity returning without facing valuation stress. I’ll watch AI leaders for opportunities, but I prefer to wait for cleaner setups rather than buying immediately into this bounce.
@TigerClub @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
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