$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ I continue to dollar-cost average into SOXL because it aligns with how I view the long-term trajectory of the semiconductor industry. Chips are no longer just a cyclical tech component—they sit at the core of AI, data centers, cloud computing, autonomous driving, and edge computing. While the semiconductor sector is volatile by nature, the structural demand behind it keeps expanding. By DCA-ing, I'm not trying to time short-term cycles; I'm positioning myself for multi-year growth driven by real technological adoption. At the same time, SOXL's leverage is exactly why discipline matters. A 3x leveraged ETF magnifies both upside and drawdowns, which makes lump-sum timing extremely unforgiving
This Christmas, I’ll be staying in Singapore and keeping things relatively low-key. With the festive atmosphere already in full swing—from Orchard’s light displays to Marina Bay’s skyline views—it feels like a good time to slow down, enjoy the city, and take a short mental break. From a markets perspective, I usually scale back my trading activity around Christmas. Liquidity tends to thin out, price action can be noisy & I find it more productive to use this period for portfolio review and reflection rather than active positioning. I still keep an eye on the market, but it’s more about monitoring risk than chasing opportunities. For me, the year-end period is about resetting—reviewing what worked, what didn’t & setting a clearer framework for the new year. A calm Christmas in Sing
This Friday’s options expiry is massive, with $7.1 trillion on the line. I’m focused on the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , where $5 trillion is tied, and 0DTE options make up over 60% of activity. Whether SPX holds 6,800 will likely set the tone for year-end, as both bulls and bears see this as a key level. Every tick could trigger rapid reactions, making the session highly sensitive. I expect the “pinning effect” to push prices toward key strikes, but with such huge expiries, volatility is almost certain. Sudden swings are likely as traders adjust positions, though some stabilization around 6,800 is possible as market makers manage risk. Although the market has rebounded, I remain cautious about a Santa rally. Even if SPX stays above 6,800,
From my perspective, Tesla making new all-time highs and then fading intraday is a very familiar pattern. It usually reflects a clash between long-term believers and short-term traders taking profits into strength. The robotaxi update is clearly a meaningful catalyst, but at these levels, the market is no longer reacting to "potential" alone—it wants clearer signals on timing, scalability, and regulation. On the move above $500, I think it's possible, but it won't be a clean breakout. There is heavy psychological and positioning resistance around that level, and any push through it will likely require either a strong follow-through in autonomous driving milestones or a broader risk-on environment in U.S. equities. Without that confirmation, price action could remain choppy, with sharp swin
From my point of view, Micron's $Micron Technology(MU)$ 10% jump is less about a single earnings beat and more about the market re-rating the entire memory cycle. For a long time, memory was treated as a pure boom-bust commodity trade, but AI has changed the conversation. With data-center demand, HBM, and inference workloads driving tighter supply, investors are starting to price memory as a strategic component of AI infrastructure rather than a disposable input. That said, I don't think memory is a straight copy-paste of the Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ story. Nvidia's "moment" came from owning the full stack—hardware, software, and e
From my perspective, tonight's market setup is less about chasing upside and more about surviving a highly technical session. A record $5 trillion S&P 500 options expiry means price action is likely to be heavily influenced by dealer hedging flows rather than fresh fundamental conviction. In this kind of environment, intraday moves can look dramatic, but they don't always reflect a true change in trend. Whether the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ can hold the 6800 level will depend more on positioning and gamma dynamics than on headlines. On the Bank of Japan rate hike, I see the impact on U.S. equities as indirect but not negligible. The move itself was expected, so it doesn't shock the market, but it reinforces the broader t
If I earned my first US$1,000,000, my instinct wouldn’t be to splurge right away. I see it as a rare opportunity to build something much bigger over time. Of course I’d make sure my family is comfortable and secure, but the priority would be putting the money to work rather than letting it sit idle or disappear on short-term spending. My personal finance style clearly leans toward investing, especially in high-quality, big-cap companies with strong long-term growth drivers. I believe technology and AI are still in the early stages of reshaping the global economy, so I would focus on leaders like Tesla, Microsoft, Nvidia, companies with scale, innovation & strategic positioning that can compound value over years. My first investment goal would be to grow this US$1mil into a sustainable
My stock in focus today is $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $XPENG-W(09868)$ , following a key regulatory milestone in autonomous driving. The company has secured an L3 road test license in Guangzhou, enabling regular conditional autonomous driving tests on intelligent connected highways and reinforcing its progress toward higher-level autonomy. On the technology side, XPeng continues to differentiate itself through integrated hardware and software. The rollout of its self-developed Turing chip and advances in cloud-based foundation models mark its entry into the second-generation VLA phase, strengthening real-world AI driving capability. Looking ahead, XPeng plans to mass-produce L4-capable VLA by Q1 2026 and laun
From my perspective, $Micron Technology(MU)$ earnings don’t just beat expectations — they push back against the “AI bubble” narrative. What stands out is earnings quality: cash flow above net income, margins far ahead of expectations, and forward EPS nearly tripling. Is this Micron’s “Nvidia moment”? Not a perfect parallel, but the comparison is increasingly valid. Nvidia re-rated when AI demand proved structural, and Micron may be nearing a similar point. Management’s comments about meeting only 50–66% of demand and locking in non-cancelable 2026 orders signal real scarcity and pricing power. That said, it’s not risk-free or clearly “too late.” Valuations have moved, but earnings expectations may still be conservative if supply remains tight. For
I see a BOJ tightening causing a temporary volatility spike rather than a sustained unwind. Much of the yen carry trade risk is already priced in, and unless we see abrupt yen strength or disorderly moves in global yields, this is more of an adjustment than a liquidity shock. Clarity from the BOJ should help stabilize markets. For a delayed Santa Rally, I’m not going fully defensive or all-cash. I prefer keeping dry powder while selectively buying dips in quality growth and AI names. In a later, narrower rally, stock selection matters more than broad exposure. BOJ-driven liquidity fears dominate near-term headlines, but earnings and Fed policy remain the real anchors. As long as corporate results hold and the Fed stays supportive, much of the BOJ pressure can be absorbed. Santa may arrive
From my perspective, the BoJ rate hike itself is no longer the real story — it's the expectation that matters. A 25 bps hike is widely priced in, and markets have spent weeks adjusting positioning around a "Japan normalization" narrative. When something becomes this consensus, the actual announcement often loses its shock value. That's why I see this meeting less as a trigger and more as a potential release valve for uncertainty. The "shoe dropping" argument makes sense on paper: higher Japanese rates can strengthen the yen, unwind carry trades, and tighten global liquidity, which in theory pressures US equities. But markets rarely react most violently to what everyone already expects. If the BoJ delivers a clean, predictable hike without signaling an aggressive follow-up path, that clarit
From my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesn’t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isn’t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic “breakdown sell” nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a d
My stock in focus today is $Micron Technology(MU)$ , following its newly released earnings that significantly exceeded expectations and highlighted its strong positioning in the AI-driven semiconductor cycle. Management’s forward guidance stood out, with profit and revenue forecasts far above Street estimates. The key catalyst remains AI-related demand, especially from data centers. As one of only a few global suppliers of high-bandwidth memory (HBM), Micron is benefiting from tight supply, stronger pricing, and improving margins. AI demand is not only boosting volumes but also enhancing profitability across its broader product portfolio. On the strategy front, Micron’s shift toward AI-focused capacity and exit from lower-margin consumer channels
From my perspective, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ move to new highs feels different from past rallies. The market is increasingly valuing Tesla as a real-world AI and autonomy platform, with Robotaxi at the center of the story. The technical breakout supports this shift & a move toward or above $500 is possible, though near-term volatility is likely. On Robotaxi, I’m cautiously bullish. I agree that 2026 is the key inflection point, as unsupervised rides, improving safety data, and the start of Cybercab production could reshape how Tesla is valued. Even partial execution would justify another leg higher beyond traditional auto metrics. That said, I don’t expect a straight line up. ARK trimming highlights short-term risk, and FSD in China by 2026 is u
Over the next 12 months, I see gold's primary driver as macro uncertainty rather than pure inflation. Slowing global growth, rising geopolitical risks, and the growing need for portfolio hedges are pushing central banks and long-term investors to hold more gold. Even if the Fed doesn't cut aggressively, the market is already pricing in a world where real rates struggle to stay restrictive for long, which remains supportive for gold. I view the recent strength in both silver and gold as fundamentally healthy, not speculative excess. Gold is acting as the anchor—benefiting from safe-haven demand and central bank buying—while silver is expressing a higher-beta version of the same thesis, amplified by industrial demand tied to energy transition and electronics. This combination suggests the mo
At this new all-time high, I'm not in a hurry to take profit. Tesla's share price has essentially spent a full year consolidating and digesting prior gains, and breaking into new highs is often a signal of a new trend phase, not the end of one. From a market-structure perspective, this looks more like the beginning of a re-rating rather than a terminal top. The most critical assumption behind Tesla's valuation at this level is that autonomy is no longer a distant dream but a commercially viable platform. The fact that Tesla is testing robotaxis without human safety drivers materially changes the narrative. If autonomy scales even gradually, Tesla stops being priced as just an EV manufacturer and starts being valued as a mobility + software company, which supports a much higher multiple. An
I'm starting this week with a more cautious stance as U.S. equities edged lower, and the Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ once again underperformed. The ongoing sell-off in AI-related stocks is clearly weighing on sentiment, raising questions over whether the usual year-end Santa Rally can still materialize under current conditions. What stands out to me is the continued weakness in big-cap tech. Names like Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$ and Oracle $Oracle(ORCL)$ extended last week's declines, dragging on the broader tech sector. Broadcom's three consecutive dow
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is my stock in focus today after breaking to a new all-time high last night. The move reflects a clear shift in sentiment, with investors looking past short-term EV delivery concerns and refocusing on Tesla’s long-term growth story. Momentum remains strong as the market reassesses Tesla’s future potential. The key driver behind the rally is the robotaxi and full self-driving hype. Progress in driverless testing has renewed optimism that Tesla is moving closer to commercial autonomy. As a result, investors are increasingly valuing Tesla as an AI and autonomous mobility platform rather than just an EV maker. That said, expectations are rising and volatility could follow. Execution risks remain, but the breakout shows the mark
Gold breaking to fresh highs is not something I take lightly. A move above $4,300+ confirms that this rally is not just a short-term squeeze, but a structural trend driven by liquidity, geopolitics, and declining real yields. When gold makes new highs, it's usually a sign that risk hedging demand is rising beneath the surface—even if equities are still holding up. From my perspective, the first question is time horizon, not price. For long-term core holdings, I don't rush to take full profit just because gold prints a new high. Breakouts to all-time highs tend to attract trend-following capital, and historically gold often extends further than expected once price discovery begins. Trimming everything too early risks missing the strongest part of the move. That said, I do believe in partial
For me, the recent U.S. employment data reinforces the “bad news is good news” narrative. Some softness in the labor market increases the odds of further Fed rate cuts, which is generally supportive for equities as long as the slowdown remains orderly rather than recessionary. That said, I’m watching the BOJ closely. A hike to 0.75% would be a meaningful shift, and historically BOJ tightening has coincided with higher global volatility. With U.S. stocks at record highs, a more cautious near-term stance feels reasonable, even if history doesn’t repeat perfectly. In terms of positioning, I’m neither fully in cash nor blindly all-in. I stay invested in core holdings while keeping some dry powder to deploy if macro or BOJ headlines trigger a pullback. If a Santa Claus rally arrives, I partici