$S&P 500(.SPX)$ | Primary Count
While SPX respected Daily FVG support, $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ closed below it—triggering a sell signal following the bearish SMT with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ at all time highs.
Despite the 50-DMA reclaim, price is capping at the 61.8% retracement and CISD resistance at 6833.
This sets up a 3rd of a 3rd wave flush targeting 6400
Confirmation: A close < 50-DMA is the warning. A cross of last week's low confirms the decline.
SPX | Alternate
SPX reclaimed the 50-DMA and printed a bullish CISD.
Combined with bullish seasonality, the door is open for a push to 6950–7000.
The Pivot: Bulls MUST hold the 50-DMA. A close below it risks crossing last week's low -> invalidating this.
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