Shyon
01-06 08:58

Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 1.5X Shares(TSLL)$   jumped more than 3% after the latest CPCA data, and in my view this move is more than just a short-term reaction. December 2025 wholesale volumes of 97,171 units — a new monthly record — signal that Tesla China is regaining momentum at a time when many still question demand sustainability in the EV space. An 11% month-on-month increase and roughly 13% year-on-year growth in estimated sales tell me that Tesla's pricing strategy and product competitiveness are still working in the world's most competitive EV market.

What stands out to me is that this strength comes despite intensifying competition from domestic players. China's EV market is no longer about pure subsidies or early adoption; it's about cost efficiency, software differentiation, and brand trust. Tesla's ability to post record numbers in this environment suggests its manufacturing scale in Shanghai and supply-chain control remain significant advantages. This reinforces my view that China is not just a volume market for Tesla, but a critical profit and execution anchor.

Looking ahead, I believe Full Self-Driving (FSD) localization in China is becoming a key strategic lever. Hardware sales alone are increasingly commoditized, but software-driven revenue offers Tesla a path to expand margins without relying solely on unit growth. If Tesla can navigate regulatory approval, data compliance, and localization challenges, FSD could materially change how the market values Tesla's China business over the next few years.

That said, I don't see this as a straight-line story. Price competition will remain intense, and local OEMs are moving quickly on smart driving features. For Tesla, execution matters more than headlines — especially how fast FSD can be rolled out in a way that genuinely differentiates the user experience versus local alternatives. China will likely be the toughest test for whether Tesla's "software-first" narrative truly holds.

Overall, this data point strengthens my medium- to long-term confidence in Tesla. The stock reaction reflects improving sentiment, but the real upside, in my opinion, lies in how Tesla converts China scale into recurring, high-margin software revenue. If FSD becomes a meaningful contributor in China, Tesla's future growth profile could look very different from what the market is pricing in today.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.  

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