Emotional Investor
03-12
Oil prices spiking and collapsing terrible time to buy oil stocks right? Well let’s just look at two stocks $Chevron(CVX)$ and $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$. So both seem to be money machines regardless of the oil price, both have buyback programs and both have paid and increased their dividends for decades. So I just keep accumulating on dips.
The story is very different for goods and services stocks that are nice to have but not essential. Prices will go up when oil spikes. So will inflation. So your dollar buys less, a double whammy. Think stocks like $Home Depot(HD)$. Is now a great time to renovate?
U.S.-Iran Swings From Ceasefire Rumors to Live Fire; Brent Briefly Tops $90?
The Middle East flipped in a week. On August 30 U.S. forces struck two IRGC sites on Iran's Larak Island — the first direct action in over a month — and Iran hit U.S. bases in return, promising more. Days earlier the market had been trading a ceasefire framework, including free passage through Hormuz, that was never officially confirmed. Brent briefly cleared $90 and sits near $90.50, WTI +2.43% to $85.43. Energy equities have priced none of it: XLE closed Friday +0.63%, before the strike. Hedge through energy names, or watch Hormuz transit first?
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