Oil Rebounds: Can It Stabilize Within Ceasefire Window?

07-14

CPI Shock Ahead: Don't Chase Stocks,and Oil Still Has Room to Drop

Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c

CPI Shock Ahead: Don't Chase Stocks,and Oil Still Has Room to Drop

Owen_trading room

07-08

War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed

Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv

War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed

JC888

06-18

XOM, CVX - Still a Buy Amid US-Iran peace !

The Old Man That Cried Wolf. After many weeks of pre-emptive Truth Social declarations that routinely cried wolf to the markets, Trump’s heavily promoted US-Iran peace deal finally graduated from social media propaganda. It became a verified, official framework agreement. Tentatively, the agreement to end the war, will be officially signed on Fri,19 Jun 2026 in Switzerland. At the just concluded G7 Meeting, Trump hogged the limelight and infamously declared that he has signed the MOU to: End a US blockade of Iranian ports. Reopen the Strait of Hormuz for 60-days tariffs free. Start the 60 days of nuclear negotiations. Equally important, it is confirmed too that Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian has counter-signed t

XOM, CVX - Still a Buy Amid US-Iran peace !

宏观姐夫

05-26

Guinea Moves on Bauxite Exports: Is Aluminum’s Upstream Cost Curve Being Repriced?

A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about

Guinea Moves on Bauxite Exports: Is Aluminum’s Upstream Cost Curve Being Repriced?

Reynor

04-23

CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals

I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr

CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals

Ivan_Gan

04-20

Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?

The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca

Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?

nerdbull1669

04-20

Can GE Ride On Its Significant Operational Momentum To Override High Bar For Valuation?

$GE Aerospace(GE)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates & Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of "beats," with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn

Can GE Ride On Its Significant Operational Momentum To Override High Bar For Valuation?

Crypto Rookie

04-18

Hopefully a permanent resolution can be reached in the near future. This needs to end.

Reynor

04-17

CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital "Rotation" Become Evident

On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money "rotating tracks"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The "Three Keys" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's "sentiment barometer," released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries

CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital "Rotation" Become Evident

Futures_Pro

04-17

Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?

This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe

Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?

Futures_Pro

04-16

📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off

Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b

📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off

Ivan_Gan

04-15

🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging

The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.

🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging

Ivan_甘灿荣

04-15

🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging

Owen_trading room

04-14

As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy

Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec

As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy

Futures_Pro

04-14

Latest Futures Class Recap: Under a Fragile Ceasefire, the Strategy to Navigate Bull and Bear Market

Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. Course Link:

Latest Futures Class Recap: Under a Fragile Ceasefire, the Strategy to Navigate Bull and Bear Market

Natana79

04-14

Just started so see how things go

程俊Dream

04-13

Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?

The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s

Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?

Tigerong

04-13

Hi the latest news The day after talks collapsed, Trump escalated hard. US Central Command announced a blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports, and Trump threatened to prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz entirely. NBC News He also said the US military is looking at resuming limited strikes inside Iran. The Strait carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Any serious disruption there hits energy prices, shipping costs, and global risk appetite all at once. We are not in full escalation yet — but the direction of travel is not comforting, and investors who are not paying attention are going to get caught off guard. Even as the situation escalated, stocks wavered and oil held relatively steady — which tells you something important. The market is alr

SG DLC News

04-13

EV-related Stocks Rally on Data Report: NIO +6.6%, BYD +5.6%; 5x Long DLCs Gain

Chinese Automobile stocks rose in early trading on Monday (13 April), bucking the wider market trend after data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) showed that automobile exports surged 56.7% YoY in Q1. $NIO-SW(09866)$ led gains in the sector, rising 6.6% in morning trade on strong ES9 pre-orders. Amplifying the return, the NIO 5x Long DLC surged 33%. There is currently no Short DLC on NIO listed for trading. Other automobile-related counters similarly rose, with $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ up more than 5.6%, sending the BYD 5x Long DLC up about 28%, and the BYD 5x Short DLC declined by similar magnitude. $XPENG-W(09868)$ ,

Smoney

04-13

May not be stabilize untill aggrement done between US and Iran.

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You waiting for another flush before touching XOM or CVX?","text":"Buyback support matters more than the headline drop. You waiting for another flush before touching XOM or CVX?","html":"Buyback support matters more than the headline drop. You waiting for another flush before touching XOM or CVX?"}],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":568329633251616,"gmtCreate":1779763810055,"gmtModify":1779764465442,"author":{"id":"4241911061095622","authorId":"4241911061095622","name":"宏观姐夫","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/786901ed7d73568418b065fbd21e071d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4241911061095622","authorIdStr":"4241911061095622"},"themes":[],"title":"Guinea Moves on Bauxite Exports: Is Aluminum’s Upstream Cost Curve Being Repriced?","htmlText":"A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about","listText":"A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about","text":"A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41e72e4d8d443adc1c6c85ce1ccb81b3","width":"1448","height":"1086"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/384f4017cd3a3b35848c74844c2c9858","width":"1448","height":"1086"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/18209a219ce20a73a4833abeeff4e1f5","width":"1448","height":"1086"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":197,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568329633251616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":556722168587064,"gmtCreate":1776939718076,"gmtModify":1778843851599,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals","htmlText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","listText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","text":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5217d17fed8318946dcff93be0a8cbd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b24d594babfd25c446db45d83ace92"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/785bf33664e0e83041f8aa6e0b5367a3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":38,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556722168587064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":555565424009384,"gmtCreate":1776647200833,"gmtModify":1776651315060,"author":{"id":"4102123614530830","authorId":"4102123614530830","name":"nerdbull1669","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ac2db9ff7976dac4aa567ce14027bd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102123614530830","authorIdStr":"4102123614530830"},"themes":[],"title":"Can GE Ride On Its Significant Operational Momentum To Override High Bar For Valuation?","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GE\">$GE Aerospace(GE)$</a> is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates &amp; Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of \"beats,\" with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GE\">$GE Aerospace(GE)$</a> is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates &amp; Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of \"beats,\" with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn","text":"$GE Aerospace(GE)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates & Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of \"beats,\" with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8a3de527b0973a51ddef2970f008f87","width":"439","height":"609"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52dd516ae10940fb8c922cf6f94b0f61","width":"1086","height":"310"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1dc25b17a5f5414a9ce98f6bf20c430f","width":"1482","height":"735"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555565424009384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":555145613316368,"gmtCreate":1776501343539,"gmtModify":1776502228741,"author":{"id":"4232926728807082","authorId":"4232926728807082","name":"Crypto Rookie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/187e7172a8af89d897ec38cc46bca8fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4232926728807082","authorIdStr":"4232926728807082"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hopefully a permanent resolution can be reached in the near future. This needs to end.","listText":"Hopefully a permanent resolution can be reached in the near future. This needs to end.","text":"Hopefully a permanent resolution can be reached in the near future. This needs to end.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555145613316368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":554689079665608,"gmtCreate":1776428348046,"gmtModify":1778843830519,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4231919089627522","authorIdStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital \"Rotation\" Become Evident","htmlText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","listText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","text":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f26227d173f4832340d2aabd87c906c9"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77ce41a356c23bead1baf73e4dd4d2ce"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e221541d0c399428f55941382dcbd189"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1392,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":73,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554689079665608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":554623411905480,"gmtCreate":1776412315877,"gmtModify":1776415785264,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?","htmlText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","listText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","text":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3a54cc82e2f8c1d29a509fa85401aa1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c740c78262da4721a0f8b2fae5155b2c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d3e1a7d4a2130f7efead3ccfa34c4de"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554623411905480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":554332254192104,"gmtCreate":1776341304052,"gmtModify":1776341384810,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off","htmlText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","listText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","text":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f03867bfb79921275114a07280e754fd","width":"881","height":"490"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db45b76eb88d989448a47d4339898b4","width":"853","height":"568"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2898f06a9a977e73e343b7fc75452db5","width":"900","height":"175"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1583,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":62,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554332254192104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668727377","authorIdStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553890155049504,"gmtCreate":1776233291978,"gmtModify":1776244634263,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":82,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553890155049504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553362476003872,"gmtCreate":1776135114894,"gmtModify":1778843817817,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667627883060","authorIdStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap: Under a Fragile Ceasefire, the Strategy to Navigate Bull and Bear Market","htmlText":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on&nbsp;the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures &amp; options, silver futures &amp; options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. <a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1861861728546827/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221861861728546827%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link:</a>","listText":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on&nbsp;the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures &amp; options, silver futures &amp; options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. <a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1861861728546827/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221861861728546827%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link:</a>","text":"Against the backdrop of the macro environment, this class focuses on the correlations among major U.S. asset classes, with an emphasis on the trends of U.S. stock indices and precious metals (CME COMEX gold futures & options, silver futures & options). It also provides brief comments on the current rapidly changing geopolitical situation, highlighting the importance of identifying trading opportunities and risk control amid uncertainty. Course Link:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":127,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553362476003872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4136897647765072","authorId":"4136897647765072","name":"SuperDuper1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4136897647765072","authorIdStr":"4136897647765072"},"content":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war .","text":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war .","html":"All this matters little, US indices are able. The level prior to the commencement of war ."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553639510106360,"gmtCreate":1776132884137,"gmtModify":1776133890643,"author":{"id":"4239172515644592","authorId":"4239172515644592","name":"Natana79","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/63478a2a2b86701777c5a2443241c5c8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4239172515644592","authorIdStr":"4239172515644592"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Just started so see how things go&nbsp;","listText":"Just started so see how things go&nbsp;","text":"Just started so see how things go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553639510106360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1778843430852,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312667271286","authorIdStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574752437126777","authorIdStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553388515967240,"gmtCreate":1776072106872,"gmtModify":1776143624787,"author":{"id":"4107397042933530","authorId":"4107397042933530","name":"Tigerong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4bee085a6642c99da1d2e687f2b23a00","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4107397042933530","authorIdStr":"4107397042933530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi the latest news The day after talks collapsed, Trump escalated hard. US Central Command announced a blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports, and Trump threatened to prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz entirely. NBC News He also said the US military is looking at resuming limited strikes inside Iran. The Strait carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Any serious disruption there hits energy prices, shipping costs, and global risk appetite all at once. We are not in full escalation yet — but the direction of travel is not comforting, and investors who are not paying attention are going to get caught off guard. Even as the situation escalated, stocks wavered and oil held relatively steady — which tells you something important. The market is alr","listText":"Hi the latest news The day after talks collapsed, Trump escalated hard. US Central Command announced a blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports, and Trump threatened to prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz entirely. NBC News He also said the US military is looking at resuming limited strikes inside Iran. The Strait carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Any serious disruption there hits energy prices, shipping costs, and global risk appetite all at once. We are not in full escalation yet — but the direction of travel is not comforting, and investors who are not paying attention are going to get caught off guard. Even as the situation escalated, stocks wavered and oil held relatively steady — which tells you something important. The market is alr","text":"Hi the latest news The day after talks collapsed, Trump escalated hard. US Central Command announced a blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports, and Trump threatened to prevent ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz entirely. NBC News He also said the US military is looking at resuming limited strikes inside Iran. The Strait carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Any serious disruption there hits energy prices, shipping costs, and global risk appetite all at once. We are not in full escalation yet — but the direction of travel is not comforting, and investors who are not paying attention are going to get caught off guard. Even as the situation escalated, stocks wavered and oil held relatively steady — which tells you something important. The market is alr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553388515967240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000361","authorId":"9000000000000361","name":"chocoee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa8fd7934742274cc59594904a5c223","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000361","authorIdStr":"9000000000000361"},"content":"Market already priced in fear? I'm watching DJT closely.","text":"Market already priced in fear? I'm watching DJT closely.","html":"Market already priced in fear? I'm watching DJT closely."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553328184516880,"gmtCreate":1776057635336,"gmtModify":1776057997396,"author":{"id":"4225582686885462","authorId":"4225582686885462","name":"SG DLC News","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d98b8e4c3a07230634c0085e2f351253","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4225582686885462","authorIdStr":"4225582686885462"},"themes":[],"title":"EV-related Stocks Rally on Data Report: NIO +6.6%, BYD +5.6%; 5x Long DLCs Gain","htmlText":"Chinese Automobile stocks rose in early trading on Monday (13 April), bucking the wider market trend after data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) showed that automobile exports surged 56.7% YoY in Q1. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09866\">$NIO-SW(09866)$</a> led gains in the sector, rising 6.6% in morning trade on strong ES9 pre-orders. Amplifying the return, the NIO 5x Long DLC surged 33%. There is currently no Short DLC on NIO listed for trading. Other automobile-related counters similarly rose, with <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01211\">$BYD COMPANY(01211)$</a> up more than 5.6%, sending the BYD 5x Long DLC up about 28%, and the BYD 5x Short DLC declined by similar magnitude. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09868\">$XPENG-W(09868)$</a> ,","listText":"Chinese Automobile stocks rose in early trading on Monday (13 April), bucking the wider market trend after data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) showed that automobile exports surged 56.7% YoY in Q1. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09866\">$NIO-SW(09866)$</a> led gains in the sector, rising 6.6% in morning trade on strong ES9 pre-orders. Amplifying the return, the NIO 5x Long DLC surged 33%. There is currently no Short DLC on NIO listed for trading. Other automobile-related counters similarly rose, with <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01211\">$BYD COMPANY(01211)$</a> up more than 5.6%, sending the BYD 5x Long DLC up about 28%, and the BYD 5x Short DLC declined by similar magnitude. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09868\">$XPENG-W(09868)$</a> ,","text":"Chinese Automobile stocks rose in early trading on Monday (13 April), bucking the wider market trend after data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) showed that automobile exports surged 56.7% YoY in Q1. $NIO-SW(09866)$ led gains in the sector, rising 6.6% in morning trade on strong ES9 pre-orders. Amplifying the return, the NIO 5x Long DLC surged 33%. There is currently no Short DLC on NIO listed for trading. Other automobile-related counters similarly rose, with $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ up more than 5.6%, sending the BYD 5x Long DLC up about 28%, and the BYD 5x Short DLC declined by similar magnitude. $XPENG-W(09868)$ ,","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9443d4559855a6beab5bce435ae7f801","width":"1038","height":"564"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/11bb9d5560024398b18b13fcedeba465","width":"1037","height":"577"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d2e881e5a0d6178e512ef1b245ba4bd8","width":"1052","height":"568"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553328184516880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":25577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553141822566592,"gmtCreate":1776055252055,"gmtModify":1776056430342,"author":{"id":"4191031412857472","authorId":"4191031412857472","name":"Smoney","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191031412857472","authorIdStr":"4191031412857472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"May not be stabilize untill aggrement done between US and Iran.","listText":"May not be stabilize untill aggrement done between US and Iran.","text":"May not be stabilize untill aggrement done between US and Iran.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553141822566592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"essenList":[{"id":585630342902048,"gmtCreate":1784010679430,"gmtModify":1784017999181,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"CPI Shock Ahead: Don't Chase Stocks,and Oil Still Has Room to Drop","htmlText":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","listText":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","text":"Over the weekend, Iran once again claimed it had blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, after which the U.S. said the Oman shipping lane was still operating normally. For this kind of news about the strait being blockaded or reopened during negotiations, the market has already built up considerable immunity — it was basically fully priced in as soon as Asian markets opened last Monday. So investors need not be overly sensitive to such news; just watch the market's reaction after the open. The relatively important events this week are the Fed Chair's testimony and the release of the CPI data, on which the market will place its bets regarding rate-hike expectations. Although I don't think the Fed will make any major rate-hike move, the market may use the occasion to react ahead of time, causing a c","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/86b232863a15289dd50d0ae48d8e1555"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":57,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/585630342902048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":583603213271072,"gmtCreate":1783511932602,"gmtModify":1783512143400,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"War Reignites Between the US and Iran: How Do You Trade Futures Short-Term? （Recent Returns Revealed","htmlText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","listText":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/https://ttm.financial/post/583239757926496\" target=\"_blank\">Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv</a>","text":"Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e92a4da4cfefce6ae0978a4889cc151f","width":"865","height":"385"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c891bac8ef2f82e0e31539c207591628","width":"865","height":"1122"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3abd5b13c7d42e71656d0d8687101679","width":"865","height":"702"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":39,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/583603213271072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":576520665174440,"gmtCreate":1781776918259,"gmtModify":1782104643679,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1f15eae4f682dc4cb91bfca455452752","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570103090255456","idStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"title":"XOM, CVX - Still a Buy Amid US-Iran peace !","htmlText":"The Old Man That Cried Wolf. After&nbsp;many weeks&nbsp;of&nbsp;pre-emptive&nbsp;Truth Social declarations that&nbsp;routinely&nbsp;cried wolf to the markets, Trump’s heavily promoted US-Iran peace deal finally graduated from social media propaganda. It became a&nbsp;verified, official framework agreement. Tentatively, the agreement to end the war, will be officially signed on&nbsp;Fri,19 Jun 2026&nbsp;in Switzerland. At the just concluded G7 Meeting, Trump hogged the limelight and infamously declared that he has signed the MOU to: End&nbsp;a&nbsp;US blockade&nbsp;of Iranian ports. Reopen&nbsp;the Strait of Hormuz for 60-days tariffs free. Start the&nbsp;60 days&nbsp;of nuclear negotiations. Equally important, it is confirmed too that Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian has counter-signed t","listText":"The Old Man That Cried Wolf. After&nbsp;many weeks&nbsp;of&nbsp;pre-emptive&nbsp;Truth Social declarations that&nbsp;routinely&nbsp;cried wolf to the markets, Trump’s heavily promoted US-Iran peace deal finally graduated from social media propaganda. It became a&nbsp;verified, official framework agreement. Tentatively, the agreement to end the war, will be officially signed on&nbsp;Fri,19 Jun 2026&nbsp;in Switzerland. At the just concluded G7 Meeting, Trump hogged the limelight and infamously declared that he has signed the MOU to: End&nbsp;a&nbsp;US blockade&nbsp;of Iranian ports. Reopen&nbsp;the Strait of Hormuz for 60-days tariffs free. Start the&nbsp;60 days&nbsp;of nuclear negotiations. Equally important, it is confirmed too that Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian has counter-signed t","text":"The Old Man That Cried Wolf. After many weeks of pre-emptive Truth Social declarations that routinely cried wolf to the markets, Trump’s heavily promoted US-Iran peace deal finally graduated from social media propaganda. It became a verified, official framework agreement. Tentatively, the agreement to end the war, will be officially signed on Fri,19 Jun 2026 in Switzerland. At the just concluded G7 Meeting, Trump hogged the limelight and infamously declared that he has signed the MOU to: End a US blockade of Iranian ports. Reopen the Strait of Hormuz for 60-days tariffs free. Start the 60 days of nuclear negotiations. Equally important, it is confirmed too that Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian has counter-signed t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/270f5f9e1d75ebcf4b1a9a678a5a0393","width":"882","height":"439"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/996f33d9253c68ec3521db229a491b80","width":"729","height":"362"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89a2e3a27e6c857f4e53d931b1b03faf","width":"613","height":"730"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":171,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":20,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/576520665174440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574752437126777","idStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @SherniceXuan 2000","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @SherniceXuan 2000","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @SherniceXuan 2000"},{"author":{"id":"3479274776688173","authorId":"3479274776688173","name":"HiTALK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0eb7ae4762306c23ef3a30fb831746","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274776688173","idStr":"3479274776688173"},"content":"Buyback support matters more than the headline drop. You waiting for another flush before touching XOM or CVX?","text":"Buyback support matters more than the headline drop. You waiting for another flush before touching XOM or CVX?","html":"Buyback support matters more than the headline drop. You waiting for another flush before touching XOM or CVX?"}],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":568329633251616,"gmtCreate":1779763810055,"gmtModify":1779764465442,"author":{"id":"4241911061095622","authorId":"4241911061095622","name":"宏观姐夫","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/786901ed7d73568418b065fbd21e071d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4241911061095622","idStr":"4241911061095622"},"themes":[],"title":"Guinea Moves on Bauxite Exports: Is Aluminum’s Upstream Cost Curve Being Repriced?","htmlText":"A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about","listText":"A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about","text":"A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41e72e4d8d443adc1c6c85ce1ccb81b3","width":"1448","height":"1086"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/384f4017cd3a3b35848c74844c2c9858","width":"1448","height":"1086"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/18209a219ce20a73a4833abeeff4e1f5","width":"1448","height":"1086"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":197,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":14,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/568329633251616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":554332254192104,"gmtCreate":1776341304052,"gmtModify":1776341384810,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"📊Futures Weekly: Money Flows Out of Stocks Despite the Rally, While Precious Metals Bulls Cool Off","htmlText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","listText":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","text":"Since April 9, developments between the United States and Iran have broadly followed a pattern of “ceasefire implementation and advancing negotiations, but fragile execution and unresolved disagreements.” After the two-week temporary ceasefire entered the implementation stage, the Strait of Hormuz nominally resumed limited shipping, yet the actual volume of vessel traffic remained extremely low, suggesting that maritime tensions had not genuinely eased. Then, on April 10 and 11, the United States and Iran held high-level talks in Islamabad, discussing sanctions arrangements, ceasefire boundaries, and navigation through the strait. Despite the lengthy discussions, however, no substantive breakthrough was achieved. From April 13 to 15, there were brief expectations that the ceasefire might b","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f03867bfb79921275114a07280e754fd","width":"881","height":"490"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db45b76eb88d989448a47d4339898b4","width":"853","height":"568"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2898f06a9a977e73e343b7fc75452db5","width":"900","height":"175"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1583,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":62,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554332254192104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":554689079665608,"gmtCreate":1776428348046,"gmtModify":1778843830519,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC：S&P Net Short Positions Surge Suddenly, Signs of Capital \"Rotation\" Become Evident","htmlText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","listText":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions:&nbsp;stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting.&nbsp;This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","text":"On the week of April 7, the latest Commitment of Traders (CFTC) data release from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission immediately ignited market discussions: stock index futures saw intensified multi-force tug-of-war, crude oil longs staged a strong comeback, while precious metals like gold saw funds quietly exiting. This isn't random volatility—it's a clear signal of big money \"rotating tracks\"! Want to know who's adding positions and who's retreating? Read this article, and you'll easily grasp the market's next rhythm. Commitment of Traders Report Basics: The \"Three Keys\" to CFTC Data The CFTC Commitment of Traders report is like the market's \"sentiment barometer,\" released every Friday with Tuesday's futures position data to reveal true capital intentions. No worries","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f26227d173f4832340d2aabd87c906c9"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/77ce41a356c23bead1baf73e4dd4d2ce"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e221541d0c399428f55941382dcbd189"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1392,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":73,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554689079665608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":556722168587064,"gmtCreate":1776939718076,"gmtModify":1778843851599,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"CFTC Observation: Watch Out For a Sudden Surge in Bullish Bets on Precious Metals","htmlText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","listText":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","text":"I. CFTC Positioning Data: Understanding the “Language of Smart Money” Many people focus only on prices, but what truly drives prices is where the money is positioned. The Commitments of Traders (COT) report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) translates this “language of money” into indicators that ordinary investors can understand. The “soul” of this report lies in two dimensions: who is holding positions, and whether they are long or short. CFTC positioning data classifies participants into three major categories: commercial positions (hedgers), non-commercial positions (speculators/funds), and non-reportable positions (retail traders). Among these, the most critical are non-commercial positions—funds, hedge funds, and large institutions whose objective is pr","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b5217d17fed8318946dcff93be0a8cbd"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/40b24d594babfd25c446db45d83ace92"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/785bf33664e0e83041f8aa6e0b5367a3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":38,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/556722168587064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":552448344260648,"gmtCreate":1775842372400,"gmtModify":1776001085631,"author":{"id":"4145797693007212","authorId":"4145797693007212","name":"Xaddy_Analyst","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ce2222167a012fbb02ed7519f44039bf","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4145797693007212","idStr":"4145797693007212"},"themes":[],"title":"Oil's Sharp 1.91% Rebound Sparks Fresh Hope: Ceasefire Calm or OPEC+ Overhang Ready to Crush? 😱🛢️","htmlText":"USO just clawed back 1.91% to $126.96, staging a technical recovery after yesterday's near-10% plunge as the geopolitical risk premium tied to the U.S.-Iran ceasefire window nears exhaustion. 😤 This snapback highlights oil's sensitivity to any sign of de-escalation, but the broader picture remains murky with OPEC+ production increase expectations looming and slowing global demand growth capping medium-term upside. $130 stands as the immediate resistance level that bulls must conquer to confirm sustained momentum. With the ceasefire providing temporary breathing room, the big question is whether this rebound stabilizes within the window or sets up another breakdown-driven move if talks falter. Emerging markets are watching closely, with Latin America's commodity flows pulling inflows 8% as","listText":"USO just clawed back 1.91% to $126.96, staging a technical recovery after yesterday's near-10% plunge as the geopolitical risk premium tied to the U.S.-Iran ceasefire window nears exhaustion. 😤 This snapback highlights oil's sensitivity to any sign of de-escalation, but the broader picture remains murky with OPEC+ production increase expectations looming and slowing global demand growth capping medium-term upside. $130 stands as the immediate resistance level that bulls must conquer to confirm sustained momentum. With the ceasefire providing temporary breathing room, the big question is whether this rebound stabilizes within the window or sets up another breakdown-driven move if talks falter. Emerging markets are watching closely, with Latin America's commodity flows pulling inflows 8% as","text":"USO just clawed back 1.91% to $126.96, staging a technical recovery after yesterday's near-10% plunge as the geopolitical risk premium tied to the U.S.-Iran ceasefire window nears exhaustion. 😤 This snapback highlights oil's sensitivity to any sign of de-escalation, but the broader picture remains murky with OPEC+ production increase expectations looming and slowing global demand growth capping medium-term upside. $130 stands as the immediate resistance level that bulls must conquer to confirm sustained momentum. With the ceasefire providing temporary breathing room, the big question is whether this rebound stabilizes within the window or sets up another breakdown-driven move if talks falter. Emerging markets are watching closely, with Latin America's commodity flows pulling inflows 8% as","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1e083141fc540d7e81d92421077a391d","width":"1024","height":"572"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7249eb474d25a6b7b2051ea5ce947dce","width":"3253","height":"2049"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09b7e483f4c23311080fd8ec17d0da87","width":"1280","height":"720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":876,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":37,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/552448344260648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574752437126777","idStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Shyon @JC888","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Shyon @JC888","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Shyon @JC888"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":552010822956008,"gmtCreate":1775805206056,"gmtModify":1775806427674,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Futures Weekly: The Hollow Rally？！U.S. Stocks & Bonds Climb While Capital Retreats🚀🚀","htmlText":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","listText":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","text":"This week, ahead of the deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, the U.S. and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement on April 7, brokered by Pakistan. Under the agreement, Iran consented to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for controlled navigation and submitted a \"10-Point Peace Proposal,\" which includes the lifting of sanctions, as a foundation for subsequent comprehensive negotiations. However, less than a day into the ceasefire, Israel launched a surprise attack on Lebanon, causing the situation to deteriorate rapidly. Before the ceasefire could even take effect, conflicts escalated. Iran reacted swiftly, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed once again and threatening to consider withdrawing from the U.S.-Iran talks. Following this series of changes, the market's barely-","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e3fc5a03c3c421daf5e0c1b3f5fcd113"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5165d7ef3b228911433948e036381af"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0f71bf8f16e3fd26d85f45dbda5b86e7"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":73,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":15,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/552010822956008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":17,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":555565424009384,"gmtCreate":1776647200833,"gmtModify":1776651315060,"author":{"id":"4102123614530830","authorId":"4102123614530830","name":"nerdbull1669","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ac2db9ff7976dac4aa567ce14027bd6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4102123614530830","idStr":"4102123614530830"},"themes":[],"title":"Can GE Ride On Its Significant Operational Momentum To Override High Bar For Valuation?","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GE\">$GE Aerospace(GE)$</a> is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates &amp; Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of \"beats,\" with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GE\">$GE Aerospace(GE)$</a> is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates &amp; Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of \"beats,\" with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn","text":"$GE Aerospace(GE)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. As a newly minted pure-play aerospace leader following the GE Vernova spin-off, this report is a major litmus test for its ability to maintain high margins and convert its massive backlog into realized profit. Earnings Estimates & Context Consensus EPS: $1.81 (Range: $1.59–$1.81 depending on the analyst pool). Consensus Revenue: ~$11.61 billion (Up ~18% year-over-year). FY 2026 Guidance: The company previously set a target of $7.10 – $7.40 EPS. Watch for any tightening or lifting of this range. History: GE has a strong history of \"beats,\" with an average earnings surprise of around 14% over the last four quarters. GE Aerospace’s Q4 2025 earn","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8a3de527b0973a51ddef2970f008f87","width":"439","height":"609"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52dd516ae10940fb8c922cf6f94b0f61","width":"1086","height":"310"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1dc25b17a5f5414a9ce98f6bf20c430f","width":"1482","height":"735"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555565424009384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553592631423960,"gmtCreate":1776160661187,"gmtModify":1776160705067,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"As the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Eases, It’s Time to Rethink Your Crude Oil Trading Strategy","htmlText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","listText":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","text":"Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969aed1863f62ae102b8a19689f62631","width":"1809","height":"801"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67ba44bfdc902242762ea0e0adcd772","width":"1838","height":"705"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca319373a2204a4f62b29af1c75a6a0","width":"1489","height":"691"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":58,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553592631423960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":551337795658216,"gmtCreate":1775640807271,"gmtModify":1775640843385,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Another Two-Week Ceasefire Window: Is It Time to Short Crude Oil?","htmlText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","listText":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm：&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TYO\">$3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> &nbsp; &nbsp;In fact, the 10-yea","text":"In fact, the two week window of de-escalation in the conflict has long been priced into capital market movements. Although a week ago the US and Iran were still trading harsh rhetoric, with the US even threatening to destroy Iranian civilization, after all that saber-rattling you may have noticed that crude oil did not register a new high. Moreover, the US one-year inflation expectations – which typically spike along with crude oil – and the 10-year Treasury yield – which is most sensitive to US equity moves – remained remarkably calm： $美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ $3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion(TYO)$ $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ In fact, the 10-yea","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fc52ae9d63f02ff64ec9cfbd7765ab95","width":"909","height":"438"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8643004d4165867bd63a933f21486c6d","width":"908","height":"447"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/69ab4c9cae14d84fe5935fcff3dc0a09","width":"909","height":"403"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":76,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":16,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/551337795658216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4098151747339220","authorId":"4098151747339220","name":"Arty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c38e7adda4157457303e200995a04cea","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4098151747339220","idStr":"4098151747339220"},"content":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","text":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours","html":"Don’t need technical analysis the ceasefire will fall apart in two hours"},{"author":{"id":"3567852837945728","authorId":"3567852837945728","name":"setia100","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d07af59743ad001196b7aca5f1726d7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3567852837945728","idStr":"3567852837945728"},"content":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","text":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel.","html":"Ceasefire is good for a few hours Only. It will be back to the normal war between Iran and Israel."}],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":555722222379992,"gmtCreate":1776685044177,"gmtModify":1778843836825,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"Crude Oil at a Critical Turning Point: With the $70 Support Holding, What Is the Market Betting On?","htmlText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","listText":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","text":"The two-week negotiation window between the United States and Iran has come to an end. Over the past two weeks, market expectations were highly optimistic—U.S. equities surged, and oil prices declined. Unfortunately, as the deadline arrived, weekend news suggested that the two sides failed to reach an agreement. The final outcome will only be confirmed once a formal agreement is signed. In any case, the key signal remains unchanged: when the strait is fully reopened, that will mark the true end of this event. All other news is merely noise. There were earlier rumors suggesting that the U.S. proposed the two-week negotiation period as a cover to deploy additional military forces. If this proves true, further escalation of conflict cannot be ruled out. Investors should remain vigilant. I. Ca","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a7b3e22d2c1350f58918ee75eb98a025"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/872f332bbee9ad00dd694f64a959e3e3"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1fae179ecd7c8d93b8346d8327c5a3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":70,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/555722222379992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":554623411905480,"gmtCreate":1776412315877,"gmtModify":1776415785264,"author":{"id":"3527667627883060","authorId":"3527667627883060","name":"Futures_Pro","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e0b17bd96e48707e49a6ee695f3babc5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667627883060","idStr":"3527667627883060"},"themes":[],"title":"Latest Futures Class Recap:How Are Markets Pricing U.S.-Iran Risk?Can U.S. Stocks Still Push Higher?","htmlText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","listText":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/m/live/1862511258481801/?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22%3A%221862511258481801%22%2C%22type%22%3A1%7D\" target=\"_blank\">Course Link</a>1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","text":"This session focused on how the U.S.-Iran situation may affect oil, gold, U.S. stocks, the dollar, Treasuries, and crypto under different scenarios, with special attention to the key one- to three-week window ahead.Guest Speaker: Cheng Jun (CME Guest Lecturer with more than 10 years of margin trading experience, specializing in gold and FX trading through a combination of macro analysis and Demark technical analysis)Course Link1. The current market narrative is still primarily driven by changes in the geopolitical situationMost assets are still following the same pattern: they come under pressure when tensions rise and rebound whe","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3a54cc82e2f8c1d29a509fa85401aa1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c740c78262da4721a0f8b2fae5155b2c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d3e1a7d4a2130f7efead3ccfa34c4de"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/554623411905480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553028648067616,"gmtCreate":1776053613933,"gmtModify":1776156251971,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000439","idStr":"9000000000000439"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: Tensions Easing, Indexes Jump 3–5% Despite Hot Inflation & Weak GDP; Q1 Earnings Ahead","htmlText":"Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Rally as Middle East tensions ease and oil plummets 13% Stock surge – Major U.S. indexes jumped 3–5% on easing Middle East tensions and a 13% weekly drop in oil prices. Two-week rebound – Nasdaq gained ~9%, S&amp;P 500 ~7%, and Dow ~6%, erasing March losses. Inflation hot – CPI hit 3.3% YoY, well above the Fed’s 2% target. Oil plunges – Crude fell to ~$96/barrel (down 13% weekly) from a March 9 intraday peak near $119. Gold rallies – Prices rose for a second straight week to ~$4,800/oz, recovering March losses. GDP cut – Q4 growth revised down to 0.5% (from 0.7% in March and 1.4% initially). Sentiment drops – UMich consumer sentiment fell to 47.6 in April (from 53.3 in March). Earnings outlook – Q1 S&amp;P 500 profit growth forecast lowered to 12.6","listText":"Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Rally as Middle East tensions ease and oil plummets 13% Stock surge – Major U.S. indexes jumped 3–5% on easing Middle East tensions and a 13% weekly drop in oil prices. Two-week rebound – Nasdaq gained ~9%, S&amp;P 500 ~7%, and Dow ~6%, erasing March losses. Inflation hot – CPI hit 3.3% YoY, well above the Fed’s 2% target. Oil plunges – Crude fell to ~$96/barrel (down 13% weekly) from a March 9 intraday peak near $119. Gold rallies – Prices rose for a second straight week to ~$4,800/oz, recovering March losses. GDP cut – Q4 growth revised down to 0.5% (from 0.7% in March and 1.4% initially). Sentiment drops – UMich consumer sentiment fell to 47.6 in April (from 53.3 in March). Earnings outlook – Q1 S&amp;P 500 profit growth forecast lowered to 12.6","text":"Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Rally as Middle East tensions ease and oil plummets 13% Stock surge – Major U.S. indexes jumped 3–5% on easing Middle East tensions and a 13% weekly drop in oil prices. Two-week rebound – Nasdaq gained ~9%, S&P 500 ~7%, and Dow ~6%, erasing March losses. Inflation hot – CPI hit 3.3% YoY, well above the Fed’s 2% target. Oil plunges – Crude fell to ~$96/barrel (down 13% weekly) from a March 9 intraday peak near $119. Gold rallies – Prices rose for a second straight week to ~$4,800/oz, recovering March losses. GDP cut – Q4 growth revised down to 0.5% (from 0.7% in March and 1.4% initially). Sentiment drops – UMich consumer sentiment fell to 47.6 in April (from 53.3 in March). Earnings outlook – Q1 S&P 500 profit growth forecast lowered to 12.6","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e8d18532bd4b4d25cb28abc092b5a1ef"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/501e1f4e46b10a6f7069b05a96d6f54c"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/05bedd866c0b7d2a84932aa4a6da91f2"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":99,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":15,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553028648067616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581734406950755","authorId":"3581734406950755","name":"Shyon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3423cbda71d7a89cd2f2f2d6744330","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3581734406950755","idStr":"3581734406950755"},"content":"Last week felt like a relief rally to me, with U.S. markets rebounding strongly as tensions eased and oil prices dropped. While the price action looks bullish, I’m still cautious— inflation remains above target, growth was revised lower, and sentiment is weakening, which signals a mixed macro backdrop. I’m seeing AI and semiconductors continue to lead, with names like $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ benefiting from strong chip demand, while energy stocks lagged due to falling oil. This tells me the rally is more about rotation and sentiment rather than a broad-based recovery. Looking ahead, I’m focused on upcoming earnings, especially banks and key tech names. For me, it’s about whether results can support this rally—if not, volatility could return quickly. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerObserver","text":"Last week felt like a relief rally to me, with U.S. markets rebounding strongly as tensions eased and oil prices dropped. While the price action looks bullish, I’m still cautious— inflation remains above target, growth was revised lower, and sentiment is weakening, which signals a mixed macro backdrop. I’m seeing AI and semiconductors continue to lead, with names like $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ benefiting from strong chip demand, while energy stocks lagged due to falling oil. This tells me the rally is more about rotation and sentiment rather than a broad-based recovery. Looking ahead, I’m focused on upcoming earnings, especially banks and key tech names. For me, it’s about whether results can support this rally—if not, volatility could return quickly. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerObserver","html":"Last week felt like a relief rally to me, with U.S. markets rebounding strongly as tensions eased and oil prices dropped. While the price action looks bullish, I’m still cautious— inflation remains above target, growth was revised lower, and sentiment is weakening, which signals a mixed macro backdrop. I’m seeing AI and semiconductors continue to lead, with names like $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ benefiting from strong chip demand, while energy stocks lagged due to falling oil. This tells me the rally is more about rotation and sentiment rather than a broad-based recovery. Looking ahead, I’m focused on upcoming earnings, especially banks and key tech names. For me, it’s about whether results can support this rally—if not, volatility could return quickly. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerObserver"},{"author":{"id":"4209509375264322","authorId":"4209509375264322","name":"這是甚麼東西","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4209509375264322","idStr":"4209509375264322"},"content":"Financials: NIM Pressure vs. IB Recovery The divergence in banking will be a key sentiment driver. Net Interest Margin (NIM) pressure from \"higher-for-longer\" rates is a headwind for traditional lending, but the Investment Banking (IB) recovery—driven by a surge in AI-related IPOs and M&A—could offset this. For optical module investors, a strong IB recovery signals that the capital markets are open for further high-tech expansion and strategic acquisitions, which has historically fueled the LITE and COHR growth stories.","text":"Financials: NIM Pressure vs. IB Recovery The divergence in banking will be a key sentiment driver. Net Interest Margin (NIM) pressure from \"higher-for-longer\" rates is a headwind for traditional lending, but the Investment Banking (IB) recovery—driven by a surge in AI-related IPOs and M&A—could offset this. For optical module investors, a strong IB recovery signals that the capital markets are open for further high-tech expansion and strategic acquisitions, which has historically fueled the LITE and COHR growth stories.","html":"Financials: NIM Pressure vs. IB Recovery The divergence in banking will be a key sentiment driver. Net Interest Margin (NIM) pressure from \"higher-for-longer\" rates is a headwind for traditional lending, but the Investment Banking (IB) recovery—driven by a surge in AI-related IPOs and M&A—could offset this. For optical module investors, a strong IB recovery signals that the capital markets are open for further high-tech expansion and strategic acquisitions, which has historically fueled the LITE and COHR growth stories."}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553890155049504,"gmtCreate":1776233291978,"gmtModify":1776244634263,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","idStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":82,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553890155049504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":549267725616296,"gmtCreate":1775122432381,"gmtModify":1775122485797,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"Owen_trading room","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5d4e379a31618023c7f5cc95a2df3468","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3491416357875149","idStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"Magnificent 7 on the Brink: Is It Time to Short the US Market?","htmlText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","listText":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","text":"U. S. President Donald Trump delivered a national televised address on the evening of April 1, unilaterally claiming a \"swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory\" in military operations against Iran. He also stated that the U.S. will continue to heavily strike Iran over the next \"two to three weeks,\" while negotiations with Iran are simultaneously proceeding. His remarks have utterly shattered the market's expectations that the \"U.S.-Iran war\" could end in the short term. Moreover, his approach of negotiating while launching military strikes strongly highlights an anxious state within the Trump administration: attempting to stabilize oil prices and inflation while being unable to conclude the war quickly, essentially being dragged down by Iran. The situation has clearly spiraled out of con","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d80a84d9c362135e2789ddef0c9df15e","width":"1082","height":"729"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b0c39214f7b3f52645c7d451fd57cd67","width":"1078","height":"471"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f01e036bea70a0e38bd283332523715f","width":"1077","height":"474"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/549267725616296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4217445003125362","authorId":"4217445003125362","name":"mark2012","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4217445003125362","idStr":"4217445003125362"},"content":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","text":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least","html":"anyone who believes this would be a short war has rocks in their head, like the Commander and Chief. as for shorting the market, I think it is a very good idea. or have a delta neutral strategy. from what I can tell the bull market has paused for the foreseeable future. at the very least"},{"author":{"id":"4226601826832662","authorId":"4226601826832662","name":"梦回大宋朝","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/615765695ad331cc4d20ce4b9b08687c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4226601826832662","idStr":"4226601826832662"},"content":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","text":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!","html":"The founding of the country has brought the Republican Party to a collapse, and the midterm election defeat is a foregone conclusion!"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553891178676712,"gmtCreate":1776233619600,"gmtModify":1776413088746,"author":{"id":"3527667668727377","authorId":"3527667668727377","name":"Ivan_Gan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668727377","idStr":"3527667668727377"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Oil Surges and Inflation Reignites: Two Undervalued Opportunities Are Emerging","htmlText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","listText":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","text":"The most closely watched development in the market over the weekend was undoubtedly the progress of negotiations between the United States and Iran. Based on comprehensive reports, while there has been some engagement, the core issues remain fundamentally unresolved. It has now been a full month since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz began, and crude oil inventories in Gulf nations are perilously close to reaching maximum capacity. If the U.S. and Iran fail to reach a viable agreement to guarantee safe passage through the strait within this two-week ceasefire window, the market is likely to further fuel long-term inflation fears. However, this turbulent environment is exactly what creates exceptional trading opportunities in the forward contracts of various commodities.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/17ffb478f26b03e800d94c84747dc8ec","width":"864","height":"400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553891178676712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":547055855097072,"gmtCreate":1774582428803,"gmtModify":1774582469917,"author":{"id":"4231919089627522","authorId":"4231919089627522","name":"Reynor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a50bab06c4e0eaf414f6f20630f089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4231919089627522","idStr":"4231919089627522"},"themes":[],"title":"Gold and Silver at a Crossroads: How to Trade the Geopolitical Uncertainty","htmlText":"\n \n \n  Hello everyone. Under normal circumstances, with a war still going on, gold should be benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, so why has the price collapsed instead? What does this selloff tell us about trading gold and equity indices, and are there similar periods in history that we can use as reference points? Today, Mr. Gan will go through all of this in the livestream. Below are some notes I put together. The Gulf states have fallen into a strange trap: oil prices are rising, but their income is falling because they cannot sell enough crude. Why? Because of the Strait blockade.&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLMAIN\">$WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/QMmain\">$小原油主连 2605(QMmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"Hello everyone. Under normal circumstances, with a war still going on, gold should be benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, so why has the price collapsed instead? What does this selloff tell us about trading gold and equity indices, and are there similar periods in history that we can use as reference points? Today, Mr. Gan will go through all of this in the livestream. Below are some notes I put together. The Gulf states have fallen into a strange trap: oil prices are rising, but their income is falling because they cannot sell enough crude. Why? Because of the Strait blockade.&nbsp; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLMAIN\">$WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/QMmain\">$小原油主连 2605(QMmain)$</a>","text":"Hello everyone. Under normal circumstances, with a war still going on, gold should be benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, so why has the price collapsed instead? What does this selloff tell us about trading gold and equity indices, and are there similar periods in history that we can use as reference points? Today, Mr. Gan will go through all of this in the livestream. Below are some notes I put together. The Gulf states have fallen into a strange trap: oil prices are rising, but their income is falling because they cannot sell enough crude. Why? Because of the Strait blockade. $WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$ $美国原油ETF(USO)$ $小原油主连 2605(QMmain)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c47978294f467de1302350ed20980a1","width":"1077","height":"476"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c57deae1116be8fdac3210d5bbffd3f","width":"1073","height":"596"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9081de183a0a7c614a50b455205dff6e","width":"1073","height":"513"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":154,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":6,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/547055855097072","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"d684c79142644d83a7cd206e70278e90","tweetId":"547055855097072","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/9e55a9825145403721507526776/rTcxAhL13scA.mp4","poster":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7cb4663df2c73162750aba65cd5d4b4e"},"viewCount":5621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000188","authorId":"9000000000000188","name":"breezyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b825594fd9f6564afaeb0c6022e3f71a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000188","idStr":"9000000000000188"},"content":"Solid take on gold's move. Watching for entry points myself.[看涨]","text":"Solid take on gold's move. Watching for entry points myself.[看涨]","html":"Solid take on gold's move. Watching for entry points myself.[看涨]"}],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":553143631197016,"gmtCreate":1776081769608,"gmtModify":1778843430852,"author":{"id":"3534312667271286","authorId":"3534312667271286","name":"程俊Dream","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a751a4f333aa358f9ddfe4404800ee2a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312667271286","idStr":"3534312667271286"},"themes":[],"title":"Unresolved Strait, Unclear Market: Where is the next inflation trading opportunity?","htmlText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","listText":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","text":"The most closely watched development over the weekend was the progress in talks between the United States and Iran. Based on the weekend news flow, there has been some progress, but the core issues remain unresolved. Since the Strait of Hormuz was blocked a month ago, Gulf countries’ crude inventories are also nearing full capacity. If, during this two-week ceasefire window, the United States and Iran still fail to reach a better agreement that ensures safe passage through the strait, the market is likely to further lift long-term inflation sentiment, creating trading opportunities in the forward contracts of many commodities. I. Focus on the Forward Crude Oil Contract When this round of oil price gains first began, the market initially believed the blockade of the strait would be only a s","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9920dceb2416980c10aa6460b4c426d5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/553143631197016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574752437126777","authorId":"3574752437126777","name":"1PC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d93d931cb700e24c910644542320e877","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574752437126777","idStr":"3574752437126777"},"content":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","text":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal","html":"Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @JC888 @Shyon @Aqa @koolgal"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}]}