(Part 1 of 4) Economic Calendar - week starting 13Jul26

KYHBKO
07-13

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Jul2026)

Key Economic Data to Watch

The most closely watched release in the coming week will be the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). Core CPI is forecast to rise by 0.3% month on month, making it a key indicator for inflation trends and market expectations.

China’s second-quarter GDP will also be announced. With the previous reading at 5.0%, the result will serve as an important gauge of China’s economic momentum and a useful reference point for global consumption trends.

Inflation and Producer Costs

The June Producer Price Index (PPI) will be another important release, with a forecast increase of 0.2%. PPI is a useful leading indicator for consumer inflation because higher producer costs may eventually be passed on to consumers through goods and services.

Energy, Retail, and Manufacturing Indicators

· Crude oil inventories will be released, offering insight into how oil producers and market participants are assessing demand conditions.

· June retail sales and core retail sales will provide an important barometer of consumer spending and broader market sentiment toward the retail sector.

· The July Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will indicate whether manufacturing activity is expanding or contracting.

Labour Market Focus

Initial jobless claims will also be updated in the coming week. This data will be closely watched by the Federal Reserve as a key input for assessing labour market conditions ahead of future interest rate decisions.

@TigerStars

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

Inflation Cools but Fed Hawks Divided — July on Hold; Will September Bring a Rate Hike?
Weaker US June CPI and PPI have eased July rate-hike fears. But Fed Chair Warsh called single-month data "imperfect indicators" of underlying inflation and stressed zero tolerance for persistent pressure. Hawkish splits persist: Dallas's Logan wants a "modest hike," while Vice Chair Jefferson backs a pause but warns hikes stay possible if inflation stalls. Futures price ~86% odds of a hold on July 29, yet September-hike odds top 50%. The market isn't trading cuts anymore — it's "pause in July, hike in September." Does tech keep benefiting, or is it time to brace for another hike?
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