First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli

Next week brings the hardest-to-call FOMC meeting in a long while. The reason: the recent sharp rebound in oil, compounded by events such as a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and restrictions on Red Sea shipping, has left the market with little confidence in how inflation expectations will evolve. If inflation persists, expectations for a Fed rate hike will heat up sharply — and could even become reality as early as the July meeting. Yet Trump remains firmly committed to rate cuts: a hike could trigger a sizable equity correction ahead of the midterm elections and, in turn, hurt his party at the polls. For this week's meeting, therefore, I lean toward the Fed standing pat — but with more hawkish language, nudging the market to give up its easing bets and get its “vaccination” in

For the week ending 24 Jul 2026, there were only a few economic reports to reference. They hardly made a dent in the US market because there were stronger factors dampening, enabling US market to finish the week lower. Index Performance. US market - 3 composite indexes past week performances DJIA. For the week, it fell by -0.4% to close at 51,947.25, despite a late rebound on Fri, 24 Jul 2026. S&P 500. Slipped by -1.03% over the 5 days to 7,411.98, marking its 2nd consecutive weekly decline. Nasdaq. Down by -2.90% for the week, closing at 24,975.82 due to heavy selling in mega-cap tech and the "Magnificent 7". Key Catalysts. Broadly, there were 4 key factors that caused the wild swings in US market, especially the tech index. Geopolitical & Energy Shocks: Brent crude surged past $1

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Told you so: The ceasefire is collapsing, and inflation is still climbing | FSM Global https://secure.fundsupermart.com/fsmone/article/rcms380040 I will challenge this topic of inflation cools with an article from FSMone that says otherwise. Coupled with a jump in most prices of bonds today, which usually indicates inflation pressure. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]  

📈 Beginner’s Guide to Investing in Dividend Stocks: OCBC Bank (Part 1) Building Passive Income One Share at a Time Educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing. ⸻ 🌱 Introduction When I first started investing, I always thought I needed tens of thousands of dollars before I could buy quality dividend stocks. Over time, I realised that wasn’t true. One of the first Singapore blue-chip companies that many beginners look at is OCBC Bank (SGX: O39). It has a long operating history, a strong balance sheet, and has consistently rewarded shareholders with dividends over many years. Even buying 100 shares can be a great learning experience. From the screenshots above, we can observe: * Purchase price: S$16.78 per share * Current price: around

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My Investing Muse (20Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies GOOGLE WORKERS ARE BRACING FOR LAYOFFS. 4,500 signed a petition demanding guaranteed severance and an end to performance quotas. 100+ rallied at HQ to deliver it to CEO Sundar Pichai. 4 in 10 tech workers now say they fear being laid off within a year. - X user Layoff Hedge "Millions of Americans want jobs but can't find them, and the number now exceeds the Great Financial Crisis," per Benzinga The total number of job cuts attributed to AI are 87,714 2026, per Challenger and Gray. This is 22% of all 2026 layoffs. - X user Unusual Whale "Midsize companies that employ millions of workers are now shedding jobs and relocating overseas to cut costs," per WSJ Summary of news (compiled by Gemini) The week starting July 13, 2026, sa

News and my thoughts from the past week (20Jul2026) Meta is having a moment... again. Facebook, Instagram, and Messenger are glitching for users around the world, with desktop Facebook logins failing and Instagram throwing up “something went wrong” messages. The apps appear to be working for some people, so this isn’t a total blackout, just enough chaos to make everyone wonder whether they’ve been hacked. Nope. Meta is simply falling apart again. Source: The Independent / Writer: Ian The US is spending $50 billion on data center construction, exceeding the combined spending on airports, ports, and mass transit, per Bloomberg. "We replaced Salesforce with a vibe-coded CRM built for our own workflows. The custom system integrated our AI agents more effectively, worked better for the team, an

Market Outlook of S&P500 (20Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 just completed a crossover and is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.16, indicating that the market has more buying momentum than selling momentum. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above 200-day (MA200) moving average but just cut the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the long term and a probable trend change in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. E

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 20Jul2026) Several major data releases are due in the coming week, each offering insight into demand conditions, labour-market momentum, the housing sector, and the broader economic outlook. Crude oil inventories: Markets typically view this release as a gauge of consumption trends, particularly from the perspective of major oil companies. Initial jobless claims: The latest claims data will be released after a previous reading of 208,000. This remains one of the key labour-market indicators the Federal Reserve monitors when assessing upcoming interest-rate decisions. New home sales: June new home sales will be released following a previous reading of 580,000 units. The data will serve as an important barometer for the health of the real estate m

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Right after the latest CPI print, a market that looks calm on the surface may in fact be quietly brewing a turning point—and an opportunity. In this piece, Owen wants to talk about the topic that is probably on everyone's mind: has the moment to go long gold finally come? Let's lead with our core conclusion: gold is very likely to see a sizable rebound. The reason is that, with CPI unexpectedly cooling, the market's expectations for Fed rate hikes have already faded. The 2-year Treasury yield has broken below its uptrend, dragging the US Dollar Index into a bearish technical structure. Once the Dollar Index breaks its key level, a gold rebound could well be triggered. But this is only a “rebound,” not a “reversal”—to lock in this move steadily, we still have to strictly follow the discipli