(Part 3 of 4) S&P500 outlook (13Jul2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (13Jul2026)

Technical Analysis Overview

MACD Indicator

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on an uptrend.

Chaikin Money Flow

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.14, indicating the market has more buying momentum than selling.

Moving Averages

Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving averages. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term.

Exponential Moving Averages

The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook.

Other Technical Analysis

Based on the daily interval, technical analysis recommends a “Strong Buy” with all 21 indicators showing a “Buy” rating. No indicators are showing a “Sell” rating.

CNN Fear & Greed Index

With a score of “49”, the CNN’s Fear & Greed index is suggesting that the general market sentiment is “Neutral”. This is an improvement from the “Fear” sentiment from the previous week.

Weekly Outlook

The bottom crossover of the MACD is complete. Based on the above, the S&P500 should be Bullish entering the new week.

@TigerStars

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

Inflation Cools but Fed Hawks Divided — July on Hold; Will September Bring a Rate Hike?

Weaker US June CPI and PPI have eased July rate-hike fears. But Fed Chair Warsh called single-month data "imperfect indicators" of underlying inflation and stressed zero tolerance for persistent pressure. Hawkish splits persist: Dallas's Logan wants a "modest hike," while Vice Chair Jefferson backs a pause but warns hikes stay possible if inflation stalls. Futures price ~86% odds of a hold on July 29, yet September-hike odds top 50%. The market isn't trading cuts anymore — it's "pause in July, hike in September." Does tech keep benefiting, or is it time to brace for another hike?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Stoid
07-13
Stoid
Too good to be true given everything going on but stranger things have already happened so who knows when the floating carpets going to get pulled back into the harsh realities of what is really going on 🎶 - good analysis captain 👌
- KYHBKO:
  well said. the earnings can bring things down if the outlook is not good
fizzloo
07-13
fizzloo
21 buy signals means nothing, 2022 proved that. I cleared my ETFs already
- KYHBKO:
  good on you. Enjoy the profits.
  Buffett sits on the side with $397 billion cash. The trench is fuller than we think.
- KYHBKO:
  thanks for sharing. I am only trading. no long term positions.