Global Main Indices Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

exlux99
2023-01-10

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.93%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 65th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 2.64% movement
Bearish: 2.47% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 4025
BOT: 3800
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79.22% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
26.76% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 53.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 13.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -13.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index

2.$DAX - main 2303(FDAXmain)$ DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.85%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1st percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.87% movement
Bearish: 2.37% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 17.7% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 15095
BOT: 14218
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
73% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
26.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 80%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 93.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 93.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index

3.$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ NDX Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 3.83%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 81th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 3.24% movement
Bearish: 3.3% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 23.6% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 11574
BOT: 10680
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
36.46% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.3% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -53.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates -80%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -26.67%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index

4.NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.08%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 53th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.83% movement
Bearish: 1.55% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18325
BOT: 17584
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
31.43% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.58% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from thetechnical analysispoint of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -26.67%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 66.67%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 80%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index

5.$Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2302(MCLmain)$ Crude Oil Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 5.72%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 74th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 4.6% movement
Bearish: 5.7% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 29% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 77.9
BOT: 69.22
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
31.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.8% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -53.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates -66.67BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 13.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index

6.$Gold - main 2302(GCmain)$ GOLD Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.25%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 0th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.6% movement
Bearish: 1.8% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 22.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 1910
BOT: 1821
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
29.27% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 92.86%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 92.86%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 92.86%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index

7.BTCUSD Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 7.29%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 44th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 4.42% movement
Bearish: 7.23% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 15.8% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18154
BOT: 15830
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
64% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
25.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 40%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates -66.67%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -46.15%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index

8.EUR/USD Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023

We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 1.31%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 2th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.05% movement
Bearish: 0.95% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 30% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 1.079
BOT: 1.049
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
29% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
70% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 93.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 26.67BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -53.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/D8BIaCC9-BTCUSD-Weekly-Volatility-Analysis-9-13-Jan-2023/

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