Misleading. Low box means low

2023-01-18

Misleading. Low box means low vol which means lower probability of major fluctuations. CS are not saying that low acid means we are going to see a higher chance of drop. They are saying less preparedness or anticipation of drop. I hate articles that plays on reasoning to get a flashy title to attract readers.

Wall Street's "Fear Gauge" Flashes Warning That Stocks Might Be Headed off a Cliff

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Shot
2023-01-18
Shot
ok
Kc888
2023-01-18
Kc888
Ok
moliya
2023-01-18
moliya
ok
Sysy
2023-01-18
Sysy
k
JHT
2023-01-18
JHT
[smile]
Boo2020
2023-01-18
Boo2020
k

Leave a comment

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":9956279369,"tweetId":"9956279369","gmtCreate":1674033984452,"gmtModify":1676538918441,"author":{"id":4106699629777400,"idStr":"4106699629777400","authorId":4106699629777400,"authorIdStr":"4106699629777400","name":"Karen333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a24d4a63169cc05795b5cf99d8bb3bc","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-1","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Boss Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $100,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.29","exceedPercentage":"60.25%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":14,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>Misleading. Low box means low vol which means lower probability of major fluctuations. CS are not saying that low acid means we are going to see a higher chance of drop. They are saying less preparedness or anticipation of drop. I hate articles that plays on reasoning to get a flashy title to attract readers.</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Misleading. Low box means low vol which means lower probability of major fluctuations. CS are not saying that low acid means we are going to see a higher chance of drop. They are saying less preparedness or anticipation of drop. I hate articles that plays on reasoning to get a flashy title to attract readers.</body></html>","text":"Misleading. Low box means low vol which means lower probability of major fluctuations. CS are not saying that low acid means we are going to see a higher chance of drop. They are saying less preparedness or anticipation of drop. I hate articles that plays on reasoning to get a flashy title to attract readers.","highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956279369","repostId":2304232522,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2304232522","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1674029041,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2304232522?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-18 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" Flashes Warning That Stocks Might Be Headed off a Cliff","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2304232522","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Wall Street's fear gauge has fallen to its lowest level in months, and Wall Street strategists are c","content":"<html><head></head><body>Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge has fallen to its lowest level in months, and Wall Street strategists are concerned it could be a warning that the latest stock-market rally is coming to an end.Specifically, they&#39;re worried that the low level of the Cboe Volatility Index, otherwise known as &#34;the VIX,&#34; suggests that investors may have become complacent about the risks to their portfolios, raising the possibility that they could be caught off guard in a way that exacerbates the potential market mayhem, according to a series of research notes sent to clients and reviewed by MarketWatch.Others said they&#39;re worried the low VIX will soon revert to its long-term average, bringing the latest market rebound to an end.Jonathan Golub, chief equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse, said in a note to clients dated Tuesday that the subdued VIX means U.S. stocks may have already incorporated a slightly brighter economic outlook, leaving the market vulnerable for a near-term reversal.&#34;While the economic backdrop has become more favorable over the past three months, we believe that much of the upside is already discounted in a lower VIX and higher stock prices,&#34; Golub said.The VIX is flashing a warning sign from a purely technical perspective, others said.The gauge looks &#34;oversold&#34; based on a model used by Fairlead Strategies Chief Technical Analyst Katie Stockton.A &#34;breakout&#34; north of 22 could signal that stocks could be headed for another bout of upheaval, Stockton said in a Tuesday note to clients.On Friday, the VIX finished the trading session at just above 18, its lowest closing level since January. By Tuesday it had recovered slightly to 19.36 as the S&amp;P 500 finished the day marginally lower.Although the S&amp;P 500 has been rising since the start of the year, it has basically gone nowhere for the past month, FactSet data show.The S&amp;P 500 finished modestly lower on Tuesday, falling by 8.12 points, or 0.2%, to 3,990.97. Still, the index managed to close above its 200-day moving average of roughly 3,978 for a second day in a row.The trend of a low VIX isn&#39;t exactly new. According to FactSet data, the fear gauge is currently below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and has been since the end of October, the longest such stretch since 2021.Investors have been watching the fear gauge closely since U.S. stocks began their long descent from their most recent all-time highs reached in January 2022. Some have speculated that the fear gauge appears to be &#34;broken&#34; after it peaked at levels associated with only moderate market stress during last year&#39;s selloff.The VIX is calculated via a complex formula that incorporates weighted prices of S&amp;P 500 index puts and calls with roughly 30 days until expiration. Trading in short-dated options has less of an impact on the VIX, which has become an issue as using these types of contracts has become increasingly popular with traders, some have noted.</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" Flashes Warning That Stocks Might Be Headed off a Cliff</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street's \"Fear Gauge\" Flashes Warning That Stocks Might Be Headed off a Cliff\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nDow Jones \n2023-01-18 16:04\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge has fallen to its lowest level in months, and Wall Street strategists are concerned it could be a warning that the latest stock-market rally is coming to an end.Specifically, they&#39;re worried that the low level of the Cboe Volatility Index, otherwise known as &#34;the VIX,&#34; suggests that investors may have become complacent about the risks to their portfolios, raising the possibility that they could be caught off guard in a way that exacerbates the potential market mayhem, according to a series of research notes sent to clients and reviewed by MarketWatch.Others said they&#39;re worried the low VIX will soon revert to its long-term average, bringing the latest market rebound to an end.Jonathan Golub, chief equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse, said in a note to clients dated Tuesday that the subdued VIX means U.S. stocks may have already incorporated a slightly brighter economic outlook, leaving the market vulnerable for a near-term reversal.&#34;While the economic backdrop has become more favorable over the past three months, we believe that much of the upside is already discounted in a lower VIX and higher stock prices,&#34; Golub said.The VIX is flashing a warning sign from a purely technical perspective, others said.The gauge looks &#34;oversold&#34; based on a model used by Fairlead Strategies Chief Technical Analyst Katie Stockton.A &#34;breakout&#34; north of 22 could signal that stocks could be headed for another bout of upheaval, Stockton said in a Tuesday note to clients.On Friday, the VIX finished the trading session at just above 18, its lowest closing level since January. By Tuesday it had recovered slightly to 19.36 as the S&amp;P 500 finished the day marginally lower.Although the S&amp;P 500 has been rising since the start of the year, it has basically gone nowhere for the past month, FactSet data show.The S&amp;P 500 finished modestly lower on Tuesday, falling by 8.12 points, or 0.2%, to 3,990.97. Still, the index managed to close above its 200-day moving average of roughly 3,978 for a second day in a row.The trend of a low VIX isn&#39;t exactly new. According to FactSet data, the fear gauge is currently below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and has been since the end of October, the longest such stretch since 2021.Investors have been watching the fear gauge closely since U.S. stocks began their long descent from their most recent all-time highs reached in January 2022. Some have speculated that the fear gauge appears to be &#34;broken&#34; after it peaked at levels associated with only moderate market stress during last year&#39;s selloff.The VIX is calculated via a complex formula that incorporates weighted prices of S&amp;P 500 index puts and calls with roughly 30 days until expiration. Trading in short-dated options has less of an impact on the VIX, which has become an issue as using these types of contracts has become increasingly popular with traders, some have noted.</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SVIX":"做空波动率指数期货ETF","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","VIXM":"波动率中期期货ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2304232522","content_text":"Wall Street's fear gauge has fallen to its lowest level in months, and Wall Street strategists are concerned it could be a warning that the latest stock-market rally is coming to an end.Specifically, they're worried that the low level of the Cboe Volatility Index, otherwise known as \"the VIX,\" suggests that investors may have become complacent about the risks to their portfolios, raising the possibility that they could be caught off guard in a way that exacerbates the potential market mayhem, according to a series of research notes sent to clients and reviewed by MarketWatch.Others said they're worried the low VIX will soon revert to its long-term average, bringing the latest market rebound to an end.Jonathan Golub, chief equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse, said in a note to clients dated Tuesday that the subdued VIX means U.S. stocks may have already incorporated a slightly brighter economic outlook, leaving the market vulnerable for a near-term reversal.\"While the economic backdrop has become more favorable over the past three months, we believe that much of the upside is already discounted in a lower VIX and higher stock prices,\" Golub said.The VIX is flashing a warning sign from a purely technical perspective, others said.The gauge looks \"oversold\" based on a model used by Fairlead Strategies Chief Technical Analyst Katie Stockton.A \"breakout\" north of 22 could signal that stocks could be headed for another bout of upheaval, Stockton said in a Tuesday note to clients.On Friday, the VIX finished the trading session at just above 18, its lowest closing level since January. By Tuesday it had recovered slightly to 19.36 as the S&P 500 finished the day marginally lower.Although the S&P 500 has been rising since the start of the year, it has basically gone nowhere for the past month, FactSet data show.The S&P 500 finished modestly lower on Tuesday, falling by 8.12 points, or 0.2%, to 3,990.97. Still, the index managed to close above its 200-day moving average of roughly 3,978 for a second day in a row.The trend of a low VIX isn't exactly new. According to FactSet data, the fear gauge is currently below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and has been since the end of October, the longest such stretch since 2021.Investors have been watching the fear gauge closely since U.S. stocks began their long descent from their most recent all-time highs reached in January 2022. Some have speculated that the fear gauge appears to be \"broken\" after it peaked at levels associated with only moderate market stress during last year's selloff.The VIX is calculated via a complex formula that incorporates weighted prices of S&P 500 index puts and calls with roughly 30 days until expiration. Trading in short-dated options has less of an impact on the VIX, which has become an issue as using these types of contracts has become increasingly popular with traders, some have noted.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":256,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":105598816,"commentId":"105598816","gmtCreate":1674034465889,"gmtModify":1674034479040,"authorId":4105783656507550,"author":{"id":4105783656507550,"idStr":"4105783656507550","authorId":4105783656507550,"name":"Shot","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3bf75a96475b9f4c635e978fbb44e2a6","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.23","exceedPercentage":"60.33%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9956279369,"objectIdStr":"9956279369","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105598813,"commentId":"105598813","gmtCreate":1674034427180,"gmtModify":1674034440656,"authorId":4088208437016150,"author":{"id":4088208437016150,"idStr":"4088208437016150","authorId":4088208437016150,"name":"Kc888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9775a7cdeae2036e11531351109b88a6","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.12.29","exceedPercentage":"80.17%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9956279369,"objectIdStr":"9956279369","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105598811,"commentId":"105598811","gmtCreate":1674034421826,"gmtModify":1674034435236,"authorId":3552850525395609,"author":{"id":3552850525395609,"idStr":"3552850525395609","authorId":3552850525395609,"name":"moliya","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b75ce0c34afff716602792a5d0929dd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9956279369,"objectIdStr":"9956279369","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105598809,"commentId":"105598809","gmtCreate":1674034414021,"gmtModify":1674034427638,"authorId":3581726174893746,"author":{"id":3581726174893746,"idStr":"3581726174893746","authorId":3581726174893746,"name":"Sysy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f89400ba2f20ed80423858c0f6a3d8ee","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9956279369,"objectIdStr":"9956279369","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"k","text":"k","html":"k","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105598805,"commentId":"105598805","gmtCreate":1674034380693,"gmtModify":1674034393928,"authorId":4093180452807000,"author":{"id":4093180452807000,"idStr":"4093180452807000","authorId":4093180452807000,"name":"JHT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9956279369,"objectIdStr":"9956279369","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"[smile]","text":"[smile]","html":"[smile]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":105598799,"commentId":"105598799","gmtCreate":1674034350239,"gmtModify":1674034378569,"authorId":3572316669494636,"author":{"id":3572316669494636,"idStr":"3572316669494636","authorId":3572316669494636,"name":"Boo2020","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9140860aa799166f7ff2aef054c4197","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9956279369,"objectIdStr":"9956279369","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"k","text":"k","html":"k","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/9956279369"}