Global Main Indices Weekly Volatility Forecast-Nov 28,2022

exlux99
2022-11-29

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 2.85% , down from 3.06% of last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 63th percentile, while with VIX$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  we are on 29th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 2.9%
In case of bearish- 2.56%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 24.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 4143
BOT: 3897
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3936
79% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 4050
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 26% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.

2.$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Nasdaq Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 4.06% , down from 4.19% of last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 78th percentile, while with VXN we are on 39th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 3.43%
In case of bearish- 3.48%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 23.6% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 12223
BOT: 11239
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 11531
77% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 11931
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 40% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BEARISH trend.

3.DAX Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 3.05% , down from 3.16% from last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 6th percentile, while with VDAX we are on 1th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 1.99%
In case of bearish- 2.39%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 17.9% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 14900
BOT: 14000
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 14300
73% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 14580
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 66% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.

4.NIFTY 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 1.85% , same as last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 51th percentile, while with INDIA VIX we are on 12th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 1.82%
In case of bearish- 1.55%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 24.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 18771
BOT: 18090
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 18125
78% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 18535(already hit)
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.

5.$Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2301(MCLmain)$ USOIL Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 6.37% , down from 6.6% of last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 85th percentile, while with OVX we are on 88th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 5.25%
In case of bearish- 4.6%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 27.6% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 81.5
BOT: 71.5
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 75.5(ALREADY HIT)
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 82.3
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 65% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BEARISH trend.

6.$E-Micro Gold - main 2212(MGCmain)$ GOLD Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 2.29% , down from 2.32% of last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 48th percentile, while with GVZwe are on 35th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 1.6%
In case of bearish- 1.8%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 22.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 1794
BOT: 1713
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 1725
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 1760( already done)
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 20% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.

7.EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 3.05% , down from 3.16% from last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 6th percentile, while with VDAX we are on 1st percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 2.2%
In case of bearish- 2.3%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 19.2% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 4077
BOT: 3825
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3980
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 3900
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 78% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.

8.EURUSD Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 1.65% , down from 1.86% of last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 13th percentile, while withEVZwe are on 1th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 1.185%
In case of bearish- 0.966%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 30% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 1.057
BOT: 1.018
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 1.022
70% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 1.045( already hit)
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 4% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.

9.BTCUSD Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov - 2 Dec 2022

We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 10.04% , down from 11.21% from last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 62th percentile, while with DERIBITDVOL we are on 31th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish- 4.9%
In case of bearish- 7.7%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 19.4% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 18286
BOT: 14601
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 15500
64% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 16800
Lastly from atechnical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a bearish trend.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/aWV88zBA-BTCUSD-Weekly-Forecast-Analysis-28-Nov-2-Dec-2022/

Futures Club
Join Tiger Futures Club to know more about trading futures!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Leave a comment
58