melson
2022-11-13

$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$   has been a laggard compared to its brothers $DIA(DIA)$   and$SPY(SPY)$ , you can see from the chart that qqq is the slowest to recover from its all time high. qqq retested its support but dia and spy carried on with santa rally since oct. the sharp rally might also be due to short squeeze. qqq is weak because it is tech and tech are shunned in times of interest rate hikes. many shortists circling, hence a lot of resistance rallying. so buy the laggard after a pullback preferably after bouncing off the retracement level of 61.8% of the fibonacci retracement. the vote is for next two market days where a pullback is anticipated.

dems have held on to the senate and likely to lose the house to gop. mr market loves a republican senate and house because they are pro-market but since there is no red wave, mr market is contented with a divided government. dems will have a harder time passing bad policies. 

mr market is celebrating the possibility of fed rate hike slowing and the possibility of china opening up. mr market being too excited, big rational institutional investors will take profit and cause a pullback. but the santa rally will continue as all three major averages made new highs. this bear market rally will be a big wave up till dec before it crashes again in late dec 2022 or jan 2023.

looking at the cpi chart, it is worth taking note of median cpi or cpi m. it is still a straight line up. and if you compare the median cpi with spx and fed fund rate, you can see that for median cpi to subside, it would lag about 10 months after fed interest rate peaks usually after market crashes. the recent market crash from all time high didn't cause the median cpi to subside at all. this means the fed will have to keep on hiking rates to tame cpi. so the dec rate hike might be the trigger for santa rally to end. 


merci beaucoup @TigerStars   for making so many star astronauts. šŸ„‚

 

bon courage

šŸ’° Stocks to watch today?(26 Nov)
1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? šŸŽ Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • BorisBack
    2022-11-14
    BorisBack
    green by open and we reach $295 this week and we then drop back down to the low $280s to high $270s if the $295 resistance level is not broken
  • BaronLyly
    2022-11-14
    BaronLyly
    I want all of you to be very rich, but please don't be delusional. No, we did not reach a bottom. Take profits, and practice patience.
    • melson:Ā 
      indeed, with interest rate on the rise, we need to take a cautious stance while investing. take profit whenever we can and then we have capital to buy the dip.
  • EmilyMark
    2022-11-14
    EmilyMark
    Awaiting the gigantic dump this week because everything now is a pump and dump, knows nothing holds anymore šŸ˜‚
    • melson:Ā 
      pullback is inevitable with such huge gains, let's see if it retraces more than 50%
  • Samlunch
    2022-11-13
    Samlunch
    Qqq being brought up by unprofitable stocks undergoing short squeezes. Keep shorting as it goes higher
  • HLPA
    2022-11-14
    HLPA
    Always take some profits on the way up
  • BadgeLeh
    2022-11-14
    BadgeLeh
    Nice sharing šŸ‘
Leave a comment
124
2