YTD crude oil demand/supply breakdown through 19 weeks

GA907
2023-05-18

$WTI Crude Oil - main 2306(CLmain)$ $Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2306(MCLmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2306(QMmain)$

The implied product demand moved lower for the week ending May 12/2023, led by a big drop in both gasoline and jet fuel demand. There is just so much noise/volatility in weekly data right now.

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YTD (through 19 weeks) crude oil demand/supply breakdown compared to previous years.

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Commercial Crude and Big 4 products are now up ~ 20.6m bbls through 19 weeks into 2023. They are ~27.6m bbls higher than the 5yr average (~7m bbls draw) and 69.6m bbls higher than in 2022 (~49m bbls draw).

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probably, one of the most bearish reports in recent weeks! YTD commercial crude inventories are up ~47m bbls, while big 4 products are down ~ 26.5m bbls.

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Refinery throughput continues to move higher reaching ~16m bbls/d for the first time in 2023. Throughput should be consistently higher than in 2022 for the second half of the year.

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Saudi Arabia's yearly crude oil exports to the US. Why do you think exports started dipping in 2017 and ever since?

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