Globle Main Indices monthly Volatility Forecast- November 2022

1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.47%, decreasing from 7.49% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 85th percentile according to ATR and 100th according toVIX
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 6.23%
BULLISH Candle : 5.1%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 15.7% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 3610
TOP: 4200
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 3900(already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 3492

2.$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ NASDAQ Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 9%, decreasing from 9.13% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 85th percentile according to ATR and 100th according to VXN
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 7.6%
BULLISH Candle : 7.35%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 26.7% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 12460
TOP: 10375
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 11700.
37% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 10450

3.NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 4.56%, rising 3.68% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 25th percentile according to ATR and 83th according to JNIV
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 4.7%
BULLISH Candle : 3.1%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 23.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 26600
TOP: 28630
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 27600 (already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 25600

4.DAX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.3%, increasing from 7.18% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 70th percentile according to ATR and 91th according to VDAX.
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 5.3%
BULLISH Candle : 5.14%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 16% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 12385
TOP: 14302
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 13300 (already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 11900

5.STOXX 50 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.3%, increasing from 7.18% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 60th percentile according to ATR and 91th according to VDAX.
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 4.89%
BULLISH Candle : 4.46%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 12.2% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 3368
TOP: 3888
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 3630(already happened yesterday)
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 3252

6.NIFTY 50 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 4.56%, similar to last month.
This is currently placing us in the 0th percentile according to ATR and 50th according toINDIA VIX
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 2.4%
BULLISH Candle : 5.7%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 27.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 17303
TOP: 18957
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 18020 (already happened yesterday)
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 16864

7.$Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2212(MCLmain)$ Crude Oil Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 13.69%, decreasing from 13.8% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 57th percentile according to ATR and 92th according toOVX
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 9.577%
BULLISH Candle : 7.46%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 24.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 74.5
TOP: 98.3
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 94.4
27% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 80.5

8.$Gold - main 2212(GCmain)$ GOLD Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 6.71%, decreasing from 6.83% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 80th percentile according to ATR and 92th according toGVX
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 2.39%
BULLISH Candle : 3.03%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 28.1% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 1521
TOP: 1744
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
30% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 1730
65% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 1617

9.EURUSD Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022

We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 3.57%, increasing from 3.5% of last month.
This is currently placing us in the 88th percentile according to ATR and 92th according toEVZ
Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is:
BEARISH Candle : 2.126%
BULLISH Candle : 0.984%
With this in mind we can expect with a close to 24.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel:
BOT: 0.953
TOP: 1.022
Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a :
72% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 1.0088
25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 0.963

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/aQZL7sw4-EURUSD-Monthly-Forecast-Movements-1-30-November-2022/

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