Impact of Iran War on U.S. Economy Amid Global Oil Shock

The U.S. economy has shown resilience against various shocks including a chaotic trade war and labor supply issues, and is currently absorbing a global oil shock better than most countries. Despite solid consumer spending, lower interest rates, and a strong stock market, the U.S. is not fully insulated from the Iran war. Rising gas prices are affecting inflation-weary Americans and businesses, with potential shortages in fertilizer and helium impacting agriculture and medical industries. European economic struggles also pose risks to U.S. exports. Concerns about a possible recession are growing if the strait remains closed for another month or more.