Meta's $145B Capex Shock! Will META Fall Below $600?

Meta Platforms (META) tumbled another 8.55% today, extending its post-earnings selloff to a two-day cumulative decline exceeding 14%. Q1 revenue growth of 33% beat estimates, but a full-year capex raise to as much as $145 billion has rattled near-term profit expectations. The divergence with Alphabet — up 10% after its same-day earnings — marks the starkest split within the Magnificent 7. When will Meta's $145 billion AI investment deliver returns the market can actually see, and is a dip below $600 a buying opportunity?

avatarJC888
05-07 10:28

META slides after Q1 Earnings. Sell / Buy / Hold ?

Its been one week since the fateful Wed, 29 Apr 2026 when 4 of Mag 7 reported their quarterly earnings on the same evening, after US market has closed. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ was one of the Mag 7. With the dusts settled, now seems to be the right time for a post mortem, no ? Q1 2026 Earnings. Meta's Q1 2026 earnings report was a masterclass in headline-grabbing numbers that masked underlying capital intensity. Here’s how the company did, compared with estimates from analysts polled by LSEG: Earnings per share (adjusted) : was $10.44 vs $6.79 estimated vs Q1 2025’s $6.43; that’s a +62% YoY gain. Note**: The $10.44 EPS has been buffered by a one-time tax benefit of $8.03 billion. Less windfall, the adjusted EPS was $7.31, that represents a mod
META slides after Q1 Earnings. Sell / Buy / Hold ?

Meta 1Q26 Results: AI Is Driving Ads, But Capex Is Getting More Expensive

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$   The key question from Meta’s 1Q26 report is not whether AI is working. It already appears to be showing up in the ad business: Revenue: US$55.0bn, +33% YoY Operating income: US$22.9bn, +30% YoY Ad impressions: +19%, pricing: +12% But the other side of the story is capex. Meta raised FY26 capex guidance to US$125–145bn, mainly due to AI infrastructure and data centre investment. So the real debate may be shifting from AI demand to: Can the returns justify the spending?
Meta 1Q26 Results: AI Is Driving Ads, But Capex Is Getting More Expensive
avatarMrzorro
05-01
Meta Shares Slump 9% as Options Market Braces for Near-Term Turbulence $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$   shares tumbled almost 9% on Thursday after the company's latest financial results sparked a wave of selling and a surge in demand for options protection, while some institutional players positioned for a potential rebound.  The stock dropped $57.89 to close at $611.23 as investors reassessed the social media giant's spending plans for artificial intelligence. The surge in capital expenditures overshadowed the bigger-than-expected revenue growth of 33% to $56.31 billion that highlights the gains from the company's AI investments.  "We had a milestone quarter with strong momentum across our apps and
Meta’s latest earnings: the quarter was strong — but the capex number is the real story Meta just reported a very unusual quarter. On the surface, the numbers were excellent: Q1 2026 revenue reached $56.3 billion, up 33% year over year. Operating income rose 30% to $22.9 billion, while operating margin stayed at 41%. Family daily active people reached 3.56 billion, up 4% year over year. Ad impressions grew 19%, and average price per ad increased 12%. In other words, the core advertising machine is not broken. It is accelerating.  But the market did not focus only on the beat. It focused on one line in the outlook: Meta now expects 2026 capital expenditures of $125 billion to $145 billion, up from the previous range of $115 billion to $135 billion. Management said the increase reflects hig
Meta Platforms (META) dominates social media with ~3.5+ billion daily active users across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Threads, powering an unmatched advertising flywheel. In Q1 2026, revenue surged 33% YoY to $56.3B (beating estimates), with EPS at $10.44, driven by AI-enhanced ad targeting, higher impressions, and better pricing. **Why META is a strong stock to buy (100-word summary):**   Meta offers a high-quality compounder trading at a compelling valuation (~22-28x forward P/E, PEG ~0.9, discount to peers). AI is already boosting ad efficiency and engagement (Reels, creative tools), fueling 20%+ revenue growth while Meta eyes overtaking Google in global ad revenue (~$243B projected for 2026). Strong moat, 40%+ operating margins, massive scale, and Llama open-source lea
Meta looks strong with solid AI-driven ad growth and high profitability. It’s not cheap, but still a quality long-term growth stock worth buying on dips.
avatarAdz5150
05-01
Meta’s selloff makes sense if the market is reacting to the sheer size of capex, but I do not think higher spending automatically means the thesis is broken. If that investment keeps improving AI engagement, ad tools, and monetisation, this may end up looking more like investment shock $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  than structural weakness. My read: near term, volatility probably stays elevated. Longer term, the real question is whether Meta earns enough on that spend to justify the fear.
avatarPatmos
05-01
Meta needs to fall another 10% to buy
Meta Platforms (META) dominates social media with ~3.5+ billion daily active users across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Threads, powering an unmatched advertising flywheel. In Q1 2026, revenue surged 33% YoY to $56.3B (beating estimates), with EPS at $10.44, driven by AI-enhanced ad targeting, higher impressions, and better pricing. **Why META is a strong stock to buy:**   Meta offers a high-quality compounder trading at a compelling valuation (~22-28x forward P/E, PEG ~0.9, discount to peers). AI is already boosting ad efficiency and engagement (Reels, creative tools), fueling 20%+ revenue growth while Meta eyes overtaking Google in global ad revenue (~$243B projected for 2026). Strong moat, 40%+ operating margins, massive scale, and Llama open-source leadership position it
avatarWillo88
04-30
Chance to buy more With Meta!
Long term, the story is still intact. Meta has strong cash flow, a dominant ads platform, and real positioning in AI. But in the short term, the stock may stay volatile or move sideways as investors wait for clearer signs that these AI investments will pay off. Instead of blindly buying the dip, a more measured approach makes sense. You can scale in gradually rather than going all at once. If you’re using options, selling puts at levels you’re comfortable owning the stock can be more efficient. It also helps to balance exposure with names that have more stable cash flow and less aggressive spending.
avatarJD2903
04-30
Good time to invest 
avatarjunda5
04-30
The 6% drop after hours isn't about capex. It's about Susan Li telling the market 2027 is when this spend pays off, not 2026. $145B is loud. But Meta's ad revenue per DAU is up, and AI-driven targeting plus Reels recommendations are pulling more from the same user base. Capex/revenue near 70% looks insane only if you think Meta is GE in 2002. They aren't. They're funding the next ad-tech cycle while the rest of Mag 7 still pretends ROI is next quarter. The interesting tell is the related tickers on this topic: CRWV at $113.31 and AVGO at $406.94. CoreWeave didn't catch a bid AH despite being a direct beneficiary of hyperscaler GPU demand. That's the real signal. If CRWV and AVGO underperform into next week, the market is pricing AI infrastructure as commoditized, not strategic. That breaks
Tiger Coin, I need to post something for that
avatarxc__
04-22

Meta's $27B Data Center Bet: Earnings to Settle Capex vs Ad Monetization War — or Microsoft Steals the AI Crown? 😱📊

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is heading into next week’s earnings with a massive $27 billion data center expansion in full swing, creating the ultimate stress test for its AI strategy. The central tension is whether AI-driven ad monetization can accelerate fast enough to absorb this relentless capex wave — or if margins will get crushed before the payoff arrives. 😤 With $660 acting as near-term technical support and $630 as the next downside target, the stock is at a make-or-break inflection. Institutional debate is raging between Meta and Microsoft as the two clearest AI infrastructure plays, but which one actually has the stronger hand right now? Emerging markets are watching clos
Meta's $27B Data Center Bet: Earnings to Settle Capex vs Ad Monetization War — or Microsoft Steals the AI Crown? 😱📊
avatarroyang
04-14
avatarMrzorro
04-13
Meta Fuels AI Rally—Bullish Bets on META and NBIS  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  's renewed push into AI infrastructure has become the immediate catalyst for the latest rally in the compute theme. As its partnership with $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$   expands, the market has quickly revised up expectations for future orders and utilization across compute providers, sending shares of $NEBIUS(NBIS)$   and other AI infrastructure names sharply higher. But after such a rapid move, a more practical question emerges: Is this rally still worth chasing—and if so, how should investors participate? The options market
This is worth your time reading 
This could worth reading 
avatarKekemon
04-12
Yes. Let's go All the way.😊